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Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

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Page 1: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Personal Carbon Trading:An Overview

Richard Starkey

Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester

16 May 2008

Page 2: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

1. Define personal carbon trading (PCT)

2. Summarize place within policy debate

3. Outline PCT

4. Assess PCT

Outline

Page 3: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

1. Define personal carbon trading (PCT)

2. Summarize place within policy debate

3. Outline PCT

4. Assess PCT

Outline

Page 4: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Definition

Personal carbon trading (PCT) schemes are…

proposed greenhouse gas emissions trading schemes

under which

individuals are allocated some/all available emissions rights

Page 5: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

1. Define personal carbon trading (PCT)

2. Summarize place within policy debate

3. Outline PCT

4. Assess PCT

Outline

Page 6: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

PCT and policy #1

Research

• Royal Society of Arts £0.5m research programme

• Research at Environmental Change Institute + ippr

Government

• PCT has “a simplicity and beauty” - David Miliband

• Defra completed pre-feasibility study

Parliament

• Call for evidence by EFRACOM and Env Audit Ctte

Page 7: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

PCT and policy #2

Political parties

• Adopted as Green Party policy

• Awareness/discussion of PCT within 3 main parties

• Even discussed by British National Party!?!

Other

• Formation of carbon rationing action groups (CRAGs)

PCT now well known within the policy community

Page 8: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

1. Define personal carbon trading (PCT)

2. Summarize place within policy debate

3. Outline PCT

4. Assess PCT

Outline

Page 9: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

A particular form of PCT…

• …Domestic Tradable Quotas (DTQs)

• Proposed by David Fleming in 1996

• Since July 2003 assessed by Tyndall for

– feasibility– appropriateness

Page 10: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

What are DTQs?

• PCT scheme covering emissions from energy use

• Rights allocated to end purchasers of fuel and electricity

‒ individuals‒ firms‒ other organizations

Page 11: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

3 elements

1. Setting the carbon budget

2. Allocating carbon units

3. Surrendering carbon units

Page 12: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

3 elements

CAP

TRADE

+

1. Setting the carbon budget

2. Allocating carbon units

3. Surrendering carbon units

Page 13: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

3 elements

1. Setting the carbon budget

2. Allocating carbon units

3. Surrendering carbon units

Page 14: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Carbon budgetannual emissions from energy use

175

MtC

2010 2050Year

Reduction of >60%

Budgets set several years ahead

Long-term signal to society

Page 15: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

3 elements

1. Setting the carbon budget

2. Allocating carbon units

3. Surrendering carbon units

Page 16: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

3 elements

1. Setting the carbon budget

2. Allocating carbon units #1

3. Surrendering carbon units

Page 17: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Carbon units

• Carbon units are emissions rights

• 1 carbon unit = right to emit 1kg CO2 (equivalent)

Page 18: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

How are carbon units allocated?

Carbon units equal to carbon budget divided between

ADULT INDIVIDUALS

and

ORGANIZATIONS

Page 19: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Individuals

% carbon units to individuals

equal to

% energy emissions from their fuel + electricity use

Page 20: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

60%40%Individuals Organizations

Energy emissions

Page 21: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

40%Individualsemissions

Page 22: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

40%units

Individuals

Page 23: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Free

Equal per capita

and on an

basis

Page 24: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Carbon account

• Units deposited in an electronic carbon account

• Carbon account similar to bank account

Page 25: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Individual carbon unit allocation

5

tCO

2

2010 2050Year

Reduction of >60%

Page 26: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

40%units

Individuals

Page 27: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

40%units

IndividualsAuctioned by government

on the…60%

units

Page 28: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

…National carbon market

All organizations must purchase units on market

…more on the carbon market later

Page 29: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

3 elements

1. Setting the carbon budget

2. Allocating carbon units #1

3. Surrendering carbon units

Page 30: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

3 elements

1. Setting the carbon budget

2. Allocating carbon units

3. Surrendering carbon units

Page 31: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Surrendering

• Units surrendered whenever fuel/electricity purchased

• N.B. No surrender when purchasing e.g. train ticket

• Quantity surrendered covers carbon content of purchase

Page 32: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Surrender must be easy and convenient

When paying

– gas and electricity bills

surrender by direct debit from carbon account

– for petrol/dieselsurrender by…

Page 33: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

…carbon card

Carbon CardCarbon Card

Bjorn LombergBjorn Lomberg

Page 34: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Government Primary Suppliers/ Importers

OrganizationsIndividuals

Energy Retailers

En

erg

y S

up

ply

Ch

ain

Units surrenderedUnits surrendered

Units Surrendered

Page 35: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

3 elements

1. Setting the carbon budget

2. Allocating carbon units

3. Surrendering carbon units

Page 36: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

3 elements

1. Setting the carbon budget

2. Allocating carbon units #2

3. Surrendering carbon units

…More on the national carbon market

Page 37: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

National carbon market

SellersGovernment (60% at auction)

Below-allocation individuals

Buyers

Page 38: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Below-allocation individuals

• Emit at level below that permitted by their allocation

• Have surplus units

• Surplus can be saved...

Page 39: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Individual carbon unit allocation

5

tCO

2

2010 2050Year

Reduction of >60%

Page 40: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Below-allocation individuals

• Emit at level below that permitted by their allocation

• Have surplus units

• Surplus can be saved...

• …gifted, retired or sold

Page 41: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

National carbon market

SellersGovernment (60% at auction)

Below-allocation individuals

BuyersOrganizations

Above-allocation individuals

Page 42: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Below-allocation individuals

emit at level below that permitted by their allocation

Above-allocation individuals

emit at level above that permitted by their allocation

Page 43: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

National carbon market

SellersGovernment (60% at auction)

Below-allocation individuals

Trading made easy – online, by phone or over-the-counter

Market makersE.g. banks, post office

Profit on “bid and offer” spread

BuyersOrganizations

Above-allocation individuals

Buy Sell

Buy at auction

Page 44: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Government Primary Suppliers/ Importers

OrganizationsIndividuals

Energy Retailers

En

erg

y S

up

ply

Ch

ain

Units surrendered

Units Surrendered

Page 45: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Free/equal per capita

Carbon Budget 40% 60%

Primary Suppliers/ Importers

OrganizationsIndividuals

Below allocation

Above allocation

Energy Retailers

Auction

En

erg

y S

up

ply

Ch

ain

Units surrendered

Auction

Market Makers

Units Surrendered

Page 46: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

QuestionWhat if customer has no units at point of sale?(e.g. forgotten carbon card, overseas visitor, run out of units)

AnswerThey buy units at the point of sale

(1) Retailer buys units required by customer on market (2) Cost added to customer’s bill

Page 47: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

AuctionFree/equal per capita

Carbon Budget 40% 60%

OrganizationsIndividuals

Below allocation

Above allocation

Energy Retailers

Auction

Primary Suppliers/ Importers

En

erg

y S

up

ply

Ch

ain

Units surrendered

Market Makers

Units Surrendered

Page 48: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

AuctionFree/equal per capita

Carbon Budget 40% 60%

OrganizationsIndividuals

Below allocation

Above allocation

Energy Retailers

Auction

Market Makers

Page 49: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Auction

Units purchased

at point of sale

Free/equal per capita

Carbon Budget 40% 60%

OrganizationsIndividuals

Below allocation

Above allocation

Energy Retailers

Auction

Market Makers

£ £

Page 50: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

AuctionFree/equal per capita

Carbon Budget 40% 60%

OrganizationsIndividuals

Below allocation

Above allocation

Energy Retailers

Auction

Primary Suppliers/ Importers

En

erg

y S

up

ply

Ch

ain

Units surrendered

Market Makers

£ £

Units purchased

at point of sale

Page 51: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

For those who don’t understand…

…or who don’t want to transact in carbon units

1. Sell ALL units immediately they enter carbon account

2. Buy ALL units required at point of sale

Page 52: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

AuctionFree/equal per capita

Carbon Budget 40% 60%

OrganizationsIndividuals

Below allocation

Above allocation

Energy Retailers

Auction

Primary Suppliers/ Importers

En

erg

y S

up

ply

Ch

ain

Units surrendered

Market Makers

£ £

Units purchased

at point of sale

Page 53: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

For those who don’t understand…

…or who don’t want to transact in carbon units

1. Sell ALL units immediately they enter carbon account

2. Buy ALL units required at point of sale

3. Deal only in money…like a carbon tax

Page 54: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

1. Define personal carbon trading (PCT)

2. Summarize place within policy debate

3. Outline PCT

4. Assess PCT

Outline

Page 55: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

DTQs

Page 56: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Why do some people love DTQs?

Page 57: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Two reasons

• A fair allocation

• A tangible stake

− Adults made stakeholders in the atmosphere

− Carbon units are ones actual stake

Page 58: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Should we all (learn to) love DTQs?

Page 59: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Tyndall assessment of PCT

• Feasibility

• Appropriateness

Page 60: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Tyndall assessment of PCT

• Feasibility

• Appropriateness

Page 61: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Technical elements

• Enrol 50m people into the scheme

• Verify identity

• Open account and issue card

• Replace lost and stolen cards

• Provide and operate trading channels

• Issue statements

• Close accounts (on death or emigration)

Page 62: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Defra pre-feasibility report

“We have not identified an insurmountable technical obstacle for the implementation of this

type of Personal Carbon Trading scheme from this initial analysis. It appears that the majority of

functions could be fulfilled by modifying and / or adding capacity to existing systems.”

Accenture (2008)

Page 63: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Tyndall assessment of PCT

• Feasibility

• Appropriateness

Page 64: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Appropriateness

• Fairness

• Efficiency

Page 65: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Appropriateness

• Fairness

• Efficiency

Page 66: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Seven Seas

Page 67: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Seven Seas Cs

Page 68: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Seven Cs

Individuals who

• Live in the countryside

• Live in a cold region of a country

• Live in a chilly house

• Have children

• Feel the cold

• Are single rather than in a couple

• Are crook (and require e.g. home dialysis)

Page 69: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Under equality of welfare

• All require more energy to achieve same welfare

• More energy = more emissions

∴ They should get more emissions rights

∴ A fair allocation is an unequal allocation

Page 70: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Appropriateness

• Fairness

• Efficiency

Page 71: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Appropriateness

• Fairness

• Efficiency

Page 72: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Objection

Can implement equal per capita more cheaply

– Upstream trading

– Carbon tax with lump-sum recycling

Page 73: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

AuctionFree/equal per capita

Carbon Budget 40% 60%

Primary Suppliers/ Importers

OrganizationsIndividuals

Below allocation

Above allocation

Energy Retailers

Auction

En

erg

y S

up

ply

Ch

ain

Units surrendered

Auction

Market Makers

Units Surrendered

DTQs

Units paid for

at point of sale

Page 74: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Costs

Set up costs

Annual running costs

£0.7-2 billion

£1-2 billion

Page 75: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

AuctionFree/equal per capita

Carbon Budget 40% 60%

Primary Suppliers/ Importers

OrganizationsIndividuals

Below allocation

Above allocation

Energy Retailers

Auction

En

erg

y S

up

ply

Ch

ain

Units surrendered

Auction

Market Makers

Units Surrendered

DTQs

Units paid for

at point of sale

Page 76: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Carbon Budget 40% 60%

Primary Suppliers/ Importers

Individuals

Page 77: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Carbon Budget 40% 60%

Primary Suppliers/ Importers

Individuals

Upstream auction

Page 78: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Carbon Budget 100%

Primary Suppliers/ Importers

Individuals

Auction

Equal per capita

£

£

Upstream auction

Page 79: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Carbon Budget 100%

Primary Suppliers/ Importers

Individuals

Auction

Equal per capita

£

£

Sky Trust

Page 80: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Equivalent but CHEAPER!

Not

emissions rights

being allocated on

equal per capita basis

but

REVENUE FROM SALE OF EMISSION RIGHTS

Page 81: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Costs

Set up costs

Annual running costs

£50-100 million

£50 million

Page 82: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

£Carbon Budget 100%

Primary Suppliers/ Importers

Individuals

Auction

Equal per capita

£

Sky Trust

Page 83: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

£Carbon Budget 100%

Primary Suppliers/ Importers

Individuals

Auction

Equal per capita

£

Carbon tax

Page 84: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

£

Primary Suppliers/ Importers

Individuals

GovernmentTax

Equal per capita

£

Carbon tax

Page 85: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Cap and Share

Individuals being allocated rights is important

Page 86: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

AuctionFree/equal per capita

Carbon Budget 40% 60%

Primary Suppliers/ Importers

OrganizationsIndividuals

Below allocation

Above allocation

Energy Retailers

Auction

En

erg

y S

up

ply

Ch

ain

Units surrendered

Auction

Market Makers

Units Surrendered

DTQs

Units paid for

at point of sale

Page 87: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Carbon Budget 40% 60%

Primary Suppliers/ Importers

IndividualsMarket Makers

Cap and Share

Page 88: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Free/equal per capita

Carbon Budget 100%

Primary Suppliers/ Importers

Individuals

£

Sell Market Makers

Cap and Share

Page 89: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Increasing costs

Increasing benefits

C&S

Sky Trust

DTQs

Page 90: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Suggested additional benefits

• Makes individuals stakeholders

• Engenders sense of common purpose

• Gives sense of responsibility

• Increases carbon visibility

• Increases carbon consciousness

• Increases carbon literacy

• Gives sense of agency

• Empowers individuals

Page 91: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Not just feel-good factor…

Increased carbon consciousness

leads to

greater search for and picking of “low hanging fruit”

leads to

cheaper reduction of emissions

Page 92: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

D

S

QFF/E

P

FF Price

Quantity

Page 93: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

D

Budget

Permit price

S

QFF/E

P

Quantity

FF Price

Page 94: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

D

Budget

Permit price

S

P

QFF/E

FF Price

Page 95: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

DD*

Budget

S

P

Permit price

QFF/E

FF Price

Page 96: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

DD*

Budget

S

P

QFF/E

Permit price

FF Price

Page 97: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

DD*

Budget

S

P

QFF/E

D**

Permit price

FF Price

Page 98: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

DD*

Budget

S

P

QFF/E

D**

Permit price

FF Price

Page 99: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Defra’s findings

Insufficient additional benefits to justify additional costs

• Much low-hanging fruit “picked” by existing/planned instruments

– Efficiency standards for appliances

– Banning of incandescent bulbs

– Building regs

– Emissions standards for vehicles

• Visibility of residential carbon increased by smart meters

Page 100: Personal Carbon Trading: An Overview Richard Starkey Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research The University of Manchester 16 May 2008

Conclusions

• Important to consider fair allocation of emissions rights

• EPCA not straightforwardly fair

• To argue against Defra’s position proponent of DTQs

– Benefits greater than suggests

– Costs less than suggested

– Two birds with one stone – climate change and peak oil