finnair group interim report 1 january – 31 march 2009

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Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

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Page 1: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Finnair GroupInterim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Page 2: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Airlines’ results in the red

The whole sector is in crisis; weak results commonplaceWeakening of demand has led to discountingDecline in cargo demand has halted at a level more than 20 per cent below a year agoThe sector has announced capacity cuts, but overcapacity is disappearing only slowlyMost companies have suffered from fuel-price hedgingCash flow from operations proving to be a very difficult issue for many airlinesIATA forecasts at least five billion dollars in losses this year

Page 3: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Finnair result collapsed

Scheduled traffic profitability very poorPrice level weakPassenger load factor has stayed reasonableScheduled traffic capacity cut, cost structure insufficiently flexibleEfficiency programmes totalling 100 million euros being implementedOperational quality and customer satisfaction on a good level

Page 4: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Poor operational resultQ1/09 Q1/08 Change %

Turnover mill. euro 515.7 572.9 -10.0

Adjusted EBITDAR* mill. euro -1.5 54.9-

Adjusted EBIT* i.e. Operational result mill. euro -47.5 7.8 -

One off items/ capital gains mill. euro -0.2 1.1 -

Fair value changes of derivatives mill. euro 23.4 -0,1 -

Operating profit/loss (EBIT) mill. euro -24.3 8,8 -

Profit before tax mill. euro -25.0 4,3 -

*excl. capital gains, fair values changes of derivatives and non recurring items

Page 5: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Profitability weakened through four quarters

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

MEUR

2005 2006 20072004 2008 2009

Change in EBIT* per quarter

*excl. capital gains, fair value changes of derivatives and non recurring items

Page 6: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Unit costs not in parity with declining revenues Change YoY

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

% Yield (EUR/RTK) Unit costs (EUR/ATK)

2006 2007 200820052004 2009

Page 7: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Unit costs reduced in the biggest components

Q1/09 Q1/08

Unit costs of flight operations* c/ATK +0.6% -5.4%

Unit costs of flight operations* excl. fuel c/ATK +1.1% -9.0%

Personnel expenses c/ATK -3.0% -8.0%

Fuel costs** c/ATK -0.6% +5.8%

Traffic charges c/ATK +4.6% -13.0%

Ground handling and catering €/psgr. +5.1% +14.8%

Sales and marketing €/psgr. -19.3% +52.1%

Aircraft lease payments and depreciation c/ATK +0.2% -16.8%

Other costs* c/ATK +9.3% -10.8%

* excluding fair value changes of derivatives and restructuring items** includes realized fuel and currency hedging outside hedge accounting ATK = Available Tonne Kilometre

Page 8: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Efficiency programmes under way

Result-improvement programmes totalling 100 million euros mostly implementedProfit impact of programmes will mostly be felt this yearSavings in personnel costs total nearly 50 million euros• More than 600 employment relationships ended, more than 6,000

temporary lay-offsKey efficiency areas:• Cut in scheduled traffic capacity –8 % v. 2008• Improvement of network cost-efficiency• Unit-specific process efficiency improvements

Successful adjustment measures in Finnair Cargo and Technical ServicesSince 2001, efficiency of operations has been enhanced by more than 400 million euros

Page 9: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Number of staff declining in 2009

8000

8500

9000

9500

10000

10500

11000

11500

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Q1 2009

Personnel on averagePersonnel

Page 10: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Hedges above the spot price

Page 11: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Hedges even out fluctuations

In the comparison, fuel costs also take into account realised hedging gains and losses of hedge accounting, which have been recognised in the income statement item 'Other expenses'

127131

46

21

-66

-4

0

50

100

150

2008Q1 Volume Price Currency Hedging 2009Q1

MEUR

Page 12: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Finnair continues its hedging policy

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2009Q2 2009Q3 2009Q4 2010Q1 2010Q2 2010Q3 2010Q4 2011Q1 2011Q2 2011Q3 2011Q4 2012Q1 2012Q2

hedge ratio

upper

low er

Page 13: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Fuel costs more than a fifth of turnover

2004: 12.6% of turnover2005: 15.6% of turnover2006: 19.4% of turnover2007: 20.3% of turnover2008: 24.6% of turnover2009: >23% of turnover

Finnair scheduled traffic has hedged 75% of its fuel purchases for the next six months, thereafter for the following 24 months with a decreasing level.

Page 14: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Cash flow in decline Cash flow statement

Q1/2009 Q1/2008

Cash flow from operations mill. euro -73 29

Investments and sale of assets mill. euro -129 -93

Investments mill. euro -128 -64

Change of advances and others mill. euro -1 -29

mill. euro

Cash flow from financing mill. euro 185 -15

mill. euro

Liquid funds at the beginning mill. euro 392 540

Change in liquid funds mill. euro -17 -79

Liquid funds* at the end mill. euro 375 461

*incl. financial interest bearing assets at fair value

Page 15: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Tournament durability is neededEquity ratio and adjusted gearing

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Q1 2009

Equity ratio Adjusted Gearing%

Page 16: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Fleet renewal programme6 E1701* E1901 A340

2006

5* E1902 A340

2007

2 A3402* E1902008

5 A3302 E1902009

3 A3302 E190

2010

*) Yhteensä neljälle E190-koneelle tehty myynti-takaisinvuokrausjärjestely

Total capex of over €400m in 2009 and approx. €300m in 2010

Page 17: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Investments safeguarded for 2009

Availability of funding has become more difficult and price has increased sharplyFunding of Finnair investment programme ensured for this yearCash reserves 375 million eurosAgreed, but unused credit facilities 200 million eurosIn addition credit facilities requiring a bank guarantee• European Investment Bank 250 million euros• Loan-back of TyEL pension funds more than 400 million euros

200 million euros commercial paper programme

Page 18: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Pilots’ contract negotiations continue

Old agreement was made in different conditions

Inflexibilities in pilots’ employment terms being addressed

Normalised retirement age

Power of decision on use of company's aircraft

Pay to correspond with productivity

New rest and free days would raise costs

Page 19: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Finnair’s full year loss-makingBusiness travel is falling and price level weakening furtherScheduled traffic capacity at least eight per cent below last yearBig investments, A330 aircraft replacing MD-11 aircraftFunding for investments arranged for this yearEfficiency programmes being implementedLeisure Traffic fleet arrangements will be decided in near futurePilots’ employment contract negotiations still incompleteSecond quarter clearly loss-makingVisibility is limited, but full year operational result expected to be negative

Page 20: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Appendices

Page 21: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Segment results*

Mill. euro Q1/2009 Q1/2008Scheduled Passenger Traffic -50.3 -3.7Leisure Traffic 5.5 11.1Aviation Services 2.3 2.5Travel Services -1.5 0.4Unallocated items -3.5 -2.5Total -47.5 7.8

* Operating profit, excluding capital gains, fair value changes of derivatives and non restructuring items

Page 22: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

ROE and ROCE Rolling 12 months

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

Q1 200

4

Q2 200

4

Q3 200

4

Q4 200

4

Q1 200

5

Q2 200

5

Q3 200

5

Q4 200

5

Q1 200

6

Q2 200

6

Q3 200

6

Q4 200

6

Q1 200

7

Q2 200

7

Q3 200

7

Q4 200

7

Q1 200

8

Q2 200

8

Q3 200

8

Q4 200

8

Q1 200

9

% ROE ROCE

Page 23: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Average yield and costs EUR c/RTK & EUR c/ATK

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

Yield (EUR/RTK) Unit costs (EUR/ATK)

2006 2007 200820052004 2009

Page 24: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Investments and cash flowfrom operations

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Q1 2009

Operational net cash flow InvestmentsMEUR

Page 25: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Aircraft operating lease liabilities

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Q1 2009

MEUR Flexibility, costs, risk management

On 31 March all leases were operating leases. If capitalised using the common method of multiplying annual aircraft lease payments byseven, the adjusted gearing on 31 March 2009 would have been91,5%

Page 26: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Finnair Financial Targets

”Sustainable value creation”

Operating profit (EBIT)

EBIT margin at least 6% => over 120 mill. € in the coming few years

EBITDAREBITDAR margin at least 17% => over 350 mill. € in the coming few years

Economic profit

Pay out ratio Minimum one third of the EPS

Adjusted Gearing

Gearing adjusted for aircraft lease liabilities not to exceed 140 %

To create positive value over pretax WACC of 9,5%

Page 27: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

Finnair’s Financial Targets Description of targets

Operating profit (EBIT)

EBITDAR

Economic profit

Pay out ratio

Adjusted Gearing

Turnover + other operating revenues – operating costs

Result before depreciation, aircraft lease payments and capital gains

Operating profit EBIT – Weighted Average Cost of Capital

Interest bearing debt + 7*Aircraft lease payments – liquid funds) / (Equity + minority interests)

Dividend per share / Earnings per share

Page 28: Finnair Group Interim Report 1 January – 31 March 2009

www.finnair.com/group

Finnair Group Investor Relationsemail: [email protected]

tel: +358-9-818 4951fax: +358-9-818 4092