mr. sharon kedmi, former director general, ministry of industry, trade and labor - the israeli...
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THE ISRAELI ECONOMYSharon Kedmi | Former Director General, Ministry of Economy (Industry Trade & Labor)
Challenge's and Eco-System
Case study 1 - Internal
Overview
Case study 2 - External
Goals and challenges ahead
Orange's to Apple’s
Israel Challenges
A small country,
lacking natural resources
Israeli economy is
export oriented
Developing a global-facing Innovative industry
that can overcome geographic & geo political
challenges while leveraging the advantages
of its population Israel Challenges
3
Existence of key Success Ingredients
Israeli “DNA” mixture of knowledge, innovation & entrepreneurship
Commercialization of defense-related technologies
High quality of human resources: academia, defense, immigration
Critical mass: capital, investors, VC funds, start-ups
WORLD RECOGNIZED SOURCE OF INNOVATIVE TECHNOLOGY
Strong presence of major global technology companies
Government support: incentive plans, tax benefits
4
A small open atypical economy
Open• Market oriented policy• Inflation targeting & Public
debt reduction• A leading export base
high-tech sector• Stable banking system
Economic Survey: Israel
5
A small open atypical economy
Atypical• Significant resource
absorption by defense needs• Substantial international
trade –but limited with
neighboring economies• Complex society structure
Economic Survey: Israel
6
Challenge's and Eco-System
Case study 1 - Internal
Overview
Case study 2 - External
Goals and challenges ahead
Orange's to Apple’s
Criteria 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
GDP (current prices in $B)* 161.8 184.1 189.9 199.0 243.9 240.9
GDP Real Growth Rate(%) 5.3 4.0% 0.8% 4.8% %4.6 3.2%
GDP per Capita (PPP adjusted)
25,762$ 28,473$ 28,526$ 29,901$ $31,419 $30,476
GDP per Capita Growth Rate (%, Current prices)
3.4% 2.2% -0.9% 2.9% 2.7% 1.3%
Exports (Goods & Services) $B* (As Percentage of GDP)
71.3(44%)
83.3(45.1%)
75.1(39.5%)
85.3(42.9%)
91.0(37.3%)
90.1(37.4%)
Imports (Goods & Services) $B* (As Percentage of GDP)
73.7(45.5%)
81.3(44.0%)
71.0(37.4)
80.0(40.2%)
92.2(37.8%)
92.7(38.5%)
Unemployment Rate (%) 7.3 6.1% 7.6% 6.6% 7.1% 6.9%
Source: Ministry of Finance, Bank of Israel and CBS
Main Economic Indicators
8
GDP and Business GDP
GDP Business GDP
Annual rate of change, constant prices, 2005
4.14.4
1.1
0.5
5.05.4
4.65.1
3.2 3.32.9
3.2
2.62.9 2.8 2.9
2.6
3.5
2.72.2
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GDP Growth
10
Advanced economies,
annual rate of change,
constant prices
ISRAEL compared to
Israel’s growth rate has
exceeded the average
growth rate of advanced
economies
2004
Israel experienced
a 1.1% growth
in it’s GDP
2009
35.0 28.0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
GDP per Capita
11
$ U.S, Current prices, Current PPP, 2012
Israel
30.5
OECD
Average
35.0
Public Debt
12
93.9%
85.1%
78.6%77.4%
79.6%
76.3%74.0% 73.2%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
Effects of the global economic
crisis
As % of GDP
Unemployment Rate
13
Latest available data
8.0%6.9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Israel
6.9
OECD
Average
8.0
Challenge's and Eco-System
Case study 1 - Internal
Overview
Case study 2 - External
Goals and challenges ahead
Orange's to Apple’s
Case study – 1The Economic Stabilization Plan 1985
From Social-DemocraticEconomy
To Liberal-Capital Economy
The plan was implemented in Israel in response domestic situation of the early 1980s
1984 inflation was reaching an annual rate close to 450% and projected to reach over
1000% by the end of the 1984
1983 Israel suffered what is known as "the Bank stock crisis"
The years after the 1973 Yom Kippur War were
a lost decade, as growth stalled, inflation soared and government expenditures rose
significantly.
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Case study – 1: ContinueThe Economic Stabilization Plan 1985
This was done after a series of smaller, so-called "package deals" that were negotiated with selected entities in the Israeli
economy
Inflation was successfully brought to under 20% in less than two years
The plan brought together all the main players in the economy at the
time (the government, labor unions, and the central
bank)
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In response, in 1985 the Knesset implemented an economic stabilization plan
Case study – 1: ContinueThe Economic Stabilization Plan 1985
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Some of its main points included:
1. Significant cut in government expenditures and deficit.
2. Reaching an agreement with the labor union to enact wage controls, thus decoupling rampant wage from price inflation
3. Emergency measures imposing temporary price controls
4. A sharp devaluation of the Shekel, followed by a policy of a long-term fixed foreign exchange rate.
5. Curbing the Bank of Israel's ability to print money
Challenge's and Eco-System
Case study 1 - Internal
Overview
Case study 2 - External
Goals and challenges ahead
Orange's to Apple’s
2007-2009 World Financial Crisis
Case study – 2: External
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The worst financial crises since the great depletion of the 1930s.
It resulted in the threat of total collapse of
Large Financial
Institutions
The bailout of banks by national
governments
Downturns in stock markets
around the world
The crisis played a significant role in the failure of key businesses,
declines in consumer wealth estimated in trillions of U.S. dollars
Minimal Impact by the Global Financial Crisis
Case study – 2: External
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Strong Entry Point1
Quick and Strict Response2
Challenge's and Eco-System
Case study 1 - Internal
Overview
Case study 2 - External
Goals and challenges ahead
Orange's to Apple’s
Goals
Supporting economic growth
while reducing socio-economic
gaps via
Responsible fiscal policyIncreasing investment in human capital and infrastructure
Increasing labor participation rate and strengthening weak populations
Strengthening the economic peripheryPromoting competition and productivityImproving government regulation
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Challenge's and Eco-System
Case study 1 - Internal
Overview
Case study 2 - External
Goals and challenges ahead
Orange's to Apple’s
Leading in Science, Technology, and Innovation
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1st for entrepreneurship
1st in quality of scientific research
institutions**
1st in R&D expenditure as
% of GDP*
2nd in public
expenditure on education
5th for strength of investor protection
4th in PCT patents applications per
million population
3rd in venture capital
availability
6
Nobel Prizes
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Leading in Science, Technology, and Innovation
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Civilian R&D as % of GDP, 2009
25
North America
New York
Massachusetts
Maryland
Virginia
Wisconsin
Colorado
Illinois
Oregon
BIRD (Foundation)
Ontario CIIRDF
South America
Argentina
Uruguay
Brazil
Europe
France
Russia
Italy
Germany
Greece
Czech Republic
Bulgaria
Lithuania
Slovenia
Denmark
Hungary
Turkey
Portugal
Finland
Sweden
Ireland
Spain
Cyprus
Netherland
Cooperation in Industrial R&D
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Israel’s Free Trade Agreements
USA1985
EFTA1993
TURKEY
1997
CANADA1997
MEXICO2000
EURO2000
EGYPT2004*
JORDAN1998*
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Start up nation
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