monsanto 12-01-08
DESCRIPTION
TRANSCRIPT
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TED CROSBIEBREEDING LEAD
CITIGROUP PRE-CONFERENCE TEACH-IN
December 1, 2008
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Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements contained in this presentation are "forward-looking statements," such as statements concerning the company's anticipated financial results, current and future product performance, regulatory approvals, business and financial plans and other non-historical facts. These statements are based on current expectations and currently available information. However, since these statements are based on factors that involve risks and uncertainties, the company's actual performance and results may differ materially from those described or implied by such forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, among others: continued competition in seeds, traits and agricultural chemicals; the company's exposure to various contingencies, including those related to intellectual property protection, regulatory compliance and the speed with which approvals are received, and public acceptance of biotechnology products; the success of the company's research and development activities; the outcomes of major lawsuits, including proceedings related to Solutia Inc.; developments related to foreign currencies and economies; successful completion and operation of recent and proposed acquisitions, including Delta and Pine Land Company; fluctuations in commodity prices; compliance with regulations affecting our manufacturing; the accuracy of the company's estimates related to distribution inventory levels; the company's ability to fund its short-term financing needs and to obtain payment for the products that it sells; the effect of weather conditions, natural disasters and accidents on the agriculture business or the company's facilities; and other risks and factors detailed in the company's filings with the SEC. Undue reliance should not be placed on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date of this presentation. The company disclaims any current intention or obligation to update any forward-looking statements or any of the factors that may affect actual results.
Trademarks
Trademarks owned by Monsanto Company and its wholly-owned subsidiaries are italicized in this presentation.
Extrax is a trademark of Renessen, LLC.
© 2008 Monsanto Company
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2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
2030 U.S. YIELD TARGET
2030: >2x 2000 BASELINE OF 137 BU/AC
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Monsanto’s Innovation Targeted at Doubling Yield by 2030, Extending Competitive Lead and Creating New Value
DOUBLING YIELD WITH TECHNOLOGY:U.S. CORN EXAMPLE
DOUBLING YIELD BY 2030U.S. BASELINE
CROP 2000 BASELINE1
Corn: 137 bu/ac
Soybeans: 37 bu/ac
Cotton: 632 lbs/acSTRATEGIC RATIONALE
Helping meet global demand
Furthering competitive lead
Creating new value for farmers that creates sustainable growth opportunities
STRATEGIC OUTLOOK
GERMPLASM IMPROVEMENTS
AGRONOMIC PRACTICE IMPROVEMENTS
BREEDING IMPROVEMENTS
BIOTECH IMPROVEMENTS
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OVERVIEW
Breeding and Biotech Provide Parallel R&D Paths to Commercial Products
PHASE II PHASE III PHASE IVPHASE IDISCOVERY LAUNCH
BREEDING and BIOTECHNOLOGY form two R&D pathways
Separate, but parallel, the BREEDING and BIOTECHNOLOGY pathways are linked by shared tools.
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BREEDING
BIOTECHNOLOGY
GGermplasm
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SEED SOLD TO FARMERS
R&D PHASE:
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Germplasm Is Building Block for Better Seed; Germplasm Library Is Building Block for Better Breeding
BREEDING
TEMPERATESUB-TROPICAL
TROPICAL
SUB-TROPICAL
TEMPERATE
CORN SEED GERMPLASM LIBRARYASSEMBLED GEOGRAPHIC POOLS
GERMPLASM
OVERVIEW:Germplasm is like breeding in thoroughbred race horses –just as breeders select for the fastest race horses, seed breeders look to pair the best pool of genes for the strongest yielding seed
APPLICATION: Germplasm pools allow breeders to target key physiological traits:
Monsanto’s corn germplasm library is assembled from 36 breeding programs in 12 different countriesAnnually, breeders exchange more than a million different “packages” of germplasm material>50% of Monsanto’s corn hybrids result from intra-company crosses
• Increased Yield• Disease Resistance• Stress Tolerance• Grain Quality / Added Value
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Markers Allow Breeders to Get Best Combinations of Germplasm Faster With Greater Predictability
BREEDING
Regions associated with yield coming from Parent 1
1 2 5 6 7 8 9 103 4
Regions associated with yield coming from Parent 2
MARKERS
OVERVIEW:A corn plant has 40,000 genes spanning 10 chromosomes. Characteristics – or traits – are built from different pieces on different chromosomes. Markers are DNA ‘flags’ that indicate where particular genes are located
APPLICATION: Using markers to make better selections, breeders can improve the probability of success:
TRACKING CHARACTERISTICS FOR YIELDYIELD-RELATED AREAS ON CORN CHROMOSOMES
Probability of finding 1 trait that is controlled by 20 genes“Random” crosses: 1 per trillion
1 in 5
After application of markers and
breeding technology
Soybean Seed Chipper
This capability fuels the creation of top-tier germplasm and sets the genetic knowledge base to deliver next- generation biotech traits.
Automated Marker Analysis
BREEDING
Monsanto Investment in Molecular Breeding is Accelerating the Rate of Gain Over Conventional Breeding
► >$100M invested in molecular markers platform
► Staff of >150 scientists using proprietary tools are supporting the further development and use of marker technology
► Capability to analyze 10s of millions of samples
► $75M investment in proprietary software tools
► 3 million marker-trait associations providing detailed genome understanding
MOLECULAR MARKERS
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Core Research Methods Have Applicability Across Crop Platforms, Magnifying Investment and Productivity
BREEDING
CROP PLATRFORMS
CORN
SOYBEANS
COTTON
VEGETABLES
MARKER DISCOVERY
MARKER DETECTION
IT SYSTEMS
SHARED TECHNOLOGY AND METHODS
Focused on methods for discovering new
markers, moving to a “SNP” (single
nucleotide polymorphism)
platform for all crops
APPLICATION TODAY:Thousands of SNP markers already identified and in use for cornand soybeans
OPPORTUNITY: Development of SNP markers for 9 different row crop and vegetable species
MARKER-TRAIT ASSOCIATIONS
Focused on state-of-the-art platforms to detect markers that maximize efficiency and minimize cost
APPLICATION TODAY:Proprietary automated systems in place for corn, soybeans and cotton
OPPORTUNITY: Leverage existing platforms for additional species and upgrading systems for all crops
Focused on creating unified decision-
making systems to better enable
breeding efficiency
APPLICATION TODAY:Proprietary interconnected IT systems in place for corn, soybeans and cotton
OPPORTUNITY: Utilize existing systems to provide comparable capabilities for vegetables
Focused on the best application of marker-trait
associations to select for most commercially-relevant traits
APPLICATION TODAY:Associations used for complex traits –like yield – in corn and soybeans, and simpler traits in vegetables
OPPORTUNITY: Marker-trait associations will allow for predictive breeding for key traits in all relevant crops
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MAB Application in Soybeans Led to Roundup Ready 2 Yield Soybeans
BREEDING & BIOTECHNOLOGY
GOAL: Use DNA Markers To Improve the Efficiency of Plant Breeding Procedures
STRATEGY: Identify genes that control key agronomic traits; use new breeding procedures to better select for these genes; increase rate of genetic gain in breeding programs.
• Roundup Ready 2 Yield soybeans offer 7% - 11% yield advantage, based on near-isolinecomparisons, based on four years of field comparisons
2007 RR2Y - 170 Total Testing Sites
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Delivering Yield Favors Companies That Can Provide Both Breeding and Biotechnology Improvements in Concert
BREEDING + BIOTECHNOLOGY
FOCUS: YIELD
BIOTECH ADVANCES
+CURRENT GENETIC POTENTIAL AND TRAITS
WHAT MATTERS TO FARMERS IS THE YIELD AT HARVEST, WHICH IS A FUNCTION OF HOW MUCH POTENTIAL A SEED HAS AND HOW IT’S PROTECTED:
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INSECT PRESSURE
WEED PRESSURE
NUTRIENT DEFICIENCY
WATER DEFICIENCY
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WEED-CNTROL TRAITS
NET REALIZED YIELD WITH CURRENT PROTECTION
GENETIC POTENTIAL PRESERVED THROUGH BIOTECH TRAITS AND PRODUCTION ADVANCES
GENETIC POTENTIAL (CURRENT)
NET REALIZED YIELD WITH NO PROTECTION
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NET REALIZED YIELD WITH FUTUREPROTECTION OPPORTUNITIES
SECOND-GENERATION
INSECT CONTROL
DROUGHT TOLERANCE
IMPROVED NITROGEN
UTILIZATION
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SEED MANUFACTURING
BELOW-GROUND INSECT CONTROL
ABOVE GROUND INSECT CONTROL
+BREEDING ADVANCES
FUTURE GENETIC PLATFORM
GENETIC POTENTIAL (FUTURE)
GENETIC POTENTIAL (FUTURE)
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BIOTECHNOLOGY
Early Pipeline Work Focuses On Identifying Best Genes and Introducing Leads Into Plants for Development
BIOTECH DISCOVERY
GENE SOURCES:Hundreds of thousands of genes are screened to find candidates for biotech traits• Genes come from plant
sources, including bacteria, fungi, microorganisms (like baker’s yeast) and native genes in plants
• Genes used in insect-protected crops to date are from “bacillus thuringiensis,” or “Bt,” a class of naturally occurring soil bacteria with thousands of different strains that target specific insects
GENE INSERTION:There are two key methods used to insert genes into plants:• Agrobacterium• Particle acceleration (gene
gun)
PARTICLE ACCELERATION – GENE GUN
AGROBACTERIUM
Agrobacterium tumefaciens naturally inserts DNA segments into plant cells –this is used to transfer identified genes
Gene guns use “biolistics,” using particles coated in DNA that are introduced into plant cells
GENE TRANSFER PLASMID
DNA
AGROBACTERIUM TUMEFACIENS
GENEINSERTIONTRANSFORMED
PLANT CELL WITH GENE
NUCLEUSCHROMOSOME
DNA
GENEINSERTION
NUCLEUSCHROMOSOME
PARTICLE ACCELERATION
TRANSFORMED PLANT CELL
WITH GENE
DNA-COATED PELLETS
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BIOTECHNOLOGY
Biotech Pipeline Follows Pharmaceutical-Like Development
DISCOVERYGene/Trait Identification
PHASE IProof Of Concept
PHASE IIEarly Development
PHASE IIIAdvanced Development
PHASE IVPre-launch
AVERAGE DURATION1 24 to 48 MONTHS 12 to 24 MONTHS 12 to 24 MONTHS 12 to 24 MONTHS 12 to 36 MONTHS
GENES IN TESTING TENS OF THOUSANDS THOUSANDS 10s <5 1
MONSANTO DISCOVERY + COLLABORATIVE PARTNERS
KEY INFLECTION POINT:AFTER PHASE II COMMERCIAL SUCCESS GOES TO >50% WITH LEADS ON COMMERCIAL TRACK
1. Time estimates are based on our experience; they can overlap. Total development time for any particular product may be shorter or longer than the time estimated here.
REGULATORY DATA GENERATION
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BIOTECHNOLOGY
Stage-Gate Model Provides Systematic Evaluation and Built-In Cost Prioritization
DISCOVERYGene/Trait Identification
PHASE IProof Of Concept
PHASE IIEarly Development
PHASE IIIAdvanced Development
PHASE IVPre-launch
AVERAGE DURATION1 24 to 48 MONTHS 12 to 24 MONTHS 12 to 24 MONTHS 12 to 24 MONTHS 12 to 36 MONTHS
KEY ACTIVITY
• High-throughput gene screening
• Model crop testing
• Optimizing gene in greenhouse and fields to establish proof of concept
• Commercial transformations of genes into crop plants
• Scale up events for large-scale field testing
• Extensive field testing to generate regulatory data and for agronomic testing
• Completion of regulatory submissions
• Commercial seed bulk up
TRIGGER TO ADVANCE TO NEXT PHASE
AVERAGE PROBABILITY OF SUCCESS2
5% 25% 50% 75% 90%
RELATIVE R&D COST PER PROJECT3
1. Time estimates are based on our experience; they can overlap. Total development time for any particular product may be shorter or longer than the time estimated here.2. This is the estimated average probability that the traits will ultimately become commercial products, based on our experience. These probabilities may change over time.3. Relative cost reflects an estimate of cumulative costs for a composite project. Actual spending will vary for any individual project.
GENE LEADS IDENTIFIED
“BEST” GENES IDENTIFIED
LEAD EVENTS SELECTED
REGULATORY PACKAGES SUBMITTED
RELEVANT REGULATORY REVIEWS COMPLETED
COST-INFLECTION POINT:PER-PROJECT COSTS ONLY MOVE UP ONCE COMMERCIAL TRANSFORMATIONS ARE MADE, AND THE PROBABILITY OF SUCCESS ALSO INCREASES
Step 1Gene sourcing& nomination
Step 2Gene cloning& sequencing
Step 3Transformation
Step 4Seed increase
Step 5Field testing
Step 6Data analysis& decision making
BIOTECHNOLOGY
Genes Selected for Evaluation Travel the Circuit from Sequencing to Field Testing
LIFE OF A GENE LEAD IN PLANT BIOTECHNOLOGY
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Performance of Lead Genes Re-Affirmed From Early Testing in Model Crops to Large Scale Field Trials
BIOTECHNOLOGY
DISCOVERY: MODEL CROPS
Gene B
Gene A
Gene E
Gene D
Gene C
Gene F
Gene A
Gene IGene H
Gene GGene F
Gene A
PHASE I: TARGET CROP
PHASE II & III: LARGE SCALE FIELD TRIALS
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R&D PIPELINE
R&D Engine Is Poised to Launch Average of One Game-Changing Technology Every Other Year Through Mid-Decade
R&D PIPELINE: ADVANCED GAME-CHANGING TECHNOLOGIES
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 TO MID-DECADE
Roundup Ready 2 YieldSoybeans
SmartStaxDrought-Tolerant Corn Family1
Nitrogen-Utilization Corn Family1
• Second-gen soybean trait platform
• China import approval received in September 2008
• On track for 2009 release; 2010 full launch
• All-in-one corn trait platform
• On track for 2010 launch – Submitted for regulatory review and refuge reduction
• Value likely in improved yield under stress and potential for water replacement
• Targets ways to use nitrogen more efficiently
CONTROL HYBRID(76 BU/AC)
WITH GENE(94 BU/AC)
SUPERIOR, NE - FIELD TRIALS – 2007
1. Part of the Monsanto-BASF Yield and Stress R&D Collaboration
FARM PROGRESS SHOW – 2007
FARM PROGRESS SHOW – 2007
Monsanto’s Yield Leadership Widens With Each New Game-Changing Technology Launched
SUMMARY
DuPont Syngenta
2nd‐GenSoybean Trait
2009Roundup
Ready 2 Yield¹
2011Optimum®GAT®³
Option to License Roundup Ready 2
Yield⁶
All‐in‐OneCorn Trait Platform
2010SmartStax
2012Optimum
AcreMax™ Plus⁴No Specified Platform⁷
BiotechDrought
ToleranceCorn
2012+² 2014+⁵ Post‐2014⁸
1. Controlled commercial release of 1‐2M acres; Large‐scale launch of 5‐6M in 2010
2. First trait in the Drought‐tolerant corn family, currently Phase III
3. Optimum® and GAT® are registered trademarks of Pioneer Hi‐Bred; Date as stated in DuPont press release 07‐17‐08
4. AcreMax™ is a trademark of Pioneer Hi‐Bred; Date as stated by William S. Niebur, Ph.D., Merrill Lynch Agricultural Chemicals Conference, 06‐05‐08, Slide 14
5. Ibid, Slide 23
6. Press Release: “Monsanto and Syngenta Reach Royalty‐Bearing Licensing Agreement on Roundup Ready 2 YieldSoybean Technology,” 05‐23‐08
7. No specified platform indicated via Corn Technology Pipeline, Syngenta Half Year Results Presentation, 07‐24‐08, Slide 22. Relevant component traits: VIP/Broad lep: 2009 and RW dual mode of action: 2012
8. Ibid.
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