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•Daily Operations Briefing Tuesday, October 8, 2013

8:30 a.m. EDT

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Significant Activity: Oct 7 – 8 Significant Events: None Tropical Activity: • Atlantic – Area 1 (Medium 40%); Area 2 (Low 10%) • Eastern Pacific – Tropical Storm Narda • Central Pacific – No tropical cyclones expected through Wednesday night • Western Pacific – No tropical activity threatening U.S. territories Significant Weather: • Rain & thunderstorms – Southeast to Mid-Atlantic • Moderate rain & snow – Pacific Northwest to Northern Rockies • Critical Fire Weather Areas: Southern/Central Plains • Red Flag Warnings: NM, CO, TX, OK, KS, & NE • Space Weather: No space weather storms observed or predicted Earthquake Activity: No significant activity Declaration Activity: None

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Updates at 2:00 am/pm and 8:00 am/pm EDT

Atlantic – Tropical Outlook

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Atlantic – Area 1 (Invest 98L) As of 8:00 a.m. EDT • Broad area of low pressure 400 miles SSW of Cape

Verde Islands • Moving WNW at 5 mph • Producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms • Environmental conditions conducive for gradual

development • Probability of tropical cyclone development:

• Next 48 hours: Medium (40%) • Next 5 days: Medium (50%)

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Atlantic – Area 2 As of 8:00 a.m. EDT • Disorganized cloudiness and showers associated with an

area of low pressure • Located several hundred miles SSE of Bermuda • Moving N at 10 mph • Environmental conditions expected to be unfavorable for

significant development during the next several days • Probability of tropical cyclone development:

• Next 48 hours: Low (10%) • Next 5 days: Low (10%)

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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant.

Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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Eastern – Tropical Storm Narda As of 5:00 a.m. EDT (Advisory #7) • Located 1,140 miles WSW of southern tip of Baja California • Moving WNW at 13 mph; expected drift west by late Wed • Decrease in forward speed forecast to begin later today • Maximum sustained winds 60 mph • Little change in intensity expected today and tonight but

weakening expected to begin on Wed • Tropical storm-force winds extend 70 miles

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http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc/ This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant.

Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf

National Weather Forecast

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Active Watches/Warnings

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-3.shtml

Precipitation Forecast – 3 Day

Day 1

Day 2

Day 3

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-3.shtml

River Rise Potential – Missouri Basin

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http://water.weather.gov/ahps/forecasts.php?current_color=flood&current_type=all&fcst_type=fcst&conus_map=d_map

River Forecast – 7 Day

Hydrograph Page for bdyn1

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Convective Outlooks Days 1 – 3 Day 1 Day 2

Day 3

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Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 – 8 Day 1 Day 2

Day 3-8

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http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php

Hazard Outlook: Oct 10 – 14

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NOAA Scales Activity (Range: 1/minor to 5/extreme)

Past 24 Hours Current Next

24 Hours

Space Weather Activity: None None None

• Geomagnetic Storms None None None

• Solar Radiation Storms None None None

• Radio Blackouts None None None

Space Weather

Sunspot Activity

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html http://spaceweather.com/

HF Communication Impact

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Declaration Requests in Process Requests APPROVED

(since last report)

Requests DENIED (since last report)

1 Date Requested

KS – DR Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding September 25, 2013

Disaster Requests & Declarations

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Open Field Offices as of October 8, 2013

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Deployed Detailed Available Not Available Total

30 1 8 1 40

OFDC Cadre Member Status

Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4

9* 1 4 2 2

As of: 10/4/2013

* All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event

Deployed Available Pending Hire On Board Positions

8 1 1 9 10

Federal Coordinating Officer

Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator

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MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status

Fully Mission Capable 52 Partially Mission Capable 0 Non-Mission Capable 3 Total Not Deployed 34

MCOV FLEET STATUS MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS

Location Units Assigned

Available FMC

Deployed Committed PMC Unavailable DR-State OPCON En

Route Unit Prep Open Request Notes:

MERS Maynard 3 3 0 0 0 DR-4145-CO 21 0 0

MERS Frederick 8 6 2 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Thomasville 14 11 3 0 0 0 0 0

DC Ft Worth 20 6 14 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Denver 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Bothell 4 2 0 0 2 0 0 0

Sacramento 4 3 0 0 1 0 0 0

TOTAL 55 31 21 0 3 TOTAL 21 0 0 0 Included in above totals, units

in route for turn-in. 0 0

Data as of: 10/07/13 @ 1500

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Active IA Disasters - Referral Status & Awards

Data as of: 10/07/13 @ 1500 # Max Grants = Applicants awarded maximum IHP ($32,400 for Major Disasters declared FY 2014)

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IA Registration Statistics

IA Registrations and IHP Amounts as of October 7, 2013 @ 1500

DR/EM # - State Registrations Approved Applicants Total HA Approved Total ONA

Approved Total IHP Approved

4145 - CO 23,168 13,146 $36,119,594 $2,341,842 $38,461,436 Totals 23,168 13,146 $36,119,594 $2,341,842 $38,461,436

24 hour change +178 +76 +$134,304 +$18,234 +$152,537

NPSC Call Data for October 6, 2013 Total Calls Answered (Help Line + Registration Intake) 516

Average time to answer call 12 seconds Maximum / Minimum time to answer a call 1 minute 24 seconds / 8 seconds

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Housing Inspection Statistics

Inspection Data as of October 7, 2013 @ 1500

DR #-State Inspectors Inspections Assigned

Inspections Completed Inspection % Complete Turnaround Time

(Days) 4145 - CO 30 19,963 19,513 97.75% 2.4

TOTAL 30 19,963 19,513 97.75% 2.4 24 hour change -2 +214 +161 -0.24% +0.0

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State DSA Staff

Deployed

IA Web or Phone

Registrations

Contacts With

Survivors

Case Status

Updates

Whole Community

Referrals

CO DR-4145

274 (+12)

2,480 (+363)

20,128 (+8,962)

1,631 (+117)

2,443 (+274)

Total 274 (+12)

2,480 (+363)

20,128 (+8,962)

1,631 (+117)

2,443 (+274)

Disaster Survivor Assistance (DSA) Activity

Data as of: 10/06/13 @ 1500

Disaster Survivor Assistance Crew Locations

Legend

Active DSA Missions (IA Registration Period Closed) Active DSA Missions (IA Registration Period Open)

CO 4145

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Workforce Type Total Available To

Deploy Deployed

Committed To Other Activities or Exempt from

Deployment

Operational Readiness

Reservist 6,324 3,535 (56%) 2,192 (35%) 597 (9%) Partially Mission Capable

Cadre of On-Call Response Employees (CORE)

2,665 986 (37%) 1,676 (63%) 3 (0%) Partially Mission Capable

Permanent Full Time (PFT) 5,052 976 (19%) 433 (9%) *3,643 (72%) Non-Mission Capable

FEMA Corps 853 218 (26%) 631 (74%) 4 (0%) Non-Mission Capable

**DHS Surge Capacity Force ------ ------- ----- -------- Awaiting DHS/FEMA Activation

Workforce Totals 14,894 5,715 (38%) 4,932 (33%) 4,247 (29%)

= 60%-100% Available | Mission Capable = 30% - 59% Available| Partially Mission Capable

= 29% - 0% Available |Non-Mission Capable = Awaiting DHS|FEMA Activation

*This number reflects total PFTs that are currently furloughed due to a lapse in appropriations.

**Surge Figures are not presented due to lack of information from OFAs

Employees may be committed to other activities or exempt from deployment based on: leave status, training, travel related issues, or personnel status as ERG or mission critical home station employee or furlough.

FEMA Workforce Status Report

Data as of 10/7/13 7:30a

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IMAT Status National Teams

Team Status Team Status Team Status

Blue/White East West CO

Regional Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status

Region I Region V Region VIII

Region II Region VI-1 Region IX-1

Region III Region VI-2 Region IX-2

Region IV-1 Region VII KS Region X

Region IV-2

= Assigned/Deployed = Not Mission Capable

= Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) – Monthly On Call Rotation

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

WEST CENTRAL EAST

Team Status Team Status Team Status

CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available

CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Available FL-TF2 Available

CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available

CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Available MD-TF1 Available

CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Available NY-TF1 Available

CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Conditional PA-TF1 Available

CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Conditional VA-TF1 Available

CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Available VA-TF2 Available

WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available

UT-TF1 Available

= Assigned/Deployed = Out-of-Service

= Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Region RRCC Regional Watch Center I Not Activated Maynard MOC (24/7)

II Not Activated 24/7

III Not Activated 24/7

IV Not Activated 24/7

V Not Activated 24/7

VI Not Activated Denton MOC (24/7)

VII Not Activated 24/7

VIII Not Activated Denver MOC (24/7)

IX Not Activated 24/7

X Not Activated Bothell MOC (24/7)

RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status

= Not Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable = Available/Mission Capable

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National Team Status

Team/Status Current Location Remarks

National Watch Center Washington, DC Enhanced Watch

NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated

HLT Miami, FL Activated

DEST Washington, DC Not Activated

Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable

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