2011 electoral reform referendum opinion poll report (1)

ELECTORAL REFORM REFERENDUM OPINION POLL 2011

APRIL 2011

Presented by: John Hurst, Director of RMG:Clarity, Trefor House, Ocean Park, Cardiff, CF24 5RE

Tel: 02920 435800

E-mail: [email protected]

Web: www.rmg-uk.co.uk

mailto:[email protected]

http://www.rmg-uk.co.uk/

INTRODUCTION

This opinion poll was designed to gauge the views of those living in Wales of the forthcoming referendum on electoral reform on 5th May 2011.

METHODOLOGY

The opinion poll consisted of 960 structured telephone interviews, conducted with Welsh voters between 4th April and 5th April 2011 and 44 surveys completed online within the same timeframe. This totals 1004 surveys.

The telephone interviews were conducted at RMG:Clarity’s in-house CATI (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing) Unit. Respondents were contacted during the day and in the evening.

For the telephone survey target numbers of interviews were set according to parliamentary constituency population. After interviewing, the online data was merged with the telephone data and the survey was weighted by parliamentary constituency, socio-economic group, gender, age group, household tenure and Welsh language skills in order to provide the most representative result possible.

Full weighted and unweighted tabulations are included in this report.

The following discussion uses the weighted results.

DISCUSSION

Table 1 shows that only 31.9% of respondents thought that the government had provided them with sufficient information to make an informed decision on electoral reform. 60% thought that they had not been provided with enough information. Table 1 Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform?

%

Yes 31.9%

No 60.0%

Don't know 8.1%

Base: All respondents (997)

Table 2 shows whether respondents intend to vote for first-past-the-post or alternative vote in the referendum. It also shows the voting intention split by whether the respondent thinks they have enough information to make a decision. This shows that overall, nearly a third of respondents (29.8%) do not know which electoral system they prefer, whilst 45.2% will vote for first-past-the-post and 25.0% for alternative vote. In this table, those with enough information appear to be significantly more likely to vote for first-past-the-post than those without enough information (54.1% against 42.1%). However, this is because of the high number of people without enough information who do not know which they will vote for. Table 2

In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?

All respondents

Those with enough information

Those without enough information

First-past-the-post 45.2% 54.1% 42.1%

Alternative vote 25.0% 31.7% 22.3%

Don't know 29.8% 14.2% 35.6%

Base: All respondents (997)/ those who have enough information to make a decision (318)/ those who do not have enough information to make a decision (598)

To counteract this, Table 3 shows the results with the ‘don’t know’ responses excluded. It is reasonable to assume that those who do not know which way they will vote will not vote in the referendum, and that this will provide a more accurate picture of voting intention.

Table 3

In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote? (Excluding Don’t know)

All respondents

Those with enough information

Those without enough information

First-past-the-post 64.4% 63.1% 65.4%

Alternative vote 35.6% 36.9% 34.6% Base: All respondents (700)/ those who have enough information to make a decision (273)/ those who do not have enough information to make a decision (385)

64.4% of respondents will vote for first-past-the-post, whilst 35.6% will vote for alternative vote. Removing the ‘don’t know’ responses, it is clear that whether the respondents think they have been provided with enough information to make a decision has remarkably little impact on voting intention. 36.9% of those with enough information said they will vote for alternative vote compared to 34.6% of those without enough information. Whilst this may be indicative, the difference is not statistically significant. Taken together, this shows that a large section of the population do not know how they will vote on 5th May. However, it also shows that those who are more likely to vote in the referendum (i.e. those with an opinion one way or the other) appear to have made their decision without the need for any information from government.

WEIGHTED TABULATIONS

Base: All respondents RefusedD/EC2C1A/B FemaleMale

GenderSEG

Base: All respondents

Yes

No

Don't know

9.5%6.6%16.6%9.8%10.2%6.7%4.9%8.1%

50315242023981

61.3%58.4%55.9%54.8%60.0%64.1%59.6%60.0%

32527316131119219111598

29.2%35.0%27.5%35.3%29.8%29.2%35.5%31.9%

1541648855910066318

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

52946729240199342186997

Q3b. Do you think that the government has provided you with enough information to make a decision on electoral reform?

(c…

Refused65 years or above55 - 64 years45 - 54 years35 - 44 years25 - 34 years18 - 24 years Other

Rented from Council or Housing

Association

Rented from private landlordOwner occupied

TenureAge


Yes

No

Don't know

26.9%9.3%5.0%7.3%10.2%8.9%5.7%9.9%6.2%9.1%10.5%

9103592361315753

49.9%56.9%67.4%60.4%59.3%57.1%60.8%61.6%58.4%68.2%79.3%

1762344851223313696643521

23.2%33.9%27.5%32.3%30.5%34.0%33.6%28.4%35.4%22.7%10.1%

837142596139754439123

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

3510950803204092241551105127


(c…

2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Weighted Tabulations

No skills in Welsh

Other combination of

skills

Speaks reads and writes

Welsh

Speaks and reads but does not write Welsh

Speaks but does not read or write Welsh

Understands spoken Welsh

only

Welsh Language Skills


Yes

No

Don't know

7.8%2.7%8.0%9.4%22.9%8.1%

52112267

59.9%65.8%60.3%66.0%44.0%61.0%

3992593141254

32.3%31.5%31.6%24.5%33.1%30.9%

21612495927

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

66738155212689


(c…

Don't know10 - Certain to vote987654321 - Not going to

vote

Likelihood to vote (1 is 'Not going to vote' and 10 is 'Certain to vote')


Yes

No

Don't know

18.1%6.6%5.3%7.0%7.4%5.1%15.7%.0%12.8%6.4%22.2%

34226221001112

67.9%58.0%60.8%60.0%75.8%70.0%61.9%100.0%48.7%79.8%50.8%

1037024522523381231128

14.0%35.4%33.9%33.0%16.8%24.9%22.4%.0%38.5%13.8%27.0%

22271329681403215

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

1463940873333621271355



Base: All respondents Cardiff NorthCardiff CentralCaerphillyBridgendBrecon and

RadnorshireBlaenau GwentArfonAlyn and DeesideAberconwyAberavon

Constituency

Base: All respondents 28272726232321261922997


(c…

GowerDwyfor MeirionnyddDelynCynon ValleyClwyd WestClwyd SouthCeredigion

Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire

Carmarthen East and Dinefwr

Cardiff WestCardiff South and Penarth

Constituency



(c…

RhonddaPreseli PembrokeshirePontypriddOgmoreNewport WestNewport EastNeathMontgomeryshi

reMonmouthMerthyr Tydfil and RhymneyLlanelliIslwyn

Constituency



(c…

Ynys MônWrexhamVale of GlamorganVale of ClwydTorfaenSwansea WestSwansea East

Constituency



(c…




Constituency


Yes

No

Don't know

10.0%10.5%6.3%6.8%12.0%3.9%.0%4.6%10.0%.0%8.1%

332231012081

53.7%51.0%64.7%56.6%49.8%67.0%60.0%46.1%67.8%61.4%60.0%

15141815121513121313598

36.3%38.5%29.0%36.6%38.1%29.1%40.0%49.3%22.2%38.6%31.9%

10108109791348318

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


(c…





Constituency


Yes

No

Don't know

3.6%4.8%19.7%.0%14.2%4.3%14.2%.0%6.9%4.2%8.5%

11504130213

54.5%72.4%47.0%68.2%63.5%73.8%48.9%86.4%69.3%62.9%58.9%

1316111516181223201720

41.9%22.8%33.3%31.8%22.3%21.9%36.9%13.6%23.8%32.9%32.6%

1058765947911

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


(c…




Constituency


Yes

No

Don't know

8.4%.0%3.5%4.2%3.2%4.2%12.8%4.4%7.3%12.9%17.0%7.8%

201111412352

61.1%64.5%58.7%68.5%74.2%73.5%65.7%48.0%77.9%69.5%41.1%48.7%

131615161917181019171111

30.5%35.5%37.9%27.3%22.6%22.3%21.5%47.6%14.8%17.6%41.9%43.5%

7910765610441110

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


(c…


Constituency


Yes

No

Don't know

23.7%17.8%7.1%18.8%10.8%8.4%7.1%

5425332

31.5%55.8%48.2%42.4%64.0%67.7%49.6%

6141310162313

44.8%26.4%44.7%38.8%25.2%23.9%43.3%

961296812

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%



GenderSEG

Base: All respondents 100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

52946729240199342186997

Q3c. In the referendum on electoral reform, will you vote for first-past-the-post, or alternative vote?

(c…




Association


TenureAge

Base: All respondents 100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

3510950803204092241551105127


(c…

No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only


Base: All respondents 100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

66738155212689


(c…


vote



1463940873333621271355


(c…



GenderSEG

First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

37.0%21.6%46.5%34.9%30.4%27.9%23.3%29.8%

1961011384609644297

20.4%30.2%9.8%22.5%22.4%27.4%28.9%25.0%

108141354459454249

42.7%48.2%43.7%42.5%47.3%44.7%47.8%45.2%

226225131029415389451


(c…



Association


TenureAge

First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

48.8%35.6%37.0%27.7%44.7%25.3%29.6%32.0%36.1%39.5%29.6%

1739182229104665040208

19.4%26.1%36.4%24.4%9.9%21.2%21.7%29.8%29.9%31.1%61.5%

728181962874946331616

31.8%38.3%26.6%47.9%45.4%53.5%48.7%38.1%34.0%29.4%8.9%

11421338592191095937152


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

28.8%36.2%32.5%42.3%27.9%27.0%

19214509724

23.5%31.8%34.1%11.9%13.7%23.4%

15712533421

47.6%32.0%33.4%45.8%58.4%49.6%

3181252101544


(c…


vote


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

39.0%24.9%32.3%27.5%28.0%39.0%48.3%37.9%47.6%13.4%60.4%

615913249133053233

34.5%24.5%24.4%26.1%32.9%33.3%22.8%39.4%.0%54.1%12.1%

515710231111145077

26.4%50.6%43.4%46.4%39.1%27.7%28.9%22.7%52.4%32.5%27.5%

432317411391834415




Constituency


28272726232321261922997


(c…






Constituency


2422242226252426282834


(c…



Constituency

Base: All respondents 100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

222526242522282025242723


(c…


Constituency

Base: All respondents 100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

20242724263427


(c…




Constituency

First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

29.2%39.1%25.4%28.8%49.9%27.0%19.7%22.5%48.8%17.7%29.8%

810781264694297

15.0%34.1%27.4%10.9%20.4%12.5%48.1%33.2%14.6%36.1%25.0%

49735310938249

55.8%26.9%47.1%60.3%29.7%60.5%32.2%44.3%36.6%46.2%45.2%

1671316714712710451


(c…





Constituency

First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

16.4%45.2%23.0%32.3%37.5%33.9%18.3%35.8%43.5%10.1%48.2%

410571084912316

26.3%14.3%21.2%17.2%11.0%38.2%32.5%31.1%37.4%31.8%18.7%

635439881196

57.3%40.5%55.9%50.5%51.5%27.8%49.2%33.1%19.1%58.0%33.0%

149131113712951611


(c…




Constituency

First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

24.4%22.3%32.9%30.0%15.4%16.7%44.8%27.1%26.7%25.7%21.7%41.6%

5687441257669

19.1%40.4%14.6%31.8%29.7%17.8%13.0%15.1%25.7%8.5%37.6%17.1%

41048744362104

56.4%37.3%52.4%38.2%54.9%65.5%42.1%57.8%47.6%65.8%40.7%41.3%

129139141512121216119


(c…


Constituency

First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

31.0%46.3%17.5%27.3%30.4%36.7%14.5%

611578124

15.7%20.8%30.4%26.9%22.1%30.4%40.7%

358661011

53.3%32.9%52.1%45.8%47.5%32.9%44.8%

1181411121112


Base: Those who have enough

information to make a decision

RefusedD/EC2C1A/B FemaleMale

GenderSEG

Base: Those who have enough information to make a decision

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

1541648855910066318


(c…


Refused65 years or above55 - 64 years45 - 54 years35 - 44 years25 - 34 years18 - 24 years

Age

Base: Those who have enough information to make a decision 100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

6139754439123


(c…

Other


Association


Tenure


100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

83714259


(c…

No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only



100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

21612495927


(c…


vote


Base: Those who have enough information to make a decision 100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

2227132968143215


(c…





GenderSEG

First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

19.1%9.5%12.7%21.4%20.0%11.3%4.4%14.2%

30161181211345

29.3%33.9%24.2%29.5%28.5%34.3%34.1%31.7%

4555225173423101

51.5%56.6%63.1%49.1%51.5%54.4%61.5%54.1%

8093542315441172


(c…


Age

First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

16.7%12.8%13.3%15.1%24.7%.0%.0%

1181071000

16.6%23.4%32.5%41.8%39.7%52.2%100.0%

13324181563

66.7%63.8%54.2%43.2%35.7%47.8%.0%

48941191460


(c…


Other


Association


Tenure

First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

12.5%18.0%9.7%14.0%

17136

37.7%33.9%56.5%29.8%

313877

49.8%48.1%33.8%56.2%

4185146


(c…

No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

13.4%47.4%9.6%18.1%10.8%14.7%

2965114

30.0%31.5%36.1%33.2%10.2%43.3%

654182112

56.6%21.1%54.4%48.7%79.1%42.0%

1223273712


(c…



vote


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

.0%13.4%8.1%14.2%.0%22.4%26.0%.0%51.1%22.2%

03014024013

.0%29.1%30.1%41.8%50.6%64.9%47.3%.0%48.9%20.7%

066412357013

100.0%57.6%61.8%44.0%49.4%12.7%26.7%100.0%.0%57.2%

2130813314309




Cardiff CentralCaerphillyBridgendBrecon and RadnorshireBlaenau GwentArfonAlyn and

DeesideAberconwyAberavon

Constituency


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

29.5%14.5%12.8%31.4%14.3%.0%16.8%19.1%.0%14.2%

31131021045

62.0%35.9%.0%21.2%15.1%75.7%47.9%22.0%43.8%31.7%

630216614101

8.6%49.6%87.2%47.4%70.6%24.3%35.3%58.9%56.2%54.1%

148452525172

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

108109791348318


(c…


DelynCynon ValleyClwyd WestClwyd SouthCeredigionCarmarthen

West and South Pembrokeshire


Cardiff WestCardiff South and PenarthCardiff North

Constituency


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

.0%28.1%.0%.0%10.4%25.0%47.9%.0%33.1%8.5%

0200113041

51.3%12.9%.0%66.0%22.1%52.2%12.9%19.9%32.0%9.0%

4104221241

48.7%59.0%100.0%34.0%67.5%22.8%39.3%80.1%34.9%82.4%

4462613748

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

876594791110


(c…

OgmoreNewport WestNewport EastNeathMontgomeryshireMonmouthMerthyr Tydfil

and RhymneyLlanelliIslwynGowerDwyfor Meirionnydd

Constituency


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

12.9%17.8%.0%17.8%29.6%27.2%.0%.0%29.8%.0%.0%

11013100300

58.5%50.9%44.3%.0%22.8%25.1%25.3%58.7%21.3%45.5%23.9%

43202117251

28.6%31.3%55.7%82.2%47.6%47.7%74.7%41.3%48.9%54.5%76.1%

22355235554

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

765610441110105


(c…


Ynys MônWrexhamVale of GlamorganVale of ClwydTorfaenSwansea WestSwansea EastRhonddaPreseli

PembrokeshirePontypridd

Constituency


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

25.4%26.3%8.5%9.1%.0%11.7%15.9%.0%.0%32.7%

2211012003

24.1%15.6%37.4%30.5%28.0%19.4%45.7%13.3%46.9%.0%

2143225140

50.5%58.1%54.1%60.5%72.0%68.8%38.5%86.7%53.1%67.3%

5466564657

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

9612968127910


Base: Those who do not have

enough information to

make a decision


GenderSEG

Base: Those who do not have enough information to make a decision

First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

43.0%26.8%47.2%41.4%34.6%33.3%32.6%35.6%

14073854417336213

16.9%28.7%5.7%20.6%21.0%24.1%24.6%22.3%

5578127255327133

40.1%44.4%47.1%38.0%44.3%42.6%42.8%42.1%

130121850539348252

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

32527316131119219111598


(c…



Age


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

49.6%30.4%37.5%38.2%43.1%44.6%24.0%

671513728165

8.2%21.0%16.4%24.1%22.2%28.1%64.8%

1492223141014

42.2%48.6%46.1%37.7%34.7%27.2%11.2%

5114633622102

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

1223313696643521


(c…

Other


Association


Tenure


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

48.5%40.7%46.9%33.7%

82516163

16.3%25.7%30.9%21.5%

31610104

35.2%33.6%22.2%44.8%

6217217

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

176234485


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only



First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

34.6%32.3%39.8%57.3%33.3%32.2%

1388378417

20.3%33.3%35.5%5.7%16.1%14.7%

81833128

45.1%34.4%24.8%37.0%50.6%53.2%

1809235629

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

3992593141254


(c…


vote



First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

48.7%30.1%43.5%35.1%30.9%47.7%59.9%37.9%71.5%.0%67.0%

511210188112352019

33.0%22.7%19.6%18.8%28.5%24.5%12.5%39.4%.0%59.3%9.3%

3845107655063

18.3%47.2%36.9%46.0%40.6%27.7%27.6%22.7%28.5%40.7%23.7%

2175924106113147

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

1037024522523381231128





make a decision



Constituency


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

48.0%32.8%37.3%59.0%34.1%32.9%30.8%65.7%28.9%35.6%

766754484213

12.2%21.4%12.6%24.8%12.1%29.6%20.8%7.0%31.3%22.3%

242324214133

39.8%45.8%50.1%16.2%53.8%37.5%48.4%27.2%39.9%42.1%

587285635252

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

141815121513121313598


(c…





Constituency


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

24.9%34.2%48.5%46.0%8.7%37.5%41.8%16.1%49.1%30.0%

35881883105

8.7%19.2%17.3%32.3%49.9%27.8%44.2%40.2%14.1%21.9%

1336669733

66.5%46.6%34.2%21.8%41.4%34.7%14.0%43.7%36.8%48.1%

7764583877

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

11151618122320172015


(c…




Constituency


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

38.7%15.3%17.0%51.7%18.0%24.5%23.6%43.7%58.8%30.1%62.4%

633925457410

17.0%24.6%10.8%15.0%8.8%28.3%5.8%16.6%8.0%13.2%12.2%

35231512122

44.3%60.1%72.2%33.3%73.2%47.3%70.5%39.7%33.2%56.6%25.4%

71112679124474

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

1619171810191711111316


(c…



Constituency


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

16.6%46.2%21.4%29.2%41.3%42.1%7.8%40.0%34.6%35.1%

16337101565

.0%29.9%20.7%27.2%18.2%33.5%42.2%24.7%36.8%19.0%

0433386363

83.4%23.9%57.9%43.6%40.4%24.4%50.0%35.3%28.5%45.9%

5384767557

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

6141310162313131615



UNWEIGHTED TABULATIONS


GenderSEG


Yes

No

Don't know

9.2%6.8%16.7%9.3%11.0%6.8%4.6%8.1%

49325202324981

61.7%57.4%56.7%54.2%59.3%63.7%59.2%59.7%

33026917117124225116599

29.2%35.8%26.7%36.6%29.7%29.5%36.2%32.3%

1561688796210471324

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

535469302162093531961004


(c…



Association


TenureAge


Yes

No

Don't know

25.0%9.3%6.1%7.4%10.0%8.9%5.8%9.7%5.9%9.7%10.0%

892622401415631

50.0%56.7%66.7%60.1%60.0%57.5%60.6%62.3%58.4%67.7%80.0%

165522506122571469659218

25.0%34.0%27.3%32.5%30.0%33.6%33.6%27.9%35.6%22.6%10.0%

8339274615081433671

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

329733842204472411541013110


(c…

2011 Electoral Reform Referendum Opinion Poll - Unweighted Tabulations

No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only



Yes

No

Don't know

8.0%2.5%6.8%10.0%22.2%8.1%

54110268

59.9%65.0%59.2%60.0%44.4%60.6%

4022687121260

32.0%32.5%34.0%30.0%33.3%31.3%

21513506931

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

67140147202799


(c…


vote



Yes

No

Don't know

20.0%6.7%5.0%6.9%6.1%6.1%16.1%.0%14.3%10.0%20.0%

34426221001110

66.7%57.8%60.0%59.8%75.8%72.7%61.3%100.0%42.9%70.0%54.0%

10380245225243893727

13.3%35.6%35.0%33.3%18.2%21.2%22.6%.0%42.9%20.0%26.0%

22341429671403213

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

156584087333362971050





Constituency



(c…





Constituency



(c…



Constituency



(c…


Constituency



(c…




Constituency


Yes

No

Don't know

3.6%11.1%7.4%7.1%13.6%4.3%.0%4.0%10.0%.0%8.1%

132231012081

57.1%51.9%63.0%57.1%50.0%65.2%61.1%48.0%65.0%63.6%59.7%

16141716111511121314599

39.3%37.0%29.6%35.7%36.4%30.4%38.9%48.0%25.0%36.4%32.3%

11108108771258324

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


(c…





Constituency


Yes

No

Don't know

3.8%5.0%16.7%.0%15.4%4.2%12.5%.0%7.1%3.7%8.6%

11404130213

53.8%70.0%50.0%68.2%61.5%70.8%50.0%84.6%67.9%63.0%57.1%

1414121516171222191720

42.3%25.0%33.3%31.8%23.1%25.0%37.5%15.4%25.0%33.3%34.3%

1158766947912

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


(c…




Constituency


Yes

No

Don't know

8.7%.0%3.7%4.0%3.8%4.3%14.8%4.5%7.4%12.5%17.9%8.7%

201111412352

60.9%62.5%59.3%68.0%73.1%73.9%66.7%50.0%77.8%70.8%42.9%47.8%

141516171917181121171211

30.4%37.5%37.0%28.0%23.1%21.7%18.5%45.5%14.8%16.7%39.3%43.5%

7910765510441110

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%


(c…


Constituency


Yes

No

Don't know

23.8%16.7%6.9%16.0%11.1%9.7%7.7%

5424332

33.3%54.2%48.3%44.0%63.0%64.5%46.2%

7131411172012

42.9%29.2%44.8%40.0%25.9%25.8%46.2%

9713107812

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%



GenderSEG

Base: All respondents 100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

535469302162093531961004


(c…




Association


TenureAge


329733842204472411541013110


(c…

No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only


Base: All respondents 100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

67140147202799


(c…


vote



156584087333362971050


(c…



GenderSEG

First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

36.6%20.7%46.7%33.3%29.7%28.6%22.4%29.2%

1969714726210144293

19.8%28.8%10.0%21.8%22.0%25.5%28.1%24.0%

106135347469055241

43.6%50.5%43.3%44.9%48.3%45.9%49.5%46.8%

233237139710116297470


(c…



Association


TenureAge

First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

50.0%35.1%39.4%27.3%45.0%25.3%29.5%31.8%35.6%38.7%30.0%

1634132309113714936123

15.6%25.8%30.3%23.9%10.0%21.3%21.6%29.9%29.7%32.3%60.0%

52510201295524630106

34.4%39.2%30.3%48.8%45.0%53.5%49.0%38.3%34.7%29.0%10.0%

1138104119239118593591


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

28.8%35.0%32.0%30.0%25.9%26.3%

19314476726

22.4%30.0%33.3%15.0%14.8%23.2%

15012493423

48.9%35.0%34.7%55.0%59.3%50.5%

3281451111650


(c…


vote


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

40.0%24.6%30.0%26.4%27.3%39.4%48.4%33.3%42.9%20.0%60.0%

616212239133033230

33.3%23.9%25.0%25.3%30.3%30.3%21.0%33.3%.0%40.0%14.0%

515710221010133047

26.7%51.5%45.0%48.3%42.4%30.3%30.6%33.3%57.1%40.0%26.0%

4339184214101934413




Constituency


282727282223182520221004


(c…






Constituency


2620242226242426282735


(c…



Constituency

Base: All respondents 100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

232427252623272227242823


(c…


Constituency

Base: All respondents 100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

21242925273126


(c…




Constituency

First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

25.0%37.0%25.9%28.6%50.0%26.1%22.2%24.0%45.0%18.2%29.2%

710781164694293

14.3%33.3%25.9%10.7%22.7%13.0%38.9%32.0%15.0%31.8%24.0%

4973537837241

60.7%29.6%48.1%60.7%27.3%60.9%38.9%44.0%40.0%50.0%46.8%

1781317614711811470


(c…





Constituency

First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

15.4%40.0%20.8%31.8%34.6%33.3%16.7%38.5%42.9%11.1%48.6%

48579841012317

26.9%15.0%20.8%18.2%11.5%41.7%33.3%26.9%35.7%29.6%20.0%

7354310871087

57.7%45.0%58.3%50.0%53.8%25.0%50.0%34.6%21.4%59.3%31.4%

159141114612961611


(c…




Constituency

First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

26.1%25.0%33.3%28.0%15.4%17.4%44.4%27.3%25.9%25.0%21.4%39.1%

6697441267669

17.4%33.3%14.8%32.0%30.8%17.4%14.8%13.6%25.9%8.3%35.7%17.4%

4848844372104

56.5%41.7%51.9%40.0%53.8%65.2%40.7%59.1%48.1%66.7%42.9%43.5%

131014101415111313161210


(c…


Constituency

First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

28.6%45.8%17.2%24.0%29.6%38.7%15.4%

611568124

14.3%20.8%31.0%28.0%22.2%25.8%34.6%

3597689

57.1%33.3%51.7%48.0%48.1%35.5%50.0%

1281512131113





GenderSEG


100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

1561688796210471324


(c…



Age

Base: Those who have enough information to make a decision 100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

615081433671


(c…

Other


Association


Tenure


100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

8339274


(c…

No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only



100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

21513506931


(c…


vote


Base: Those who have enough information to make a decision 100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

2234142967143213


(c…





GenderSEG

First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

19.2%9.5%12.5%21.5%21.0%11.5%4.2%14.2%

30161171312346

27.6%33.3%25.0%29.1%29.0%31.7%32.4%30.6%

435622318332399

53.2%57.1%62.5%49.4%50.0%56.7%63.4%55.2%

8396539315945179


(c…


Age

First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

16.7%12.7%13.6%14.0%25.0%.0%.0%

119116900

16.7%23.3%32.1%41.9%38.9%57.1%100.0%

13526181441

66.7%64.0%54.3%44.2%36.1%42.9%.0%

49644191330


(c…


Other


Association


Tenure

First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

12.5%18.2%11.1%13.9%

16138

37.5%33.3%55.6%29.2%

311580

50.0%48.5%33.3%56.9%

4163156


(c…

No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

13.5%46.2%10.0%16.7%11.1%12.9%

2965114

28.8%30.8%34.0%33.3%11.1%41.9%

624172113

57.7%23.1%56.0%50.0%77.8%45.2%

1243283714


(c…



vote


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

.0%13.2%7.1%13.8%.0%28.6%28.6%.0%50.0%23.1%

03114024013

.0%28.6%28.6%37.9%50.0%57.1%42.9%.0%50.0%23.1%

067411346013

100.0%58.1%64.3%48.3%50.0%14.3%28.6%100.0%.0%53.8%

2136914314307






Constituency


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

30.0%12.5%10.0%37.5%14.3%.0%16.7%20.0%.0%14.2%

31131021046

60.0%37.5%.0%25.0%14.3%71.4%50.0%20.0%37.5%30.6%

63021561399

10.0%50.0%90.0%37.5%71.4%28.6%33.3%60.0%62.5%55.2%

149352435179

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

108108771258324


(c…






Constituency


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

.0%28.6%.0%.0%11.1%25.0%42.9%.0%33.3%9.1%

0200113041

50.0%14.3%.0%66.7%22.2%50.0%14.3%22.2%33.3%9.1%

4104221241

50.0%57.1%100.0%33.3%66.7%25.0%42.9%77.8%33.3%81.8%

4462613749

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

876694791211


(c…



Constituency


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

14.3%16.7%.0%20.0%30.0%25.0%.0%.0%30.0%.0%.0%

11013100300

57.1%50.0%40.0%.0%20.0%25.0%25.0%54.5%20.0%45.5%20.0%

43202116251

28.6%33.3%60.0%80.0%50.0%50.0%75.0%45.5%50.0%54.5%80.0%

22345235564

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

765510441110115


(c…




Constituency


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

22.2%28.6%7.7%10.0%.0%12.5%16.7%.0%.0%30.0%

2211012003

22.2%14.3%38.5%30.0%28.6%12.5%41.7%14.3%44.4%.0%

2153215140

55.6%57.1%53.8%60.0%71.4%75.0%41.7%85.7%55.6%70.0%

5476565657

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

97131078127910




make a decision


GenderSEG


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

43.0%25.7%47.1%40.2%33.1%34.7%31.9%35.2%

14269847417837211

16.7%26.4%5.9%18.8%20.2%22.2%24.1%21.0%

5571122255028126

40.3%48.0%47.1%41.0%46.8%43.1%44.0%43.7%

133129848589751262

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

33026917117124225116599


(c…



Age


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

50.0%30.4%37.0%38.5%42.4%42.9%25.0%

67854372592

8.3%21.0%16.4%24.0%22.0%28.6%62.5%

15424231365

41.7%48.6%46.6%37.5%35.6%28.6%12.5%

512568362161

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

122571469659218


(c…

Other


Association


Tenure


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

56.3%40.0%50.0%33.4%

92211169

6.3%25.5%22.7%20.9%

1145106

37.5%34.5%27.3%45.7%

6196231

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

165522506


(c…


No skills in Welsh


skills


Welsh




only



First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

34.6%30.8%41.4%41.7%33.3%31.7%

1398365419

18.9%30.8%34.5%8.3%16.7%15.0%

76830129

46.5%38.5%24.1%50.0%50.0%53.3%

18710216632

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

4022687121260


(c…


vote



First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

50.0%29.7%41.7%34.6%32.0%45.8%60.5%33.3%66.7%.0%66.7%

511310188112332018

30.0%21.8%20.8%19.2%24.0%25.0%10.5%33.3%.0%42.9%11.1%

3835106643033

20.0%48.4%37.5%46.2%44.0%29.2%28.9%33.3%33.3%57.1%22.2%

2184924117113146

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

10380245225243893727





make a decision



Constituency


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

42.9%35.3%37.5%54.5%33.3%36.4%33.3%61.5%28.6%35.2%

666654484211

14.3%17.6%12.5%27.3%13.3%18.2%16.7%7.7%28.6%21.0%

232322214126

42.9%47.1%50.0%18.2%53.3%45.5%50.0%30.8%42.9%43.7%

688285646262

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

141716111511121314599


(c…





Constituency


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

25.0%33.3%43.8%47.1%8.3%40.9%42.1%17.6%50.0%31.3%

35781983105

8.3%20.0%18.8%35.3%50.0%22.7%42.1%35.3%15.0%18.8%

1336658633

66.7%46.7%37.5%17.6%41.7%36.4%15.8%47.1%35.0%50.0%

8763583878

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

12151617122219172016


(c…




Constituency


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

35.3%15.8%17.6%50.0%18.2%23.8%23.5%41.7%54.5%28.6%57.1%

63392545648

17.6%26.3%11.8%16.7%9.1%28.6%5.9%16.7%9.1%14.3%14.3%

35231612122

47.1%57.9%70.6%33.3%72.7%47.6%70.6%41.7%36.4%57.1%28.6%

811126810125484

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

1719171811211712111414


(c…



Constituency


First-past-the-post

Alternative vote

Don't know

14.3%46.2%21.4%27.3%41.2%45.0%8.3%42.9%40.0%37.5%

1633791666

.0%30.8%21.4%27.3%17.6%30.0%33.3%21.4%26.7%18.8%

0433364343

85.7%23.1%57.1%45.5%41.2%25.0%58.3%35.7%33.3%43.8%

6385757557

100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%

7131411172012141516



RMG BACKGROUND

RMG has been in business since 1968 and consists of 35 full time staff and over 60 casual staff. RMG is wholly owned by its Directors following a management buy-out in October 2009.

QUALITY

We pride ourselves on the quality of work that we deliver. To maintain the highest standards we are Market Research Society (MRS) Company Partners and members of the British Polling Council upholding their codes of practice. We are an Investors in People company and believe that our competitive advantage is founded upon the superior expertise of our staff.

Emphasising our commitment to quality, all our market research projects are delivered to the ISO20252 and Interviewer Quality Control Scheme (IQCS) standards.

OUR VISION AND MISSION STATEMENT

‘Our vision is to be a vibrant and profitable brand by securing the place of ‘first choice’ through the consistent delivery of exceptional services by extraordinary people who take pride in their work.’

OUR VALUES

Integral: We are part of our customers business

Commercial: Brain power comes before manpower

Quality: We take pride in everything we do

Friendly: We always make our clients happy

Secure: Our clients’ reputation is our reputation

Sustainable: We think about the future of our planet, as well as the future of our business.

2011 electoral reform referendum opinion poll report (1)

News & Politics

sufficient information

withenough information

electoral system

alternative vote25

forthcoming referendum

dont knowthose

dont know29

telephone data