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•Daily Operations Briefing Thursday, October 3, 2013

8:30 a.m. EDT

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Significant Activity: Oct 2 – 3 Significant Events: Tropical Storm Karen

Tropical Activity:

• Atlantic – Tropical Depression Jerry; Area 1 (TS Karen)

• Eastern Pacific – Area 1 (Low 10%)

• Central Pacific – No tropical cyclones expected through Friday night

• Western Pacific – Invest 97W

Significant Weather:

• Slight risk of severe thunderstorms – portions of the Central Plains

• Heavy snow – Northern/Central Rockies

• Critical Fire Weather Areas: Southern California

• Red Flag Warnings: CA, NM & KS

• Space Weather: Minor – G1 geomagnetic storms occurred; none are predicted

Earthquake Activity: No significant activity

Declaration Activity: None

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Updates at 2:00 am/pm and 8:00 am/pm EDT

Atlantic – Tropical Outlook

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Atlantic – Tropical Depression Jerry

As of 5:00 a.m. EDT

• Located 985 miles WSW of Azores

• Depression is moving toward the NE near 9 mph

• A slow north-northeastward motion is expected by tonight

• A northeastward to east-northeastward motion at a faster speed

is expected during the next couple of days

• Max sustained winds 35 mph

• Jerry is forecast to become a remnant low on Friday

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Atlantic – Area 1 (Invest 97L)

As of 8:00 a.m. EDT

• Low pressure area located over the southeastern Gulf of

Mexico

• Producing winds of up to 60 mph in extreme

southeastern Gulf of Mexico

• Special advisory will be issued within the next hour

• Probability of tropical cyclone development:

• Next 48 hours: High chance (100%)

• Next 5 days: High chance (100%)

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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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Eastern – Area 1

As of 5:00 a.m. EDT

• Shower and thunderstorm activity association with a

broad area of low pressure located about 500 miles SW

of Manzanillo, Mexico has increased, but remains

disorganized

• Some slow development of this system is possible during

the next several days

• Moving westward at 10 mph

• Probability of tropical cyclone development:

• Next 48 hours: low chance (10%)

• Next 5 days: low chance (20%)

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http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc/

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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Western Pacific – Area 1 (Invest 97W)

As of 2:00 a.m. EDT

• An area of low pressure located approximately 385 miles

NE of Andersen, AFB Guam

• The system is moving west-southwestward at 3 mph

• Slightly strengthened over the past 6 hours

• Maximum sustained winds are 26 mph

• The system has a High potential for development of a

tropical cyclone within the next 24 to 48 hours

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf

National Weather Forecast

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Active Watches/Warnings

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php

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Total Snow Forecast

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-3.shtml

Precipitation Forecast – 3 Day

Day 1

Day 2

Day 3

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http://water.weather.gov/ahps/forecasts.php?current_color=flood&current_type=all&fcst_t

ype=fcst&conus_map=d_map

River Forecast – 7 Day

Hydrograph Page for bdyn1

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Convective Outlooks Days 1 – 3

Day 2

Day 3

Day 1

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Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 – 8

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3-8

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http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php

Hazard Outlook: Oct 4 – 8

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NOAA Scales Activity (Range: 1/minor to 5/extreme)

Past

24 Hours Current

Next

24 Hours

Space Weather Activity: Minor None None

• Geomagnetic Storms G1 None None

• Solar Radiation Storms None None None

• Radio Blackouts None None None

Space Weather

Sunspot Activity

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html http://spaceweather.com/

HF Communication Impact

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Declaration Requests in Process Requests

APPROVED (since last report)

Requests DENIED

(since last report)

1 Date Requested

KS – DR Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding September 25, 2013

Disaster Requests & Declarations

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Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments

Region State /

Location Event IA/PA

Number of Counties Start – End

Requested Complete

VIII UT Flooding

September 7, 2013 PA

8 counties &

1 tribe

4 counties &

1 tribe 9/25 – 10/4

IX CA Rim Fire

August-September 2013 PA 5 0 9/30-TBD

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Open Field Offices as of October 3, 2013

Deployed Detailed Available Not Available Total

29 1 9 1 40

OFDC Cadre Member Status

Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4

10* 1 5 2 1

As of: 10/2/2013

* All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event

Deployed Available Pending Hire On Board Positions

8 1 1 9 10

Federal Coordinating Officer

Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator

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MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status

Fully Mission Capable 51 Partially Mission Capable 0 Non-Mission Capable 4 Total Not Deployed 34

MCOV FLEET STATUS MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS

Location Units

Assigned Available

FMC Deployed

Committed PMC Unavailable DR-State OPCON

En

Route Unit Prep

Open

Request Notes:

MERS Maynard 3 3 0 0 0 DR-4145-CO 21 0 0

MERS Frederick 8 6 2 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Thomasville 14 11 3 0 0 0 0 0

DC Ft Worth 20 5 14 0 1 0 0 0

MERS Denver 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Bothell 4 2 0 0 2 0 0 0

Sacramento 4 3 0 0 1 0 0 0

TOTAL 55 30 21 0 4 TOTAL 21 0 0 0

Included in above totals, units in route for turn-in. 0 0

Data as of: 10/02/13 @ 1500

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Active IA Disasters - Referral Status & Awards

Data as of: 10/02/13 @ 1500 # Max Grants = Applicants awarded maximum IHP ($32,400 for Major Disasters declared FY 2014)

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IA Registration Statistics

IA Registrations and IHP Amounts as of October 2, 2013 @ 1500

DR/EM # - State Registrations Approved

Applicants Total HA Approved

Total ONA

Approved Total IHP Approved

4145 - CO 21,931 12,287 $33,645,397 $2,045,520 $35,690,917

Totals 21,931 12,287 $33,645,397 $2,045,520 $35,690,917

24 hour change +483 +383 +$1,049,667 +$215,586 +$1,265,254

NPSC Call Data for October 1, 2013

Total Calls Answered (Help Line + Registration Intake) 2,931

Average time to answer call 14 seconds

Maximum / Minimum time to answer a call 44 seconds / 10 seconds

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Housing Inspection Statistics

Inspection Data as of October 2, 2013 @ 1500

DR #-State Inspectors Inspections

Assigned

Inspections

Completed Inspection % Complete

Turnaround Time

(Days)

4145 – CO 66 18,763 17,941 95.62% 2.5

TOTAL 66 18,763 17,941 98.48% 2.5

24 hour change -6 +456 +552 +3.49% 0.0

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Workforce Type Total Available To

Deploy Deployed

Committed To

Other Activities

or Exempt from

Deployment

Operational Readiness

Reservist 6,346 3,401 (53%) 2,331 (37%) 614 (10%) Partially Mission Capable

Cadre of On-Call Response

Employees (CORE) 2,659 972 (37%) 1,681 (63%) 6 (0%) Partially Mission Capable

Permanent Full Time (PFT) 5,050 968 (18%) 531 (12%) *3,551 (70%) Non-Mission Capable

FEMA Corps 636 0 (0%) 633 (100%) 3 (0%) Non-Mission Capable

**DHS Surge Capacity Force ------ ------- ----- -------- Awaiting DHS/FEMA Activation

Workforce Totals 14,691 5,341 (36%) 5,176 (35%) 4,174 (29%)

= 60%-100% Available | Mission Capable = 30% - 59% Available| Partially Mission Capable

= 29% - 0% Available |Non-Mission Capable = Awaiting DHS|FEMA Activation

*This number reflects total PFTs that are currently furloughed due to a lapse in appropriations.

**Surge Figures are not available due to lack of information from OFAs

Employees may be committed to other activities or exempt from deployment based on: leave status, training, travel related issues, or

personnel status as ERG or mission critical home station employee or furlough.

FEMA Workforce Status Report

Data as of 10/2/13

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IMAT Status National Teams

Team Status Team Status Team Status

Blue/White East West CO

Regional Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status

Region I Region V Region VIII

Region II Region VI-1 Region IX-1

Region III Region VI-2 Region IX-2

Region IV-1 Region VII Region X

Region IV-2

= Assigned/Deployed

= Not Mission Capable

= Available/Mission Capable

= Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) – Monthly On Call Rotation

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

WEST CENTRAL EAST

Team Status Team Status Team Status

CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available

CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Available FL-TF2 Available

CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available

CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Reconstituting MD-TF1 Available

CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Reconstituting NY-TF1 Available

CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Conditional PA-TF1 Available

CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Reconstituting VA-TF1 Available

CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Available VA-TF2 Available

WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available

UT-TF1 Reconstituting

= Assigned/Deployed = Out-of-Service

= Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Region RRCC Regional Watch Center

I Not Activated Maynard MOC (24/7)

II Not Activated 24/7

III Not Activated 24/7

IV Not Activated 24/7

V Not Activated 24/7

VI Not Activated Denton MOC (24/7)

VII Not Activated 24/7

VIII Not Activated Denver MOC (24/7)

IX Not Activated 24/7

X Not Activated Bothell MOC (24/7)

RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status

= Not Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable = Available/Mission Capable

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National Team Status

Team/Status Current Location Remarks

National Watch Center Washington, DC Watch/Steady State

NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated

HLT Miami, FL Activated

DEST Washington, DC Not Activated

Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable

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