US Airfare Trend Report

Week of April 6, 2015

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Data cohort: Flights departing April 11, 2015 – May 15, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending April 4, 2015

Notes• Since our last report, when United hiked, then dropped, their fares by $0.40, American/US

followed suit, and Delta, as well. Here, you see that American/US in the midst of their reversal (explaining their excess of fare drops) while Delta began reversing their fare increases after the observation period has concluded.

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Data cohort: Flights departing April 11, 2015 – May 15, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending April 4, 2015

Notes• The semi-overlapping broad fare changes among different airlines paints a rather confusing picture

here. While Delta has a broad fare hike of <$1, Alaska, American/US, United, and JetBlue are seen here in the midst of scaling back previous changes.

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Data cohort: Flights departing April 11, 2015 – May 15, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending April 4, 2015

Notes• Not surprisingly, the “universal” fare hikes seen on the right are almost exclusively served

by Delta.

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Data cohort: Flights departing April 11, 2015 – May 15, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending April 4, 2015

Notes• Similar profile on a destination basis.

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Data cohort: Flights departing April 11, 2015 – May 15, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending April 4, 2015

Notes• By median magnitude, fewer airports saw drastic changes, but those that did were familiar

origins and destinations.

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Data cohort: Flights departing April 11, 2015 – May 15, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending April 4, 2015

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Data cohort: Flights departing April 11, 2015 – May 15, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending April 4, 2015

Notes• In general, flights

were quite volatile on major routes, with few flights experiencing completely stable fares.

• Substantially all fares on the ANC/SEA route (primarily served by Alaska) changed in price, but to a limited extent.

TRENDS AMONG 25 MAJOR AIRPORT ROUTES

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Data cohort: Flights departing April 11, 2015 – May 15, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending April 4, 2015

ABOUT OUR DATA

• We observed the cohort of non-stop US domestic airfares departing April 11, 2015 to May 15, 2015, or roughly on a one-week to six-weeks forward basis.

• These fares were observed over a seven-day period ending April 4, 2015.• Most commercial carriers in the US are represented.

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Data cohort: Flights departing April 11, 2015 – May 15, 2015 •  Observation period: 7 days ending April 4, 2015

ABOUT FLYR

FLYR is a data science company that constructs technologies to predict and mitigate future airfare volatility. Our goal is to develop tools that are able to neutralize uncertainty in travel planning.

Our open airfare prediction beta is currently available at http://www.getFLYR.com.

We welcome your comments and questions, as well as ideas and suggestions for future reports.

Steady Travels,FLYR Research

© 2014-2015 FLYR Inc. All Rights Reserved.

All data, charts, and commentary are provided for informational purposes only.Permission to reproduce the contents contained herein must be obtained with prior consent of FLYR Inc.For reproduction/distribution authorizations or other media requests, please contact:

Andrew JingFLYR Inc.andrew@FLYRLabs.com89 De Boom St., San Francisco, CA 94080