designing futures to flourish: isss 2015 keynote
TRANSCRIPT
Designing a Futuresfor Flourishing
Peter Jones, PhD
OCAD University, TorontoDialogic Design International
2015 International Society for the Systems Sciences, Berlin
Reframing thelong crisisof theAnthropocene
Pope Francis, June 17, 2015
INTEGRAL ECOLOGY
“Since everything is closely interrelated, and today’s problems call for a visioncapable of taking into account every aspect of the global crisis, I suggest that wenow consider some elements of an integral ecology, one which clearly respects itshuman and social dimensions.”
“We urgently need a humanism capable of bringing together the different fields ofknowledge, including economics, in the service of a more integral and integratingvision. Today, the analysis of environmental problems cannot be separated fromthe analysis of human, family, work related and urban contexts, nor from howindividuals relate to themselves, which leads in turn to how they relate to othersand to the environment”
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Training new Systems Thinkers & Designers.
MDes STRATEGIC FORESIGHT & INNOVATION• Business & Design Thinking• Human Factors• Systemic Design / Systems Thinking• Innovation Research Methods• Strategic Foresight• Innovation Strategy• Business Model Innovation• Strategic research with faculty & students
Kelly Kornet (2015) Causing an Effect. Major Research Project, OCAD University.
William Georg (2015) From the Bottom of the Pyramid to the Bottom Line. Major Research Project, OCAD University.
If we are all entailed within a long crisis(or “emergency”)
Then, the creation of hope …
(as Andy Stirling said) becomes critical.
Harness fearlessness & novel experience ofstudents & new stakeholders.
Hasan Ozbekhan, Toward a General Theory of Planning, 1967
“Matters of Concern”Modes of ExistenceThe Bad Anthropocene
Kelly Kornet (2015) Causing an Effect. Major Research Project, OCAD University.
Shearing layers
Multiple sources: Stewart Brand (1994),
All connected – But different timescales
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Communications & Coordination
Community Projects & Arts
Policy & Social Services
Ecological StewardshipCommunity Stewardship
Resources StewardshipSocio-ecological Stewardship
Rich Picture Modeling
CHANGE
PREDICTION &FORESIGHT
UNDERSTANDING
DESIGN
TeamSyntegration
SimulationSystemigrams
BoundaryCritique / CSH
GIGAmap
Scenarioplanning
Soft SystemsMethodology
Dialogic Design
AppreciativeInquiry
SYSTEMS THINKING METHODS BY DESIGN INTENT
Novel – Future or unknown
Reform of the known system
SystemDynamics
DevelopmentalEvaluation
Design or VisualCyberneticEvaluativeSocial, Participatory
Systemic Design adapts methods to problem
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Strongly Sustainable BusinessModel adapted to future designof “Flourishing Cities”
5-10 year foresight (2nd Horizon)
Canvas + Generative workshop
- Ontological Design- Convergent & redirective- Foresight (Anticipatory)- Boundary Critique- Rich Picture Models
Tetrad (foresight) method to (futures) problem
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Tetrad cycle adapted to civicengagement for “transition toresilience”
5-10 year foresight (2nd Horizon)
Tetrad + Panel + dialogic workshop
- Stakeholder discovery- Redirective practice- Foresight (Anticipatory)- Boundary Critique- Transition design models
Collaborative foresight method adapted tostrategic policy
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Dialogic Design adapted forstakeholder inquiry for SSHRCImagining Canada’s Future
20 year foresight (3rd Horizon)
SDD (Dialogic workshop +Influence map + strategic research)
- Structured Dialogic Design- Stakeholder discovery- Collaborative Foresight- Boundary critique- Strategic advisory
OCAD UniversityUniversity of WindsorYork UniversityRyerson UniversityUOIT
"In the face of intensified urbanization worldwide, what arethe highest impact social & human challenges for SouthernOntario, now through 2030?”
13 Challenges by Leverage + Vote
Top Ten social challenges for social sciences policy funding(what SSHRC wanted) represented from influence map:
1. Advancing a diverse and inclusive society2. Enabling equitable access to ICT3. Governing ourselves responsively4. Designing sustainable cities5. Overcoming fear of change6. Including indigenous rights in planning7. Transitioning to a digital economy8. Upgrading transportation systems9. Stewarding regional ecosystems10. Supporting our aging population
Systemic design methods for strategic policy
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Stakeholder workshop series for SSHRC3rd Horizon policy finding:Canadian Governance in the Digital Era
Stakeholder workshops + Gigamapping
- Foresight (3 Horizons)- GIGAmap visual model design- Open Space + Small group work- Transition design- Strategic advisory
Governance in the Digital Era
Reinventing Democracy in the Digital Era
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reinventdemocracy.info
• Future Worlds Center (Yiannis Laouris) and UNDEF• SDD workshops held in 5 different cities across 4
continents• 1000 young people design action plans and lay the
foundations for coordinated actions• Plans & media co-production• 5 awards will be offered for participating groups
Bears striking consonance with SSHRC interests inmobilization and partnership
Stakeholder coalition formationStakeholder discoveryHarnessing commitment & continuity across events
Plenty of Questions for the Early Anthropocene
• If scientific institutions are at risk of the political sphere, howmight we best apply knowledge to action?
• Can an Action Design pedagogy & program result in betterpolicy & governance?
• Given the trends, how might we …- Better enact long-horizon actions from creative planning?- Envision & enact approaches to coalition formation?- Engage systemic methods across differing cultures & “Modesof Existence”?
• The “cathedral” layers of ecodemocracy are pure feedforward.How will we track, guide, & facilitate bioregion design plans?