NOAA Climate Observations and Services Program

Dave GoodrichNOAA Climate Observations and Services

Program

March 19, 2002

OverviewOverview

Vision and MissionVision and Mission

Management and NOAA RolesManagement and NOAA Roles

Evolving Products and ServicesEvolving Products and Services

An Example: the Carbon CycleAn Example: the Carbon Cycle

Regional ServicesRegional Services

NOAA Climate Services

VisionVision

Seamless climate services enabling

–BBetter management of energy, agriculture, water, etc., through analyses, observations, and predictions

–AAssessment of environmental impacts of natural and anthropogenically induced changes, and the effects of remedial actions

MissionMission

Timely delivery to decision-makers ofTimely delivery to decision-makers of

•Data and productsData and products

•Expert assessmentsExpert assessments

•Predictions of climate variability and change Predictions of climate variability and change on intra-seasonal to centennial time scaleson intra-seasonal to centennial time scales

Basic ComponentsBasic Components

NOAA Climate ServicesManagementManagement

Executive Committee:AA’s for NWS, NESDIS, OAR

Climate Observations andServices Program Board

COS ProgramOffice

Advisory Panel

NOAA Climate Services

Climate Observations and Services Climate Observations and Services Program BoardProgram Board

Ants Leetmaa (Chair) – Geophysical Fluid Dyn. Lab.Daniel Albritton – Aeronomy Lab.Robert Livezey – NWS Climate ServicesJames Laver – Climate Prediction CenterThomas Karl – Natl. Climatic Data CenterArnold Gruber – Office of Research and ApplicationsDavid Goodrich – Climate Obs. and Svcs. Office

Present Lead Roles Within NOAAPresent Lead Roles Within NOAA

NESDIS

NWS

OAR

Product LineProduct LineMajor Supporting Major Supporting

ActivitiesActivities

Climatology, Assessments

S/I Prediction

Dec/Cen Assessments

Satellite Obs., Data Stewardship

Models,Surface ObservationsResearch, Ocean Obs., Models

Not inclusive; each line office has some responsibilities in each of these areas

Building to the FutureBuilding to the FutureExamples of New Products and ServicesExamples of New Products and Services

Building on CCRIBuilding on CCRI

Climate assessment scenarios – exploring options for managing greenhouse gases and aerosols

Regular documentation of carbon sources and sinks, with particular emphasis on North America

Regular attribution of recent climate trends between anthropogenic forcing and natural variability

Regular State of the Atmosphere reports

Improved local services through enhanced interactions with RISA’s, RCC’s, SC’s, and private sector

Where we were in 1998:• “3 box” world• Single 5 year period for “map”• Discrepancy between atmospheric and inventory methods

Where we’re going-- near term:• Continental scale resolution• Seasonal mapsNear term improvements needed:• Atmospheric transport models• Additional stations in under-sampled regions and over continents

Carbon maps of the future:• Fully dynamic, model-data fusion products globally• Local scale (10s of km)• Real timeFuture improvements needed:• Model-data fusion methods• Coupling with weather models• Satellite data/in situ validation

Product: “Maps” of Carbon Sources and SinksProduct: “Maps” of Carbon Sources and Sinks

Real-time Network Performance Monitoring

U.S. Climate Reference NetworkU.S. Climate Reference Network

•Partnership: CPC, NCDC, USDA, Univ. of Nebraska

•Grassroots engagement of local and regional field personnel

•“The Monitor serves as an excellent example of a collaborative effort to pull together the various sources of weather data and compile them in a single, comprehensive, national report.”

-INDC 2000 Report

Drought Status Drought Status