innovation and the future
Post on 18-Sep-2014
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It is difficult to predict what will happen.TRANSCRIPT
Innovation and the future
Predicting the future of innovation is difficult.
The following slides willillustrate this…
”Everything that can be invented already has been”
// Charles H Duell, head of U.S.Patent Office, 1899
”The development has been so remarkable that we do not expect anyfurther improvements in the future.”
// German car manufacturer, 1914
”The telephone is an amazing innovation, but who will ever use it?”
// Rutherford B Hayes, American president 1875
”This ’telephone’ has too manyshortcomings to be seriouslyconsidered as a means of communications. The device is inherently of no value to us.”
//Western Union, 1876
“In the early 1980s AT&T asked McKinsey to estimate how many cellular phones would be in use in the world at the turn of the century. The consultancy … concluded that the total market would be about 900,000. At the time this persuaded AT&T to pull out of the market.”
— The Economist, 1999
”There is a world market for about five computers”
// Tomas Watson, founder and chairman of IBM, 1943
”It was gigantic and did not look like a camera”
// Comment on Hasselblad’s first digital camera prototype developed in 1996
All those people who’ve said that we’vereached the end of development haveone thing in common…
…They have all been wrong.The optimist has been right.
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