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•Daily Operations Briefing Saturday, November 9, 2013

8:30 a.m. EST

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Significant Activity: Nov 8 - 9 Significant Events: GOCE Satellite Re-entry

Tropical Activity:

• Atlantic/Eastern Pacific – No tropical cyclone activity expected next 48 hours

• Central Pacific – No tropical cyclones expected through Sunday night

• Western Pacific – Typhoon 31W (Haiyan)

Significant Weather:

• Rain – Upper Great Lakes and northern New England

• Rain and mountain snow – Pacific Northwest

• Showers and thunderstorms – Southern Florida

• Red Flag Warnings /Critical Fire Weather Areas – None

• Space Weather: Minor/R1 radio blackouts predicted next 24 hours

Declaration Activity: Major Disaster Declaration - South Dakota

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Updates at 1:00 am/pm and 7:00 am/pm EDT

Atlantic – Tropical Outlook

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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc/

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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Western Pacific – Typhoon Haiyan

As of 4:00 a.m. EST (Warning #25)

• Located 467 miles ESE of Da Nang, Vietnam

• Moving WNW at 21 mph

• Max sustained winds 120 mph, w/gusts to 150 mph (Cat 3)

• Overall weakening trend indicated; however, some slight

strengthening is forecast prior to landfall

• Landfall over central Vietnam is expected in the next 24 hours

• Media sources report approx. 1,200 fatalities in the Philippines

• Significant damage to property and communication

infrastructure reported in the Philippines

• No requests for FEMA assistance; no threat to U.S. territories

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GOCE Satellite Re-entry

• European Space Agency’s (ESAs) Gravity Field and Steady-State

Ocean Explorer (GOCE) satellite re-entry

• U.S. predicts re-entry to occur around 11:55 p.m. EST on Nov 10 (with

an uncertainty window of about 5 hours)

• Maximum of 43 fragments projected to reach the surface of the earth

o 8 pieces weigh over 6 pounds; largest piece is 209 pounds

o No exotic or toxic materials on satellite

• The odds of any damage remain exceptionally slight:

o On average, an old spacecraft or rocket body reenters once a week

o After more than 50 years of reentries, no significant property

damage or human casualties have been reported

• FEMA NWC remains at Watch/Steady State (monitoring)

Photo credit: NASA

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf

National Weather Forecast

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Active Watches/Warnings

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-3.shtml

Precipitation Forecast – 3 Day

Day 1

Day 2

Day 3

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River Forecast – 7 Day

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Convective Outlooks Days 1 – 3

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3

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Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 – 8

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3-8

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http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php

Hazard Outlook: Nov 11 - 15

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NOAA Scales Activity (Range: 1/minor to 5/extreme)

Past

24 Hours Current

Next

24 Hours

Space Weather Activity: None None Minor

• Geomagnetic Storms None None None

• Solar Radiation Storms None None None

• Radio Blackouts None None R1

Space Weather

Sunspot Activity

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html http://spaceweather.com/

HF Communication Impact

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Declaration Requests in Process Requests

APPROVED (since last report)

Requests DENIED

(since last report)

0 Date Requested 1 0

SD – DR Severe Winter Storm, Snowstorm, and Flooding October 31, 2013

Declared

November 8, 2013

Disaster Requests & Declarations

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Major Disaster Declaration – South Dakota

November 8, 2013

• President approved major Disaster Declaration FEMA-4155-DR-SD

• As a result of a Severe Winter Storm, Snowstorm and Flooding during

the period of October 3-16, 2013

• Provides:

• Disaster Unemployment Assistance & Public Assistance for 14

counties and the Cheyenne River Sioux Tribe and the Pine Ridge

Reservation

• Snow assistance for 6 counties

• Hazard Mitigation for all counties and tribes statewide

• FCO is Gary R Stanley

= DUA & PA

= Cheyenne River Sioux Tribe

= Pine Ridge Reservation

= DUA, PA & Snow assistance

South Dakota

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Open Field Offices as of November 9, 2013

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Total Deployed Detailed Not

Available Available Cadre Status

40 25 1 3 11

OFDC Cadre Member Status

Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4

11* 1 5 2 3

As of: 11/8/2013

* All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event

Total Deployed Assigned Available Status

9 7 4 2

Federal Coordinating Officer

Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator

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MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status

Fully Mission Capable 55 Partially Mission Capable 0 Non-Mission Capable 0 Total Not Deployed 46

MCOV FLEET STATUS MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS

Location Units

Assigned Available

FMC Deployed

Committed PMC Unavailable DR-State OPCON

En

Route Unit Prep

Open

Request Notes:

MERS Maynard 3 3 0 0 0 DR-4145-CO 9 0 0

MERS Frederick 8 7 1 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Thomasville 14 13 1 0 0 0 0 0

DC Ft Worth 20 14 6 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Denver 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Bothell 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0

Sacramento 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0

TOTAL 55 46 9 0 0 TOTAL 9 0 0 0

Units in route for turn-in included in above totals.

1 0 0

Data as of: 11/07/13 @ 1500

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IA Registration Statistics

IA Registrations and IHP Amounts as of November 07, 2013 @ 1500

DR/EM # - State Registrations Approved

Applicants Total HA Approved

Total ONA

Approved Total IHP Approved

4145 - CO 26,781 15,708 $47,798,472 $3,933,119 $51,731,591

Totals 26,781 15,708 $47,798,472 $3,933,119 $51,731,591

24 hour change +74 +38 +$298,387 +$27,257 +$325,644

NPSC Call Data for November 06, 2013

Total Calls Answered (Help Line + Registration Intake) 1,628

Average time to answer call 12 seconds

Maximum / Minimum time to answer a call 48 seconds / 9 seconds

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Housing Inspection Statistics

Inspection Data as of November 07, 2013 @ 1500

DR #-State Inspectors Inspections

Assigned

Inspections

Completed Inspection % Complete

Turnaround Time

(Days)

4145 - CO 18 24,152 23,948 99.16% 2.3

TOTAL 18 24,152 23,948 99.16% 2.3

24 hour change -2 +75 +87 +0.06% +0.0

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IMAT Status National Teams

Team Status Team Status Team Status

Blue/White East CO West

Regional Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status

Region I Region V Region VIII

Region II Region VI-1 Region IX-1

Region III PA Region VI-2 NM Region IX-2

Region IV-1 Region VII KS Region X

Region IV-2 NC Incident Management Assistance Team

= Assigned/Deployed

= Not Mission Capable

= Available/Mission Capable

= Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) – Monthly On Call Rotation

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

WEST CENTRAL EAST

Team Status Team Status Team Status

CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available

CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Available FL-TF2 Available

CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available

CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Available MD-TF1 Available

CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Available NY-TF1 Available

CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Conditional PA-TF1 Available

CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Conditional VA-TF1 Available

CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Available VA-TF2 Available

WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available

UT-TF1 Available

= Assigned/Deployed = Out-of-Service

= Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable

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RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status

= Not Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable = Available/Mission Capable

Region RRCC Regional Watch Center

I Not Activated Maynard MOC (24/7)

II Not Activated 24/7

III Not Activated 24/7

IV Not Activated 24/7

V Not Activated 24/7

VI Not Activated Denton MOC (24/7)

VII Not Activated 24/7

VIII Not Activated Denver MOC (24/7)

IX Not Activated 24/7

X Not Activated Bothell MOC (24/7)

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National Team Status

Team/Status Current Location Remarks

National Watch Center Washington, DC Watch/Steady State

NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated

HLT Miami, FL Activated

DEST Washington, DC Not Activated

Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable

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