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Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarinci Transport and Mobility Laboratory School of Architecture, Civil and Environmental Engineering Ecole Polytechnique F´ ed´ erale de Lausanne November 20, 2016 Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 1 / 31

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Page 1: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities

Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarinci

Transport and Mobility LaboratorySchool of Architecture, Civil and Environmental Engineering

Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne

November 20, 2016

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 1 / 31

Page 2: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Motivation

Outline

1 Motivation

2 Fundamental quantitiesDiscretization3D VoronoiIndicators

3 Moving walkways

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 2 / 31

Page 3: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Motivation

Motivation

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 3 / 31

Page 4: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Motivation

Motivation

A world of cities

2014: 54% of the world’s population lives in cities Source: UN

Share of walking trips in cities

Bangalore 2011: 26%

Beijing, 2011: 21%

Bogota, 2008: 15%

Delhi, 2011: 21%

London, 2011: 30%

New-York, 2010: 39%

Barcelona 2006: 38%

Berlin, 2010: 29%

Chicago, 2008: 19%

Madrid, 2006: 36%

Singapore, 2011: 22%

Mumbai, 2011: 27%

Source: [LTA Academy, 2011]

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 4 / 31

Page 5: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Motivation

Research challenges

Understand, describe andpredict

Design of facilities

Management and control

Information and guidance

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 5 / 31

Page 6: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Motivation

In this talk...

1 Characterization offundamental quantities

2 A futuristic transportationsystem: a network of movingwalkways

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 6 / 31

Page 7: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Fundamental quantities

Outline

1 Motivation

2 Fundamental quantitiesDiscretization3D VoronoiIndicators

3 Moving walkways

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 7 / 31

Page 8: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Fundamental quantities

Fundamental quantities

For pedestrians

Density k (ped/m2)

Speed v (m/s)

Flow q (ped/ms)

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 8 / 31

Page 9: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Fundamental quantities

Pedestrians 6= vehicles

Issues

Scattered fundamental diagram

Impact of spatial discretization

25603 trajectories, Lausanne trainstation, February 2013Source: [Nikolic et al., 2016]

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 9 / 31

Page 10: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Fundamental quantities Discretization

Discretization methods

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 10 / 31

Page 11: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Fundamental quantities Discretization

Discretization methods

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 11 / 31

Page 12: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Fundamental quantities 3D Voronoi

Context

Model

Space-time representation: Ω ⊂ R3

Units: meters and seconds

p = (x , y , t) ∈ Ω: physical position (x , y) in space at a specific time t

Assumption: Ω is convex (obstacle-free and bounded)

Data: trajectories

Continuous: Γi : pi (t)|pi (t) = (xi (t), yi (t), t)

Discrete (sample): Γi : pis |pis = (xis , yis , ts),ts = [t0, t1, ..., tf ]

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 12 / 31

Page 13: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Fundamental quantities 3D Voronoi

3D Voronoi diagram

Definition

For each point p ∈ Ω

For each trajectory Γi

Define a distance D(p, Γi )

Associate p with the closest trajectory:δΓ(p, Γi ) =

1, D(p, Γi ) ≤ D(p, Γj), ∀j 6= i

0, otherwise

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 13 / 31

Page 14: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Fundamental quantities 3D Voronoi

3D Voronoi diagram

Distance

D(p, Γi ) = minpi∈Γi

d(p, pi ),

Various definitions of d(·, ·) arepossible. [Nikolic and Bierlaire, 2016]

Voronoi cell for trajectory i :

Vi = p ∈ Ω|δΓ(p, Γi ) = 1

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 14 / 31

Page 15: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Fundamental quantities Indicators

Intersection with a plane

Notation

P(a,b,c),p0 : plane through p0 with normal vector (a, b, c)

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 15 / 31

Page 16: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Fundamental quantities Indicators

Intersection with a plane

Intersections

Intersection with P(0,0,1),p0

Intersection with P(a,b,0),p0

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 16 / 31

Page 17: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Fundamental quantities Indicators

Voronoi-based traffic indicators

Consider (x , y , t) ∈ Ω, and i such that (x , y , t) ∈ Vi .

Density indicator

k(x , y , t) =1

|Vi ∩ P(0,0,1),(x ,y ,t)|

Flow indicator

~q(a,b,0)(x , y , t) =1

|Vi ∩ P(a,b,0),(x ,y ,t)|

Velocity indicator

~v(a,b,0)(x , y , t) =~q(a,b,0)(x , y , t)

k(x , y , t)=

|Vi ∩ P(0,0,1),(x ,y ,t)|

|Vi ∩ P(a,b,0),(x ,y ,t)|

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 17 / 31

Page 18: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Fundamental quantities Indicators

Main findings

Data driven discretization.

Well defined and flexible.

Robust to noise in the data.

Robust to sampling of trajectories.

Details in [Nikolic and Bierlaire, 2016].

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 18 / 31

Page 19: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Moving walkways

Outline

1 Motivation

2 Fundamental quantitiesDiscretization3D VoronoiIndicators

3 Moving walkways

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 19 / 31

Page 20: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Moving walkways

Cars: kings of our cities

Surface used by streets and parkings

Houston, TX: 64.7%

Little Rock, AR: 61.2%

Milwaukee, WI: 54.1%

Washington, DC: 44.4%

Source: [Gardner, 2011]

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 20 / 31

Page 21: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Moving walkways

What about a “post car” world?

Cars are banned from cities.

The surface of streets is claimed for pedestrians.

Problem: speed.

Possible solution: moving walkways

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 21 / 31

Page 22: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Moving walkways

Paris, 1900

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 22 / 31

Page 23: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Moving walkways

Moving walkways

Sustainable

Electric

No local emission

Energy efficient

Functional

Continuous flow

Speed: accelerated movingwalkways

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 23 / 31

Page 24: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Moving walkways

Toronto Airport, today

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 24 / 31

Page 25: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Moving walkways

Costs

System Capital cost Typical costs Operational cost[M EUR/km] [EUR/pax-km] [EUR/pax-km]

Bus 0.1- 6.7 1500 0.09-0.95Light rail 8.5-83.5 2800 0.07-0.28PRT 6.7-25.4 3500 0.07-0.28AMW 34.8-54.4 7300 0.08-0.42

High capital costs

High typical costs

Competitive operational costs

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 25 / 31

Page 26: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Moving walkways

Efficiency

System Average speed Capacity Corridor width[km/h] [pax/h] [m]

Bus 15-20 1,000-4,500 3.0-4.2Light rail 15-45 1,000-30,000 2.5-3.2PRT 20-25 1,800-7,200 2.5-3.2AMW 5-12 4,500-7,500 1.2-2.3

Competitive speed

High capacity

Low space usage

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 26 / 31

Page 27: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Moving walkways

Energy

System Energy use Noise level[MJ/pax-km] [dB(A)]

Bus 0.30-1.56 70-84Light rail 0.70-2.50 60-74PRT 0.55 35-65AMW 0.11 54

Low energy consumption

Low noise level

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 27 / 31

Page 28: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Moving walkways

Network design

Case study; Geneva

Two objectives: mobility and costs.

Good trade off with 44 AMWs.

Details in [Scarinci et al., 2014] and [Scarinci et al., 2016].

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 28 / 31

Page 29: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Moving walkways

Pedestrians: new kings of smart cities?

Data

Pedestrian trajectories

Technology

Accelerated moving walkways

Models

Specification, validation, prediction

Urban Systems

Integration

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 29 / 31

Page 30: Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo Scarincitransp-or.epfl.ch/documents/talks/abuDhabi2016.pdf · Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities Michel Bierlaire Marija Nikolic Riccardo

Moving walkways

Bibliography I

Gardner, C. (2011).We are the 25%: Looking at street area percentages and surfaceparking.

LTA Academy (2011).Passenger transport mode shares in world cities.Journeys, 7:60–70.

Nikolic, M. and Bierlaire, M. (2016).Data-driven characterization of pedestrian flows.Technical Report TRANSP-OR 160815, Transport and MobilityLaboratory, Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne.

Nikolic, M., Bierlaire, M., Farooq, B., and de Lapparent, M. (2016).Probabilistic speed-density relationship for pedestrian traffic.Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, 89:58–81.

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Moving walkways

Bibliography II

Scarinci, R., Bahrami, F., Ourednik, A., and Bierlaire, M. (2016).An exploration of moving walkways as a transport system in urbancenters.Technical Report TRANSP-OR 160810, Transport and MobilityLaboratory, Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne.

Scarinci, R., Lopez, G., Hang, C. J., and Bierlaire, M. (2014).Optimization of the network design of a futuristic transport systembased on moving walkways.In Proceedings of the Swiss Transportation Research Conference,Ascona, Switzerland.

Bierlaire, Nikolic & Scarinci (EPFL) Pedestrians: the new kings of smart cities November 20, 2016 31 / 31