the way forward- the airport view

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  • 7/28/2019 The Way Forward- The Airport View

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    The Way Forward:

    the Airport View

    Jeffrey W. Hamiel

    Executive Director

    Minneapolis/ St. Paul Metropolitan Airports Commission

    and

    Chairman, ACI - North America

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    World Growth

    In 2000 - MSP had 36,751,632 Passengers

    In 2000 - MSP had 523,146 Operations

    Project very strong growth

    In 2010

    MSP = 40,000,000

    U.S. = 1,000,000,000 World = 2,500,000,000

    Severe noise problems limit development

    worldwide

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    700

    600

    500

    400

    300

    200

    100

    0 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 200

    Year

    U.S. Passenger Growth

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    Delays Getting WorseNumber of U.S. Airport Delays

    0

    10000

    20000

    30000

    40000

    50000

    60000

    70000

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

    Airport Delay Rank

    DelayedFlights

    1998 1999 2000

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    Continuing Controversy

    Limits Airport Development

    Extensive Master Plans, public inquiries

    and environmental reviews required. Can take decades to obtain approvals.

    Not just in North America

    Throughout the world

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    Airport Restrictions are Increasing

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    Noise is Still the Primary Problem

    Limiting Airport Development

    Despite Population Reductions

    7,000,000

    6,000,000

    5,000,000

    4,000,000

    3,000,000

    2,000,000

    1,000,000

    0

    1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000Year

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    U.S.Airport expectations in

    1990 Hushkits would be used to comply with

    Chapter 3 - mainly by cargo carriers

    Higher fuel prices would drive

    replacement of older aircraft

    DC9, 727 & classic 737 would largely

    be replaced in passenger service

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    Reality in 2000:

    Real Fuel Prices DeclinedSystem Fuel Co st, Cents

    0.0

    10.0

    20.0

    30.0

    40.0

    50.0

    60.0

    70.0

    80.0

    90.0

    1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

    Avg. c ost

    Adj . C ost

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    Reality in 2000:

    Approximately 1100 relatively noisy

    aircraft remain in fleet

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    At End of U.S. Phaseout Aircraft Within

    5dB of Stage 3

    Accounted for 60% of Noise

    (5-10) dB

    28%

    (0-5) dB

    58%(10-15) dB

    9%

    (15-20) dB

    4%

    (20-25) dB

    1%

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    Benefit of Replacing

    Noisiest Stage 3 Aircraft at MSP

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    ACI-NA Survey- 62% of airport directorsfind noise a serious problem

    ACI-NA Survey - 77% of airports in favor of

    early retirement of noisiest aircraft

    U.S.General Accounting Office report - 50largest airports say noise is biggest concern

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    ICAO is the Proper Venue CAEP historic role recommending new

    certification standards

    Recommended new Chapter 4 standard

    Recommended the Balanced Approach

    Source Noise Reduction

    Operating Procedures

    Land Use Planning/Zoning

    Operating Restrictions

    Did not recommend phase-out of noisy

    Chapter 3

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    ACI Position at CAEP/5

    Adopt new Stage 4 standard 14 dB quieter

    than Chapter 3 Phase out noisiest Chapter 3 aircraft

    those within 5dB of Stage 3 in 5 years

    Interim support of operating restrictions atnoise sensitive airports

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    CAEP/5 Conclusion:

    Phase Out Not Feasible Removal from registry

    Applied world wide or regionally is

    very expensive

    Affected all aircraft within target levels

    (8, 11 or 14 dB)

    Did not achieve consensus at CAEP/5

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    However, an International Solution

    Must be Found To reinforce the Balanced Approach

    To provide targeted relief at noise

    sensitive airports

    To resolve problems of disparate local

    or regional regulations

    To permit airport capacity development

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    ICAO Sanctioned Airport Operating

    Restrictions

    Avoids proliferation of different rules

    Only applied to noise-sensitive airports

    Affects only aircraft within 5dB

    No removal from registry

    5 year phased reduction in operations 25 year or cycles-based life guarantee

    Explicitly recognize developing nations

    Consistent with Balanced Approach

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    ICAO Can Help Provide Solution

    Internationally defined restrictions

    Adopted locally

    Part of Balanced Approach