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•Daily Operations Briefing Thursday, October 31, 2013

8:30 a.m. EDT

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Significant Activity: Oct 30 - 31 Significant Events: Severe weather – TX

Tropical Activity:

• Atlantic – Tropical cyclone activity not expected next 48 hours

• Eastern Pacific – Area 1 – Medium chance (50%)

• Central Pacific – No tropical cyclones expected through Friday evening

• Western Pacific – No activity threatening U.S. territories

Significant Weather:

• Slight risk of severe thunderstorms – from the western Gulf Coast northeast into the Great Lakes

• Widespread, heavy rain – northeast TX across most of Lower & Middle Mississippi valleys

• Critical Fire Weather Areas/Red Flag Warnings: None

• Space Weather: Minor/G1 geomagnetic storms predicted next 24 hours

Earthquake Activity: M 6.6 – Taiwan

Declaration Activity: None

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Severe Weather – Texas October 30-31

• Severe thunderstorms, heavy rains & flash flooding over portions of central TX

• 5-12 inches reported in Austin/San Antonio areas; more rain expected

• Flash Flood Watches/Warnings in effect

Impacts

• Flooding in low-lying areas of Williamson & Travis Counties

• At least 80 homes evacuated from flooded areas (Media sources)

• 15,825 customers without power statewide (DOE; 6:45 a.am. EDT)

• Several swift water rescues overnight; no active rescues (Media sources)

• No shelters reported open; no injuries or fatalities reported

State/Local Response:

• TX SEOC remains partially activated to Level III (for previous events)

FEMA Response:

• FEMA Region VI remains at Watch/Steady State

• No unmet needs; no requests for FEMA assistance

= affected counties

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Updates at 2:00 am/pm and 8:00 am/pm EDT

Atlantic – Tropical Outlook

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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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Eastern Pacific – Area 1 As of 5:00 a.m. EDT

• Shower activity associated with a broad low pressure area,

centered about 350 miles SW of Manzanillo, Mexico

• Moving NNW at 5 mph

• Expected to become more conducive for development during

the next couple days

• Chance of becoming a tropical cyclone:

• Next 48 hours: Medium (50%)

• Next 5 days: High (70%)

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http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc/

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf

National Weather Forecast

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Active Watches/Warnings

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-3.shtml

Precipitation Forecast – 3 Day

Day 1

Day 2

Day 3

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-3.shtml

Excessive Rainfall Potential Outlook

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http://water.weather.gov/ahps/forecasts.php?current_color=flood&current_type=all&fcst_t

ype=fcst&conus_map=d_map

River Forecast – 7 Day

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Convective Outlooks Days 1 – 3

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3

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Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 – 8

Day 3-8

Day 1 Day 2

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http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php

Hazard Outlook: Nov 2 - 6

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NOAA Scales Activity (Range: 1/minor to 5/extreme)

Past

24 Hours Current

Next

24 Hours

Space Weather Activity: None None Minor

• Geomagnetic Storms None None G1

• Solar Radiation Storms None None None

• Radio Blackouts None None None

Space Weather

Sunspot Activity

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html http://spaceweather.com/

HF Communication Impact

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Declaration Requests in Process Requests

APPROVED (since last report)

Requests DENIED

(since last report)

3 Date Requested 0 0

CA – DR Rim Fire October 8, 2013

AZ– DR Flooding October 10, 2013

ND – DR Severe Winter Storm October 22, 2013

Disaster Requests & Declarations

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Magnitude 6.6 – Hualian, Taiwan

• Occurred 8:02 a.m. EDT, October 31, 2013

• 27 miles SSW of Hualian, Taiwan (est. pop. 350k)

• Depth of 6 miles

• USGS issued a Yellow PAGER alert indicating:

• Some damage and casualties were possible

• 79k residents exposed to strong to severe shaking

(MMI: VI-VIII)

• No tsunami generated

• No threat to U.S. territories

• No requests for FEMA assistance

Significant Earthquake – Taiwan

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Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments

Region State /

Location Event IA/PA

Number of Counties Start – End

Requested Complete

VII NE Severe Storms

October 2-6, 2013 PA 9 0 10/29-10/31

VIII SD Blizzard & Flooding

October 2013 PA

8 counties

7 RECs*

2 tribes

2 counties

3 RECs

1 tribe

10/28-11/1

*REC = Rural Electric Cooperative

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Open Field Offices as of October 31, 2013

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Total Deployed Detailed Not

Available Available Cadre Status

39 30 1 2 6

OFDC Cadre Member Status

Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4

7* 1 4 1 1

As of: 10/25/2013

* All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event

Total Deployed Assigned Available Status

9 8 5 1

Federal Coordinating Officer

Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator

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MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status

Fully Mission Capable 54 Partially Mission Capable 0 Non-Mission Capable 1 Total Not Deployed 45

MCOV FLEET STATUS MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS

Location Units

Assigned Available

FMC Deployed

Committed PMC Unavailable DR-State OPCON

En

Route Unit Prep

Open

Request Notes:

MERS Maynard 3 3 0 0 DR-4145-CO 10 0 0

MERS Frederick 8 7 1 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Thomasville 14 13 1 0 0 0 0 0

DC Ft Worth 20 12 7 0 1 0 0 0

MERS Denver 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Bothell 4 4 0 0 0 0 0

Sacramento 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0

TOTAL 55 44 10 0 1 TOTAL 10 0 0 0

Included in above totals, units in route for turn-in. 0 0

Data as of: 10/30/13 @ 1500

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Active IA Disasters - Referral Status & Awards

Data as of: 10/30/13 @ 1500 # Max Grants = Applicants awarded maximum IHP ($32,400 for Major Disasters declared FY 2014)

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IA Registration Statistics

IA Registrations and IHP Amounts as of October 30, 2013 @ 1500

DR/EM # - State Registrations Approved

Applicants Total HA Approved

Total ONA

Approved Total IHP Approved

4145 - CO 26,213 15,363 $45,518,344 $3,688,398 $49,206,742

Totals 26,213 15,363 $45,518,344 $3,688,398 $49,206,742

24 hour change +87 +61 +$395,946 +$41,151 +$437,097

NPSC Call Data for October 29, 2013

Total Calls Answered (Help Line + Registration Intake) 2,002

Average time to answer call 13 seconds

Maximum / Minimum time to answer a call 34 seconds / 8 seconds

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Housing Inspection Statistics

Inspection Data as of October 30, 2013 @ 1500

DR #-State Inspectors Inspections

Assigned

Inspections

Completed Inspection % Complete

Turnaround Time

(Days)

4145 - CO 22 23,479 23,223 98.91% 2.3

TOTAL 22 23,479 23,223 98.91% 2.3

24 hour change 0 +109 +103 -0.02% -0.0

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HIGHLIGHTS:.

AK – Recovery Phase II set to begin on Nov 1.

CO – 5 RSFs are active in Colorado (Housing,

IS, NCR, Economics, CPCB). HSS will not be

activated at present.

LA – Plaquemines Parish tour for

Congresswoman Maxine Waters, Plaquemines

East Bank on Nov 8.

OK – NDRS set to publish web based resource

guide on Nov 6.

DISASTER STATE FDRC

Sandy CT James McPherson

Sandy NJ Peter Martinasco

Sandy

NY Ken Curtin

Isaac LA Wayne Rickard

Tornado OK Wayne Rickard

Flood CO Dan Alexander

Flood AK Joan Rave

Flood IL Earl Zuelke

NDRF Operations

Legend

Active NDRF Operations

NDRF Assessments

No NDRF Operations

Data as of: 10/30/13 @ 1500

AK

HI

CPCB – Community Planning Capacity Building

IS – Infrastructure Systems Report Support Function

JFO – Joint Field Office

NCR – Natural and Cultural Resources

NDRF – National Disaster Recovery Framework

NDRS – National Disaster Recovery Support Cadre

RSF – Recovery Support Function

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IMAT Status National Teams

Team Status Team Status Team Status

Blue/White East CO West

Regional Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status

Region I Region V Region VIII SD

Region II Region VI-1 Region IX-1

Region III PA Region VI-2 NM Region IX-2

Region IV-1 Region VII KS Region X

Region IV-2 NC Incident Management Assistance Team

= Assigned/Deployed

= Not Mission Capable

= Available/Mission Capable

= Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) – Monthly On Call Rotation

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

WEST CENTRAL EAST

Team Status Team Status Team Status

CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available

CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Available FL-TF2 Available

CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available

CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Available MD-TF1 Available

CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Available NY-TF1 Available

CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Conditional PA-TF1 Available

CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Conditional VA-TF1 Available

CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Available VA-TF2 Available

WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available

UT-TF1 Available

= Assigned/Deployed = Out-of-Service

= Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable

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RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status

= Not Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable = Available/Mission Capable

Region RRCC Regional Watch Center

I Not Activated Maynard MOC (24/7)

II Not Activated 24/7

III Not Activated 24/7

IV Not Activated 24/7

V Not Activated 24/7

VI Not Activated Denton MOC (24/7)

VII Not Activated 24/7

VIII Level III Denver MOC (24/7)

IX Not Activated 24/7

X Not Activated Bothell MOC (24/7)

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National Team Status

Team/Status Current Location Remarks

National Watch Center Washington, DC Watch/Steady State

NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated

HLT Miami, FL Activated

DEST Washington, DC Not Activated

Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable

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