9,10 bop revised

Upload: sahauddin-sha

Post on 07-Apr-2018

232 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    1/32

    1

    The Balance of PaymentsThe Balance of Payments

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    2/32

    2

    IntroductionThe measurement of all internationaleconomic transactions between the

    residents of a country and foreignresidents is called the balance ofpayments (BOP)

    The two major sub accounts of the

    balance of payments are:Current account

    Financial account

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    3/32

    3

    Fundamentals of Balance ofPayments Accounting

    The balance of payments must balanceSub accounts may be imbalanced

    Three main elements to the process ofmeasuring international economicactivity include:

    Identifying whatisand isnotaninternational

    economictransactionUnderstanding how theflow ofgoods,services,assets,and money creates debitsand creditstotheoverall BOP

    Understandingthebookkeeping proceduresforBOP accounting

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    4/32

    4

    Defining InternationalTransactions

    Identifying manyinternationaltransactions isordinarily not difficult

    However, some

    internationaltransactions are notobvious

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    5/32

    5

    The BOP: BusinessTransactions

    There are two types of

    business transactionsthat dominate the BOP:

    Realassets

    Financialassets

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    6/32

    6

    BOP Accounting: Double-Entry BookkeepingBOP employs anaccounting

    technique calleddouble-entrybookkeeping

    In this age-old

    method everytransaction producesa debit and a creditof the same amount

    A debit is createdwhenever:

    AnassetisincreasedAliability is decreased

    An expenseisincreased

    A credit is created

    whenever:Anassetis decreased

    Aliability isincreased

    An expenseisdecreased

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    7/32

    7

    BOP Accounting: Double-Entry Bookkeeping

    The measurement of all internationaltransactions in and out of a country

    over a year is a difficult taskMistakes, errors, and statisticaldiscrepancies will and do occur

    Current and capital and financial

    account entries are recordedindependent of one another, nottogether as this accounting methodwould prescribe

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    8/32

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    9/32

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    10/32

    II- Capital and Financial Account

    A. CapitalAccount

    a. Capital Transfers (ownership transferoffixed assets, debtforgiveness etc)

    b. Acquisition/ disposalofnon produced,

    nonfinancialassets (patents,copyrights,trademarks,franchises,leases etc)

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    11/32

    B. Financial Account

    a. Direct Investment

    1. Abroad (directinvestorsofreportingcountry with directinvestmententerprisesabroad (10%orabove)

    2.

    InReporting

    Country (forinvestmentinthereportingcountry)

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    12/32

    BOP

    b. Portfolio Investment

    1.Assets (holdingsofresidentsofreportingcountry- equities,debentures, money marketinstruments,financial derivatives)

    2. Liabilities (forinvestmentsintothereportingcountry)

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    13/32

    BOP

    C. Otherinvestments

    Assets (Held by residentsofthereportingcountry - tradecredits,repurchaseagreements, depositsandcurrency)

    Liabilities ( forliabilitiesofresidentsofthereportingcountry)

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    14/32

    BOP

    d.Reserveassets (Assets with countrys

    monetary authorities- monetary gold,SDRs,reserve positionsin IMF,foreigncurrency, depositsand securities)

    e. Errorsand Omissions (Balancing Item)

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    15/32

    Major Items of India's balance of Payments (April-December, 2008)

    (In $ million)

    April-December

    (2008-09) (P)

    April-December

    (2007-08) (PR)Exports 133,527 113,614

    Imports 238,864 182,894

    Trade Balance -105,337 -69280

    Invisibles, net 68,868 53772

    Current AccountBalance

    -36,469 -15508

    Capital Account* 16,089 82,682

    Change in Reserves#(+ indicates

    increase;- indicatesdecrease)

    20,380 -67,174

    Including errors & omissions; # On BoP basis excluding valuation; P:

    Preliminary, PR: Partially revised. R: revised

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    16/32

    16

    The Accounts of the Balanceof Payments

    The BOP is comprised of twoprimary sub accounts:

    CurrentAccount

    Financial/CapitalAccount

    Two additional and important sub

    accounts of the BOP include:NetErrorsand OmissionsAccount

    OfficialReservesAccount

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    17/32

    17

    The Current AccountThis account includes allinternational economictransactions with income or

    payment flows occurring withinthe year, the current period

    It consists of four subcategories:

    Goods trade

    Services trade

    Income

    Current transfers

    This account is typically dominatedby Goods Trade

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    18/32

    18

    The Current AccountThe Balance on Trade (BOT) refersspecifically to the balance of exportsand imports of goods trade only- Flows

    of income between residents and nonresidents

    Merchandise trade is the core ofinternational trade and has three major

    components:Manufactured goods

    Agriculture

    Fuels

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    19/32

    19

    The Financial/Capital andFinancial Account

    This account of the BOP measures

    all international economictransactions of financial assets

    It is divided into two majorcomponents:

    CapitalAccount

    FinancialAccount

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    20/32

    20

    The Capital AccountThe Capital Account is made up oftransfers of:

    Financial assetsThe acquisition and disposal ofnonproduced/nonfinancial assets

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    21/32

    21

    The Financial AccountThe Financial Account consistsof three components:

    Direct investment

    Portfolio investment

    Other asset investments

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    22/32

    22

    Net Direct InvestmentThis is the net balance of capitaldispersed out of and into the U.S. forthe purpose of exerting control over

    assetsFollows the 10% ownership thresholdrule

    The source of concern over foreigninvestments in any country focuses ontwo topics:

    Control

    Profit

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    23/32

    23

    Portfolio InvestmentThis is the net balance of capital thatflows in and out of the country but doesnot reach the 10% ownership threshold

    of direct investmentIt is capital invested in activities thatare purely profit-motivated rather thanones made in the prospect of controlling

    or managing the investmentThese have shown much more volatilebehavior than net direct investmentsover the past decade

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    24/32

    24

    Other InvestmentAssets/Liabilities

    This category consists of:

    Short-term trade credits

    Long-term trade credits

    Cross-border loans from all types offinancial institutions

    Currency deposits

    Bank deposits

    Other accounts receivable

    Accounts payable

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    25/32

    25

    Official Reserves AccountThis is the total currencyand metallic reserves heldby official monetary

    authorities within thecountry

    Its significance depends onwhether the country is

    operating under:A fixed exchange rate regime

    A floating exchange ratesystem

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    26/32

    26

    The Balance of Payments--TotalThe International Monetary Fund (IMF) is themultinational organization that collects theBOP statistics for over 160 different countries

    around the globe

    The current, capital, and financial accountscombine to form the basic balance and is oneof the most frequently used summary

    measures of the BOPThe current, capital, financial, and net errorsand omissions accounts combine to form thesummary measure known as the overallbalance or official settlements balance

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    27/32

    27

    The Balance of Payments andEconomic CrisesThe sum of cross-border internationaleconomic activity can be used by

    international managers to forecasteconomic conditions and in some cases,the likelihood of economic crises

    The mechanics of internationaleconomic crises often follow a similarpath of development

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    28/32

    28

    Capital FlightCapital flight is the suddenand shocking outflow of

    capital from a nationseconomy in which it isperceived there ispolitical, economic, or

    currency crisesforthcoming

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    29/32

    BOP key indices

    Trade Balance

    Merchandise Balance- Difference Between

    exportsand importsofgoodsBalanceofgoodsand services- Merchandisebalance+ algebraicsum ofservicestrade

    Current-accountbalance-measureofacountrysnetborrowingorlending:

    + balance=netlendingabroad

    - balance= netborrowingfrom foreigners

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    30/32

    Savings and investment

    Current-accountbalance plusthecapital

    accountbalance measuresthedifferencebetween whatacountrysavesand whatitinvests

    Ifacountry invests morethanitsaves,itmustborrow the differencefromabroad,importingcapital

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    31/32

    Other indictors

    Country debtcomposition,size

    Compositionofimports- whetheracountry isconsumingorinvestingborrowed funds

    Paymentsbalance-Reserves- totalandchangesinreserves

  • 8/6/2019 9,10 BOP Revised

    32/32