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Page 1: Storytelling in regional climate change adaptation · Storytelling in Climate Change Communication Els Aarts Science Education & Communication . Utrecht University & KNMI . 2018
Page 2: Storytelling in regional climate change adaptation · Storytelling in Climate Change Communication Els Aarts Science Education & Communication . Utrecht University & KNMI . 2018

Storytelling in Climate Change Communication

Els Aarts

Science Education & Communication

Utrecht University & KNMI

2018

Supervisors

Roald Verhoeff, UU

Janette Bessembinder, Bernadet Overbeek, KNMI

Page 3: Storytelling in regional climate change adaptation · Storytelling in Climate Change Communication Els Aarts Science Education & Communication . Utrecht University & KNMI . 2018

How to Use Storytelling in the Climate

Scenarios?

Page 4: Storytelling in regional climate change adaptation · Storytelling in Climate Change Communication Els Aarts Science Education & Communication . Utrecht University & KNMI . 2018

Beliefs do not Depend on Education (Kahan et al, 2012)

Page 5: Storytelling in regional climate change adaptation · Storytelling in Climate Change Communication Els Aarts Science Education & Communication . Utrecht University & KNMI . 2018

Why would stories work?

• Narrative transportation

• Congruence / incongruence

• Narrator trust

Focus on congruence

Page 6: Storytelling in regional climate change adaptation · Storytelling in Climate Change Communication Els Aarts Science Education & Communication . Utrecht University & KNMI . 2018

Once Upon a Time…

What is a story?

• Setting/context

• Temporal element

• Characters

• Moral or policy solution

Narrative Policy Framework, 2010.

Page 7: Storytelling in regional climate change adaptation · Storytelling in Climate Change Communication Els Aarts Science Education & Communication . Utrecht University & KNMI . 2018

3 Stories About Climate Adaptation

1 control text

Page 8: Storytelling in regional climate change adaptation · Storytelling in Climate Change Communication Els Aarts Science Education & Communication . Utrecht University & KNMI . 2018

Cultural Theory

Fatalist

- Outsiders

- Non-voters

- Difficult to

generalise

Hierarchist

- Norms and values

- Conservative

- Government and

experts

Individualist

- Competitive and

commercial

- Liberals

- Technical (market)

solutions

Egalitarian

- Moralists

- Small groups

without a hierarchy

- Everyone carries

responsibility

Group

Grid

Page 9: Storytelling in regional climate change adaptation · Storytelling in Climate Change Communication Els Aarts Science Education & Communication . Utrecht University & KNMI . 2018

Survey, 336 respondents.

166 Egalitarians (EG)

72 Hierarchists (HR)

46 Individualists (IND)

8 Fatalists (FAT)

44 Doubles

(EG-HR or HR-IND)

• Exploratory study, p < 0.1

Methodology

x

x

x

Page 10: Storytelling in regional climate change adaptation · Storytelling in Climate Change Communication Els Aarts Science Education & Communication . Utrecht University & KNMI . 2018

1. Do respondents score differentlyon understanding, risk perceptionand action perspective afterhaving read one of the four texts?

2. Why do respondents favourcertain stories?

3. Does using stories influence theKNMI’s credibility?

Research Questions

Page 11: Storytelling in regional climate change adaptation · Storytelling in Climate Change Communication Els Aarts Science Education & Communication . Utrecht University & KNMI . 2018

Mean

match

Mean non-match P value

Understanding 1,87 2,10 .579

Risk perception 5.33 5.55 .575

Self-efficacy 4.93 4.91 .759

RQ1: Type x Story

Page 12: Storytelling in regional climate change adaptation · Storytelling in Climate Change Communication Els Aarts Science Education & Communication . Utrecht University & KNMI . 2018

RQ1: Control vs Story

Control group Story group p value Effect size d

Understanding 2.21 1.92 .012 .23 (small)

Risk perception 5.45 5.48 .181 -

Self-efficacy 4.55 5.00 .082 .30 (small)

Also: Hierarchist story influences risk perception more than Egalitarian and Individualist story. (p = 0.069 & p = .010)

Page 13: Storytelling in regional climate change adaptation · Storytelling in Climate Change Communication Els Aarts Science Education & Communication . Utrecht University & KNMI . 2018

RQ2: Story Preference Favorite and least favorite story per type, percentual

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Hierarchists Egalitarians Individualists Fatalists

HR EG IND CTL

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Hierarchists Egalitarians Individualists Fatalists

HR EG IND CTL

Page 14: Storytelling in regional climate change adaptation · Storytelling in Climate Change Communication Els Aarts Science Education & Communication . Utrecht University & KNMI . 2018

Positive 26%

Neutral 45%

Negative 29%

Opinion: does using stories harm the KNMI’s credibility?

RQ3: Credibility

Page 15: Storytelling in regional climate change adaptation · Storytelling in Climate Change Communication Els Aarts Science Education & Communication . Utrecht University & KNMI . 2018

Negative 14%

Neutral 16%

Positive 66%

Unknown 4%

Opinion on using stories to communicate climate change. Respondents that report the

KNMI as less credible, also

are more negatively

opiniated about using stories.

“haters gonna hate?”

(respondent 23)

Page 16: Storytelling in regional climate change adaptation · Storytelling in Climate Change Communication Els Aarts Science Education & Communication . Utrecht University & KNMI . 2018

Conclusions and Recommendations

• No ‘match’ effect found.

• Relation Type and Story preferenceexists.

• Hierarchist story is liked best on averagein all groups, and invokes a higher riskperception.

• Most repondents say stories have eithera positive or no effect on credibility ofthe messenger.

• Consider using a story next to thecontrol text.

Page 17: Storytelling in regional climate change adaptation · Storytelling in Climate Change Communication Els Aarts Science Education & Communication . Utrecht University & KNMI . 2018

Questions or Closure