2006. josef mayer. south east europe. challenges and perspectives for economic development in the...
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South East Europe
Challenges and Perspectives for Economic Development in the Region from an Austrian Point of View
04/09/23
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Content
1. Growth Champion South East Europe
2. EU-Integration Process
3. Development of Bilateral Foreign Trade
4. Investment Place for Austrian Enterprises
5. Summary and Perspective
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Growth Champion SEE
GDP Growth
Source: EUROSTAT; BA-CA
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
180
190
200
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
19
99
=1
00
EU-25 EU-15 new MS SE-Europe Austria
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Growth Champion SEE
GDP Growth Rates 2005
Source: EUROSTAT; BA-CA
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Alb Bo-He BG HR Maz RO SeMo
ch
an
ge
in
%
EU-25
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EU-Integration Process
Bulgaria / Romania Accession Date:
expected for 1st January 2007
Commission Monitoring Reports: presentation on 26th September 2007
expected confirmation of accession date
possible safeguard measures
Ratification Process of Accession Treaty: 4 Member States (B, DK, D, F) are still missing
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EU-Integration Process
Croatia Stabilisation and Association Agreement (SAA):
in force since 1st February 2005
Accession Negotiations: official start on 3rd October 2005
continuation during Austrian EU-Presidency
closing first negotiation-chapter (science and research) at the accession conference on 12th June 2006
further opening of 7 negotiation-chapters during Finnish EU-Presidency
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EU-Integration Process
Macedonia Stabilisation and Association Agreement (SAA):
first SAA to enter into force - 1st April 2004
Application for Accession: on 9th November 2005
Candidate Status: 15th December 2005
Opening of Negotiations: depends on fulfilment of criteria for membership
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EU-Integration Process
Albania Stabilisation and Association Agreement (SAA):
signing on 12th June 2006 – during Austrian EU-Presidency
Interim Agreement: economic provisions of the SAA
should enter into force as soon as possible
Bosnia and Herzegovina Stabilisation and Association Agreement (SAA):
start of SAA-negotiations on 25th November 2005
could be concluded by the end of 2006
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EU-Integration Process
Serbia: Stabilisation and Association Agreement (SAA):
start of SAA-negotiations with former State Union on 10th
October 2005
call off negotiations on 3rd May 2006 due to a lack of full ICTY-co-operation
Montenegro: Stabilisation and Association Agreement (SAA):
continuation of SAA-negotiations in autumn 2006
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Development of Foreign Trade
Development of Exports and Imports with SEE
Source: Statistik Austria
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000
3.500
4.000
4.500
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
1.0
00
Eu
ro
exports imports
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Development of Foreign Trade
Austria‘s Exports and Imports with SEE 2005
Source: Statistik Austria
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
1.400
1.600
Alb Bo-He BG HR Maz RO SeMo
1.0
00
Eu
ro
imports exports
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Foreign Direct Investment
FDI SEE
Source: WIIW; OeNB; own research
stock data are estimated by adding flows since 2005
0
2.000
4.000
6.000
8.000
10.000
12.000
14.000
16.000
18.000
20.000
Alb Bo-He BG HR Maz RO SeMo
mill
. Eu
ro
Austria remaining countries
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Foreign Direct Investment
Austria – top investor in 5 SEE countries Romania, Croatia, Bulgaria, Serbia, Bosnia and
Herzegovina
Total amount of Austrian investment: 11 billion €
Key player in several sectors: financial services, energy, media and telecommunication,
construction, tourism
FDI promotion measures: Investment Compact
“Go International …”
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Summary and Perspective
SEE – growth champion in Europe
EU-integration process = pre-dominant engine of the development
Boom of Austrian exports to SEE
Austria – top investor in 5 SEE countries
Austria will continue its strong engagement in SEE und will further support SEE countries in the EU-integration process
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Thank
you for your
attention