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Brexit Opinion PollEPP Group in the European Parliament
May 2017
2
Methodology and Weighting
⁄ RED C interviewed a random sample of circa 1,000 adults aged 18+ online in each of the countries chosen for research between the 28th April and the 5th May.
⁄ Quotas were set in each country based on latest's population statistics, covering age, gender, and region to ensure the sample is representative of all adults.
⁄ Total sample figures shown have been weighted to take account of population numbers aged 18+ in each country, based on latest EU stat data.
Sample Size
France N=1002
Germany N=1000
Ireland N=1007
Italy N=1007
Netherlands N=994
Poland N=1003
Romania N=1006
Spain N=1000
Sweden N=1013
3
78%Of EU Citizens asked
Want the Primary objective for Brexit negotiations to focus on protecting good
future of remaining EU27
Compared to
Just 22% who want the focus to be on building a new economic
relationship with UK, giving them special privileged conditions post
Brexit
4
Primary objective for Brexit negotiations
78% 69% 80% 72% 78% 74% 76% 81% 89%71%
22% 31%20% 28% 22% 26% 24% 19% 11%
29%
Total France Germany Ireland Italy Netherlands Poland Romania Spain Sweden
Focus on protecting good future of
remaining EU27
Building a new economic relationship
with UK, giving them special priviliged
conditions post Brexit
(Base: All Adults 18+ in each country)
5
Primary objective for Brexit negotiations
78%69%
80%72%
78% 74% 76%81%
89%
71%81%
74%82%
75% 74%83% 83% 83%
93%
74%
Total France Germany Ireland Italy Netherlands Poland Romania Spain Sweden
All adults EPP Voters
Focus on protecting good future of remaining EU27(Base: All Adults 18+ in each country)
6
92%
Citizens Priorities for the Negotiations
To protect the future economies of the
remaining EU member states
To enhance the financial markets in the remaining EU27 states, in order to ensure financial
stability
91%
To ensure that the UK pays any outstanding
financial obligations to the EU
88%
89%
To focus on the longer term interest
of the remaining EU27 states, rather than any short term
economic gains
To ensure that there is no
introduction of second class EU
citizens
87%To protect the rights
of EU citizens who are living in the
UK86%
To ensure the future wellbeing of the UK
economy55%
7
89%
The longer term interests of the EU 27 are extremely important
To focus on the longer term interest
of the remaining EU27 states, rather than any short term
economic gains
84%
89%
91%
89%
86%
92%
94%
91%
85%
France
Germany
Ireland
Italy
Netherlands
Poland
Romania
Spain
Sweden
All Adults
4%
5%
6%
6%
7%
8%
26%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
13%
32%
35%
41%
32%
31%
38%
40%
60%
56%
48%
56%
56%
48%
16%
8
Importance of Brexit Negotiation Goals
NETIMPORTANT
92%
91%
89%
88%
87%
86%
55%
Not At All Important
Not very important
SomewhatImportant
Extremely Important
(Base: All Adults 18+ across countries weighted by population)
To protect the future economies of the remaining EU member states
To enhance the financial markets in the remaining EU27 states, in order to ensure
financial stability
To focus on the longer term interest of the remaining EU27 states, rather than any short
term economic gains
To ensure that the UK pays any outstanding financial obligations to the EU
To ensure that there is no introduction of second class EU citizens
To protect the rights of EU citizens who are living in the UK
To ensure the future wellbeing of the UK economy
NETIMPORTANT
96%
96%
93%
93%
91%
87%
57%
All Adults EPP Voters
9
Key Focus for EU Following Brexit – % NET IMPORTANT(Base: All Adults 18+ in each country)
89%
91%
94%
94%
90%
95%
95%
95%
85%
France
Germany
Ireland
Italy
Netherlands
Poland
Romania
Spain
Sweden
To protect the rights of EU citizens
who are living in the
UK
To protect the future economies of the remaining
EU member states
To focus on the longer term
interest of the remaining EU27
states, rather than any short term economic gains
To enhance the financial markets in the remaining EU27 states, in order to ensure financial
stability.
To ensure that there is no introduction of
second class EU citizens
To ensure that the UK pays any outstanding financial obligations
to the EU
87%
90%
92%
94%
88%
94%
94%
95%
86%
84%
89%
91%
89%
86%
92%
94%
91%
85%
75%
88%
89%
93%
69%
94%
90%
93%
77%
86%
88%
87%
91%
87%
89%
90%
92%
80%
83%
80%
93%
89%
83%
92%
92%
92%
78%
10
Importance of Good Friday Agreement not being Undermined by Brexit Deal(Base: All Adults 18+ in Ireland)
70%
19%
5%2%3%
ExtremelyImportant
Somewhat Important
Not Very Important
Not at all Important D/K
53%
75%
79%
18-34
35-54
55+
% Extremely Important
11
Key Focus for EU Following Brexit
Closer Defence Union
Economic Growth &
Job Creation
Counter Terrorism
Integration
Keeping Money Safe
Financial Stab.
Unfair Competition Protection
Research & Innovation
85%92%94% 93% 89%90%
(Base: All Adults 18+ across countries weighted by population)
Voters92%96%97% 97% 94%93%
3%
3%
4%
6%
6%
9%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
26%
32%
26%
37%
37%
39%
69%
62%
66%
53%
52%
46%
12
Key Focus for EU Following Brexit
NETIMPORTANT
94%
93%
92%
90%
89%
85%
Not At All Important
Not very important
SomewhatImportant
Extremely Important
(Base: All Adults 18+ across countries weighted by population)
Economic Growth and Job Creation
Keeping Money Safe/Financial Stability
Increased counter terrorism integration
Research and Innovation Across Member States
Protection against unfair competition in a globalised world economy
Closer defence union among the member states
NETIMPORTANT
97%
97%
96%
93%
94%
92%
All Adults EPP Voters
13
Key Focus for EU Following Brexit – % NET IMPORTANT
92%
92%
98%
97%
93%
96%
97%
96%
90%
France
Germany
Ireland
Italy
Netherlands
Poland
Romania
Spain
Sweden
(Base: All Adults 18+ in each country)Closer
Defence Union
Economic Growth & Job Creation
Counter Terrorism Integration
Keeping Money SafeFinancial Stab.
Unfair Competition Protection
Research & Innovation
91%
91%
97%
96%
92%
93%
97%
96%
91%
91%
91%
91%
94%
89%
95%
95%
93%
88%
89%
88%
92%
92%
86%
92%
93%
91%
78%
87%
86%
93%
93%
90%
93%
93%
95%
88%
89%
78%
79%
90%
81%
91%
95%
82%
72%
14
Areas of concern for the Irish Population – % first 3 most Important
Most Worried
About
Least Worried
About
60%51% 54% 52%
41% 41%
Our futureprosperity/Economic
growth
Restrictions on theCommon Travel
Area/free movementof people between
Ireland and the UK/NI
Jobs/Employment Trade Possibility of a hardborder
Relationship withNorthern Ireland
(Base: All Adults 18+ in Ireland)
14
15
97%
95%
97%
89%
90%
EPP
ALDE
S&D
GUE/NGL
Greens
65%
28%
4%3%1%
15
To protect Irish Interests, the EU should Work Closer Together
Agree StronglyAgree Slightly
Disagree slightly
Disagree strongly D/K
Agree Strongly/Slightly
(Base: All Adults 18+ in Ireland)