shakey’spizza asia ventures, inc....3-5% cagr • consecutive double-digit growth in system-wide...
TRANSCRIPT
SHAKEY’S PIZZA ASIA VENTURES, INC.(PSE: PIZZA)
FULL YEAR 2018 RESULTS PRESENTATIONAPRIL 2019
INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
*Source: Euromonitor, 2017
Summary of Investment Highlights
• Multiple sales channels and store formats; simple operations• Low upfront cost and strong cash generation lead to shorter store-level
payback periods compared to the industry
• Extensive track records in food and restaurant operations• Entry of Century Pacific Group as strong and committed shareholders
provides synergies with other food businesses
• Well-loved brand with more than 40 years of history in the Philippines• Iconic products served in a distinct store environment• No royalty payments, plus additional revenues from franchisings
• Superior profitability and margins versus peers• Gearing levels improved post-prepayment of debt care of IPO proceeds• Cash generative with a negative cash conversion cycle
Market Leadership1
2 Brand Strength& Ownership
3 Scalable Business Model
4 Experienced Management
5 Industry-Leading Financials
• Dominates the full-service pizza chain market with 65%* market share• 26%* market share in the full-service (pizza and non-pizza) category - #1 in
that space as well
3
FY 2018 FINANCIAL HIGLIGHTS
Financial Results Highlights
4Q
FY
+10%
+12%
+18%
+10%
+2%
+4%
+7%
+7%
5
FY 2018 Summarized P&L
• Sustained DOUBLE-DIGIT SYSTEM-WIDE SALES GROWTH of +12% on the back of SSSG OF 4% and net new store opening of 20 DOMESTIC STORES AND 1 INTERNATIONAL STORE
• STABLE FINANCING COSTS, HIGHER OTHER INCOME, and PRUDENT TAX MANAGEMENT support net income growth of +10%
In PHP Mill FY 2017 FY 2018 Change YoYSystem-wide Sales 8,346 9,357 12%
Total Revenue 7,004 7,579 8%
Cost of Sales (4,938) (5,399) 9%
Gross Profit 2,066 2,179 5%
Operating Expenses (905) (973) 7%
EBITDA 1,407 1,500 7%
EBIT 1,161 1,206 4%
Financing Cost - Net (177) (189) 6%
Other Income 39 65 66%
Income before Tax 1,022 1,082 6%
Income Tax (260) (241) -7%
Net Income 762 841 10%
Earnings per Share 0.50 0.55 10%
MarginsGross Profit 29.5% 28.8% -0.7 pps
EBITDA 20.1% 19.8% -0.3 pps
EBIT 16.6% 15.9% -0.7 pps
Net Income 10.9% 11.1% +0.2 pps
• Higher costs, weaker currency, sales-supporting initiatives partially offset by SOFTENING CHEESE PRICES and OPERATING LEVERAGE towards year-end
6
6.4 7.3 8.3 9.4
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19F FY20F
On Track to Doubling Business Over 5 Years
7
In PHP Bill
4% 4% 5% 4%
9% 10% 12% 11%
System-wide Sales
SYSTEM-WIDE SALES
1.6X TO 2.0X–––-––-–––––– OR –––––––––––10 TO 15% CAGR2015 TO 2020 TARGET
STORE NETWORK GROWTH*SAME-STORE SALES GROWTH
+14% +14% +12%
8-10% CAGR
3-5% CAGR
• CONSECUTIVE DOUBLE-DIGIT GROWTH in system-wide sales driven by:1. Consistent positive SSSG 2. Continued store network expansion
CURRENT PERFORMANCEVERSUS TARGET
*Average of beginning and ending full-year figures were used
Revenues
• Majority of new store openings outside Metro Manila brings sales trend in favor of FRANCHISED STORES, resulting in more modest growth in revenues
8
3 3 15 2 1 1
2 3 43
4 3 4 55 6 5
84 5 5 6
1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18Company-Owned Franchised
NEW STORE OPENINGS
2.0 2.1 2.0 2.3 2.2 2.4 2.2 2.5
1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18In P
HP
Bill
SYSTEM-WIDE SALES
12%YoY Growth in FY18
1.7 1.7 1.6 2.0 1.8 1.9 1.8 2.0
1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
In P
HP
Bill 8%
YoY Growth in FY18
REVENUES
18%
7%
Franchised Store YoY Growth in FY18*Company-Owned Store YoY Growth in FY18*
Store Expansion Strategy Skews Overall Top Line Mix
+44net new stores since
end 2016
23%NCR
77%Ex-NCR
*Average of beginning and ending full-year figures were used
12%
5%
1% 2% 2%
9%
4% 2% 4% 4%
4% 3% 5% 6%
8% 8%
1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
SSSG Inflation of Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages*
SSSG
• CONSISTENTLY MAINTAINED POSITIVE SSSG,notwithstanding external pressures
• Remained top of mind in 3Q18 with more VALUE PROMOTIONS
• Slower but still positive 4Q18 SSSG given RE-FOCUS TO PREMIUMIZING PRODUCTS
9
More Challenging 2H18; Softer SSSG in Q4 with Shift in Strategy
* Source: Philippine Statistics Authority
29.9% 30.3% 27.8%
29.9% 28.8% 28.6% 25.8%
31.4%
12% 5%
1% 2% 2% 9%
4% 2%
SSSG Gross Profit Margin
1.7 1.7 1.6 2.0 1.8 1.9 1.8 2.0
1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18Revenues
Gross Profit Margins
10
-110 bpsYoY
-160 bpsYoY
-200 bpsYoY
+150 bpsYoY
• REVERSE IN GROSS MARGIN TREND IN Q4 due to:1. More judicious spend on value-for-money promotions2. Softer cheese prices3. Operating leverage due to seasonality
Q4 Gross Margin Improves Sequentially and Year-on-Year
15.4%
12.3% 12.6%
Cash OpEx as % of Sales
16.4%
12.9% 12.8%
OpEx as % of Sales
985 905 973
FY16 FY17 FY18
925 862 956
FY16 FY17 FY18
OpEx
11
In PHP Mill
-8% +7%
OpEx Growth Year-on-YearIn Line with Increase in Revenues
Cash OpEx
-7% +11%
In PHP Mill
• HIGHER CASH OPEX GROWTH driven by:1. Marketing and other sales-sustaining initiatives2. Continued investments in IT and other back-office systems3. Overall impact of inflationary pressures
20.1% 19.8%
FY17 FY18
10.9% 11.1%
FY17 FY18
Maintained Net Margins Despite 2018 Headwinds
EBITDA Net Income
19.5% 19.8% 15.5%
23.7%
1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
-30bps
10.4% 11.1% 7.7% 14.6%
1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
+20 bps
• GROSS MARGIN COMPRESSION YEAR-ON-YEAR resulting from overall inflationary environment, higher cheese prices, weakened peso, and sales-generating promotional activities
• NET INCOME MARGIN RELATIVELY UNCHANGED
12
29.5% 28.8%
FY17 FY18
-70bps
28.8% 28.6% 25.8% 31.4%
1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18
Gross Profit
+560 bps
+690 bps+820 bps
13
Challenging Yet Achievable Targets for FY 2019
• Low double-digit growth• Superior execution in dine-in
and delivery segments• Increasing presence beyond
typical urban areas• 20 net new stores locally• 3-5% SSSG
• Low double-digit growth• Subdued outlook on inflation• Stable cheese prices• Steady peso relative to dollar• Continued initiatives on
efficiency and cost control
“Peri-Peri” came from the African Bird’s Eye Chili “Piri Piri” that was discovered by the Portuguese who sailed in search of the famed spice route. It releases a fiery spice, igniting a wealth of flavors on every taste bud.
“Peri-Peri”
15
Food & Sauces
“Peri-Peri
Peri-Peri Chicken
Sauces
Pasta
Pizza Platters
“Charcoal Chicken
16
Chicken (Main Plates)
44%
Group Meals14%
Others 42%
“Charcoal Chicken
Sales Mix
17
“Peri-Peri
• Main Plates make up close to half of sales
“Charcoal Chicken
Menu of Key Items
18
• Average spend per head ranges from PHP250 to PHP350, comparable to that of Shakey’s
“Peri-Peri
Market
“Peri-Peri“Charcoal Chicken
Philippines’SE Classes
% Shareof Families
% Shareof Income
Annual Incomein PHP
AB 1 9 1,857,000
C 9 26 603,000
D 60 56 191,000
E 30 9 62,000
Total 100 100 206,000
Source: BPI Securities, Social Weather System Survey 2016
Similar to Shakey’s, the expected market is A, B, and upper C (C1) – the growing middle class.
19
Ambiance
“Charcoal Chicken
20
“Peri-Peri
• Also provides an aspirational full-service dining experience at an affordable price
• Established following and strong brand recall from different types of visitors
“Peri-Peri“Charcoal Chicken
1
2
“There’s a special taste exuded because of the process;
the chicken taste is unique.” - Regular User of Peri-Peri
3
“Lots of options - choose sides;
there’s tortilla, there’s
hummus, salsa. You feel like
you can personalize your meal
without going out of your
budget.”- Non-Regular User of Peri-Peri
“It’s like you’re in the Pirates of the Caribbean. I like how the
bottles have lots of different colors - something different,
colorful, vibrant/good vibes and fun, fresh.”
- Regular User of Peri-PeriFGD Feedback
22Source: Kantar Millward Brown, February 2019
“Store Network
*Map colors show % population of the country by region. The darker the color, the higher the % population. Source: Philippine Statistics Authority 2015
Company-Owned35%
Franchised65%
Store Breakdown by Ownership
87%
NCR
4%
Luzon Ex-NCR
9%
Visayas
20 stores
1 store
2 stores
22
• Opportunity to scale in NCR first, then outside where there is severe underpenetration
Why Peri-Peri
Charcoal Chicken?
24
“Why Peri-Peri“Charcoal Chicken?
As an emerging fast-casual and full-service restaurant brand in the Philippines, it is a good addition to PIZZA’s business portfolio given the aim to diversify through a handful of industry-leading full-service restaurant chains that appeal to the Filipinos’ growing need for premium yet affordable dine-out options.
1
2
3
It has demonstrated consistent profitability, consequently increasing the amount of interest for new stores from potential lessors and franchisees.
A Vision of WOW BRANDS
Established Brand Strength
It has a strong following and has recently gained more traction as it appeals to Filipinos’ love for both poultry and a strong distinctive taste.
Potential to Grow
25
• Pursuing long-term sustainable growth via diversification of brands and institutionalization of non-financial metrics via enterprise-wide sustainability project – Project InSpire
ANNEX
Balance SheetIn PHP Mill 2017 2018
Cash 245 434
Receivables 586 508
Other Current Assets 424 668
Total Current Assets 1,255 1,610
Property, Plant, and Equipment 1,538 1,712
Goodwill and Trademarks 6,066 6,066
Other Non-Current Assets 250 245
Total Non-Current Assets 7,854 8,023
TOTAL ASSETS 9,109 9,633
In PHP Mill 2017 2018
Trade Payable and Others 1,065 920
Short-Term Debt 48 48
Total Current Liabilities 1,113 968
Long-Term Debt 3,885 3,837
Other Non-Current Liabilities 137 259
Total Non-Current Liabilities 4,022 4,096
TOTAL LIABILITIES 5,135 5,063
TOTAL EQUITY 3,974 4,570
TOTAL LIABILITIES AND EQUITY 9,109 9,633
• Increase in working capital mainly due to HIGHER INVENTORY to lock in cheese requirements at favorable prices
• Elevated PPE to support ORGANIZATIONAL GROWTH andOPERATIONAL CAPABILITIES
• Decreased trade payables versus end 2017 due to PROCESS STREAMLINING
• Long-term loan of PHP3.8 billion all PESO-DENOMINATED WITH FIXED INTEREST RATES
27
Ratios
Net Debt-to-Equity (x)
Net Gearing (x)
Interest-BearingDebt-to-EBITDA (x)
Return on Equity
1.23 1.01
2017 2018
0.93 0.76
2017 2018
2.80 2.59
2017 2018
21% 20%
2017 2018
28
Uses trailing 12-month EBITDA
(Interest-Bearing Liabilities - Cash) / Total Equity
Uses trailing 12-month earnings and average equity
(Total Liabilities - Cash) / Total Equity
• COMFORTABLE GEARING RATIOS despite elevated debt
• Company’s only interest-bearing debt is the PESO-DENOMINATED ACQUISITION LOAN USED IN THE CHANGE OF MAJORITY SHAREHOLDERS in 2016
• MAINTAINED ABOVE-INDUSTRY ROE at 20%
Cash Conversion Cycle
362
597
27
40
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
FY17 FY18 days₱
Mns
1,065
920 79
62
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
FY17 FY18 days₱
Mns
586 508
31 24
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
FY17 FY18 days₱
Mns(117)
185
(21) 2
(120)
(60)
-
60
120
180
240
300
360
(120)
(60)
-
60
120
180
240
300
360
FY17 FY18
days₱
Mns
Working Capital Receivables Inventory Payables
29
• Increase in cash conversion cycle relative to end 2017 to +2 DAYS
• Elevated inventory level following the ADVANCED PURCHASE OF CHEESE
• Shortened payable days versus end 2017 due to PROCESS STREAMLINING
2017 Glossy Annual Report
PIZZA’s 2017 Glossy Annual Report can be found on the Company’scorporate website
www.shakeyspizza.ph :
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Investors > Investor Presentations
https://spavi-noo-prod.s3.ap-southeast-1.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/documents/investor_presentations/FINAL_ONLINE_PIZZA_2017_Glossy_Annual_Report.pdf
2019 Calendar of IR Activities
Investor Conferences Earnings Release
dbAccessPhilippines Corporate Day (London)
2
AUG MacquarieASEAN Conference (Singapore)
26
SEP
*Schedule updated as of 15 April 2019
1Q19Earnings Release
14MAY
Annual Stockholders’ Meeting
20JUN
2Q19Earnings Release
7AUG
3Q19Earnings Release
12NOV
32
SHAKEY’S PIZZA ASIA VENTURES, INC.
This document is highly confidential and being given solely for your information and for your use and may not be, or anyportion thereof, shared, copied, reproduced or redistributed to any other person in any manner.
The statements contained in this document speak only as of the date which they are made, and the Company expresslydisclaims any obligation or undertaking to supplement, amend or disseminate any updates or revisions to any statementscontained herein to reflect any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statements are based. Bypreparing this presentation, none of the Company, its management, and their respective advisers undertakes anyobligation to provide the recipient with access to any additional information or to update this presentation or to correctany inaccuracies in any such information which may become apparent.
This presentation contains statements, including forward-looking statements, based on the currently held beliefs andassumptions of the management of the Company, which are expressed in good faith and, in their opinion, reasonable.Forward-looking statements in particular involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which maycause the actual results, financial condition, performance, or achievements of the Company or industry results, to differmaterially from the results, financial condition, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-lookingstatements. Given these risks, uncertainties and other factors, recipients of this document are cautioned not to placeundue reliance on these forward-looking statements.
Any reference herein to "the Company" shall mean, collectively, Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures, Inc. and its subsidiaries.
Paranaque City, Philippines
+632 742 5397
www.shakeyspizza.ph
http://edge.pse.com.ph/companyInformation/form.do?cmpy_id=664