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    Pathophysiology of Obesity

    and CVD

    Endocrine and Metabolism Drug AdvisoryCommittee

    Food and Drug Administration

    March 28, 2012

    Robert H. Eckel, M.D.Professor of Medicine

    Professor of Physiology and Biophysics

    Charles A. Boettcher II Chair in AtherosclerosisUniversity of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus

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    CVD Mortality and Obesity:

    Cancer Prevention Study II

    0.6

    1.0

    1.4

    1.8

    2.2

    2.6

    3.0 Men (n=84,376)Women (n=217,857)

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    Metabolic Pathophysiology

    of Obesity and CVD

    Hypertension

    Dyslipidemia

    Inflammation Diabetes

    3

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    4

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    The Role of Adipose Tissue

    and Adipose Tissue

    Distribution andthe Metabolic Syndrome

    5

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    Visceral vs. Subcutaneous Adipose

    TissueAdipose Tissue

    Function

    Visceral vs.

    SubcutaneousInsulin action Subcutaneous

    Catecholamine action Visceral

    Leptin Subcutaneous

    PAI-1 Visceral/Subcutaneous

    Angiotensinogen Visceral

    IL-6 (cytokines) Visceral

    Adiponectin Subcutaneous

    6

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    Subcutaneous Fat

    Abdominal Muscle

    Layer

    Intra-abdominal

    Fat

    Visceral Adiposity:

    The Critical Adipose Depot

    7

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    77

    4655

    106

    8997

    128

    110

    83

    Abdominal Obesity and Coronary Heart

    Disease in Women: The Nurses Health Study

    LowMiddleHigh

    High (81.8 -

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    Relationship Between Visceral Adipose

    Tissue and Insulin Action1818

    1616

    1414

    1212

    1010

    88

    66

    44

    22

    0000 1,0001,000 2,0002,000 3,0003,000 4,0004,000 5,0005,000

    Visceral adipose tissue volumeVisceral adipose tissue volumeper unit surface area (mL/mper unit surface area (mL/m22))

    Glucosedisposal(mg/kgLBM/min)

    Glucosedisposal(mg/kgLBM/min)

    Banerji et al.Am J Physiol1997; 273: E425E432

    WomenWomen

    MenMen

    9

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    10/186Weyer C et al. J Clin Invest104: 787, 1999

    500

    400

    300

    200

    100

    00 1 2 3 4 5

    InsulinSecretion(U/mL

    )

    Insulin Action (mg/kg EMBS per minute)

    Normal Glucose

    Tolerance

    InsulinResistance

    -CellFailure

    ImpairedGlucose

    Tolerance

    Type 2

    Diabetes

    Pathogenesis: -Cell Compensation

    and Decompensation and T2DM

    10

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    Hypertension

    FFA

    FFA

    Glycogen

    Triglyceride(intramuscular droplet)

    CO2

    -

    -

    -

    Glucose

    { ITNF-L-6{

    PAI-1Fibrinogen

    ProthromboticState

    Adiponectin-

    IL-6

    Insulin

    InsulinVLDL

    TG

    C-III

    C-II

    B-100HDL cholesterol

    small dense LDLand

    -

    CRP

    SNSFFA

    Eckel RH et al, Lancet365:1415, 2005

    Insulin Resistance Metabolism

    11

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    The Link Between Insulin Resistance

    and Endothelial Dysfunction

    Steinberg HO, Baron AD. Diabetologia. 2002;45:623-634.

    Caballero AE. Obesity Res. 2003;11:1278-1289.

    Lipolytically Active

    Abdominal Adipose

    Tissue IL-1, IL-6, TNF

    Vasodilation

    Shear Stress

    Inflammation

    AtherosclerosisThrombosis

    CRP

    PAI-1

    Vascular Endothelium

    12

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    Pathogenesis of Hypertriglyceridemia

    inThe Metabolic Syndrome

    production of atherogenic apoB-containing TG-rich lipoproteins Small VLDL (Sf 20-60)

    Apo B:C-III:E-containing VLDL

    IDL (Sf 10-20)

    Remnants

    removal of TG-rich lipoproteins

    13

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    FFA

    VLDL

    Insulin

    Resistance

    TGSynthesis

    apo B-100apo C-III

    SREBP-1c

    TG Storage

    VLDL

    apo C-III

    LPL

    Hypertriglyceridemia

    Obesity

    TG

    FFA

    Fat Mass

    Eckel RH,ATVB, 31:1946, 2011

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    Pathogenesis of Decreased HDL

    Cholesterol inThe Metabolic Syndrome

    cholesterol content of HDL TG CETP LPL production of HDL2

    HDL3 clearance

    15

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    Inflammatory Markers and Insulin

    Resistance

    Yudkin, JS et al,ATVB 19:976, 200115

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    CRP by Number of Metabolic Disorders

    (Dyslipidemia, Upper Body Adiposity,

    Insulin Resistance, Hypertension)

    0.0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    1.0

    1.2

    1.4

    1.6

    Mea

    nValueofLogCRP

    0 1 2 3 4

    Number of Metabolic Disorders

    Festa et al. Circulation 102:42-7, 200016

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    More Metabolic Syndrome

    Other associated conditions

    uric acid and gout Cognitive dysfunction Polycystic ovarian syndrome

    Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

    Obstructive sleep apnea

    17

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    19

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    Cardiac Abnormalities in Obesity

    Coronary heart disease Diastolic dysfunction

    Left ventricular hypertrophy +/- failure eccentric concentric

    adipositas cordis (cardiomyopathy of obesity) Right ventricular hypertrophy

    Pulmonary hypertension

    obstructive sleep apnea

    central hypoventilation

    thromboembolic disease

    deep venous thrombosis

    Autonomic dysfunction Arrhythmias, prolonged QTc, sudden death

    20

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    21

    20

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    Cardiovascular Adaptations

    in Obesity

    Interstitial fluid

    Vasodilatation

    peripheral resistance

    Left ventricular end diastolic

    pressure

    Heart rate

    Cardiac outputPoirier P and Eckel RH: The Heart and Obesity, Chpt 83, 2000, In: Hurst's The Heart22

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    Cardiac Abnormalities in Obesity

    Coronary heart disease

    23

    H d R ti f th Ri k f Di b t

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    Hazard Ratio for the Risk ofDiabetesOver 17 Years in Healthy Young Adults, According

    to BMI in Adolescence and in Adulthood37,674 young men, Staff Periodic Exam,

    Israeli Army Medical Corps

    24 Tirosh A et al. NEJM364:1315, 2011

    H d R ti f th Ri k f C H t Di

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    Hazard Ratio for the Risk ofCoronary Heart DiseaseOver 17 Years in Healthy Young Adults, According

    to BMI in Adolescence and in Adulthood37,674 young men, Staff Periodic Exam,

    Israeli Army Medical Corps

    25 Tirosh A et al. NEJM364:1315, 2011

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    Cardiac Abnormalities in Obesity

    Coronary heart disease Diastolic dysfunction

    Left ventricular hypertrophy +/- failure eccentric concentric

    adipositas cordis (cardiomyopathy of obesity) Right ventricular hypertrophy

    Pulmonary hypertension

    obstructive sleep apnea

    central hypoventilation

    thromboembolic disease

    Deep venous thrombosis

    26

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    Myocardial Response to ObesIty

    and Insulin Resistance Cardiac myocyte hypertrophy

    Insulin-like growth factor-1

    Myocardial ischemia

    Microangiopathy

    Endothelial dysfunction

    Reduced cardiac function

    Impairment in myocyte calcium

    transport

    Alteration in contractile proteins

    Interstitial fibrosis

    Cardiac arrhythmias

    Prolonged action potential

    Electrical remodeling

    Autonomic neuropathy

    Parasympathetic Sympathetic

    Metabolic factors

    Dysglycemia

    Intracellular triglyceride

    accumulation

    Myocardial

    inflammation Oxidative stress

    AGEs

    Mitochondrial dysfunction Apoptosis

    27

    H t i d Ob it

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    Hypertension and Obesity:

    NHANES III (1988-1994)

    Brown CD et al, Obes Res 8:605, 2000

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    Mechanisms Relating Obesity to

    Hypertension

    Narkiewicz K et al Obes Rev7:155, 2006

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    Duration of Severe Obesity:

    Systolic Blood Pressure

    Alpert MA et al. Am J Card 76:1194, 1995

    110

    115

    120

    125

    130

    135

    140

    0 5 10 15 20 25 30

    years

    Systolic

    bloodpres

    sure(mmH

    G)

    30

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    Duration of Severe Obesity:

    LV End Diastolic Dimension

    Alpert MA et al. Am J Card 76:1194, 1995

    4

    4.5

    5

    5.5

    6

    6.5

    7

    0 5 10 15 20 25 30

    years

    LV

    dim

    ens

    ion

    dia

    stole

    (mm

    )

    31

    CVD M li H i i h

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    CVD Mortality, Hypertension in the

    Womens Health Initiative

    Oparil S, Card Rev14:267, 200632

    C t ib t t H t i i th

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    Contributors to Hypertension in the

    Womens Health Initiative

    Oparil S, Card Rev14:267, 200633

    C di Ab li i i Ob i

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    Cardiac Abnormalities in Obesity

    Coronary heart disease Diastolic dysfunction

    Left ventricular hypertrophy +/- failure eccentric concentric

    adipositas cordis (cardiomyopathy of obesity)

    Right ventricular hypertrophy Pulmonary hypertension

    obstructive sleep apnea

    central hypoventilation

    thromboembolic disease

    Deep venous thrombosis

    Autonomic dysfunction Arrhythmias, prolonged QTc, sudden death34

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    ECG Changes Found in Obesity

    Clinically significant

    Heart rate

    QRS interval

    QT

    c

    interval

    False positive criteria for inferior myocardial infarction

    Less clinically significant

    QT dispersion

    SAECG (late potentials)

    or

    QRS voltage

    PR interval

    ST-T abnormalities

    ST depression

    Left axis deviation

    Flattening of the T wave (inferolateral leads)

    Left atrial abnormalities

    Poirier P and Eckel RH: Cardiovascular Complications of Obesity and the

    Metabolic Syndrome, In: Cardiovascular Medicine, 200735

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    Arrhythmias in Obesity

    Atrial fibrillation

    Late potentials (SAECG) Prevalence and number of abnormalities increases with

    increasing obesity Irrespective of the presence of hypertension or

    diabetes

    May be facilitated by Myocyte hypertrophy

    Abnormal heart rate variability

    Focal myocardial disarray Fibrosis

    Fat infiltration

    Mononuclear infiltration

    Poirier P, Cardiovascular complications of obesity and weight loss :

    pathogenesis and clinical recognition, Monograph, 200636

    B fit f W i ht R d ti th

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    Benefits of Weight Reduction on the

    Cardiovascular System

    blood volume

    stroke volume

    cardiac output pulmonary capillary wedge pressure

    left ventricular mass

    Improvement of left ventricular diastolic dysfunction Improvement of left ventricular systolic dysfunction

    resting heart rate

    QTc interval heart rate variability

    Poirier P and Eckel RH: Cardiovascular Complications of Obesity and the

    Metabolic Syndrome, In: Cardiovascular Medicine, 200737

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    Changes in

    CardiacGeometry and

    Function TwoYears after

    Bariatric Surgery

    Owan T et al, JACC 57:732, 201138

    Eff t f B i t i S Ph i l

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    Effect of Bariatric Surgery on Physical

    and ECG ParametersPre

    surgeryPost

    surgeryp Pre

    surgeryPost

    surgeryp

    Men (n=32) Women (n=68)

    Age (year) 4011 439 0.12Weight(kg)

    173.141.

    2

    103.921.

    1

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    Conclusions

    Obesity confers an increased risk for CVD.

    Insulin resistance is a major contributor tothe CVD co-morbidities.

    Hypertension in particular is a major player. Myocardial dysfunction is common, and is

    biventricular and multi-factorial.

    Cardiac arrhythmias are present and relate

    to many aspects of obesity and its co-

    morbidities.40

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    Thank You!

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    Obesity and Type 2 DiabetesMeeting on Obesity DrugsEndocrinologic and Metabolic Drugs Advisory Comm

    March 28, 2012

    William C. Knowler, MD, DrPH

    National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney DisePhoenix AZ, USA

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    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

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    Multicenter randomized clinical trial in U.SMulticenter randomized clinical trial in U.S.

    Hypothesis: Type 2 diabetes can beHypothesis: Type 2 diabetes can beprevented or delayed by treating modifiablprevented or delayed by treating modifiabl

    risk factorsrisk factors Persons at high risk of type 2 diabetesPersons at high risk of type 2 diabetes

    199619962001 with long2001 with long--term followterm follow--up to 201up to 201

    Diabetes Prevention Program (DPDiabetes Prevention Program (DP

    NEJ M 346: 393346: 393--403, 2002403, 2002

    (

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    Age >

    25 years

    Plasma glucose

    Fasting 5.3-

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    Diabetes Prevention ProgramDiabetes Prevention Program

    Eligible participantsEligible participants

    Placebo

    Metformin

    Lifestyle (ILS)Lifestyle (ILS)

    Randomized

    n = 1082 n = 1073 n = 1079

    Total n = 3,2NEJ M 346: 393346: 393--403, 2002403, 2002

    M W i h Ch i h DP

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    Plac

    Met

    Life

    Mean Weight Change in the DPMean Weight Change in the DP

    NEJ M 346: 393346: 393--403, 2002403, 2002

    P t d l i di b t

    DPP I id f Di b tDPP I id f Di b t

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    0 1 2 3 4

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40Placebo (n=1082)Metformin (n=1073, p

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    Diabetes Incidence Rates in DPP

    0

    4

    8

    12

    PLAC MET ILS

    Ca

    ses/100p

    erson-yr

    31% 58%

    11.0 7.8 4.8

    NEJ M 346:393-403, 2002

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    Diabetes Incidence Rates by EthnicityDiabetes Incidence Rates by Ethnicity

    The DPP Research Group, NEJ M 346:393-403, 2002

    0

    4

    8

    12

    White

    (n=1768)

    African

    American(n=645)

    Hispanic

    (n=508)

    American

    Indian(n=171)

    Asian

    (n=142

    C

    ases/100

    person-

    yr

    Lifestyle Metformin Placebo

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    Keys to DPP Lifestyle Success

    Weight loss was the key to diabetes preventi

    Reduction of total calories, especially fat calo

    Achieving 150 minutes of activity each week

    DPP: Hazard Rate for Developing Diabetes As

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    -15 -10 -5 0 +5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    DPP: Hazard Rate for Developing Diabetes As

    A Function of Weight Change From Baseline

    Hazardrateper10

    0/yr

    Mean weight change from baseline (kg)

    Average Risk

    Intensive Lifestyle Group

    Diabetes Care 29: 2102-2107, 2006

    Di b t Ri k b W i ht Ch i th D

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    -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6

    6

    11

    16

    metformin

    placebo

    Diabetes Risk by Weight Change in the D

    Change from baseline weight (kg)

    Diabete

    sincide

    nce/100

    pers-yr

    Diabetes 56: 1153-59, 2007

    Weight loss explained 64% of the

    risk reduction from metformin

    (a weight loss drug).

    TCF7L2 Genotype and Diabetes

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    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    Placebo Metformin Lifestyle

    Cas

    es/100person-

    yr

    CC CT TT

    TCF7L2 Genotype and Diabetes

    Incidence in the DPPGenotype at rs79031Genotype at rs79031

    (n=3,537)(n=3,537)

    DPP Research Group: NEJ M 2006

    49% 41% 9%

    Oth B fit f DPP Lif t l

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    Other Benefits of DPP Lifestyle

    Intervention on CVD Risk Factor Lowered blood pressure

    Stopped development of new hypertension

    Lowered triglycerides

    Reduced development of new hyperlipidemia

    Lowered CRP and fibrinogen

    Reduced incidence of metabolic syndrome

    Too few CVD events to evaluate treatment effecDiabetes Care 2005; Diabetes 2005; Ann Internal Med 2005

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    DPP Outcomes Study (DPPOS)

    2002 2014Masked phase ended, metformin continuedplacebo discontinued, all offered lifestyle.

    Weight loss maintenance

    Further diabetes incidence

    Diabetes complications and death

    Long-term effects of DPP interventions o

    Lancet 374:1677-1686, 2009

    10-Year Weight Change: DPP + DPPOS

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    10-Year Weight Change: DPP + DPPOS

    Lancet 374:1677-1686, 2009

    Cumulative Incidence of Diabetes

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    Cumulative Incidence of Diabetes

    Lancet 374:1677-1686, 2009

    Mean Weight Changes (kg) Since Randomization by Age

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    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

    -8

    -6

    -4

    -2

    0

    2

    C. Age Group 25 - 44 y

    Year since DPP Randomization

    ChangeinWeight(kg)

    Placebo Metformin

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

    -8

    -6

    -4

    -2

    0

    2

    G. Age Group: 60 y

    Year since DPP Randomization

    ChangeinWeight(kg)

    Placebo Metformin

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

    -8

    -6

    -4

    -2

    0

    2

    E. Age Group: 45 - 59 y

    Year since DPP Randomization

    ChangeinWeight(kg)

    Placebo Metformin Lifestyle

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

    -8

    -6

    -4

    -2

    0

    2

    A. All Participants

    Year since DPP Randomization

    ChangeinWeight(kg)

    Placebo Metformin Lifestyle

    All ages

    Age 45-59

    Age 25-44

    Age

    60

    Placebo Metformin Lifestyle

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    Micro-

    and MacroVascular

    Outcomes in the DPPOS?Expected in 2014

    10-year Costs of Treatment and Outs

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    10-year Costs of Treatment and Outs

    Medical Care in the DPP/DPPOS

    Diabetes Care 35: 723-730, 2012

    10-year Costs of Treatment and Outs

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    10-year Costs of Treatment and Outs

    Medical Care in the DPP/DPPOS

    Diabetes Care 35: 723-730, 2012

    10-year Costs of Treatment and Outs

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    10-year Costs of Treatment and Outs

    Medical Care in the DPP/DPPOS

    Diabetes Care 35: 723-730, 2012

    10-year Costs of Treatment and Outs

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    10-year Costs of Treatment and Outs

    Medical Care in the DPP/DPPOS

    Diabetes Care 35: 723-730, 2012

    10-year Costs of Treatment and Outs

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    10-year Costs of Treatment and Outs

    Medical Care in the DPP/DPPOS

    Diabetes Care 35: 723-730, 2012

    Weight Loss with Lifestyle Counseling

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    g y g

    and Placebo

    or Orlistat

    (XENDOS)

    3,277 obese nondiabeticadults

    -12

    -9

    -6

    -3

    0

    0 1 2 3 4

    Years from Randomization

    Weightloss(kg) Placebo (34% compl.) Orlistat (52% compl.)

    Torgerson JS: Diab. Care, 2004

    Diabetes Incidence with Lifestyle CounselinDiabetes Incidence with Lifestyle Counselin

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    abetes c de ce t esty e Cou seyand Placebo orand Placebo orOrlistatOrlistat

    in IGT (XENDOS)in IGT (XENDOS)

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    0 1 2 3 4

    Years from Randomization

    Cum

    ulativeIncidence(%)

    Placebo (34% compl.) Orlistat (52% compl.)

    HRR = 0.63

    (95%CI = 0.46

    0.86)

    p

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    Prevention or Delay of Type 2 Diabetewith Drugs or Lifestyle Intervention

    Several other clinical trials with similar results

    Little evidence for long-term non-glycemic outcome

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    Early Life Predictors of

    Obesity and Diabetes:The Pima Indian Longitudinal Stu

    Relative Body Weight in Children

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    y g by Maternal Diabetes

    100

    110

    120

    130

    140

    150

    Birth 5-9 10-14 15-19

    Age (years)

    Mean%DesirableW

    eight

    Diabetic

    Prediabetic

    Nondiabetic

    Mother During Pregnancy

    Pettitt: NEJM 1983

    Diabetes in Offspring By MaternalDiabetes in Offspring By Maternal

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    0

    20

    40

    60

    5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25

    Age (years)

    Prevalence(%

    )

    nondiabeticprediabeticdiabetic

    Diabetes in Offspring By MaternalDiabetes in Offspring By MaternalDiabetes in PregnancyDiabetes in Pregnancy

    Mother during pregnancyMother during pregnancy

    Updated from Pettitt: Diabetes, 1988

    1010--Year Diabetes Incidence by Relative Weight, FasYear Diabetes Incidence by Relative Weight, FasI li d 2I li d 2 h Gl i 15h Gl i 15 19 Y19 Y ld Pi I dld Pi I d

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    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    Relative Weight Fasting Insulin 2-h Gluco

    Incidence(%)

    low middle hig

    Insulin, and 2Insulin, and 2--hr Glucose in 15hr Glucose in 15--19 Year19 Year--old Pima Indold Pima Indwithwith >>

    1 Diabetic Parent*1 Diabetic Parent*

    TertileTertile

    GroupsGroups

    McCanceMcCance:: DiabetologiaDiabetologia, 1994, 1994* Incidence = zero if both parents nondiabeti

    Diabetes in Pregnancy and Offspring:

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    Pregnant WomanPregnant Woman

    with Diabeteswith Diabetes

    Young WomanYoung Woman

    with Diabeteswith DiabetesInfant (daughter)Infant (daughter)

    of Diabetic Motherof Diabetic Mother

    g y g

    The Vicious Cycle

    PettittPettitt & Knowler,& Knowler,

    JJ ObesObes WtWt RegReg 19881988

    Conclusions

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    Conclusions

    Overweight / obesity strongly related to type 2 diab

    Metformin & lifestyle interventions in adults can red Weight

    Incidence of diabetes

    Health care costs Incidence of diabetes complications and CVD ?

    Early life conditions influence obesity and diabetes

    Body weight can be reduced by many means (with

    without drugs), but maintenance is difficult

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    There are many waysto treat obesity

    If many cures are offered for an illness, yo

    may be sure that the illness has no cure.

    Anton Chekhov: The Cherry Orchard, 1904

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    Look AHEAD (Action for Health

    in Diabetes) Trial

    Rena R. Wing, Ph.D.Professor of Psychiatry & Human Behavior

    Warren Alpert Medical School of Brown UniversityDirector, Weight Control & Diabetes Research Center

    The Miriam Hospital

    Providence, Rhode Island

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    2

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    OverviewOverview

    Rationale and designRationale and design

    Year 4 results: changes in weight and fitnessYear 4 results: changes in weight and fitness

    Year 4 results: changes in cardiovascularYear 4 results: changes in cardiovascular

    disease (CVD) risk factorsdisease (CVD) risk factors

    3

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    A multicenter, randomized clinical trialA multicenter, randomized clinical trial

    examining the longexamining the long--term effects (up to 13.5term effects (up to 13.5

    years) of an intensive lifestyle interventionyears) of an intensive lifestyle intervention

    program on cardiovascular morbidity andprogram on cardiovascular morbidity andmortality in overweight or obese personsmortality in overweight or obese persons

    with Type 2 Diabetes.with Type 2 Diabetes.

    4

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    Funding SourcesFunding SourcesNational Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney DiseasesNational Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases

    National Heart, Lung, and Blood InstituteNational Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute

    National Institute of Nursing ResearchNational Institute of Nursing Research

    National Center on Minority Healthy and Health DisparitiesNational Center on Minority Healthy and Health Disparities

    Office of Research on Women's HealthOffice of Research on Women's Health

    Centers for Disease Control and PreventionCenters for Disease Control and Prevention

    5

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    Benefits ofBenefits of

    Weight LossWeight Loss Weight loss is strongly recommended forWeight loss is strongly recommended for

    overweight patients with Type 2 diabetesoverweight patients with Type 2 diabetes

    Short term (Short term (

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    Lack of Data onLack of Data on Long Term BenefitsLong Term Benefits

    No randomized trials have been conducted toNo randomized trials have been conducted todetermine long term consequences of intentionaldetermine long term consequences of intentionalweight lossweight loss

    Surgical studies suggest positive effects of largeSurgical studies suggest positive effects of largeweight lossesweight losses

    However, some observational studies suggestHowever, some observational studies suggestthat weight loss or weight cycling is associatedthat weight loss or weight cycling is associated

    withwith increasedincreased morbidity/mortalitymorbidity/mortality7

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    Look AHEAD is a multicenter RCTLook AHEAD is a multicenter RCT

    examining theexamining the longlong--term effectsterm effects (up to(up to

    13.5 years) of an13.5 years) of an intensive lifestyleintensive lifestyle

    intervention program to produceintervention program to produce weightweight

    loss and increase physical activityloss and increase physical activity ononcardiovascular morbidity and mortalitycardiovascular morbidity and mortality

    inin

    over 5,000 overweight or obese personsover 5,000 overweight or obese personswithwith type 2 diabetestype 2 diabetes..

    8

    R d i d St d A

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    Randomized Study Arms

    Intensive lifestyle intervention (ILI)

    Diabetes support and education (DSE)

    (usual care control group)

    9

    Primary HypothesisPrimary Hypothesis

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    Primary HypothesisPrimary Hypothesis

    The ILI, as compared to DSE, will reduce the

    incidence rate of an aggregate endpoint of CVDdefined as including:

    cardiovascular death (fatal myocardial infarction

    and stroke) non-fatal myocardial infarction

    non-fatal stroke

    hospitalization for angina

    over 13.5 yr. follow-up.10

    S d O tSecondary Outcomes

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    Secondary OutcomesSecondary Outcomes

    Composite #1Composite #1

    CVD deathCVD death NonNon--fatal MIfatal MI

    NonNon--fatal strokefatal stroke

    Composite #2Composite #2

    AllAll--cause deathcause death

    NonNon--fatal MIfatal MI

    NonNon--fatal strokefatal stroke

    Hospitalization forHospitalization foranginaangina

    Composite #3Composite #3

    AllAll--cause deathcause death NonNon--fatal MIfatal MI

    NonNon--fatal strokefatal stroke

    Hospitalization for anginaHospitalization for angina Hospitalization for CHFHospitalization for CHF

    Coronary artery bypassCoronary artery bypass

    grafting (CABG) orgrafting (CABG) orangioplastyangioplasty

    Carotid endarterectomyCarotid endarterectomy

    Peripheral vascular diseasePeripheral vascular disease11

    Other Outcomes

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    Other Outcomes

    Cardiovascular disease risk factors

    Diabetes control and complications

    General health

    Hospitalizations Quality of life and psychological outcomes

    Costs and cost effectiveness

    12

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    Eligibility CriteriaEligibility Criteria

    Type 2 diabetesType 2 diabetes

    Overweight (BMIOverweight (BMI >> 25 kg/m25 kg/m22

    oror>> 27 kg/m27 kg/m22

    if on insulin)if on insulin) Age 45Age 45--75 years75 years

    > 33% minorities> 33% minorities

    With or without history of CVDWith or without history of CVD

    BP < 160/100 mmHgBP < 160/100 mmHg

    HbA1c < 11%HbA1c < 11% Triglycerides < 600 mg/dlTriglycerides < 600 mg/dl

    < 30% using insulin< 30% using insulin

    13

    Baseline Characteristics of ParticipantsBaseline Characteristics of Participants

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    LifestyleLifestyle DSEDSE(N=2570)(N=2570) (N=2575)(N=2575)

    WomenWomen59%59% 60%60%

    MinorityMinority 37%37% 37%37%

    Age (years)Age (years) 58.658.6 58.958.9

    Insulin UsersInsulin Users 15%15% 16%16%

    Baseline BMIBaseline BMI 35.935.9 36.036.0

    Baseline Weight (kg)Baseline Weight (kg) 100.6100.6 100.9100.9Baseline Waist (cm)Baseline Waist (cm) 113.8113.8 114.1114.1

    History of Prior CVD EventHistory of Prior CVD Event

    15%15% 14%14%14

    Intensive Lifestyle InterventionIntensive Lifestyle Intervention

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    Intensive Lifestyle InterventionIntensive Lifestyle Intervention

    Weekly for 6 monthsWeekly for 6 months

    3x per month for 6 months3x per month for 6 months2x per month from year 2 to end2x per month from year 2 to end

    Group plus individual sessionsGroup plus individual sessions

    Diet , physical activity, and behavioralDiet , physical activity, and behavioral

    strategiesstrategiesLook AHEAD Research Group. Diabetes Care, 2007;30:1374-83.

    15

    RecommendationsRecommendations

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    RecommendationsRecommendations

    Weight LossWeight Loss

    Lose 10% of body weight and maintainLose 10% of body weight and maintain

    Dietary IntakeDietary Intake

    12001200--1500 kcal/day < 250 lb1500 kcal/day < 250 lb

    15001500--1800 kcal/day1800 kcal/day >> 250 lb250 lb

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    Diabetes Support and

    Education (DSE)

    33--4 meetings / year4 meetings / year To promote retentionTo promote retention

    Health education topicsHealth education topicsDietDiet

    ExerciseExerciseSocial SupportSocial Support

    17

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    Medication AdjustmentsMedication Adjustments Made by participant's own physicianMade by participant's own physician

    Study protocol for adjusting diabetesStudy protocol for adjusting diabetes

    medications during initial weeks ofmedications during initial weeks of

    interventionintervention

    18

    St d D iSt d D i

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    Study DesignStudy Design

    90% power to detect an 18% reduction in CVD events90% power to detect an 18% reduction in CVD events

    over 10.5 years of followover 10.5 years of follow--upup

    AssumedAssumed 3.125% CVD event rate in control3.125% CVD event rate in control

    ActualActual 0.7% CVD event rate in control at 30.7% CVD event rate in control at 3 yearsyears

    Convened Endpoint Working GroupConvened Endpoint Working Group(masked to study results)(masked to study results)

    19

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    Why Low Event Rate?Why Low Event Rate? Secular trendsSecular trends

    Trial participants healthier then cohortTrial participants healthier then cohort

    studiesstudies

    Graded exercise testGraded exercise test

    20

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    Changes to Study DesignChanges to Study Design Extended study duration by 2 yearsExtended study duration by 2 years

    (11.5 to 13.5 years)(11.5 to 13.5 years)

    Broadened definition of primaryBroadened definition of primary

    endpoint to include hospitalized anginaendpoint to include hospitalized angina

    21

    Brancati, et al. Clinical Trials, 2012, 9; 113Brancati, et al. Clinical Trials, 2012, 9; 113--124124

    Primary HypothesisPrimary Hypothesis

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    Primary HypothesisPrimary Hypothesis

    The ILI, as compared to DSE, will reduce the

    incidence rate of an aggregate endpoint of CVDdefined as including:

    cardiovascular death (fatal myocardial infarction

    and stroke) non-fatal myocardial infarction

    non-fatal stroke

    hospitalization for angina

    over13.5 yr. follow-up.22

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    Year 4 Results:Year 4 Results:Changes in Weight andChanges in Weight and

    FitnessFitness

    23

    Year 4 RetentionYear 4 Retention

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    Year 4 RetentionYear 4 Retention

    DSEDSE ILIILI

    Randomized, NRandomized, N 2,5752,575 2,5702,570

    Seen Year 4*Seen Year 4*

    % of randomized% of randomized

    % of current cohort% of current cohort

    2,4032,403

    (93.3%)(93.3%)

    (95.8%)(95.8%)

    2,4202,420

    (94.2%)(94.2%)

    (96.5%)(96.5%)

    *Outcomes assessment and/or weight measurement

    24

    Percent Weight Change from Baseline

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    Repeated Measures Adjusted for Clinic and Baseline Level

    Average effect across all visits: -

    5.27, p

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    Percentage of Participants in ILI and DSEPercentage of Participants in ILI and DSE

    Who Met Different Weight Loss Criteria atWho Met Different Weight Loss Criteria atYear 4Year 4

    DSE ILI

    Any weight loss (vs. gain) 55% 74%

    5% weight loss 25% 46%

    10% weight loss 10% 23%

    26

    Percent Fitness Change from Baseline

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    Repeated Measures Adjusting for Clinic and Baseline Level

    Average effect across all visits: 10.78, p

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    Year 4 Weight LossYear 4 Weight Loss

    Percen

    tweight

    loss

    Perce

    ntweightloss

    NS NS

    28

    4-Year Weight Loss Outcomes

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    -6

    -5

    -4

    -3

    -2

    -1

    0

    Overweight

    Class I

    Class IISevere

    C

    hangeinb

    odyweigh

    t(%)

    *

    * Overweight significantly different from all other groups (p

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    Year

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    0 1 2 3 4

    AmericanIndian/ Other

    AfricanAmerican

    Hispanic

    Non-Hispanic White

    %Reductionin

    InitialW

    eight

    Losses across Race/Ethnicity Groups

    30

    Oldest Participants Lost Significantly More than

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    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    100 1 2 3 4

    Year

    45-54 yr

    55-64 yr

    65-76 yr

    %Red

    uctionin

    InitialWeight

    Younger Participants at all Assessments

    31

    Success of Those Aged 65Success of Those Aged 65 74 is74 is

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    Success of Those Aged 65Success of Those Aged 65

    74 is74 is

    Related to Better AdherenceRelated to Better Adherence

    Treatment

    Contact inYear 1

    Treatment

    Contact inYears 2

    4

    Activity

    (kcal/week)Year 4

    Calorie

    IntakeYear 4

    Age

    45

    54 35 18 1179 1695

    55

    64 35 21 1247 1621

    65

    74 37 22 1337 1465

    32

    Four-Year Weight Loss Trajectories of 887 ILI Participants

    Who Had Lost 10% Initial Weight at Year 1

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    N=174

    (19.6%)

    +2

    024

    68

    10

    1214

    16

    181 2 3 4

    PercentageW

    eightLoss

    Who Had Lost

    10% Initial Weight at Year 1

    Years

    0-5%

    5-6.9%

    7-

    10%

    10%

    Gained

    N=374

    (42.2%)

    N=152

    (17.1%)

    N=99

    (11.2%)

    N=88

    (9.9%)

    +4

    33

    Mean Annual Number of Treatment Sessions Attended in Years 2-4 for

    Participants Who Had Lost > 10% at Year 1

    (by Category of Weight Change at Year 4)

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    (by Category of Weight Change at Year 4)

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    10% 5 - 9.9% 0 - 4.9% Gained

    Treatment

    Sessions

    Weight Change at Year 4

    23.6 22.7 18.5 16.8

    p < .0001 p < .0001

    34

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    Variables Associated with PercentVariables Associated with Percent

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    Weight Losses at Year 4Weight Losses at Year 4

    Variable VarianceExplained

    Baseline weight, gender, age, ethnicity, insulin 2.59%

    Treatment attendance 4.0%

    Dietary intake or physical activity 1.7

    1.8%

    Year 1 weight loss 21.9%

    36

    Conclusions :Conclusions :

    Ch i W i ht d FitCh i W i ht d Fit

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    Changes in Weight and FitnessChanges in Weight and Fitness ILI produced significantly greater changes in weight andILI produced significantly greater changes in weight and

    fitness than DSE through 4 yearsfitness than DSE through 4 years

    Nearly 50% of ILI participants have maintained a lossNearly 50% of ILI participants have maintained a loss 5% of initial weight at year 4.5% of initial weight at year 4.

    The intervention produced clinically significant weightThe intervention produced clinically significant weight

    loss in all subsets of a demographically and ethnicallyloss in all subsets of a demographically and ethnicallydiverse population.diverse population.

    The best predictors of longThe best predictors of long--term weight loss were:term weight loss were:

    Adherence to diet and exercise recommendationsAdherence to diet and exercise recommendations Initial weight lossInitial weight loss

    Look AHEAD Research Group. Arch Int Med 2010;170:1566-75

    37

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    Year 4 Results:Year 4 Results:Changes in CVD RiskChanges in CVD Risk

    FactorsFactors

    38

    HbA1c Change from Baseline

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    Repeated Measures Adjusting for Clinic and Baseline LevelAverage effect across all visits: -0.27, p

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    y gy g

    YearNo Baseline Use Baseline Use

    DSE

    N=348

    ILI

    N=354 p-value

    DSE

    N=2208

    ILI

    N=2202 p-value

    1 33% 10%

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    Use of Any Insulin

    Year

    No Baseline Use Baseline Use

    DSEN=2167

    ILIN=2190 p-value

    DSEN=408

    ILIN=380 p-value

    1 4% 2%

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    Prevalence of Achieving ADA Goal for HbA1c < 7.0%

    Year DSE ILI P-value

    Baseline 45% 47% NS

    Year 1 50% 72%

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    DBP (mmHg) Change from Baseline

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    Repeated Measures Adjusting for Clinic and Baseline LevelAverage effect across all visits:-0.43, p=0.01

    DSE

    (mmHg)

    ILI

    (mmHg)

    P-

    value

    Baseline 70.37 69.93 NS

    Y1

    BL - 1.64 - 3.07

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    Antihypertensive DrugAntihypertensive Drug

    YearNo Baseline Use Baseline Use

    DSE

    N=684

    ILI

    N=661 p-value

    DSE

    N=1872

    ILI

    N=1895 p-value

    1 22% 16% 0.01 95% 94% 0.43

    2 32% 25% 0.005 96% 94% 0.002

    3 40% 33% 0.01 95% 94% 0.23

    4 47% 43% 0.17 95% 94% 0.58

    Look AHEAD Research Group. Arch Int Med 2010;170:1566-75

    45

    P l f A hi i ADA G l f BP

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    Prevalence of Achieving ADA Goal for BP

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    47

    Average effect across all visits: 1.70, p

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    ( g ) g

    Repeated Measures Adjusting for Clinic and Baseline Level

    Average effect across all visits: 1.57, p=0.009

    DSE

    (mg/dl)

    ILI

    (mg/dl)

    P-value

    Baseline 112.26 112.37 NS

    Y1

    BL - 5.50 - 5.11 0.60

    Y2

    BL -

    11.10 - 9.43 0.05

    Y3

    BL -

    16.00 -

    13.88 0.01

    Y4

    BL -

    18.75 -

    16.64 0.01

    LD

    Lchangefrombaseline(mg/dl)

    -30

    -20

    -10

    0

    0 1 2 3 4

    Year

    DSE

    ILI

    48

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    LDL Cholesterol (mg/dl) Change from Baseline

    Repeated Measures Adjusting for Clinic, Baseline Level,

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    p j g , ,

    and Medication Use Average effect across all visits: 0.47, p = 0.42

    DSE

    (mg/dl)

    ILI

    (mg/dl)

    P-value

    Baseline 112.26 112.37 NS

    Y1

    BL - 3.70 - 4.44 0.33

    Y2

    BL - 7.62 - 7.47 0.85

    Y3

    BL -

    12.02 -

    10.64 0.08

    Y4

    BL -

    13.52 -

    12.45 0.19

    LD

    Lchangefro

    mbaseline(mg/dl)

    -16

    -14

    -12

    -10

    -8

    -6

    -4

    -2

    0

    0 1 2 3 4

    Year

    DSE

    ILI

    50

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    Prevalence of Achieving ADA Goal for LDL-C

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    53

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    54

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    55

    Conclusions :Conclusions :

    Changes in CVD Risk FactorsChanges in CVD Risk Factors

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    ILI has produced sustained improvements inILI has produced sustained improvements in

    glycemicglycemic control, SBP, and HDLcontrol, SBP, and HDL--C as comparedC as compared

    to DSE.to DSE.

    LDLLDL--C improved more in DSE than in ILI due toC improved more in DSE than in ILI due to

    increasedincreased statinstatin use; after adjusting foruse; after adjusting formedications, changes in LDLmedications, changes in LDL--C did not differC did not differ

    significantly between groupssignificantly between groups

    Modest weight losses improved CVD risk factors,Modest weight losses improved CVD risk factors,with the exception of LDLwith the exception of LDL--CC

    Look AHEAD Research Group. Arch Int Med 2010;170:1566-75

    Changes in CVD Risk FactorsChanges in CVD Risk Factors

    56

    Implications for FDAImplications for FDA

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    Intensive lifestyle interventions can produce sustainedIntensive lifestyle interventions can produce sustainedbenefits for weight and fitness across diverse age,benefits for weight and fitness across diverse age,

    gender, ethnic/racial groups and weight categoriesgender, ethnic/racial groups and weight categories

    Initial weight loss and adherence are the strongestInitial weight loss and adherence are the strongest

    predictors of long term weight losspredictors of long term weight loss

    Modest weight losses can produce sustainedModest weight losses can produce sustained

    improvements inimprovements in glycemicglycemic control, SBP, and HDLcontrol, SBP, and HDL--CC

    Look AHEAD will continue to follow participants toLook AHEAD will continue to follow participants to

    determine the longdetermine the long--term impact of intensive lifestyleterm impact of intensive lifestyle

    intervention on CVD morbidity and mortalityintervention on CVD morbidity and mortality57

    Percentage of Participants in ILI and DSE

    Groups Who Met Different Weight Loss Criteria

    at Year 4

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    8%

    Look AHEAD Research Group, 2011

    Intensive Lifestyle Intervention (ILI)

    Diabetes Support & Education (DSE)

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    > 0

    %

    10 %

    5 %

    7

    %

    74%

    55%

    46%

    25%

    35%

    18%10%

    23%

    %ofPa

    rticipants

    5 %

    0%

    18%

    26%

    45%

    15 %

    4%9%

    Weight Gain Weight Loss

    at Year 4

    58

    Food and Drug Administration

    Washington DC

    March 28-29 2012

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    Drugs to Treat Obesity:

    Cardiovascular and Other Risks

    George A. Bray, MD,MACP, MACE

    Boyd ProfessorPennington Center

    Baton Rouge, LA

    March 28 29, 2012

    1

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    Disclosures

    Consultant to Takeda Global

    Development

    Nutrition Advisory Board for Herbalife

    Advisor to Buckapound

    2

    Structure of My Presentation

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    y

    Obesity is a risk to life and health for

    many people Weight loss reduces these risks

    We need drugs for weight loss because

    they enhance the effects of lifestyle

    All drugs have risks; those associated

    with anti-obesity drugs are of many kinds

    We can mitigate these risks

    3

    Obesity Increases Risk of

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    Mortality and Morbidity

    4

    Risk Increases as BMI Rises

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    64

    15 20 25 30 35 40 45Body Mass Index

    32

    16

    8

    YearlyDeaths

    per1000(99%CI)

    Male

    Female

    Relative Risks at

    ages 35-89

    adjusted for age,

    smoking and

    study. Floated

    data to make

    weighted average

    match weighted

    mortality at ages

    35-79 Pooled Data

    from 57 studies.

    First 5 years of

    follow-up are

    excluded.

    Whitlock G Prospective Studies

    Collaboration Lancet. 2009 Mar 28;373(9669):1083-96.

    5

    Disease-Specific Increase inMortality Rate per 5 BMI Units

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    y p

    Overall mortality 30%

    Diabetes mellitus 116%

    Hepatic disease 80%

    Renal disease 60%

    Vascular disease 40%

    Malignancy 10%

    Whitlock G Prospective StudiesCollaboration Lancet. 2009 Mar 28;373(9669):1083-96. 6

    Medical Complications of ObesityIdiopathic intracranial hypertension

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    Phlebitisvenous stasis

    Coronary heart disease

    Pulmonary diseaseabnormal function

    obstructive sleep apnea

    hypoventilation syndrome

    Gall bladder disease

    Gynecologic abnormalities

    abnormal menses

    infertility

    polycystic ovarian syndrome

    Gout

    Stroke

    Diabetes

    Osteoarthritis

    Cancer

    breast, uterus, cervix

    colon, esophagus, pancreaskidney, prostate

    Nonalcoholic fatty liver diseasesteatosis

    steatohepatitis

    cirrhosisHypertension

    Dyslipidemia

    Cataracts

    Skin

    Idiopathic intracranial hypertension

    Severe pancreatitis

    7

    Risks Are Related to Fat Mass and

    Metabolic Effects of Obesity

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    Metabolic Effects of Obesity

    Excess fat

    stores

    GenesEnvironment

    Activity Food Intake

    Metabolic

    Diseases

    Stigma

    Sleep

    apnea

    OsteoarthritisDiabetes

    GB Disease

    NAFLD CVD

    Cancer

    Weight-Related

    Diseases

    Bray GA J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2004 Jun;89(6):2583-9.8

    BMI Has Biggest Effect on Diabetes

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    BMI, body mass index.

    Willett WC et al. N Engl J Med. 1999;341(6):427434.

    BMI (kg/m2)

    Relat

    iveRisk

    Women Men

    4

    6

    5

    3

    2

    1

    0

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    & Risk of Cancer and Diabetes

    10

    Surgical Weight Loss Reduces

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    Sjostrom L, et al. N Engl J Med. 2007;357(8):741-752.

    Mortality SOS Study1412

    10

    8

    6

    4

    2

    0

    Cumu

    lative

    Morta

    lity(%)

    Years

    0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16

    Control

    SurgeryP=0.04

    No. at Risk

    Surgery 2010 2001 1987 1821 1590 1260 760 422 169Control 2037 2027 2016 1842 1455 1174 749 422 156 11

    Incidence of myocardial infarction (MI)

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    Log-rank test P=0.039

    Unadj. HR=0.58

    95% CI: 0.34-0.979

    Adj HR=0.52

    95% CI: 0.31-0.89

    P=0.02

    0.000

    0.005

    0.010

    0.015

    0.020

    0.025

    Kaplan-Me

    iercumulative

    inc

    idence

    2010 1970 1557 412Surgery

    2037 1993 1423 405Control

    Number at risk

    0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18

    Follow-up time, years

    Control (37 events)Surgery (22 events)

    Fatal MI

    Log-rank test P=0.304

    Unadj. HR=0.88

    95% CI: 0.69-1.12

    Adj. HR=0.71

    95% CI:0.54-0.94

    P=0.02

    0.00

    0.01

    0.02

    0.03

    0.04

    0.05

    0.06

    0.07

    0.08

    0.09

    2010 1943 1502 390Surgery

    2037 1958 1369 384Control

    0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18

    Control (136 events)Surgery (122 events)

    Total MIin the SOS control and surgery group

    Sjstrm L, et al: JAMA 2012; 307:56-65

    Follow-up time, years

    Kaplan-Me

    iercumulative

    incidence

    12

    P=0.02P=0.02

    Cardiometabolic Risk is Reduced40

    50

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    No. of subjects

    TG

    -100-40 -30 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 40

    89 82 133 71 66 67 127 121

    -80

    -40

    0

    40

    Insulin

    Body weight changes (kg)

    Riskfactorchanges

    (%)

    -30

    -15

    89 82 133 71 66 67 127 121 86No. of subjects

    Uric acid

    -100-40 -30 20 15 10 -5 0 5 40

    0

    15

    Glucose

    HDLCHOL

    -100 -40 -30 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 40-100

    0

    25

    -10

    -5

    0

    5

    89 82 133 71 66 67 127 121 86.

    SBP

    -100 -40 -30 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 40SjSjstrstrm CD et al.m CD et al. Obes Res.Obes Res.

    1997;5:5191997;5:519--530.530.

    DBP

    No. of subjects

    There Are Other Important

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    Benefits of Weight Loss

    14

    Scoring for Change in MobilityStage

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    1 2 3 4

    Vigorous Activity

    Walking- 1 mi

    Bending

    Walking 1 block

    Moderate activity

    Climbing 1 flight

    0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1Rejeski J et al NEJM 2012;March 29; with approval; on-line after 5 PM March 28 NEJM.org

    15

    Effect of Age and Weight Loss on

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    Mobility

    Rejeski J et al NEJM 2012;March 29; with approval; on-line after 5 PM March 28 NEJM.org

    1

    0.8

    0.6

    0.4

    0.2

    01 2 3 4

    Time

    Diabetes Support

    and Education

    M

    obilityS

    core

    1

    0.8

    0.6

    0.4

    0.2

    01 2 3 4

    Time

    Intensive Lifestyle

    Intervention

    M

    obilityS

    core

    Sleep Disordered Breathing in Obese

    Patients with Type 2 Diabetes (N=305)

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    AHI < 5

    AHI 5-14.9AHI 15-29.9

    AHI > 30

    13.4% No

    Obstructive

    Sleep Apnea

    33.5 %Mild

    30.5%

    Moderate

    22.6%Severe

    Patients with Type 2 Diabetes (N 305)

    Foster et al. Diabetes Care. 2009 Jun;32(6):1017-9.17

    Changes in Weight and AHI over 4 yr

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    Change in Weight (Kg) Change in AHI

    0

    4

    8

    -4

    -8

    -12

    0

    4

    8

    -4

    -8

    -120 1 2 4 0 1 2 4

    Year Year -- DSE -- ILI

    DSE

    DSE

    ILI

    ILI

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    Orlistat Enhances Weight LossAbove Lifestyle/Placebo

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    SB DB DB

    Mildly hypocaloric diet Weight maintenance

    (eucaloric diet)

    -0

    -1

    -2

    -3

    -4

    -5

    -6

    -7

    -8

    -9-10

    -11

    -12

    -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110

    Week%

    Changein

    bodywei

    ght(SE)

    Placebo tid

    Orlistat 120 mg tid

    y

    Sjostrom, L et al Lancet, 1998;132:167-172

    How Much Weight Loss Is Needed

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    to Prevent Type 2 Diabetes?

    Change in Weight From Baseline (kg)

    0-10 -5 +5

    IncidenceRate

    per100Person-Years

    10

    20

    15

    5

    0

    Preferred Adequate

    0

    Redrawn from: Hamman, et al Diabetes Care 29:2102-2107, 2006 21

    Medications Produce More

    Weight Loss Than Lifestyle

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    g y0

    -2

    -4

    -6

    -8

    -10

    Treatment Control Lifestyle Lifestyle Orlistat

    + PlaceboAdapted from LeBlance et al Ann Int Med 2011;155:434-447

    W

    eightLo

    ss

    (kgor

    %)

    Weighted Mean Differences:-3.01 (-402, -201) -2.98 (-3.92, -2.05)

    22

    How Do Drugs Stack-Up?Drug # Studies Length Wt Loss

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    Phentermine 6 13 wks -6.4 kg

    Diethylpropion 9 18 wks -6.5 kg

    Mazindol 22 11 wks -5.7 kgOrlistat 15 > 1 yr -5.3kg

    Fluoxetine 6 24 wks -4.8 kg

    Bupropion 2 24 wks -8.0 kg

    Pramlintide 1 1 yr -9.0 kg

    Exenatide 12 24 wks -2.9 kgLiraglutide 8 24 wks -2.8 kg

    Metformin 3 1 yr -2.8 kg*

    Adapted from Vilsboll T et al BMJ 2012;344:1-11; LeBlanc ES et al Ann Int Med

    2011;155:434-447 Hainer V. et al Diabet/Metab Res Rev 2012: in press23

    How Do Drugs Stack-Up?Drug # Studies Length Wt Loss

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    Sibutramine 10 > 1 yr -6.4 kg

    Rimonabant 4 > 1 yr -6.3 kg

    Lorcaserin 2 1 yr -5.8 kgCetilistat 1 12 wks -4.1 kg

    Tesofensine 1 6 mos -11.3 kg

    Phen/Fenfluramine 1 34 wks -14.2 kg

    Phen/Topiramate 2 > 1 yr -10.2 kg

    Buprop/Naltrex 2 > 1 yr -8.7 kg

    Pram/Phentermine 1 24 wks -11.3 kg

    Pram/Leptin 1 24 wks -11.5 kg

    Adapted from Vilsboll T et al BMJ 2012;344:1-11; LeBlanc ES et al Ann Int Med

    2011;155:434-447 Hainer V. et al Diabet/Metab Res Rev 2012: in press24

    Change in Hemoglobin A1c Change in Fasting Glucose

    Surgery Is Superior to MedicalTherapy for Weight Loss in Diabetes

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    25

    Change in Hemoglobin A1c

    Months

    HemoglobinA1c(%)

    0 3 6 9 125

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    Med Therapy

    Gastric Bypass

    Sleeve

    Change in Fasting Glucose

    Months

    FastingG

    lucose(mg/dl)

    0 3 6 9 120

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    Med Therapy

    Gastric Bypass

    Sleeve

    Change in Number ofAnti-Diabetic Medicatios

    Months

    NumberofAnti-d

    iabetic

    Medications

    0 3 6 9 12

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    Med Therapy

    Gastric Bypass

    Sleeve

    Change in BMI

    Months

    BMI(kg/m

    2)

    0 3 6 9 12

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    Med Therapy

    Gastric Bypass

    Sleeve

    Schauer P. et al NEJM 2012; March 26

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    What Predicts Weight Loss?

    26

    Answer: Initial Weight loss

    One Year Weight Loss Predicted

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    > 5% weight loss at 3 months with Orlistat

    predicted weight loss and improvedcardiovascular risks at one year.

    > 2 to 4 kg weight loss with Sibutraminepredicted 1 year weight loss: > 2 kg in first month or

    > 4 kg at 3 months

    27

    by Initial Weight Loss

    Bray GA , Guide to Obesity and the Metabolic Syndrome, 2011; Finer N, et al Diab Obes

    Metab 2006;8:206-; Rissanen A et al IJO 2003;27:103-109; Toplak H et al Diab Obes

    Metab 2006;699-708

    Weight Loss at One Year Based

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    28

    on Weight Loss at 3 Months

    Months

    Mean%WeightLoss

    0 2 4 6 8 10 12-15

    -10

    -5

    0

    < 4 kg

    > 4 kg

    Finer N, et al Diab Obes Metab 2006;8:206-213.

    BUT All Drugs Have Adverse

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    Events and Some Can Be Serious

    29

    Unintended Consequences of DrugTreatment for Obesity

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    Year Drug Consequence

    1892 Thyroid Hyperthyroidism

    1932 Dintrophenol Cataracts/Neuropathy1937 Amphetamine Addiction

    1968 Aminorex Pulmonary Hypertension

    1997 Phen/Fenfluramine Valvulopathy

    1998 Phenylpropanolamine Strokes

    2003 Ma Huang (ephedra) Heart attacks/stroke

    2007 Ecopipam (Dopamine) Depression/Suicide

    2008 Rimonabant (CB-1) Depression

    2010 Sibutramine CVD RiskBray GA Battle of the Bulge, Dorrance Publishing 2007 p. 59

    30

    Would an Outcome Study Reduce

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    these Adverse Events?Adverse Event Drugs

    Idiopathic Primary

    Pulmonary Hypertension

    Aminorex

    Fenfluramine

    Pointes-de-Torsade

    Arrhythmia

    Collagen-based low

    calorie diets

    Valvular insufficiency Fenfluramine,

    dexfenfluramine

    Suicidality Rimonabant

    Ecopipam

    Stroke Phenylpropanolamine

    Cardiovascular disease Ephedra; sibutramine 31

    Adverse Event Profile (Odds-Ratio)

    Adverse Event ORL FLUOX BUPROP TOP

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    Diarrhea/Constipation 54.8 1.85 1.37 1.08

    Headache 1.18 1.35 0.99 --

    Nausea 0.95 3.27 -- --

    Fatigue -- 2.83 -- 1.36

    Dry Mouth -- -- 3.26 3.13

    Nervous - CNS -- 7.85 0.98 3.97

    Depression 0.33 -- -- --

    Paresthesias -- -- -- 20.2Taste Change -- -- -- 11.1

    Upper Respiratory -- -- 1.22 1.76

    Adapted from, Li , Z et al. Ann Int Med 2005;142:532-54632

    Outcomes Differ Between Drugs

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    Outcome - Change ORL SIB RIM

    Waist Circumference -2.06* -3.99* -3.89*

    Systolic BP -1.52* 1.69* -1.78*

    Diastolic BP -1.38* 2.42* -1.23*

    Heart Rate -- 4.53* --

    Total Cholesterol -0.32* -- -0.04

    LDL-cholesterol -0.26* -- -0.05

    HDL-cholesterol -0.03* 0.04* 0.10*Triglycerides -0.03 -0.18* -0.24*

    Adapted from Rucker D, et al BMJ 2007335:1194-1199

    Data are weighted mean differences;

    * = Confidence intervals do not cross 0 33

    Sibutramine Reduces Weight, But

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    Increases Blood Pressure:The Sibutramine Cardiovascular

    Outcome (SCOUT) Trial

    34

    Outline of SCOUT Trial

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    Randomization

    Sibutramine 10 mgSibutramine 10 mg or 15 mg

    Lifestyle and Placebo

    Treatment Period

    Up to 6 Years

    Monthly visits for first 3 mosFollowed by 3 monthly visits

    Beginning with Month 6

    Randomized Phase

    Follow-up Period

    Contact with site

    Every 3 months

    6-week

    Lead-inScreening

    Lead-in

    Period

    Baseline

    Final

    Visit

    James WP et al NEJM 2010363:9-5-91; Caterson I et al Obesity 2010;18:987-99435

    Weight Loss during the SCOUT Trial

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    -4 0 4 8 12 16 20 24

    90

    95

    100

    Lifestyle

    Sibutramine

    intervals of Treatment

    BodyW

    eight(kg)

    James PT et al NEJM 2010; 363:9-5-917; FDA Briefing Document 15 Sept 2010 36

    Primary Outcome Endpoint ITT

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    AnalysisPrimary Endpoint

    Nonfatal MI

    Nonfatal StrokeResuscitation after

    cardiac arrest

    Cardiovascular death

    18

    Inc

    idenceo

    fPrimary

    Ou

    tcome

    Even

    ts(%

    )

    Months Since Randomization

    0 6048362418

    16

    1412

    10

    86

    4

    2

    0

    Sibutramine

    Placebo

    11.4%

    10.0%

    Kaplan-Meier Plot of Weight Loss

    S

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    by Response to Sibutramine

    0 20 40 60

    Months Since Randomization

    0

    2

    14

    12

    10

    4

    6

    8

    Inc

    idenceo

    fPrima

    ry

    Ou

    tcom

    eEvent

    SCOUT Study

    comparing the30% of patients

    randomized to

    sibutraminewho lost >5% of

    their body

    weight againstthe 70% who

    lost < 5%

    Sibutramine

    > 5% Loss

    Sibutramine

    < 5% Loss

    9.5%

    14.0%

    How Can We Mitigate the Risk

    f W i h L D ?

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    from Weight Loss Drugs? Develop drugs with high safety profile

    Use drugs intermittently or for short intervals Use combinations of drugs

    Establish that weight loss continues Select drugs that cause weight loss when

    treating overweight patients for conditions

    other than obesity Only treat patients who respond

    39

    0

    Intermittent and Continuous

    Sibutramine

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    -10

    -9

    -8

    -7

    -6

    -5

    -4

    -3

    -2

    -1

    0

    0 4 8 12 18 24 30 36 42 48

    Weeks

    Changein

    BodyWeigh

    t(kg)

    Placebo

    Intermittent

    Continuous

    Run-In Randomized Treatment (N=1001)

    Wirth & Krause JAMA 2001; JAMA 286(11): 1331-9.

    40

    How Can We Mitigate the Risk

    f W i ht L D ?

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    from Weight Loss Drugs? Develop drugs with high safety profile

    Use drugs intermittently or for short intervals

    Use combinations of drugs

    Establish that weight loss continues

    Select drugs that cause weight loss whentreating overweight patients for conditions

    other than obesity

    Only treat patients who respond

    41

    Combination of Pramlintide and

    Ph t i B d W i ht

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    0 10 20 30-15

    -10

    -5

    0

    Placebo

    Pramlintide

    Pram + Phen

    Weeks of Treatment

    WeightLoss(kg

    )

    Phentermine on Body Weight

    Aronne L et al Obesity 2010;18:1739-174642

    How Can We Mitigate the Risk

    f W i ht L D ?

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    from Weight Loss Drugs? Develop drugs with high safety profile

    Use drugs intermittently or for short intervals

    Use combinations of drugs

    Establish that weight loss continues

    Select drugs that cause weight loss whentreating overweight patients for conditions

    other than obesity

    Only treat patients who respond

    43

    Fluoxetine Fails to Maintain Body

    W i ht L

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    Weight Loss

    0 10 20 30 40 50 60-6

    -4

    -2

    0

    Placebo

    Fluoxetine

    Weeks

    We

    igh

    tLoss(k

    g)

    Goldstein et al IJO 1993;17:129-13544

    How Can We Mitigate the Risk

    f W i ht L D ?

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    from Weight Loss Drugs? Develop drugs with high safety profile

    Use drugs intermittently or for short intervals

    Use combinations of drugs

    Establish that weight loss continues

    Select drugs that cause weight loss whentreating overweight patients for conditions

    other than obesity

    Only treat patients who respond

    45

    Metformin Treats Diabetes and

    Lowers Weight Over 10 Years

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    0 2 4 6 8 10

    -6

    -4

    -2

    0

    2

    4 PlaceboNever Adherent50% AdherentHighly Adherent

    Time since Randomization

    W

    eightC

    hange(%)

    Placebo discontinued afteran average of 3.2 years

    DPPOS: Diabetes Care 2012:April with approval46

    How Can We Mitigate the Risk

    f W i ht L D ?

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    from Weight Loss Drugs? Develop drugs with high safety profile

    Use drugs intermittently or for short intervals

    Use combinations of drugs

    Establish that weight loss continues

    Select drugs that cause weight loss whentreating overweight patients for conditions

    other than obesity

    Only treat patients who respond

    47

    Variability of Response to

    Th i L k AHEAD St d

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    Months of Treatment

    Weigh

    tLoss(%

    )

    0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14-20

    -15

    -10

    -5

    0

    10th %25th %

    50th %

    75th %

    90th %

    Therapy in Look AHEAD Study

    Espeland ME et al Ann Epidemiol 2009;701-710

    Conclusions

    E i ht i ht i d t l

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    Excess weight, weight gain and central

    adiposity increase many health risks

    Weight loss improves the risk profile in almostall instances

    Obesity can be seen in the mirror but high

    cholesterol or blood pressure cant

    Obesity is a stigmatized condition and patients

    may inappropriately want to use weight loss

    medications because they know they are fat

    Medications augment the effect of lifestyle on

    weight loss 49

    Conclusions

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    But, ALL drugs have risks AND

    Not all patients respond equally to any givenmedication

    Most benefits from medication for obesity are

    achieved in 6 months

    Lifestyle-placebo effects vary between trials,

    weight loss from baseline might be a bettercriterion than weight loss below placebo to

    evaluate response.

    50

    Conclusions

    Therefore:

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    Physicians prescribing anti-obesity drugs

    should ascertain that patients are

    responding adequately, and if not modifytreatment

    Several strategies can be used to mitigatepotential risks, including intermittent

    treatment, combination therapy, selecting

    effective drugs and stopping treatment for

    unresponsive patients

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