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Brexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European Parliament May 2017

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Page 1: Brexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European  · PDF fileBrexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European Parliament May 2017

Brexit Opinion PollEPP Group in the European Parliament

May 2017

Page 2: Brexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European  · PDF fileBrexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European Parliament May 2017

2

Methodology and Weighting

⁄ RED C interviewed a random sample of circa 1,000 adults aged 18+ online in each of the countries chosen for research between the 28th April and the 5th May.

⁄ Quotas were set in each country based on latest's population statistics, covering age, gender, and region to ensure the sample is representative of all adults.

⁄ Total sample figures shown have been weighted to take account of population numbers aged 18+ in each country, based on latest EU stat data.

Sample Size

France N=1002

Germany N=1000

Ireland N=1007

Italy N=1007

Netherlands N=994

Poland N=1003

Romania N=1006

Spain N=1000

Sweden N=1013

Page 3: Brexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European  · PDF fileBrexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European Parliament May 2017

3

78%Of EU Citizens asked

Want the Primary objective for Brexit negotiations to focus on protecting good

future of remaining EU27

Compared to

Just 22% who want the focus to be on building a new economic

relationship with UK, giving them special privileged conditions post

Brexit

Page 4: Brexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European  · PDF fileBrexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European Parliament May 2017

4

Primary objective for Brexit negotiations

78% 69% 80% 72% 78% 74% 76% 81% 89%71%

22% 31%20% 28% 22% 26% 24% 19% 11%

29%

Total France Germany Ireland Italy Netherlands Poland Romania Spain Sweden

Focus on protecting good future of

remaining EU27

Building a new economic relationship

with UK, giving them special priviliged

conditions post Brexit

(Base: All Adults 18+ in each country)

Page 5: Brexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European  · PDF fileBrexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European Parliament May 2017

5

Primary objective for Brexit negotiations

78%69%

80%72%

78% 74% 76%81%

89%

71%81%

74%82%

75% 74%83% 83% 83%

93%

74%

Total France Germany Ireland Italy Netherlands Poland Romania Spain Sweden

All adults EPP Voters

Focus on protecting good future of remaining EU27(Base: All Adults 18+ in each country)

Page 6: Brexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European  · PDF fileBrexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European Parliament May 2017

6

92%

Citizens Priorities for the Negotiations

To protect the future economies of the

remaining EU member states

To enhance the financial markets in the remaining EU27 states, in order to ensure financial

stability

91%

To ensure that the UK pays any outstanding

financial obligations to the EU

88%

89%

To focus on the longer term interest

of the remaining EU27 states, rather than any short term

economic gains

To ensure that there is no

introduction of second class EU

citizens

87%To protect the rights

of EU citizens who are living in the

UK86%

To ensure the future wellbeing of the UK

economy55%

Page 7: Brexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European  · PDF fileBrexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European Parliament May 2017

7

89%

The longer term interests of the EU 27 are extremely important

To focus on the longer term interest

of the remaining EU27 states, rather than any short term

economic gains

84%

89%

91%

89%

86%

92%

94%

91%

85%

France

Germany

Ireland

Italy

Netherlands

Poland

Romania

Spain

Sweden

All Adults

Page 8: Brexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European  · PDF fileBrexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European Parliament May 2017

4%

5%

6%

6%

7%

8%

26%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

3%

13%

32%

35%

41%

32%

31%

38%

40%

60%

56%

48%

56%

56%

48%

16%

8

Importance of Brexit Negotiation Goals

NETIMPORTANT

92%

91%

89%

88%

87%

86%

55%

Not At All Important

Not very important

SomewhatImportant

Extremely Important

(Base: All Adults 18+ across countries weighted by population)

To protect the future economies of the remaining EU member states

To enhance the financial markets in the remaining EU27 states, in order to ensure

financial stability

To focus on the longer term interest of the remaining EU27 states, rather than any short

term economic gains

To ensure that the UK pays any outstanding financial obligations to the EU

To ensure that there is no introduction of second class EU citizens

To protect the rights of EU citizens who are living in the UK

To ensure the future wellbeing of the UK economy

NETIMPORTANT

96%

96%

93%

93%

91%

87%

57%

All Adults EPP Voters

Page 9: Brexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European  · PDF fileBrexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European Parliament May 2017

9

Key Focus for EU Following Brexit – % NET IMPORTANT(Base: All Adults 18+ in each country)

89%

91%

94%

94%

90%

95%

95%

95%

85%

France

Germany

Ireland

Italy

Netherlands

Poland

Romania

Spain

Sweden

To protect the rights of EU citizens

who are living in the

UK

To protect the future economies of the remaining

EU member states

To focus on the longer term

interest of the remaining EU27

states, rather than any short term economic gains

To enhance the financial markets in the remaining EU27 states, in order to ensure financial

stability.

To ensure that there is no introduction of

second class EU citizens

To ensure that the UK pays any outstanding financial obligations

to the EU

87%

90%

92%

94%

88%

94%

94%

95%

86%

84%

89%

91%

89%

86%

92%

94%

91%

85%

75%

88%

89%

93%

69%

94%

90%

93%

77%

86%

88%

87%

91%

87%

89%

90%

92%

80%

83%

80%

93%

89%

83%

92%

92%

92%

78%

Page 10: Brexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European  · PDF fileBrexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European Parliament May 2017

10

Importance of Good Friday Agreement not being Undermined by Brexit Deal(Base: All Adults 18+ in Ireland)

70%

19%

5%2%3%

ExtremelyImportant

Somewhat Important

Not Very Important

Not at all Important D/K

53%

75%

79%

18-34

35-54

55+

% Extremely Important

Page 11: Brexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European  · PDF fileBrexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European Parliament May 2017

11

Key Focus for EU Following Brexit

Closer Defence Union

Economic Growth &

Job Creation

Counter Terrorism

Integration

Keeping Money Safe

Financial Stab.

Unfair Competition Protection

Research & Innovation

85%92%94% 93% 89%90%

(Base: All Adults 18+ across countries weighted by population)

Voters92%96%97% 97% 94%93%

Page 12: Brexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European  · PDF fileBrexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European Parliament May 2017

3%

3%

4%

6%

6%

9%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

26%

32%

26%

37%

37%

39%

69%

62%

66%

53%

52%

46%

12

Key Focus for EU Following Brexit

NETIMPORTANT

94%

93%

92%

90%

89%

85%

Not At All Important

Not very important

SomewhatImportant

Extremely Important

(Base: All Adults 18+ across countries weighted by population)

Economic Growth and Job Creation

Keeping Money Safe/Financial Stability

Increased counter terrorism integration

Research and Innovation Across Member States

Protection against unfair competition in a globalised world economy

Closer defence union among the member states

NETIMPORTANT

97%

97%

96%

93%

94%

92%

All Adults EPP Voters

Page 13: Brexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European  · PDF fileBrexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European Parliament May 2017

13

Key Focus for EU Following Brexit – % NET IMPORTANT

92%

92%

98%

97%

93%

96%

97%

96%

90%

France

Germany

Ireland

Italy

Netherlands

Poland

Romania

Spain

Sweden

(Base: All Adults 18+ in each country)Closer

Defence Union

Economic Growth & Job Creation

Counter Terrorism Integration

Keeping Money SafeFinancial Stab.

Unfair Competition Protection

Research & Innovation

91%

91%

97%

96%

92%

93%

97%

96%

91%

91%

91%

91%

94%

89%

95%

95%

93%

88%

89%

88%

92%

92%

86%

92%

93%

91%

78%

87%

86%

93%

93%

90%

93%

93%

95%

88%

89%

78%

79%

90%

81%

91%

95%

82%

72%

Page 14: Brexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European  · PDF fileBrexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European Parliament May 2017

14

Areas of concern for the Irish Population – % first 3 most Important

Most Worried

About

Least Worried

About

60%51% 54% 52%

41% 41%

Our futureprosperity/Economic

growth

Restrictions on theCommon Travel

Area/free movementof people between

Ireland and the UK/NI

Jobs/Employment Trade Possibility of a hardborder

Relationship withNorthern Ireland

(Base: All Adults 18+ in Ireland)

14

Page 15: Brexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European  · PDF fileBrexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European Parliament May 2017

15

97%

95%

97%

89%

90%

EPP

ALDE

S&D

GUE/NGL

Greens

65%

28%

4%3%1%

15

To protect Irish Interests, the EU should Work Closer Together

Agree StronglyAgree Slightly

Disagree slightly

Disagree strongly D/K

Agree Strongly/Slightly

(Base: All Adults 18+ in Ireland)

Page 16: Brexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European  · PDF fileBrexit Opinion Poll EPP Group in the European Parliament May 2017