finnair group interim report january 1 - june 30, 2003
TRANSCRIPT
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Finnair GroupInterim Report
January 1 - June 30, 2003
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Industry faced tough times
• Effects of Iraq war and SARS even bigger than 911
• Economic situation still weak
• Tough competition
• Cost cutting resulted in lay-offs and new structures
• Losses for industry financiers
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Finnair Q2/2003
• 8,0 %-unit loss in passenger load factors primarily because of SARS epidemic
• Business class down 18,1 %• Pressure on yields• 160 MEUR cost cutting programme proceeds
as planned• Strong financial position, net debt close to nil
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AEA and Finnair demandScheduled Traffic
Total traffic (RPK) Year-on-year change TOTAL - Traffic (RPK) growth YoY in %
-35,0 %
-25,0 %
-15,0 %
-5,0 %
5,0 %
15,0 %
25,0 %
35,0 %
45,0 %
35 38 41 44 47 50 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30
Week
Gro
wth
in %
Total AEA
AY
AEA: Association of European Airlines
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Ups...Operating expenses -5.7 %
Unit costs -2.1 %
Staff costs -4.4%, at the end of June 877
employees less than year before
Strong financial position
Considerable savings also on other costs, except
for...
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…and Downs
...traffic and authority charges
Turnover -14.2 %,
Passenger load factor -8 %-unit, Asia -28.2 %-unit
despite of severe capacity cuts
Negative trend in business class demand and
price competition dropped yield by 4.4 %
Two-day illegal industrial action in June
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Finnair Asian demand vs. AEAFEA - Traffic (RPK) growth YoY in %
-60,0 %
-40,0 %
-20,0 %
0,0 %
20,0 %
40,0 %
60,0 %
Week
Ch
an
ge %
Total AEA
AY
AEA: Association of European Airlines
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-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
EBIT from operations Capital gainsMEUR
1999 2000
EBIT per quarter
2001 2002 2003
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-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
MEUR
1999 2000
Change in EBIT per quarter Excluding capital gains from asset disposals
2001 20022003
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-10
-5
0
5
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
Yield (EUR/ RTK) Unit costs (EUR/ ATK)
Both yield and unit costs down
%
2002 2003
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Leisure traffic Leisure Flights and Suntours Ltd
• Overall demand still down, might lead to over capacity
• Market leader Aurinkomatkat-Suntours further strengthened its position
• Finnair Leisure Flights a clear market leader• Q2 capacity down 8.3% => turnover down
12.8 %• Weakened profitability • Yields -0.5 %• Customer satisfaction remains good
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Finnair Cargo
• Capacity cuts and weak global economy resulted in decreasing revenues
• Cargo tonnes carried (Q2) -7.3 %• Cuts in chartered cargo capacity• Tougher price competition particularly on North
Atlantic cargo markets• Negative result
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Aviation ServicesAircraft maintenance services, ground handling and
catering
• Turnover down 11.1% due to remarkably decreased volumes and price levels
• Successful adaptation of operating expenses, increased profitability
• Ground handling operations at most domestic airports outsourced
• FinnHandling AB set up at Stockhom Arlanda• Finnair Catering Oy has transferred its wine
wholesale operations to new SkyCellar Oy of which Finnair Catering Oy owns 19.9%
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Travel servicesSMT, Area, Amadeus Finland, Estravel
• Turnover down by 19.9.% due to weak economic situation and declining yields
• Result halved• Management and transaction fees established• As of 1 September 2003 no commissions paid for
Finnair tickets in Finland
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Liquidity has remained strong
CASH FLOW STATEMENT (MEUR) Q2/2003 Q2/2002
Cash flow from operations 20 53
Investments and sale of assets 8 24
Cash flow from financing -31 -95
Change in liquid funds -3 -18
Liquid funds at the beginning 302 215
Liquid funds at the end 299 197
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Net debt close to nilMEUR
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
I nterest bearing debtLiquid fundsNet debt
June 30, 2003
Liquid funds € 299 mill. Loan facilities € 219 mill.
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Strong balance sheet, big bufferEquity ratio and gearing
%
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•In 2003 eight additional A320 series aircraft, total of 25 by the end of the year•In 2004 orders for one A320, one A319 and two leased A320 series aircraft•MD80 aircraft operations continue for the time being•Whole year investments approximately 80 MEUR
Actively implemented fleet strategy
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•Last DC-9 flight in July•European jet flights in coming years with Airbus A320 series aircraft, domestic operations with MD80s
•Huge savings from fleet commonality
•Positive impact on eco-efficiency
DC-9 operations in history
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Strategy remains unchanged
• Cost efficiency vs. competitors
• Competitive edge from distinct, superior product
• Partnerships/alliances
• Growth from Asia, Baltic Sea region and Scandinavia
• Sustainable, profitable growth, focus on core business and more flexibility through structural changes
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160 MEUR cost-cutting programme proceeds on time
•Group unit costs -15% by 2005•Permanent changes in cost and operating structure•Main focus on fixed costs•Share of personnel costs over 60 million euros•1200 cut in manpower over two years•Structural adjustments bring new flexibility and savings•Increased efficiency and productivity through fleet renewal
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At the end of June 877 employees less than year before
7 000
8 000
9 000
10 000
11 000
12 000
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Nordic Airlink
• Finnair acquires 85% of shares• New low-cost airline Nordic Airlink expands and
deepens operations in Scandinavia• Five MD-80 aircraft in fleet breeds synergy• Competitive cost structure• Turnover MSEK 240 (25.6 MEUR), approx. 200 000
passengers in 2003• Operations on mainly busy routes with monopoly at
work in terms of services and price
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Short-term outlook• Demand slowly picking up. Global economy still
weak. • Cost cutting proceeding, but full year result
expected to be a clear loss • Finnair introduces totally new price concepts• New growth in Scandinavia through airline
acquisition• Strong expansion in Asia continues• Aero Airlines prepared to expand into Finnish
domestic traffic
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Appendices
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Q2/2003 in short:Operating loss excl. capital gains EUR 9,9 million
Q2/2003 Q2/2002
Turnover, mill.€ 366,1 426,9
EBITDAR 38,9 76,6
EBIT -5,5 30,2
- EBIT excl. capital gains -9,9 29,4
Pre tax profit -6,4 27,8
Capital gains 4,3 0,8
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Passenger load factor and yield decreased during the second quarter of 2003
Q2/2003H1/2003
• Demand (RPK) - 15,4 % -3,3 %• Capacity (ASK) - 4,8 % +3,4 %• Passenger load factor - 8,0 %-points -4,7 %-points
• Yield (EUR/RTK) - 4,4 % - 7,0 %• Unit costs (EUR/ATK) - 2,1 % - 2,6 %
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Development of Group business units
Operating loss/profit, EBIT excl. capital gains
Q2/ 2003 Q2/ 2002Mill. EURScheduled traffic - 5,7 26,6Leisure traffic 1,2 5,8Cargo - 1,6 0,2Aviation services 0,7 - 0,8Travel services 1,1 2,6Support services - 5,6 - 5,0Total -9,9 29,4
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Business and tourist class volumesInternational scheduled traffic
Business class:Finnair + Aero
Q3/2001 -16.2%Q4/2001 -18.6 %Q1/2002 -18.7 %Q2/2002 - 6.9 %Q3/2002 - 4.1 %Q4/2002 - 0.8 %Q1/2003 - 4.3 %Q2/2003 -18,1%
GROWTH IN BUSINESS CLASS vs TOURIST CLASS (incl. AERO)(International scheduled traffic)
-25,0
-20,0
-15,0
-10,0
-5,0
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
01
.00
03
.00
05
.00
07
.00
09
.00
11.0
0
01
.01
03
.01
05
.01
07
.01
09
.01
11.0
1
01
.02
03
.02
05
.02
07
.02
09
.02
11.0
2
01
.03
03
.03
05
.03
07
.03
%
business tourist
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Iraq war and SARS epidemic have also decreased European volumes due to gateway travel through Helsinki
PASSENGER LOAD FACTORS (incl. Aero)
73,0
81,6 83,0
59,356,2
90,0
68,365,3
73,1
56,053,1
90,2
0
10
2030
40
50
60
7080
90
100
All Far East N-Atlantic Europe Domestic Leisure
%
prev-y act.
January 03 - July 03
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EBITDAR, without capital gains
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2000200120022003
Mill. EUR
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Investments financed with cash flow from operations
Estimated investments 2003 about 80 million euros
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
1998/ 99 1999/ 00 2000 2001 2002 H1/ 2003
Operational cash flow Investments
Mill. EUR
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Operating lease liabilities of aircraft have increased in line with the strategy
Flexibility, competitive cost, residual risk management
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
MEUR
1998/ 99 1999/ 00 2000 2001 2002 Q2 2003
At the end of June 2003 all aircraft leases are operating leases. If the leaseliability inherent in an operating lease would be capitalized using theindustry standard method (= annual lease payments x 7), the adjusted gearing would have been approximately 100% at the end of June 2003.
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TRAFFIC GROWTH vs PASSENGER LOAD FACTOR (incl. Aero)12 m rolling sum
-4,0
-2,0
0,0
2,0
4,0
6,0
8,0
10,0
12,0
14,0
16,0
01.9
6
01.9
7
01.9
8
01.9
9
01.0
0
01.0
1
01.0
2
01.0
3
rpkY-o-y growth %
56,0
58,0
60,0
62,0
64,0
66,0
68,0
70,0
72,0
74,0
76,0plf %
change, y-o-y (left) passenger load factor (right)
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Jet fuel price developmentUSD/Tonne and EUR/Tonne
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
01/96 07/96 01/97 07/97 01/98 07/98 01/99 07/99 01/00 07/00 01/01 07/01 01/02 07/02 01/03 07/03
USD
EUR
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ROE and ROCE rolling 12 months
-6
-3
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
21
Q22000
Q32000
Q42000
Q12001
Q22001
Q32001
Q42001
Q12002
Q22002
Q32002
Q42002
Q12003
Q22003
ROE ROCE
%
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Superiority of product
• Direct to 30 destinations in the world– no time-consuming transfers at crowded airports
• Best schedules– morning-evening concept
• One of the most punctual in Europe with least cancellations
• Top class service in Europe• oneworld - alliance with best quality and best
coverage– good connections to 135 countries
• New aircraft in European traffic and renewed Business Class in long-haul traffic
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Finnair Financial Targets”Sustainable value creation”
Operating profit (EBIT)
EBIT margin at least 6% => 110-120 mill. € in the coming few years
EBITDAR EBITDAR margin at least 17% => over 300 mill. € in the coming few years
Economic profit To create positive value over pretax WACC of 10% not later than 2004
Pay out ratio Minimum one third of the EPS
GearingNet Debt to Equity max 0.6
Equity ratio Equity to Balance Sheet total more than 30%
Total Shareholder Return (TSR)
On average 15% annual TSR => to double the value for shareholders in five years
Market Cap Price to Book minimum target 1.0
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Finnair’s financial targets description of scorecards
Operating profit(EBIT)
Turnover + other operating revenues – operating costs =operating profit
EBITDAR Result before depreciation, aircarft lease payments and capitalgains
Economic profit Operating profit EBIT – Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Gearing (Interest bearing debt – liquid funds) /(Equity + minority interests)
Equity ratio (Equity + minority interests) /(Balance sheet total – advances received)
Pay out ratio Dividend per share / Earnings per share
Total shareholderreturn (TSR)
Total return for shareholders including dividend paid out duringcertain period. Expects that dividend is invested back intoFinnair shares immediately.
Price to book ratio Finnair’s market value calculated on the basis of its share pricedivided by its book equity
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www.finnair.com
Finnair Group Investor Relationsemail: [email protected]
tel: +358-9-818 4951fax: +358-9-818 4092