monsanto 09-16-08
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TRANSCRIPT
Golden Opportunities: Working Jointly for Higher YieldsSeptember 16, 2008
Agenda
12:50 p.m. Welcome & introduction – Magdalena Moll
01:00 p.m. Yield & Stress Collaboration BASF Monsanto – Hans Kast
01:20 p.m. Growth and Value in Yield & Stress – Steve Padgette
01:50 p.m. Q&A by Hans Kast and Steve Padgette
02:20 p.m. Coffee break
02:40 p.m. Workshop “Pipeline Valuation” – Laura Meyer
03:10 p.m. Finding Outstanding Lead Genes – Johan Cardoen
03:30 p.m. Q&A by Johan Cardoen
04:00 p.m. Departure to Greenhouse by bus
04:30 p.m. Site tour CropDesign
05:25 p.m. Concluding remarks – Magdalena Moll
05:30 p.m. Departure
Forward-looking information
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements. These statements are based on current expectations, estimates and projections of BASF management and currently available information. They are not guarantees of future performance, involve certain risks and uncertainties that are difficult to predict and are based upon assumptions as to future events that may not prove to be accurate.
Many factors could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of BASF to be materially different from those that may be expressed or implied by such statements. Such factors include those discussed in BASF’s Report 2007 on pages 106ff. We do not assume any obligation to update the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.
As It Pertains to BASF: As It Pertains to Monsanto:Certain statements contained in this presentation are "forward-looking statements," such as statements concerning the company'sfuture product performance, regulatory approvals, business and financial plans and other non-historical facts. These statements are based on current expectations and currently available information. However, since these statements are based on factors that involve risks and uncertainties, the company's actual performance and results may differ materially from those described or implied bysuch forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, among others: the success of the companies’ research and development activities; the costs of and the companies’ abilities to access and enforce intellectual property needed for the collaboration; the costs and requirements of regulatory compliance and the speed with which approvals are received; public acceptance of biotechnology products; and otherrisks and factors detailed in the company's most recent periodicreport to the SEC. Undue reliance should not be placed on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date of this presentation. The company disclaims any current intention or obligation to update any forward-looking statements or any of the factors that may affect actual results.
Monsanto Imagine and Vine Design, Corn States Triangle Design, Asgrow and Design, We Breed Better Beans, DEKALB Strong Roots. Strong Yields. and Design and Roundup Ready 2 Yield are trademarks owned by Monsanto Company and its wholly owned subsidiaries.
© 2008 Monsanto Company
1 | Yield & Stress Collaboration BASF Monsanto
2 | Growth and Value in Yield & Stress
3 | Valuation Workshop
4 | Finding Outstanding Lead Genes
Challenges in global agricultureAgricultural production has to be doubled in twenty years
• FoodUN estimate: 9.2 billion people in 2050
• FeedRising social standards drive global demand for more food, especially for meat consumption in Asia
• FiberCotton is the single most important textile fiber
• FuelUse of grain for fuel is growing by ~ 20% per year
We believe that the only technology to meet future demand is plant biotechnology
• Estimated marketvalue in 2025:$50 billion
• Market is dominated by agronomic traits and commodities
• Yield is the major market
Trait acreage in million ha
Market value in billion $
Specialties Mass market
1001
Yield
Feed
Herbicide tolerance
Specialtytraits
10
Energy crops
101
1000
100
Global market for biotech traits in 2025
Pest resistance
Collaboration in yield & stress tolerance
Strongest partnership in plant biotechnology
Collaboration strategy
Focus• Joint technology and commercialization collaboration• R&D pipeline for yield and stress tolerance traits• Crops: corn, soybeans, cotton, canola
Discovery• Independent discovery programs at each company• Lead genes go into joint development pipeline
Development• Nominated projects are jointly funded (50-50 cost sharing)• Potential overall R&D budget of $1.5 billion / €1.0 billion
Commercialization• Emerging products are commercialized by Monsanto• Broad-licensing approach across Monsanto’s commercial
channels• Value sharing: 60% for Monsanto, 40% for BASF
Collaboration creates joint pipelineFocus on yield and stress
CommercializationJoint DevelopmentIndependent Discovery
Licensed brands
Regional brands
National brands
Monsanto discovery program
BASF discovery program
• Broad-licensing approachto seed companies
• Value shared60% Monsanto, 40% BASF
• Potential R&D budget$1.5 / €1.0 billion
• Increasing probabilityof success (volume of lead genes)
• Increased rate of discovery
• Shorter early development timelines
®
BASF platform for gene discovery
Lookinside
Yield increase in crops
Metabolic profiling
Unique platform to identify and understand the gene functions of plants
Combines phenotypic screening with metabolic profiling determining gene function
High throughput of 5,000-10,000 genes tested per year
Phenotypic screening
Lookat plant
Look inside the plantThe value of analyzing the metabolome
Metabolite profiling
• Process which analyzes metabolite changes in plants:broad, fast, precise
• Over 1,000 important target metabolite “sensors” screenedin parallel
• 9,000 plant signals seen in parallel
• Plant cell: a complex network of thousands of chemical reactions
• Production of thousands of metabolites
Metabolic profiling
• Reveal the genes responsiblefor plant composition
• Identify genes and mechanismsfor plant performance
• Reveal plant response systems against environment and diseases
Look inside the plantThe value of analyzing the metabolome
Results support trait development
• Composition (e.g. oil, amino acids)
• Agronomics (e.g. yield, tolerance)
• Trait diagnostics (e.g. for development)
BASF discovery platform fuels progress
• Fully automated high throughput “live” crop screeningin rice
• Fastest growing genetic library in the industry
- Over 1.5 million metabolic profilesfor > 35,000 genes
• Cutting edge bioinformatics systems
• Fast and thorough intellectual property generation
• Early identification of highest potential development candidates
Complementary R&D platforms accelerate commercialization
Key results of the collaboration
• Gene nomination> 90% of gene nominations are unique
• Combination of pipelinesAccelerated development timeline
• Yield & stress transformation events~ 33% pipeline increase
• Genes/events evaluated> 12 million metabolic data points
• U.S. field trials 2008Planted yield & stress trials in nearly 175 locations
First products planned from 2012 onward
1 | Yield & Stress Collaboration BASF Monsanto
2 | Growth and Value in Yield & Stress
3 | Valuation Workshop
4 | Finding Outstanding Lead Genes
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1964
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/200
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009P
STRETCHING SUPPLYWORLD CORN AND SOYBEAN STOCKS-TO-USE1
ME
TR
IC T
ON
S (
IN M
ILLI
ON
S)
SOYBEAN STOCKS-TO-USE
STATE OF AGRICULTURE:Strong Demand Environment
FACTORS:
► INCREASING PROTEIN DEMANDWealth drives meat consumption – changing feed demand
► ASCENSION OF CHINAChina’s growth is reaching limits of domestic production, driving huge changes in export environment
► ESTABLISHMENT OF BIOFUELSAssuming only base-case adoption of biofuels, more corn and soy needed in next decade
Increasing protein demand, coupled with boost from biofuels, creates sustained long-term grain demand
CORN STOCKS-TO-USE
• U.S. corn ending stocks-to-use ratio projected to be 12% for 2007/08 and down 28% to a 9% stocks-to-use ratio for 2008/09
• U.S. soybean stocks-to-use estimated to be 4.4% for 2007/08 and essentially flat for 2008/09, even with acres up nearly 18%
1. USDA PSD View database query for global corn and soybeans
STO
CK
S-T
O-U
SE
RA
TIO
Monsanto’s growth opportunity lies at the intersection of demand, innovation and execution
More demand requires more YIELD
More yield requires more INNOVATION
More innovation delivers more GROWTH
Monsanto’s simple philosophy on opportunity:
Monsanto discovery program
BASF discovery program
Probability of success improves as biotech traits move through four development phases
Key activities
• Trait development
• Pre-regulatory data
• Large scale transformation
• Lab & field testing
1 – 2 years1
DiscoveryPhase
Phase IProof of concept
Phase IIEarly product development
Phase IIIAdvanced development
Phase IVPre-launch
1 – 2 years1 1– 2 years1 1 – 3 years1
Launch
• Gene optimization
• Crop transformation
• Trait integration/breeding
• Field testing
• Regulatory data generation & submission
• Regulatory approvals
• Seed bulk-up
• Pre-marketing
• $100M = approximate costs to develop a biotech trait (Phase 1-4)• BASF and Monsanto share development costs (Phase 1-4) 50/50 for yield and stress traits
75%25% 50% 90%5 %Probabilityof success2
1. Time estimates are based on our experience; they can overlap. Total development time for any particular product may be shorter or longer than the estimated time here.
2. This is the estimated average probability that the traits will ultimately become commercial products, based on our experience. These probabilities may change over time. Commercialization is dependent on many factors, including successful conclusion of the regulatory process.
Genes selected for evaluation travel the circuit from sequencing to field testing
Step 1Gene sourcing& nomination
Step 2Gene cloning& sequencing
Step 3Transformation
Step 4Seed increase
Step 5Field testing
Step 6Data analysis& decision making
Collaborations and cutting-edge enablingtechnologies enhance Monsanto pipeline
DiscoveryPhase
Phase IProof of concept
Phase IIEarly product development
Phase IIIAdvanced development
Phase IVPre-launch
Alli
ance
Par
tner
s10
0’s
of c
olla
bora
tions
gl
obal
ly
Diff
eren
tiatin
g E
nabl
ing
Tech
nolo
gy
Protein Evolution
Spectral Imaging
Protein Structure
Comparative Genomics
Systems Biology
Automated Transformation
Automated Screening
Arcadia
Evogene
Devgen
Divergence
Ceres
Mendel
Chromatin
BASF
Yield & stress field testing builds on a core capabilityat Monsanto, with nearly 175 trial locations in 2008
Jacksonville, IL 2007
Jerseyville, IL 2007
Oriska, MN 2008
Legend• Phase I and II• Phase III and IV
2008 Total Monsanto biotech field trials
• >$100M invested in molecular markers platform
• Staff of >150 scientists using proprietary tools are supporting the further development and use of marker technology
• Capability to analyze 10s of millions of samples
• $75M investment in proprietary software tools
• 3 million marker-trait associations providing detailed genome understanding
Monsanto investment in molecular breeding is accelerating the rate of gain over conventional breeding
Soybean seed chipper
This capability fuels the creation of top-tier germplasmand sets the genetic knowledge base to deliver next-generation biotech traits
Automated marker analysis
Collaboration boasts industry-leading pipeline in yield and stress
Discoveryphase
Drought-tolerant corn familyDrought-tolerant corn2nd generation drought-tolerant corn
Nitrogen utilization corn familyNitrogen-utilization corn
Broad-acre higher-yielding corn familyHigher-yielding corn
Broad-acre higher-yielding soybean familyHigher-yielding soybeans2nd generation higher-yielding soybeans
Drought-tolerant cotton familyDrought-tolerant cotton
Broad-acre higher-yielding canola familyRoundup Ready® 2 Plus Yield canola*
Yield and stress pipeline Phase I Phase II Phase IVPhase III
High Impact Technologies (HIT) project
Jan. 3, 2008 Advancements/Additions
The colored bar associated with each project indicates which phase that project is in. It is not intended to represent the relative status of the project within a particular stage.* For higher-yielding + Roundup Ready® 2 Plus Yield canola, only the value of the higher-yielding trait is incorporated
into the Yield and Stress collaboration with BASF.
January 2008 update
2007 dryland field tests of lead drought event offersvisual evidence of increased yield in stressed conditions
Drought-tolerant corn family:Lead project (HIT project, phase III)
Project conceptDrought-tolerance family aimed at providing consistent yield and buffering against effects of water limitations, primarily in areas of annual water stress
Family value considerations:• Launch-country acres*: 55M• 2020 value**: $300–$500M
Sources of value1. Improved yield: Targeting 6–10% yield
improvement in water-stress environmentsField test resultsIn 2007 tests in natural dryland environments from South Dakota to northern Texas, the lead drought-tolerant event outperformed conventional checks in 3 different hybrid backgrounds. Percentage yield difference vs. control ranged from 13.0% to 15.1%.* Acre opportunity reflects acres where technology fits at Monsanto’s
current 2007 market share in respective crops
** 2020 value reflects gross sales opportunity in launch country in year 2020 for the family
2007 field testing shows visual proof of yield improvement
Control hybrid(76 bu/ac)
With gene(94 bu/ac)
Superior, NE – field trials – 2007
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Event 1 Event 2 Event 3 Event 1 Event 2 Event 3
Second-generation drought-tolerant corn delivered eight percent plus yield advantage in 2007 trials
Drought-tolerant corn family: Second-generation project (Status: phase II)
Project conceptThe second-generation of drought tolerant corn is aimed at boosting yield stability for broad-acre applications and reducing water input required in water-limited environments
Family value considerations• Launch-country acres*: 55M• 2020 value**: $300–$500M
Sources of value1. Improved yield: Targeting 6–10% yield
improvement in water-stress environments
2. Water substitution: Variable costs in pumped irrigation of >$100/acre
* Acre opportunity reflects acres where technology fits at Monsanto’s current 2007 market share in respective crops
** 2020 value reflects gross sales opportunity in launch country in year 2020 for the family
Second-gen drought corn events provide consistent yield advantageDrought efficacy for second-gen events
• Seeking lead genes that work to improve the ways in which plants use water
• Evaluating plant growth under drought, root mass improvement, pollen growth, silk expansion and photosynthesis efficiency in determining drought tolerance
Lower-yielding environmentAverage yield: 53 bu/ac
2006 2007
Yiel
d di
ffere
nce
over
con
trol
s (%
)
Product concept target range
(All three events significant @ p ≤ 0.10); Statistical significance determined by ANOVA (2006) or nonparametric test (2007)
Higher-yielding environmentAverage yield: 166 bu/ac
In continued field testing, nitrogen utilization lead shows yield improvement under normal nitrogen
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Nitrogen-utilization corn family: Lead project (Status: phase I)
Project conceptTargets ways that corn plants can use nitrogen more efficiently, exploring potential to boost yield under normal nitrogen conditions or to stabilize it in low nitrogen environments
Family value considerations• Launch-country acres*: 55M• 2020 value**: $300–$500M
Sources of value1. Improved yield: Yield improvement in normal
nitrogen environments
2. Nitrogen reduction: Improving yield in low nitrogen environments
* Acre opportunity reflects acres where technology fits at Monsanto’s current 2007 market share in respective crops
** 2020 value reflects gross sales opportunity in launch country in year 2020 for the family
Nitrogen utilization lead demonstrates yieldadvantage under normal nitrogen conditions over multiple years
• Evidence of enhanced nitrogen use efficiency in lead genes indicated by enhanced photosynthesis, improved nitrogen assimilation, improved root mass or architecture improvement
2006 2007
Yiel
d In
crea
se (b
u/ac
)
2005
Trials in multiple hybrid backgrounds
(16 locations)
Trials in multiple hybrid backgrounds
(15 locations)
Bar color correlates with the specific hybrid background tested. Same bar color in different tests and different years indicates same hybrid was used.All trials conducted under sufficient nitrogen application levels.
** * * * * *
* Statistically significant @ p ≤ 0.10
*
0
4
8
12
16
20
24
Hybrid 1 Hybrid 2 Hybrid 3 Normal Highdensity density
Higher-yielding corn offers yield advantage in both normal and high density planting rates
Higher-yielding corn family: Lead project (Status: phase II)
Project conceptHigher-yielding corn aimed at boosting intrinsic yield potential of corn through insertion of key genes
Family value considerations• Launch-country acres*: 55M• 2020 value**: >$1B
Sources of value1. Improved yield: Targeting 6-10% yield improvement
* Acre opportunity reflects acres where technology fits at Monsanto’s current 2007 market share in respective crops
** 2020 value reflects gross sales opportunity in launch country in year 2020 for the family
2007 higher-yielding corn agronomic testing versus controls
• Yield performance at 4–12 locations in the U.S. in 2007; commercial track events yield tested in the U.S. in 2008
• Lead genes tested for improved light response, increased biomass and kernel development
Ave
rage
yie
ld a
dvan
tage
(bu/
ac in
crea
se o
ver c
ontr
ol) Product concept benefit target range
Percentage yield difference vs. control:5.2% 6.4% 5.6%5.6% 8.4% 9.7% 7.3%
Event 1 Event 2
Latin America trials of higher-yielding soybeans confirm prior trials with 6-10 percent yield advantage
0
2
4
6
8
Event 1 Event 2 Event 3 Event 4 Event 5
Higher-yielding soybeans family: Lead project (Status: phase II)
Project conceptHigher-yielding soybeans aimed at boosting intrinsic yield potential of soybeans through insertion of key genes
Family value considerations• Launch-country acres*: 45M• 2020 value**: $300–$500M
Sources of value1. Improved yield: Targeting 6-10% yield
improvement
* Acre opportunity reflects acres where technology fits at Monsanto’s current 2007 market share in respective crops
** 2020 value reflects gross sales opportunity in launch country in year 2020 for the family
New: 2007/08 higher-yielding soybean agronomic testing versus controls
• 16 top-performing events advanced to Latin America South trial. Lead events showing strong yield advantages over conventional controls in both trials.
• Higher-yielding trait will be stacked on top of Roundup Ready 2 Yield and other soybean-pipeline traits.
Ave
rage
yie
ld a
dvan
tage
(bu/
ac in
crea
se o
ver c
ontr
ol)
Percentage yield difference vs. control:7.1% 6.0% 6.2% 10.2% 5.4% 8.8% 4.6% 10.5% 2.2% 10.3%
Season 1: 2007 U.S. field trips (18 locations)
Season 2: 2007/08 LAS field trips (12 locations)
Product concept target range
Cotton drought-tolerant leads offer yield improvements ranging from 4-19 percent
Drought-tolerant cotton (Status: phase I)
Project conceptDrought-tolerant cotton is designed to minimize risk in cotton farming by providing yield stability in environments experiencing sporadic or consistent water stress and by reducing water needs on irrigated acres.
Family value considerationsTo be decided when project enters Phase IIDrought-tolerant cotton is expected to reduce crop losses on dry-land acres and may reduce water costs in irrigated farming operations.
Field testing results In 2 years of testing, across both water stressed and non-stressed environments, and multiple locations, our two lead events generated a yield difference vs. the control of 4-19 percent.ControlWith gene
Mid-seasonHalfway, TX – September 2007
First year of broad-acre testing of Roundup Ready® 2 Plus Yield canola shows 11-14 percent increase
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
Event 1 Event 2 Event 3 Event 4 Event 5
Roundup Ready® 2 Plus Yield canola (Status: phase II)
Project conceptThis is a second-generation weed-control trait vector-stacked with a yield trait, aimed at increasing weed control and boosting the yield potential of canola by 15 percent
Value considerations• Launch-country acres*: 12M• 2020 value**: <$150M
Sources of value1. Improved yield: Targeting 15 percent
increase in yields
* Acre opportunity reflects acres where technology fits at Monsanto’s current 2007 market share in respective crops
** 2020 value reflects gross sales opportunity in launch country in year 2020
Top 5 Roundup Ready® 2 Plus Yield events show yield increases from 11–14%
• In 1st year of broad-acre testing for commercial events, 5 events show significant increases in yield above 11% over matched control lines in 2007 field trials
• Events show full tolerance at 8x current Roundup Ready spray regime
Percentage yield difference vs. control:14% 13% 11% 12% 14%
Yiel
d (lb
s/ac
)
With gene No gene
** * * *
Strong pipeline value reflects commercial opportunity in emerging value in yield and stress
Nitrogen-utilization family
Discovery
Corn:Broad-acre yield
Yield and stress collaboration
Phase I Phase II Phase IVPhase III
CornSoybeans
Soybeans:Broad-acre yield
Mega>$1B
High$300M–$500M
Mid$150M–$300M
Low<$150M
2020 value ranges:
Family traits
Family traits
High
Mega
High
High
Drought-tolerant family
Broad-acre,higher-yielding family
Broad-acre,higher-yielding family
Note: 2020 value reflects expected annual gross sales of trait in launch country in 2020.
Golden Opportunities: Working Jointly for Higher YieldsSeptember 16, 2008
1 | Yield & Stress Collaboration BASF Monsanto
2 | Growth and Value in Yield & Stress
3 | Valuation Workshop
4 | Finding Outstanding Lead Genes
Monsanto discovery program
BASF discovery program
Probability of success improves as biotech traits move through four development phases
Key activities
• Trait development
• Pre-regulatory data
• Large scale transformation
• Lab & field testing
1 – 2 years1
DiscoveryPhase
Phase IProof of concept
Phase IIEarly product development
Phase IIIAdvanced development
Phase IVPre-launch
1 – 2 years1 1– 2 years1 1 – 3 years1
Launch
• Gene optimization
• Crop transformation
• Trait integration/breeding
• Field testing
• Regulatory data generation & submission
• Regulatory approvals
• Seed bulk-up
• Pre-marketing
• $100M = approximate costs to develop a biotech trait (Phase 1-4)• BASF and Monsanto share development costs (Phase 1-4) 50/50 for yield and stress traits
75%25% 50% 90%5 %Probabilityof success2
1. Time estimates are based on our experience; they can overlap. Total development time for any particular product may be shorter or longer than the estimated time here.
2. This is the estimated average probability that the traits will ultimately become commercial products, based on our experience. These probabilities may change over time. Commercialization is dependent on many factors, including successful conclusion of the regulatory process.
Nitrogen-utilization family
Strong pipeline value reflects commercial opportunity in emerging value in yield and stress
Discovery
Corn:Broad-acre yield
Yield and stress collaboration
Phase I Phase II Phase IVPhase III
CornSoybeans
Soybeans:Broad-acre yield
Mega>$1B
High$300M–$500M
Mid$150M–$300M
Low<$150M
2020 value ranges:
Family traits
Family traits
High
Mega
High
High
Drought-tolerant family
Note: 2020 value reflects expected annual gross sales of trait in launch country in 2020.
Broad-acre,higher-yielding family
Broad-acre,higher-yielding family
• Valuation reflects expected annual gross trait sales value in the year 2020.
• Gross trait sales are presented for the initial country of launch only.
• Acre opportunities are based on acres where there is a technology fit.Additionally, acre opportunities for corn and soybeans reflect only the acres that correspond to the 2007 shares accessed in each respective market by Monsanto’s branded and licensed channels.
• These valuations do not reflect value attributed to other traits or germplasm.
• “Family” values include both first and second generation traits,if both are launched by 2020.
• Assumed launch dates coordinate with phase placement in the R&D pipeline and normal progression timelines.
Key assumptions in expected annual gross sales in launch country in 2020
Yield & stress valuation metrics
In 2007, Monsanto and BASF announced a Yield and Stress collaboration. For projects in this segment of the pipeline, there are additional key criteria that factor into valuation:
• Several projects are valued as families to take into consideration the successive generation projects.
• The profit in Yield and Stress will be shared between Monsanto and BASF,meaning 60% of the residual trait profits from the yield and stress traits commercialized will accrue to Monsanto and 40% will accrue to BASF.
Collaboration agreement provides for sharingof trait profits: 60% Monsanto and 40% BASF
Penetration of traits in countries outside initial launch country provide upside to values
Project Phase12020Value$ M
Countryof launch
Acreagepotential –
country of launch
Additionalgeographicopportunity
Soybean pipelineBroad-acre higher-yielding soybeans family 2 HIGH
$300 – $500 US 45 M Brazil, Argentina
Corn pipeline
Drought-tolerant corn family 3 HIGH$300 – $500 US 55 M Brazil, Argentina, EU27
Nitrogen-utilization corn family 1 HIGH$300 – $500
US 55 M Brazil, Argentina, EU27
Broad-acre higher-yielding corn family 2 MEGA
> $1,000 US 55 M Brazil, Argentina, EU27
Cotton and canola pipeline
Roundup Ready 2 Plus Yield canola2 2 LOW< $150 Canada 12 M US, EU27
Drought-tolerant cotton family 1 N/A US 10-15 M India, Australia, Brazil
Summary valuation table
1. For projects noted as “families,” phase designation represents status of first product in family2. Only the higher-yielding portion of this stack is part of the BASF and Monsanto Yield & Stress Collaboration
Pricing to value is hallmark of Monsanto’s value capture system for traits
$3/bu2
Commodity price
Potential yield value
Average yield
per acre
Yield increment
target
$27-$45/acre150 bu16-10%
1) INCREMENTAL YIELD
TOTAL VALUE CREATED$27-$45/acre,
say $45 for example
$18
HIGHER YIELDING CORN I EXAMPLE
Monsanto/BASF and partners = 1/3 to 1/2
Grower = 1/2 to 2/3
$27
1. Average yield per acre for corn in the U.S. was 151 bushels in 2007, as per the USDA; rounded to 150 bu/acre for example.
2. Utilized a corn commodity price of $3 for illustrative purposes; average price per bushel of corn received by a grower in the U.S. ranged from $2.00 to $4.25 per bushel from 2005 to 2007, as per the USDA.
Peace of mind
Potential for reduced crop insurance
3) OTHER
OpportunityAverageU.S. cost
Crop input replaced
N/A for this example
2) REPLACEMENT COSTS
Collaboration provides for sharing of profits generated by yield & stress traits commercialized
1. Assumes 90M acres of corn in U.S. multiplied by Monsanto’s current branded and licensed U.S. corn share
$18
Monsanto/BASF and partners = 1/3 to 1/2
Grower = 1/2 to 2/3
$27
TOTAL VALUE CREATED$27-$45/acre,
say $45 for example
Gross profit for trait
Net sales for trait
Less: Working capital charges
55Mx Volume (Acre opportunity – U.S.)1
$990MGross trait sales peak potential in the U.S.
= Residual trait value
x 60% = Monsanto portion
Less: R & D
Less: COGS for trait (royalties, etc.)
Less: S,G & A (marketing, corporate costs)
x 40%= BASF portion
Less: Share to channel (retail or licensed)
$18.00Retail trait price per acre
HIGHER YIELDING CORN I EXAMPLE
.217720480-lb balesCotton
.025401bushelsCorn
.027216bushelsSoybeans
Metric Ton Equivalent Factor1
Domestic unitCrop
1 Hectare = 2.471 Acres
1 Kilogram = 2.20462 lbs
$4.25, $3.04, $2.00 per bu
$.62, $.60, $.56 per lb
$6.43, $5.66, $5.74 per bu
2007,2006,20052
U.S. Weighted Average Farm Price
871 pounds/acreCotton
151 bushels/acreCorn
41 bushels/acreSoybeans
2007 Average U.S. Yield1
Crop
1. Source: USDA
2. Source: USDA, average price received by farmers for marketing year ended August 31st for soybeans and corn and year ended July 31st for cotton. For cotton used U.S. Memphis territory price per cotton outlook.
Key data for major crops in the collaborationMetric conversions and average U.S. yields
Reference – Product Pages
Product conceptHigher-yielding soybeans are aimed at boosting the intrinsic yield potential of the soybean through insertion of key genes. This project aims to increase soybean yields by 6-10 percent.
Need FulfilledHigher-yielding soybeans create additional harvestable yield for farmers, increasing their productivity. Higher yields are becoming important as population expands and as soybean growers look to meet growing demand for oil in areas like biodiesel and cooking. Additionally, as protein demand increases in key importing markets like China, higher yields offer farmers a way to better help meet that need.
Current statusThis project is in phase II, early product development. This includes conducting lab and field testing of genes in plants to select commercial product candidates and to advance the best performing events for regulatory testing. In 2007 testing, we took 68 events into the field for testing at 18 locations, with lead events showing strong yield advantages over conventional controls.1. 2020 value reflects gross sales opportunity, for the family, in launch country, in year 2020
2. Acre opportunity reflects areas where technology fits at Monsanto’s current 2007 – 2008 market share in respective crops
Higher-yielding soybeansPart of broad-acre, higher-yielding soybean family Phase II
Family Value Considerations / Status: phase II
2020 value1: $300 – $500MLaunch country: U.S.Launch-country acres2: 45MAdditional geographic opportunity: Brazil, Argentina
By increasing yield 6-10 percent, this product would offer farmers the option to get more yields per acre and additional flexibility in crops planted and market opportunities.
Jerseyville, IL – 2007
With yield trait Control
Product conceptFirst-generation drought tolerance is targeted to minimize uncertainty in farming by buffering against the effects of waterlimitation, primarily in areas of annual water stress. In the U.S., this area has historically been the dryland farms of the Western Great Plains.
Need fulfilledAgriculture uses over 70 percent of the world’s fresh water resources. Drought tolerant corn could offer farmers one way to reduce agriculture’s impact on the environment. Water is the biggest limiting factor in agriculture production. Every acre of corn faces some degree of water stress at some point in the growing season. This product could allow farmers to achieve more consistent yields even during times of water stress. Increased yield improves farmers’ productivity helping them meet growing demands for feed, food and fuel.
Current statusThe project is in the advanced development stage, phase III. This phase involves demonstrated efficacy of traits in elite germplasmand development of regulatory data as appropriate. It completed the fifth year of field trials in 2007.
Drought-tolerant cornPart of drought-tolerant corn family Phase III
Family value considerations / status: phase III
2020 value1: $300 – $500MLaunch country: U.S.Launch-country acres2: 55MAdditional geographic opportunity: Brazil Argentina EU27
Farmers value water-use in “acre-inches of water” needed to support yield potential. Farmers need 18-to-20 inches of moisture from natural or irrigated sources during the growing season to achieve normal Corn Belt yields. This product is targeting 6–10% yield improvement in water-stress environments, primarily in areas of annual water stress.
Superior, NE field trails – 2007
Control hybrid(76 bu/ac)
With gene 94 bu/ac
1. 2020 value reflects gross sales opportunity, for the family, in launch country, in year 2020
2. Acre opportunity reflects areas where technology fits at Monsanto’s current 2007 – 2008 market share in respective crops
Product conceptThe second-generation of drought tolerant corn is aimed at boosting yield stability for broad-acre applications and reducing water input required in water-limited environments.
Need fulfilledAgriculture uses over 70 percent of the world’s fresh water resources. Drought tolerant corn could offer farmers one way to reduce agriculture’s impact on the environment. Water is the biggest limiting factor in agriculture production. Every acre of corn faces some degree of water stress at some point in the growing season. This product would allow farmers to achieve more consistent yields even during times of water stress. Increased yield improves farmers’productivity helping them meet growing demands for feed, food and fuel.
Current statusThis project is in phase II, early product development. This phase includes conducting lab and field testing of genes in plants to select commercial product candidates and for advancement of selected events into regulatory testing.
2nd Generation drought-tolerant cornPart of drought-tolerant corn family Phase II
Family value considerations / status: phase II
2020 value1: $300 – $500MLaunch country: U.S.Launch-country acres2: 55MAdditional geographic opportunity: Brazil, Argentina, EU27
Farmers value water-use in “acre-inches of water” needed to support yield potential. Farmers need 18-to-20 inches of moisture from natural or irrigated sources during the growing season. This product is targeting 6 – 10% yield improvement in water-stress environments, and could offer water substitution savings in pumped irrigation. Pumped irrigation has a variable cost of >$100/acre.
Control hybrid With gene
1. 2020 value reflects gross sales opportunity, for the family, in launch country, in year 2020
2. Acre opportunity reflects areas where technology fits at Monsanto’s current 2007 – 2008 market share in respective crops
Product conceptNitrogen utilization targets ways that corn plants can use nitrogen more efficiently, exploring the potential to boost yield under normal nitrogen conditions or to stabilize yield where growers choose to apply lower nitrogen amounts due to rising fertilizer costs.
Need fulfilledNitrogen is one of the most important farm inputs and is the most price sensitive to petroleum-input costs. Nitrogen prices have risen sharply in recent years and are one of the most significant crop inputs for farmers.
Current statusThe project is in phase I, the proof of concept phase, including discovering new genes and evaluating these genes in our technology programs.
Nitrogen-utilization cornPart of nitrogen-utilization corn family Phase I
Family value considerations / status: phase I
2020 value1: $300 – $500MLaunch country: U.S.Launch-country acres2: 55MAdditional geographic opportunity: Brazil, Argentina, EU27
According to the USDA, nitrogen fertilizer represents one of thelargest input costs in agriculture, accounting for approximately one-fifth of the operating costs for a corn producer. Improving nitrogen-use efficiency in corn provides an opportunity for increased farmer profitability, while also offering a new way to reduce agriculture’s overall impact on the environment.
Farm process show – 2007
1. 2020 value reflects gross sales opportunity, for the family, in launch country, in year 2020
2. Acre opportunity reflects areas where technology fits at Monsanto’s current 2007 – 2008 market share in respective crops
Product conceptHigher-yielding corn is aimed at boosting the intrinsic yield potential of corn hybrids by a targeted 6-10 percent through insertion of key genes.
Need fulfilledHigher yields are becoming ever more important. As population expands, as protein demand increases in key importing markets like China, and as renewable fuel becomes more important, higher yields offer farmers a way to better help meet these needs. Higher-yielding corn improves the productivity of farming by increasing average yield per acre.
Current statusThis project is in phase II, early product development. Lab and field testing of genes in plants are being conducted to select commercial product candidates and to advance the best performing events to regulatory trials. With three years of field data proving efficacy, higher-yielding corn emerged from proof-of-concept testing to Phase II development.
Family value considerations / status: phase II
2020 value1: >$1BLaunch country: U.S.Launch-country acres2: 55MAdditional geographic opportunity: Brazil, Argentina, EU27
Increasing yield on existing acres helps to make farming more profitable. Producing more on the same acre also improves land stewardship by not bringing additional acres into production to meet demand.
1. 2020 value reflects gross sales opportunity, for the family, in launch country, in year 2020
2. Acre opportunity reflects areas where technology fits at Monsanto’s current 2007 – 2008 market share in respective crops
Higher-yielding cornPart of broad-acre, higher-yielding corn family Phase II
Product conceptThis is a second-generation weed-control trait vector-stacked with a yield trait, aimed at increasing weed control and boosting the yield potential of canola by 15 percent. This product would also provide improved nitrogen-use efficiency, giving the farmer the opportunity to trade off fertilizer costs while maintaining current yields.
Need fulfilledHigher yields are becoming important as population expands and demand for oil in areas like bio-diesel and cooking increases. Higher-yielding canola would create additional harvestable yield for farmers, increasing their productivity while providing increased weed control. Producing more on the same acre also improves land stewardship with limited arable land.
Current statusThis project is in phase II, early development. This includes con-ducting lab and field testing of genes in plants to select commercial product candidates and to identify the best performing events toadvance to regulatory trials. More than three years of field testing demonstrated consistent yield benefit for the lead gene in the United States and Canada.
Value considerations / status: phase II
2020 value1: <$150MLaunch country: CanadaLaunch-country acres2: 12MAdditional geographic opportunity: U.S., EU27, Australia
By increasing yield 15 percent, this offers farmers the option to get more yields per acre and additional flexibility in crops planted and market opportunities.
1. 2020 value reflects gross sales opportunity in launch country in year 2020
2. Acre opportunity reflects areas where technology fits in that country
Roundup Ready® 2 Plus Yield canolaHigher yielding portion of this stack is in collaboration with BASF Phase II
Higher-yieldingCanola
Conventional
Product conceptDrought-tolerant cotton is designed to minimize risk in cotton farming by providing yield stability in environments experiencing occasional or consistent water stress and by reducing water needs on irrigated acres.
Need fulfilledAgriculture uses over 70 percent of the world’s fresh water resources, and a product like drought tolerant cotton would offer farmers one way to reduce agriculture’s impact on the environment. Every acre of cotton faces some degree of water stress at some point in the growing season, and water is one of the biggest limiting factors in agriculture production. This product would allow farmers consistent yields even during times of drought. Increased yield creates additional harvestable yield for farmers, increasing their productivity to help meet growing demands for feed, food and fiber.
Current statusThe project is in phase I, the proof of concept phase. The trait is being introduced into diverse germplasm and undergoing multi-year testing, characterization and quality control. We are in the process of building a portfolio of genes that confer drought tolerance in cotton.
Family value considerations / status: phase I
To be decided when project enters phase II
Drought-tolerant cotton is expected to reduce crop losses on dry-land acres and may reduce water costs in irrigated farming operations.
Drought-tolerant cottonPart of drought-tolerant cotton family Phase I
With gene Control
Golden Opportunities: Working Jointly for Higher YieldsSeptember 16, 2008
1 | Yield & Stress Collaboration BASF Monsanto
2 | Growth and Value in Yield & Stress
3 | Valuation Workshop
4 | Finding Outstanding Lead Genes
CropDesign N.V.
• Located in Ghent, Belgium; 85 employees
• Founded in 1998 as a spin-off from VIB (Flanders Institute for Biotechnology)
• Acquired by BASF in June 2006
• Specialized in developing crops with improved traits for increase of crop productivity
• Focus is on rice as a commercial crop as well as a model plant for corn and other cereals
BASF platform for gene discovery
Lookinside
Yield increase in crops
Metabolic profiling
Unique platform to identify and understand the gene functions of plants
Combines phenotypic screening with metabolic profiling determining gene function
High throughput of 5,000-10,000 genes tested per year
Phenotypic screening
Lookat plant
Look at plant – phenotypic screening
• High throughput screening facility to identifylead genes for yield & stress in crops
• Screening rice as a model crop: - testing more than 140,000 plants/year- processing 50,000 digital images/day - screening runs 24/7
• Evaluation of more than 20 parameters for agricultural performance
• Identification of key yield components
• Testing under different growing conditions(e.g. optimal, drought, low nitrogen)
Broad and diversified pipeline of lead genes
Control Lead
Higher seed count: + 50%
Broad and diversified pipeline of lead genes
Larger panicles: + 30%
Control Lead
Broad and diversified pipeline of lead genes
Control Lead
Larger seeds: + 30%
Broad and diversified pipeline of lead genes
Control Lead
Increased root biomass: + 20%
Control Lead
Increased green biomass: + 40%
Broad and diversified pipeline of lead genes
Increased roots: +20%
Increased biomass: +40%
Larger panicles: +30%
Larger seeds: +30%
Higher seed count: +50%
More yield,
More value
Generating more yield and value for farmers
Field testing of lead genes discovered in greenhouse
Validatedlead gene
Gene discovery Field trial
Largest validated crop-baseddevelopment platform for productivity traits
Yield lead genes in the field
Increased yield : + 40%
Control Lead
• 235 field trials conducted
• Rate of lead genes confirmed in the field ~ 50%
Results clustered along traits
• Unique platform to monitor performance and select better lead genes
• Faster identificationof novel lead genes
• Knowledge of mode of action supports regulatory clearance and intellectual property generation
• Shortened time to market
Value creation through better and faster discovery of outstanding lead genes
Metabolic profiling
Phenotypicscreening
Concerted R&D approach for better productsEnabled through data integration from unparalleled platforms
Field trials
Data integration using cutting-edge bio-informatics platform
ResultsMethods
drought nitrogen
intrinsicyield
Strongest collaboration in plant biotechnology
• Unites the unique, complementary skills and experience of both companies
• Targets four major crops for value-creation:corn, soybeans, cotton, canola
• Focuses on yield which represents the largest value-creating opportunity in agriculture
• Delivers broadest pipeline in the industry for enhanced yield to the farmer
• Will create substantial value for farmers and for both collaboration partners
Golden Opportunities: Working Jointly for Higher YieldsSeptember 16, 2008