implications of climate change for insurance ciwem07

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Planning for climate change: sustainable insurance Jane Milne Climate Change Leader Association of British Insurers

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Page 1: Implications of climate change for insurance ciwem07

Planning for climate change: sustainable insurance

Jane Milne

Climate Change Leader

Association of British Insurers

Page 2: Implications of climate change for insurance ciwem07

Adaptation responses needed

•Habitable housing•Flexible commercial

buildings•Risk based development•Reliable transportation•Secure energy supplies•Safe and secure water

supplies•Well educated workforce•Healthy people•Resilient trading

partners

Page 3: Implications of climate change for insurance ciwem07

Which of these events is most important? (YouGov, August 2007, 2012 respondents)

Flooding 85% 16%

Drought/water restrictions 57% 32%

Heatwaves 40% 27%

Increased hay fever 28% 21%

Subsidence 26% 8%

Windstorms 23% 14%

Page 4: Implications of climate change for insurance ciwem07

Which of these events is most important? (YouGov, August 2007, 2012 respondents)

Flooding 85% 16%

Drought/water restrictions 57% 32%

Heatwaves 40% 27%

Increased hay fever 28% 21%

Subsidence 26% 8%

Windstorms 23% 14%

Page 5: Implications of climate change for insurance ciwem07

Likely insurance costs

Climate change and UK weather damage

02468

1012141618

£ b

illi

on

p.a

.

Today Average year

2040-2060s Averageyear

Today Extreme year

2040-2060s Extremeyear

Page 6: Implications of climate change for insurance ciwem07

Summer 2007

Page 7: Implications of climate change for insurance ciwem07

Extent of flooding – after 0.4m sea level rise

Page 8: Implications of climate change for insurance ciwem07

Coastlines at the front line

Page 9: Implications of climate change for insurance ciwem07

Hierarchy of choices for adaptation

Can site/properties be located outside the floodplain?

Can properties be located in the lowest flood risk areas?

Can occupied areas be raised above flood heights?

Are flood defences feasible/ cost effective?

Identify relevant property resilience options and examine alternative flood alleviation measures.

If not…

If not…

If not…

If not…

Page 10: Implications of climate change for insurance ciwem07

Managing risk

• Actions to prevent further climate change• Actions to protect us from inevitable climate change– community and regional planning – development planning– building design– product design– institutional behaviours– individual behaviours

Page 11: Implications of climate change for insurance ciwem07

Customers’ needs – personal lines

• Two thirds of people say preventing climate change is their responsibility• Around 6 out of 10 people say protecting the UK from climate change is their responsibility• Around 4 out of 10 customers say they want climate-friendly products

Page 12: Implications of climate change for insurance ciwem07

An industry initiative

• Lead in risk analysis – and share our research

•Inform public policy making

•Support climate awareness amongst our customers

• Incorporate climate change into our investment strategies

•Reduce the environmental impact of our business

•Report and be accountable

Page 13: Implications of climate change for insurance ciwem07

Reducing the risk for tomorrow