shifting gears – preparing for a transport revolution...2019/10/29 · strengths • 4g network...

Shifting Gears –Preparing For a Transport RevolutionDr Matt WenhamExecutive Director, Policy

ATSE

Australian Academy of Technology & Engineering

• The Academy (ATSE) is an independent think tank that helps Australians understand and use technology to solve complex problems

• We bring together Australia’s leading experts in technology, engineering and science to provide impartial, practical and evidence-based advice on how to achieve sustainable solutions and advance prosperity

• The Academy champions excellence and contributes robust and practical thinking to Australia’s big debates

• An elected Fellowship of almost 900 experts from industry, academia and government

The Australian Academy of Technology and Engineering

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ATSE Fellows

3Australian Academy of Technology & Engineering

Key Strategies and Focus Areas


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Industry Technology Readiness


Project Objectives

1. To examine the technology readiness of Australian industry sectors to adopt, adapt or develop new technologies and address relevant challenges, through the consideration of education, research, infrastructure, social and regulatory issues.

2. To assist policy makers to understand and facilitate the readiness of industry, and highlight future research opportunities in the face of technology disruption.

Industry Technology Readiness Projects


• Mr Drew Clarke AO PSM FTSE (co-chair) Chair, AEMO; Director CSIRO, nbn; fmr C’wealth Dept Secretary

• Ms Kathryn Fagg AO FTSE (co-chair) Chair, Boral; Director, CSIRO, NAB; fmr Board Member, Reserve Bank

• Mr David Thodey AO FTSE Chair, CSIRO Board; fmr CEO, Telstra

• Mr Michael Edwards FTSE General Manager, Boeing Research Australia

• Professor Edwina Cornish AO FTSE Fmr Provost, Monash University

• Mr Phil Butler FTSE Chairman, Textor Technologies

• Professor Beth Webster FASSA Pro Vice Chancellor Research Policy, Swinburne University

• Professor Mark Dodgson AO FASSA Professor of Innovation Studies, UQ/Imperial College London

• Professor Hugh Bradlow FTSE Academy President; former Chief Scientist, Telstra

• Professor Graham Currie FTSE Professor of Public Transport, Monash University

• Mr Ian Christensen Managing Director, iMove Australia

• Ms Marion Terrill Transport Program Director, Grattan Institute

Project Steering Committee

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2018 - Transport Sector


The report examines:• The existing transport sector• Challenges and desirable outcomes for 2030• The technology readiness of key enabling

technologies• Potential solutions/platforms• Analysis of industry readiness

Transport Technology 2030: Will Australian Industry Be Ready?


Transport Technology 2030: Will Australian Industry Be Ready?

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Infrastructure readiness

Social/ attitudinal readiness

Skills availabilityEconomic and

commercial feasibility

Policy and regulation readiness


• Joint workshop on The Future of Transport, Seoul, South Korea (with National Academy of Engineering of Korea)

• 2018 ATSE National Technology Challenges Dialogue, Melbourne, VIC

• Desktop study and international scan of:

o The existing transport sector

o Transport technologies and technology readiness levels

o Readiness metrics

• In-depth interviews with stakeholders from industry, government, research and academia

• Analysis and development of recommendations and research opportunities

Methodology


Enabling Technologies

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Digital and data• Artificial intelligence (AI)• Blockchain• Data management &

analytics

Communications, sensing and spatial• Cooperative Intelligent

Transport Systems• Dedicated Short Range

Communication• 5G wireless networks• Sensors (radar, LiDAR,

ultrasonic, infrared, IMU)• Spatial & mapping• Internet of Things (IoT)

Energy• Electrochemical batteries• Hydrogen• Supercapacitors


Not ready More work still required Ready

Readiness scale ○ ◔ ◑ ◕ ●

Readiness Indicators

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Infrastructure readiness Skills availability Social readiness

Economic and commercial feasibility

Policy and regulatory readiness

Low and zero emissions vehicles ◔ ◔ ◕ ◑ ◕Connected autonomous vehicles

◑ ◔ ◑ ◑ ◑High frequency mass transit ◔ ◔ ◕ ◑ ◑Intelligent transport systems ◔ ◑ ◕ ◑ ◑


Not ready More work still required Ready

Readiness scale ○ ◔ ◑ ◕ ●

Readiness Indicators

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Infrastructure readiness Skills availability Social readiness

Economic and commercial feasibility

Policy and regulatory readiness

Low and zero emissions vehicles ◔ ◔ ◕ ◑ ◕Connected autonomous vehicles

◑ ◔ ◑ ◑ ◑High frequency mass transit ◔ ◔ ◕ ◑ ◑Intelligent transport systems ◔ ◑ ◕ ◑ ◑


Connected Autonomous Vehicles


Strengths• 4G network coverage• Road quality• Number of CAV trials

Challenges• 5G network coverage• City planning• Rural, regional, city edge

Infrastructure Readiness

Strengths• R&D expertise• Engineering

graduations

Challenges• Manufacturing base• Retraining automotive

workforce

Skills Readiness



Strengths• Public interest• Perceived benefits

Challenges• Safety concerns• Security and privacy• Low understanding

Social Readiness

Strengths• Health cost reduction• Efficiency &

productivity gains• CAV and LEV synergy

Challenges• High vehicle cost• Potential congestion• Ratio of gov:private

funded CAV trials

Economic & Commercial Feasibility



Strengths• Gov depts, NTC aware • Broader policy work

on AI

Challenges• Long term strategic

national focus• Cybersecurity• Design Rules, vehicle

compliance• Liability & insurance• Data accessibility &

ownership

Policy & Regulatory Readiness

• Targets and regulation• Incentives for fleet uptake of LEVs• Vehicle emission standards

Mechanisms

• LEV impact on Australian emissions• EVs impact on the electricity grid• Ownership model cost/benefits

Research priorities

Recommendation 1: Implement mechanisms to drive a widespread shift towards low emission transport options


Recommendation 2: Provide a framework to regulate new transport technologies

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• Flexible and adaptive regulation• COAG to set nationally consistent

standardsMechanisms

• International best practices• Whole-of-government, integrated

transport systems viewResearch priorities


Recommendation 3: Develop and adapt transport technologies to an Australian setting

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• Grant programs to encourage Australian trials

• Integrated land use and transport planningMechanisms

• Australian transport technology priorities & adaptation

• Impact on population distribution• Obstacles and solutions, including for data science

Research priorities


Recommendation 4: Prepare the workforce for the transition to future transport models

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• STEM primary and secondary schooling• Universities and VET sector Mechanisms

• Skills requirements and gaps• Alignment with existing incentivesResearch priorities


• Engagement with federal and state governments (departments of infrastructure, transport, industry development)

• Advice for National EV Strategy development (Dept of the Environment and Energy)

• Briefings for Chief Scientist, Innovation & Science Australia• Session with COAG Transport & Infrastructure Council, November

2019Industry Technology Readiness• Health sector project underway – launch March 2020• Circular economy/waste management project – launch June 2020• Overall technology readiness findings – late 2020

Next Steps


Supported by

The Australian Academy of Technology & Engineering

www.atse.org.au/transport

shifting gears – preparing for a transport revolution...2019/10/29 · strengths • 4g network...

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