1

•Daily Operations Briefing Sunday, October 20, 2013

8:30 a.m. EDT

2

Significant Activity: Oct 19 – 20 Significant Events: None

Tropical Activity:

• Atlantic – Tropical cyclone activity is not expected during the next 48 hours

• Eastern Pacific – Tropical Storm Raymond

• Central Pacific – No tropical cyclones are expected through late Monday night

• Western Pacific – No tropical activity threatening U.S. territories

Significant Weather:

• Rain and thunderstorms – west-central Gulf Coast, Southern Plains, Middle Mississippi Valley to Northeast

• Rain and Snow – Rockies, Northern Plains & Upper Mississippi Valley

• Critical Fire Weather Areas / Red Flag Warnings: None

• Space Weather: None observed or predicted

Earthquake Activity: M6.5 – Offshore Etchoropo, Mexico

Declaration Activity: None

3

Updates at 2:00 am/pm and 8:00 am/pm EDT

Atlantic – Tropical Outlook

4

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook

5

Eastern Pacific – Tropical Storm Raymond

As of 8:00 a.m. EDT

• Located 180 miles SSW of Acapulco, Mexico

• Moving NW at 7 mph

• Turn N with decrease in forward speed expected next day or so

• Maximum sustained winds 40 mph

• Strengthening forecast; expected to become a hurricane next 48 hours

• Tropical Storm force winds extend 35 miles

6

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc/

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook

8

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf

National Weather Forecast

9

Active Watches/Warnings

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php

10

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-3.shtml

Precipitation Forecast – 3 Day

Day 1

Day 2

Day 3

11

River Forecast – 7 Day

12

Convective Outlooks Days 1 – 3

Day 2 Day 1

Day 3

13

Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 – 8

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3-8

14

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php

Hazard Outlook: Oct 21 – 25

17

NOAA Scales Activity (Range: 1/minor to 5/extreme)

Past

24 Hours Current

Next

24 Hours

Space Weather Activity: None None None

• Geomagnetic Storms None None None

• Solar Radiation Storms None None None

• Radio Blackouts None None None

Space Weather

Sunspot Activity

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html http://spaceweather.com/

HF Communication Impact

21

Magnitude 6.5 – Offshore Etchoropo, Mexico

• Occurred at 1:54 p.m. EDT, October 19, 2013

• 507 miles SSE of Phoenix, Arizona

• 47 miles SW of Etchoropo, Mexico

• Depth of 5 miles

• USGS issued a Green PAGER alert indicating

• Low likelihood of casualties and damages

• No tsunami generated

• No requests for FEMA assistance

International Earthquake – Etchoropo Mexico

Epicenter

22

Declaration Requests in Process Requests

APPROVED (since last report)

Requests DENIED

(since last report)

4 Date Requested 0 0

KS – DR Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, and

Flooding September 25, 2013

CA – DR Rim Fire October 8, 2013

AZ – DR Flooding October 9, 2013

Santa Clara Pueblo – DR Severe Storms and Flooding October 11, 2013

Disaster Requests & Declarations

25

Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments

Region State /

Location Event IA/PA

Number of Counties Start – End

Requested Complete

IX Navajo

Nation Flooding PA 1 0 10/21-10/25

26

Open Field Offices as of October 20, 2013

27

Deployed Detailed Available Not Available Total

30 1 7 1 39

OFDC Cadre Member Status

Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4

8* 2 4 1 1

As of: 10/18/2013

* All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event

Deployed Available Pending Hire On Board Positions

8 1 1 9 10

Federal Coordinating Officer

Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator

29

MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status

Fully Mission Capable 51 Partially Mission Capable 0 Non-Mission Capable 4 Total Not Deployed 34

MCOV FLEET STATUS MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS

Location Units

Assigned Available

FMC Deployed

Committed PMC Unavailable DR-State OPCON

En

Route Unit Prep

Open

Request Notes:

MERS Maynard 3 2 0 0 1 DR-4145-CO 19 0 0

MERS Frederick 8 6 2 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Thomasville 14 11 3 0 0 0 0 0

DC Ft Worth 20 6 14 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Denver 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Bothell 4 2 0 0 2 0 0 0

Sacramento 4 3 0 0 1 0 0 0

TOTAL 55 30 21 0 4 TOTAL 19 0 0 0

Included in above totals, units in route for turn-in.

2 0 0

Data as of: 10/17/13 @ 1500

30

IA Registration Statistics

IA Registrations and IHP Amounts as of October 17, 2013 @ 1500

DR/EM # - State Registrations Approved

Applicants Total HA Approved

Total ONA

Approved Total IHP Approved

4145 - CO 24,960 14,445 $41,050,098 $3,041,476 $44,091,574

Totals 24,960 14,445 $41,050,098 $3,041,476 $44,091,574

24 hour change +140 +112 +$450,823 +$58,178 +$509,001

NPSC Call Data for October 16, 2013

Total Calls Answered (Help Line + Registration Intake) 2,228

Average time to answer call 12 seconds

Maximum / Minimum time to answer a call 1 minute, 9 seconds / 9 seconds

31

Housing Inspection Statistics

Inspection Data as of October 17, 2013 @ 1500

DR #-State Inspectors Inspections

Assigned

Inspections

Completed Inspection % Complete

Turnaround Time

(Days)

4145 - CO 25 21,901 21,597 98.61% 2.4

TOTAL 25 21,901 21,597 98.61% 2.4

24 hour change -2 +186 +170 -0.06% -0.0

33

IMAT Status National Teams

Team Status Team Status Team Status

Blue/White East West CO

Regional Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status

Region I Region V Region VIII

Region II Region VI-1 Region IX-1

Region III Region VI-2 NM Region IX-2

Region IV-1 Region VII Region X

Region IV-2

= Assigned/Deployed

= Not Mission Capable

= Available/Mission Capable

= Available/Partially Mission Capable

34

Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) – Monthly On Call Rotation

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

WEST CENTRAL EAST

Team Status Team Status Team Status

CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available

CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Available FL-TF2 Available

CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available

CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Available MD-TF1 Available

CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Available NY-TF1 Available

CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Conditional PA-TF1 Available

CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Conditional VA-TF1 Available

CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Available VA-TF2 Available

WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available

UT-TF1 Available

= Assigned/Deployed = Out-of-Service

= Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable

35

Region RRCC Regional Watch Center

I Not Activated Maynard MOC (24/7)

II Not Activated 24/7

III Not Activated 24/7

IV Not Activated 24/7

V Not Activated 24/7

VI Not Activated Denton MOC (24/7)

VII Not Activated 24/7

VIII Not Activated Denver MOC (24/7)

IX Not Activated 24/7

X Not Activated Bothell MOC (24/7)

RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status

= Not Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable = Available/Mission Capable

36

National Team Status

Team/Status Current Location Remarks

National Watch Center Washington, DC Watch/Steady State

NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated

HLT Miami, FL Activated

DEST Washington, DC Not Activated

Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable

37