seth itzkan - soil carbon and climate

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Gree$ngs  From  the  Paradigm  Fence

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Karoo,  South  AfricaGrassland

WaterCarbon

Desert

WaterCarbon

Which  side  do  you  prefer?

Which  side  gets  more  rain?

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Holism

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35  -­‐  75  million

35  million 5  billion

Animal Con;nent

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The  end  of… soil

Buffalo  Genocide

The  beginning  of…

deser(fica(on

Soil  needs  animals

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Livestock  as  a  proxy  for  wild  

herds

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4  x

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2004

100%  bare  groundfor  decades

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2005Tuesday, January 13, 15

2006Tuesday, January 13, 15

2013

Deep-­‐rootedPerennials

Deep-­‐rootedPerennials

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15

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Deep-­‐rootedPerennials

Deep-­‐rooted  Perennials

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2014 Climax  Perennial  Grass(Panicum  maximum)“Guinea  grass”

Mid-­‐succession  Perennial  Grass(Heteropogon  contortus)“Spear  grass”

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2014

<-­‐-­‐  mopani  tree

<-­‐-­‐  mopani  tree

mopani  tree-­‐-­‐>

Restored  Landscape  WithClimax  Perennial  Grasses(Panicum  maximum)

Panicum  maximumseed  head

Bare  ground  for  decades

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19

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20

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2004

2013

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2006Tuesday, January 13, 15

2009Tuesday, January 13, 15

2013Tuesday, January 13, 15

2006

2013

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2014

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Google  DigitalGlobe  •  GeoEye  •  Cnes  /  Spot  

Image

New  Surface  Waterin  Dry  Season

1.5  Km  /  10  m  eleva;on  gain

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Driving  Upstream

Copyright  ©  Seth  Itzkan,  2012

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New  Surface  Water  in  Dry  Season

No  more  pumpsTuesday, January 13, 15

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Coahuila,  Mexico  –  1963

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Coahuila,  Mexico  -­‐  2003

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Lebowa  –    1970s    

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How  Much  Carbon  is  Captured?

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Grasslands  –  Largest  EcosystemLove  Carbon CO2CO2

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25-­‐50

50-­‐75

75-­‐100

100-­‐150

150-­‐200

150-­‐200

>300

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Tropical  savanna:                                                146  tC/ha      Desert,  semi-­‐desert,  scrubland:  83  tC/haDesert  extreme:                                                        26  tC/ha

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Grasslands,  Tropical  Savanna:  117  tC/ha      Desert,  Semi-­‐desert:                                      42  tC/ha

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44

Global  Sequestra;on  Poten;alGlobal  Sequestra$on  Poten$al

88  to  210  Gt  C40  to  100  ppm  CO2

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How  we  think  about  the  future

• Popula;on  crashes• Mass  migra;ons• Vast  new  deserts• Ci;es  abandoned

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4°C  Warmer  World

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Geo-­‐engineering  to  the  Rescue!

§  Space  Mirrors

§  Ar;ficial  Trees

§  Reflec;ve  Crops

§  Biochar

§  Ocean  Fer;liza;on

§  Fores;ng

§  Aerosols

§  Cloud  Seeding

§  Carbonate  Addi;on

Do  you  feel  be7er  now?

Source:  Earth’s  Plan  B,  New  Scien(st,  28  Feb.  2009,  p8  

“Earth’s  Plan  B”

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How  we  could  think  about  the  future

• Climate  Stabiliza;on• Vast  new  grasslands• Water  tables  replenished• Sustainable  economies

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