the new industrial paradigm, by philippe destatte

Philippe DestatteFuturist, CEO of The Destree Institute

Foresight Associate Professor inParis‐Diderot & Reims Universities

Brussels, The Square, September 24, 2014

IMAGINE THE FUTUREThe New Industrial Paradigm

The Millennium ProjectA global foresight network of 50 nodes, functioning as a think tank developing a Global Futures Intelligence System (GFIS) in order to improve humanity’s prospects for building a better future. The Destree Institute serves as Brussels’ Area Node.

The New Industrial Paradigm

1. What do we mean by a New Industrial Paradigm?

2. The three shifts driving 21st century industry3. Four vitals factors: materials, energy,

structure of time and relationship with life4. Five challenges to tackle in order to face the

New Industrial Paradigm5. Conclusion: Are we ready?

The New Industrial Paradigm

The New Industrial Paradigm1. What do we mean by a New Industrial

Paradigm?2. The three shifts driving 21st century industry3. Four vitals factors: materials, energy,



IMAGINE THE FUTURE

A paradigm is essentially a model and a systemof reference and of representation of the world,which we invent and construct mentally in anattempt to grasp and describe its components.

I think we are living in a time in which we have anold paradigm, (…)

We are in a period “between two worlds”: one thatis dying but not yet dead, and another that wantsto be born, but has not yet been born.

Edgar MORIN, 1999

A period between two worlds

The New industrial Paradigmstill refers to the 18th c. Industrial Revolution

A society can be called new when structuraltransformation has occurred in the relations ofproduction, in the relations of power, ininterpersonal relations. These transformationsbring about an equally significant change insocial spatiality and temporality, and theemergence of a new culture

Manuel CASTELLS, 1999

A new society = structural transformation

2.1. We are still in the Industrial Societies

Adam Smith

Karl Marx

Joseph Stiglitz

Thomas Piketty

2.1. We are still in the Industrial SocietiesJames Watt ‘ssteam engine(1769)

Rudolf Diesel‘sengine(1893)

ZénobeGramme‘sdynamo(1868)

EnricoFermi& Leó

Szilárd’snuclear

pile(1942)

2.2. We are also living the Cognitive Revolution

Information sciences Life sciences

Convergence : molecular biology, genomics, etc.

2.3. We are building a new harmony throughSustainable Development

Apollo 8 Earthrise (December 24, 1968)


Sustainability’s seven requirements (Brundtland Report, 1987)

Harmony Politicalsystem

EconomicSystem

SocialSystem

TechnologicalSystem

AdministrativeSystem

InternationalSystem

EcologicalProductionSystem


Sustainability’s seven requirements (Brundtland Report, 1987)

Harmony Politicalsystem

EconomicSystem

SocialSystem

TechnologicalSystem

AdministrativeSystem

InternationalSystem

EcologicalProductionSystem

Harmony isa happy arrangementof all the elements of asystem making themtend to the same

global effect in orderto reach its ultima‐

te aims

The practices underpinning the Circular Economy

Eco-Design

IndustrialEcology

Economyof

Function-ality

Re-use

Repair

Re-utilisation

Recycling

PhD2050, 2014 according to ADEME, 2013.

Four vital factors activated simultaneouslyin contemporary transformations

Hyperchoiceof materials

Tension between nuclear and

renewable energies

Relationshipwith life &

biotechnologyThe new structureof time generatedby microprocessors Gaudin‐Portnoff, 1980‐2001

The changes could extend over centuries…

21st c.20th c. 22nd c. 23rd c.

4.1. How could we reinforce industry with the innovations of the Cognitive Revolution?

Hello MaterialsBlog, Dk

4.2. How could we concretely apply the principles of circular economy to all the activities of the supply chain, in order to achieve a zero‐waste business model for the industry of the future?

OCDE 2009ECC Wales 2014

4.3. How could we reduce energy consumption in order to improve the competitiveness of the industry?

World industrial sector and all other delivered end‐use energy consumption (2005‐2040) – Source : US EIA

4.4. How could we prepare the different actors, and especially the enterprises, to Low‐Carbon Economy?

abc.net

4.5. How could we build a real partnership between policy‐makers, civil society and the companies in order to create a positive / win‐win multilevel governance?

PNUD/PhD/IDLE Materials

Huge shifts await us, comparable in magnitudeto the transition from the Middle Ages to themodern world. The ability of our societies tounderstand and manage these shifts will bedecisive for the future.

Are we ready ?Pierre CALAME, 2003

Are we ready?

With the 2050 Roadmap, you are more ready now!

So… changeis in your hands:don’t be afraid!

evoportail.fr

So, changeis in you hands:don’t be afraid!

evoportail.fr

Thank you!@PhD2050

[email protected]

the new industrial paradigm, by philippe destatte

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