1

•Daily Operations Briefing Friday, October 25, 2013

8:30 a.m. EDT

2

Significant Activity: Oct 24-25 Significant Events: None

Tropical Activity:

• Atlantic – Area 1 (Low 20%)

• Eastern Pacific – Tropical Storm Raymond

• Central Pacific – No tropical cyclones expected through Saturday evening

• Western Pacific – No activity threatening U.S. territories

Significant Weather:

• Lake effect snow continues – Eastern Great Lakes

• Below normal temperatures – Eastern U.S.

• Elevated Fire Weather Conditions – AL, GA, & FL

• Critical Fire Weather Areas: None; Red Flag Warnings: AL & FL

• Space Weather: Strong/R3 geomagnetic storms occurred; G1/R1 predicted next 24 hours

Earthquake Activity: No significant activity

Declaration Activity: Major Disaster Declaration approved for Santa Clara Pueblo

3

Updates at 2:00 am/pm and 8:00 am/pm EDT

Atlantic – Tropical Outlook

4

Atlantic – Area 1

As of 8:00 a.m. EDT

• Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue

• Associated with remnants of Lorenzo

• Located 1,150 miles SW of the Azores

• Moving NE at 10 mph

• Environmental conditions not conducive for development

• Probability of tropical cyclone development:

• Next 48 hours: Low (20%)

• Next 5 days: Low (20%)

5

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook

6

Eastern Pacific – Tropical Storm Raymond As of 5:00 a.m. EDT

• Located 435 miles SW of Manzanillo, Mexico

• Moving W at 10 mph

• Maximum sustained winds 50 mph

• Tropical storm-force winds extend 60 miles

• Strengthening is expected; may become a hurricane Sat.

• No coastal watches or warnings

7

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc/

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook

8

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf

National Weather Forecast

9

Active Watches/Warnings

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php

10

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-3.shtml

Precipitation Forecast – 3 Day

Day 1

Day 2

Day 3

11

River Forecast – 7 Day

12

Convective Outlooks Days 1 – 3

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3

13

Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 – 8

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3-8

14

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php

Hazard Outlook: Oct 27 – 31

16

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php

U.S. Drought Monitor – as of October 22

17

NOAA Scales Activity (Range: 1/minor to 5/extreme)

Past

24 Hours Current

Next

24 Hours

Space Weather Activity: Strong None Minor

• Geomagnetic Storms None None G1

• Solar Radiation Storms None None None

• Radio Blackouts R3 None R1

Space Weather

Sunspot Activity

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html http://spaceweather.com/

HF Communication Impact

22

Declaration Requests in Process Requests

APPROVED (since last report)

Requests DENIED

(since last report)

4 Date Requested 1 0

CA – DR Rim Fire October 8, 2013

AZ– DR Flooding October 10, 2013

Santa Clara Pueblo – DR Severe Storms and Flooding October 11, 2013

Declared

October 24, 2013

NM – DR Severe Storms, Flooding, and Mudslides October 21, 2013

ND – DR Severe Winter Storm October 22, 2013

Disaster Requests & Declarations

23

Major Disaster Declaration – Santa Clara Pueblo

FEMA-4151-DR-Santa Clara Pueblo

• Declared October 24, 2013

• For Severe Storms and Flooding that occurred Sep 13-16, 2013

• Provides PA (Categories A & B)

• Hazard mitigation is under review

• FCO is Nancy M. Casper

Santa Clara Pueblo Area in New Mexico

Public Assistance Categories

A B C D E F G

Debris Removal Emergency Protective Measures Road Systems & Bridges Water Control Facilities Public Buildings & Contents Public Utilities Parks, Recreational, & Other

26

Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments

Region State /

Location Event IA/PA

Number of Counties Start – End

Requested Complete

VII NE Severe Storms

October 2-6, 2013 PA 9 0 10/29-10/31

VIII SD Blizzard & Flooding

October 2013 PA

15 counties

2 tribal nations 0 10/28-TBD

IX Navajo

Nation

Flooding

September 13-17, 2013 PA 1 0 10/22-10/25

27

Open Field Offices as of October 25, 2013

28

Total Deployed Detailed Not

Available Available Cadre Status

39 31 1 2 5

OFDC Cadre Member Status

Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4

6* 1 4 1 0

As of: 10/23/2013

* All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event

Total Deployed Assigned Available Status

9 8 5 4

Federal Coordinating Officer

Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator

30

MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status

Fully Mission Capable 53 Partially Mission Capable 0 Non-Mission Capable 2 Total Not Deployed 43

MCOV FLEET STATUS MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS

Location Units

Assigned Available

FMC Deployed

Committed PMC Unavailable DR-State OPCON

En

Route Unit Prep

Open

Request Notes:

MERS Maynard 3 2 0 0 1 DR-4145-CO 12 0 0

MERS Frederick 8 7 1 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Thomasville 14 12 2 0 0 0 0 0

DC Ft Worth 20 12 8 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Denver 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Bothell 4 3 0 0 1 0 0 0

Sacramento 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0

TOTAL 55 41 12 0 2 TOTAL 12 0 0 0

Included in above totals, units in route for turn-in. 0 0

Data as of: 10/24/13 @ 1500

31

IA Registration Statistics

IA Registrations and IHP Amounts as of October 24, 2013 @ 1500

DR/EM # - State Registrations Approved

Applicants Total HA Approved

Total ONA

Approved Total IHP Approved

4145 - CO 25,737 15,065 $43,644,817 $3,429,657 $47,074,474

Totals 25,737 15,065 $43,644,817 $3,429,657 $47,074,474

24 hour change +104 +97 +$486,321 +$117,034 +$603,356

NPSC Call Data for October 23, 2013

Total Calls Answered (Help Line + Registration Intake) 2,043

Average time to answer call 12 seconds

Maximum / Minimum time to answer a call 19 seconds / 8 seconds

32

Housing Inspection Statistics

Inspection Data as of October 24, 2013 @ 1500

DR #-State Inspectors Inspections

Assigned

Inspections

Completed Inspection % Complete

Turnaround Time

(Days)

4145 - CO 24 22,884 22,606 98.79% 2.3

TOTAL 24 22,884 22,606 98.79% 2.3

24 hour change -1 +131 +164 +0.16% 0.0

34

IMAT Status National Teams

Team Status Team Status Team Status

Blue/White East CO West CO - Demobilizing

Regional Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status

Region I Region V Region VIII

Region II Region VI-1 Region IX-1

Region III Region VI-2 NM Region IX-2

Region IV-1 Region VII KS Region X

Region IV-2 NC Incident Management Assistance Team

= Assigned/Deployed

= Not Mission Capable

= Available/Mission Capable

= Available/Partially Mission Capable

35

Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) – Monthly On Call Rotation

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

WEST CENTRAL EAST

Team Status Team Status Team Status

CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available

CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Available FL-TF2 Available

CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available

CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Available MD-TF1 Available

CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Available NY-TF1 Available

CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Conditional PA-TF1 Available

CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Conditional VA-TF1 Available

CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Available VA-TF2 Available

WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available

UT-TF1 Available

= Assigned/Deployed = Out-of-Service

= Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable

36

RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status

= Not Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable = Available/Mission Capable

Region RRCC Regional Watch Center

I Not Activated Maynard MOC (24/7)

II Not Activated 24/7

III Not Activated 24/7

IV Not Activated 24/7

V Not Activated 24/7

VI Not Activated Denton MOC (24/7)

VII Not Activated 24/7

VIII Not Activated Denver MOC (24/7)

IX Not Activated 24/7

X Not Activated Bothell MOC (24/7)

37

National Team Status

Team/Status Current Location Remarks

National Watch Center Washington, DC Watch/Steady State

NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated

HLT Miami, FL Activated

DEST Washington, DC Not Activated

Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable

38