tilapia advances and set-backs: 2008 in review, 2010 in preview kevin fitzsimmons, ph.d. professor,...
TRANSCRIPT
TILAPIA ADVANCES AND SET-BACKS: 2008 IN REVIEW, 2010 IN PREVIEW
Kevin Fitzsimmons, Ph.D.Professor, University of Arizona
Sec. Tres. American Tilapia Association
Past President – World Aquaculture Society
Veracruz, MEXICO27 Sept, 2009
Overview Global perspective on tilapia US and EU markets for tilapia products Production systems Processing and packaging changes Demands on farmers – NGO’s Future trends
China
EgyptPhilippines
Mexico
Thailand
Taiwan
Brasil
Indonesia
Bangladesh
Colombia
Cuba
Ecuador
Vietnam
Costa RicaHonduras Malaysia United States
Others
World Tilapia Production of 2,792,498 mt in 2008
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,0001
98
4
19
86
19
88
19
90
19
92
19
94
19
96
19
98
20
00
20
02
20
04
20
06
20
08
20
10
(est
)
Me
tric
ton
s
Aquaculture Fishery
Global production of tilapia
Top Ten Seafoods (U.S.)per capita (lbs)
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008Tuna 3.5 Shrimp 3.4 Shrimp 3.7 Shrimp 4.0 Shrimp 4.2 Shrimp 4.1 Shrimp 4.4 Shrimp 4.1 Shrimp 4.1Shrimp 3.2 Tuna 2.9 Tuna 3.1 Tuna 3.4 Tuna 3.4 Tuna 3.1 Tuna 2.9 Tuna 2.7 Tuna 2.8P ollock 1.6 Salmon 2.0 Salmon 2.0 Salmon 2.2 Salmon 2.2 Salmon 2.4 Salmon 2.0 Salmon 2.4 Salmon 1.8Salmon 1.5 P ollock 1.2 P ollock 1.1 P ollock 1.7 P ollock 1.7 P ollock 1.5 Pollock 1.6 Pollock 1.7 Pollock 1.34Catfish 1.1 Catfish 1.1 Catfish 1.1 Catfish 1.1 Catfish 1.1 Catfish 1.0 Tilapia 1.0 Tilapia 1.14 Tilapia 1.19Cod 0.8 Cod 0.6 Cod 0.7 Cod 0.6 Tilapia 0.7 Tilapia 0.8 Catfish 0.97 Catfish 0.90 Catfish 0.92Clams 0.5 Clams 0.5 Crabs 0.6 Crabs 0.6 Cod 0.6 Crabs 0.6 Crabs 0.7 Crabs 0.68 Crabs 0.61Crabs 0.4 Crabs 0.4 Clams 0.5 Tilapia 0.5 Crabs 0.6 Cod 0.6 Cod 0.5 Cod 0.47 Cod 0.44Flatfish 0.4 Flatfish 0.4 Tilapia 0.4 Clams 0.5 Clams 0.5 Clams 0.4 Clams 0.4 Clams 0.45 Flatfish 0.43Scallops 0.3 Tilapia 0.4 Flatfish 0.3 Scallops 0.3 Scallops 0.3 Scallops 0.3 Scallops 0.3 Flatfish 0.32 Clams 0.42
Tilapia 0.3
Entering the mainstream
Percentage of US finfish sales 2007
Tilapia’s real competition for animal protein
US Consumption of tilapia from domestic and imported sources
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,0001
99
0
19
92
19
94
19
96
19
98
20
00
20
02
20
04
20
06
20
08
Til
apia
(000
's o
f kg
of
live
wei
gh
t)
Domestic Imports
US Tilapia consumption (imports and domestic)229,000 mt of live weight (equivalent) - 2004
306,410 mt of live weight (equivalent) – 2005
368,295 mt of live weight (equivalent) – 2006437,000 mt of live weight (equivalent) - 2007
453,264 mt of live weight (equivalent) – 2008
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
200,0001
99
2
19
94
19
96
19
98
20
00
20
02
20
04
20
06
20
08
Me
tric
ton
s
Tilapia product forms imported to the U.S.
Whole Frozen
Fillet Frozen
Fillet Fresh
29,213 mt fresh fillets, 100,603 mt frozen fillets, 49,648 mt whole frozen (2008)
Fillet Fresh
Fillet Frozen
Whole Frozen
$0
$20,000,000
$40,000,000
$60,000,000
$80,000,000
$100,000,000
$120,000,000
$140,000,000
$160,000,000
$180,000,000
$200,000,000
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
$ U
S
Value of Tilapia product forms imported to the U.S.2002
Whole FrozenFillet Frozen
$0
$100,000,000
$200,000,000
$300,000,000
$400,000,000
$500,000,000
$600,000,000
$700,000,000
$800,000,00019
92
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
$ U
S
Value of Tilapia product forms imported to the U.S.
Whole Frozen
Fillet Frozen
Fillet Fresh
$297,413,000 (2004) $392,978,298 (2005) $482,742,515 (2006), $559,788,809 (2007), $734,450,306 (2008)
Imports in 2008 were $734,450,306 US production of 20,000,000 lbs at farm 2008 US tilapia farm-gate sales over
$50,000,0002008 US Tilapia Sales estimate –
$734,450,306 + $50,000,000 =
$784,450,306
US Sales of tilapia
Tilapia (May 25, 2005 Madrid Daily)
Europe is following US trend of adopting tilapia as replacement for traditional fishes
Tilapia (June 2007, Tesco, UK)
$8 US per lb whole fish!!!!
Gaining NGO certifications NaturLand World Wildlife Fund Aquaculture Certification Council WWF , ACC, and Whole Foods have
released draft sustainability guidelines (Best Aquaculture Practices) for public comment
Each reviewing sustainability of aquaculture practices and providing a certification and marketing logo
Basic goals of NGO’s Protect environment – reduce effluent impacts,
protect wildlife, mitigate damage Protect consumers – reduce (eliminate)
hormones, antibiotics, contaminants Protect workers – safe environment, fair wages,
follow local labor laws and rules Protect society and farm neighbors – follow
local laws and land tenure, reduce environmental externalities
Tilapia situation in Latin AmericaEarly in year, fresh sales from Central
and South America increasedLate in year, severe problem with letters
of creditImporters cannot borrow to buy fishSlumping exports to the USOnly biggest firms with cash can continue
buying
Tilapia situation in Latin AmericaDecreased fresh sales from Ecuador
and PeruIncreased fresh sales from Brazil,
Nicaragua, Honduras, Colombia, Costa Rica
Tilapia situation in AsiaHuge decrease in frozen sales from
China in early part of year due to winter kill
Increased frozen sales from Indonesia and Thailand
By end of year, China equaled 2007 sales volume, but large increase in value
December 18, 2008
Government of China proposes to ban use of CO for treatment of tilapia (and other fish and meat products).
Final decision to be made in 2009.
Production costs in China rose 20% last year. Expect 10%+ increases in coming years.
Tilapia – shrimp – seaweed polyculture in Indonesia
Gracilaria
Shrimp
Tilapia
Demands on farmers and processors
Demand for even more food safety, high quality, “organic” or “green” tilapia products.
- Reduce or eliminate use of methyl-testosterone hormone.
- No anti-biotics or other chemicals
- Reduce environmental impacts
- More integrated, re-use water for farming crops
- Re-use processing waste products
More value-added tilapia products More demand for all forms, especially frozen meals Rapidly increasing demand from Europe
Developing countries improved quality control:Required for US, EU, and Japan markets
Samples checked for bacterial and chemical contamination
Follow HACCP procedures, ISO, and EU guidelines
Many plants are using ozone dips to reduce surface bacteria
Improvements in packaging
IQF Fillets in re-sealable
packages
Tilapia in Long John
Silvers fastfood
Buy TILAPIA
Buy tilapia
Other celebrity endorsement President Obama reports next White House Chef
will need to be able to prepare tacos and tilapia. Michelle Obama fancies grilled tilapia. “She
enjoys her food but tries to eat healthy, as well,” said close family friend Sandy Matthews.
Michelle Obama usually opted for jerk chicken Caesar salad or the pineapple tilapia.
Tilapia leather and other by-products
Tilapia Orange Juice
Global Tilapia Market TrendsPrices have been constant, only fresh fillets have increased
significantly, will not see increases beyond inflation
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008 (est)
Fresh filletFrozen filletWholeLive
$/kg
Global Aquaculture Tilapia Sales
For year 2000 =US $ 1,744,045000 (FAO FishStat 2007)
2005 sales = $ 2,457,312,000(FAO FishStat 2007)
2010 sales >$ 5,000,000,000
Future global tilapia aquaculture
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
(est
)
2010
(est
)
2011
(es
t)
Met
ric
tons
(00
0)
Conclusions Global tilapia production will exceed
3,000,000 metric tons in 2010. Constantly improving production systems
with demands for more sustainability. More demands for food safety, quality
assurance, improved packaging, and environmental safeguards (with little if any increase in price)
ISO, HACCP and NGO certifications will be a fact of life.
NINTH INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON TILAPIA IN AQUACULTURE
(ISTA9)November 2010
Shanghai Ocean Universityin conjunction with 9th Asian Fisheries Society
Forum
Funding for this research was provided by the
COLLABORATIVE RESEARCH SUPPORT PROGRAM
The AquaFish CRSP is funded in part by United States Agency for International Development (USAID)
Cooperative Agreement No. EPP-A-00-06-00012-00 and by US and Host Country partners.
The contents of this presentation do not necessarily represent an official position or policy of the United States Agency for International Development
(USAID). Mention of trade names or commercial products in this presentation does not constitute endorsement or recommendation for use on the part of USAID or the AquaFish Collaborative Research Support Program. The accuracy, reliability,
and originality of the work presented are the responsibility of the individual authors.