swiss politics and political institutions: 6. what about the citizens? prof. dr. andreas ladner impa...
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Swiss politics and political institutions:
6. What about the citizens?
Prof. Dr. Andreas Ladner
iMPA 2013
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Module 1
1. Society and History
2. Federalism and Municipalities
3. Government and Parliament
4. Direct Democracy
5. Party system and Parties
6. What about the citizens?
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What makes people vote what makes them decide for a specific party?
Sociological approaches (class, occupation, ethnicity,
sex, age)
Approaches of political scientists (issues, political
programs, electoral campaigns, and the popularity of
party leaders )
Social psychological approaches (relate voting decisions
to the voter's psychological predispositions or attitudes,
for example party identification)
Rational Choice (cost-benefit calculations)
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Spatial theories of voting
Proximity Voting (Downs 1957)
Directional Voting (Rabinowitz und Macdonald 1989)
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Rouiller 2009:2
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References
Budge, I. and D. Farlie (1983). Explaining and Predicting Elections: Issue Effects and Party
Strategies in Twenty-Three Democracies. London: George Allen & Unwin.
Downs, A. (1957). An Economic Theory of Democracy. New York: Harper & Row Publishers.
Grofman, Bernard (1985): The Neglected Role of the Status Quo in Models of Issue Voting.
In: The Journal of Politics, 47, 230-237.
Iversen, Torben (1994): Political Leadership and Representation in West European
Democracies: A Test of Three Models of Voting. In: American Journal of Political Science, 45-
74.
Kedar, Orit (2005): When Moderate Voter prefer Extreme Parties: Policy Balancing in
Parliamentary Elections. In: American Political Science Review 99: 185-199.
Rabinowitz, G. and S. E. Macdonald (1989). 'A Directional Theory of Issue Voting', The
American Political Science Review, 83(1): 93-121.
Stokes, D. E. (1963). 'Spatial Models of Party Competition', The American Political Science
Review, 57(2): 368-77.
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Who takes part in elections?
Hommes = men; Femmes = women
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Age?
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Participation in popular votes according to age
blue = over 30 years old; red = under 30 years old
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Participation according to age and gender
Hommes = men; Femmes = women
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What leads to higher participation: education, income and marriage
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Non-participation
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The voting decision according to age
Life cycle or generation effects?
Swiss People’s PartyLiberal Party
Christian Democrats
Social Democrats
Green Party
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Catholics and Voting Decision 1995 to 2007
Christian Democrats
Swiss People’s Party
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Dealignment and Realignment
Dealignment: The Catholics no longer vote for the Christian Democrats
only; and the workers no longer vote for the Social Democrats.
Realignment: The Swiss People‘s Party found a new group of followers
with its program based on traditional, conservative Swiss values and a
strong stance against immigration and international integration.
The Social Democrats also found a new group of followers among better
educated professionals working for the state sector or in creative
professions.
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The voters on a left-right scale
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Who would the non voters vote for?
Swiss People’s Party
Liberal Party
Christian Democrats
Social Democrats
Green Party
Preferences non voters
Preferences voters
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Who would the non voters vote for?
Swiss People’s Party
Liberal Party
Christian Democrats
Social Democrats
Green Party
Preferences non voters
Preferences voters
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How will we vote in future? From a show of hands and ballot boxes ...
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... to postal voting, and then?
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E-voting
Pre-VotingSphere
VotingSphere
Post-VotingSphere
Campaign and decision making
The act of voting
Analysis, control
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Elections for the National Council 2007
3089 candidates
311 lists
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How to find the right party or the right candidate?
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The Swiss voting system: (party) lists with “Kumulieren” and “Panaschieren”
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VAAs (Voting Advice Applications)
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Election – Democracy UK – 280k
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CH: www.smartvote.ch
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smartvote Profil | Wahlempfehlung
Kategorien Anzahl Fragen davon
beantwortet Aussen- & Sicherheitspolitik 3 3
Bildung & Forschung 2 2
Finanz- & Steuerpolitik 1 1
Gesellschaft, Kultur & Ethik 4 4
Innere Sicherheit 2 2
Migrations- & Ausländerpolitik 2 2
Sozial- & Familienpolitik 4 4 Staatliche Institutionen & Volksrechte
2 2
Umwelt-, Verkehrs- & Energiepolitik
4 4
Wirtschaftspolitik 3 3
Policy domains
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Questionnaire
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Genug Fragen beantwortet?
Zur Wahlempfehlung
“Advice or recommendation”
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Matching list (Candidates or parties)
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Additional information
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You compared to the candidate/party (smartspider)
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Some results from our studies
Increasing and high participation of candidates (from 50 % in 2003 up to more than 80 % of about 3000 candidates in 2007)
The candidates seem to like the tool!
Increasing use of the tool (900’000 recommendations, about 300’000 users in 2007, 8 % of the voters)
Highly satisfied users (over 90 %)
The tool addresses specific parts of the population
Smartvote matters in terms of turnout and in terms of the outcome of elections
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And what’s next?
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Smartvote 200+: From the matching list to the ballot list
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Let’s open the tunnel?
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The last meter
Smartvote gives us the possibility to select
electronically
E-Voting gives us the possibility to vote electronically
=> There is (are) only one (a few) click(s) from the
selection to the vote!
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Additional tools:
Smartmonitor (roll call votes)
Smartinfo (for initiatives and referendums)
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The more demanding an electoral (political)
system is, the more helpful are such e-tools.
If e-tools matter, they are also used.
E-tools have to be simple and user-friendly.
Conclusions
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www.mypolitics.ch
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Thank you for your attention!