exchange traded funds (etfs) - cfa institute · global etf market growth (aum & no. of funds)...

47
For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) Philip Philippides iShares Head of UK/IRE Institutional Sales [email protected] (+44 207 668 8942) Claus Hein iShares Business Development Officer [email protected] (+44 207 668 8458)

Upload: others

Post on 24-May-2020

5 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs)

Philip PhilippidesiShares Head of UK/IRE Institutional [email protected] (+44 207 668 8942)

Claus HeiniShares Business Development [email protected] (+44 207 668 8458)

Page 2: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

1For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

Introduction to ETFsI. ETF FundamentalsII. ETF GrowthIII. ETF UsersIV. ETF Primary and Secondary Markets

Strategies using ETFsI. Core/SatelliteII. ETF Overlay on pure Alpha portfolios III. Sector StrategiesIV. Shorting ETFsV. Distilling Alpha in L/S portfolios

Agenda

Page 3: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

Introduction to ETFs

Page 4: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

3For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

ETFs Behave Like Any Other Shares on the Exchange…- Can be bought, sold short and/or lent out - Trade intra-day across various exchanges (NYSE, LSE, DB, Euronext)- Have on-exchange and OTC market makers

…But Provide Exposure Like an Index- Constructed to reflect performance of a benchmark- Offer diversification reducing stock-specific risks- Are completely transparent portfolio holdings- Have low expense ratios- Are open-ended with a creation/redemption feature that helps drive liquidity

I. ETFs Are Index Funds Which Are Listed & Traded Like a Stock on Major Stock Exchanges Globally

ETFs are not DerivativesETFs are not Derivatives

Page 5: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

4For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

I. How Are ETFs Used?

Market Exposure: Implement wide variety of investment strategies using a broad range of market exposures

Directional Views: Establish broad directional market position, use long & short trades to implement market view(s)

Core Satellite: Achieve strategic focus

Rebalancing: Correct drift in a portfolio’s asset allocation or style

Completion: Add uncorrelated instruments and/or asset classes to strategy

Interim Beta : Maintain exposure to given market while searching for specific market opportunity

Cash Management : Able to invest cash rapidly and cost effectively to gain desired market exposures

Derivatives Alternative : Broad opportunity set of Delta 1 exposures with single line cash based settlement

Exposure Management : Easily shift portfolio emphasis by adjusting exposures (e.g. duration, credit)

Thematic : Implement thematic exposures (e.g. dividends, alternatives)

Strategic

Tactical

Page 6: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

5For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

Transparency

Flexibility

Diversification

Liquidity

Cost Effectiveness

ETFs offer a cost-effective route to diversified market exposure (139 benchmarks)The average total expense ratio (TER) for equity ETFs in Europe is 46 bps versus 100 bps (per annum) for the average equity index tracking fund and 191 bps (per annum) for average active equity fund1

ETF units and underlying assets can be lent out to potentially offset holding costs

ETFs are listed on exchanges and can be traded at any time the market is openPricing is continuous throughout the day

ETFs provide immediate exposure to a basket or group of securities for instant diversificationBroad range of asset classes including equities, bonds, commodities, Investment Themes etc

ETFs offer two sources of liquidity− Traditional liquidity measured by secondary market trading volume − The liquidity of the underlying via the creation and redemption process

Securities Lending

I. Why Are ETFs Used?

Investors know the ETF composition at any given time

1. Lipper Fitzrovia (December 2006)

Page 7: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

6For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

AUM$B

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

#ETFs

US AUM Europe AUM Rest of World AUMUS #ETFs European #ETFs Rest of World #ETFs

Global ETF AUM Is Forecast to Reach $2Tr by 2011Global ETF AUM Is Forecast to Reach $2Tr by 2011

Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds)

US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36%

Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113%

Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

Source: Morgan Stanley, Exchange Traded Funds – Industry Snapshot – End of November 2007, 17 December 2007

II. ETF Growth: The Global ETF Market Has Experienced Strong Growth Since 2000

Page 8: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

7For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

International/EM

14%

Fixed Income 14%

Regional Eurozone

20%

Global3% Country (US)

4% Regional (Europe)

6%

Commodities2%

US Sector>1%

Country (Europe)

24%

European Sector

6%

Style7%

Sector 12%

Growth 7%

Value6%

Fixed Income 6%

Broad Market 4%

Mid-Cap4%

Commodities<1%

Small Cap 4%

Custom<1%

International 29%

Large Cap28%

II. ETFs Today Provide a Broad Range of Potential Exposures

European ETF Assets by Type of Exposure

US ETF Assets by Type of Exposure

Source: Morgan Stanley Investment Strategies, Bloomberg

Page 9: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

8For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Europe US

Number of Users

Growth of Institutional Users of ETFs

US CAGR = 30%

Europe CAGR = 45%

III. ETF users: More Institutional Users are Using ETFs

Strong year-on-year growth in Institutional users - across both US and Europe

Growth fuelled by:- Increasing familiarity

with ETFs- Increasing availability of

ETFs & Improving liquidity- Continued product

innovation

Strong growth continuing through 2007

Source: Thomson Financial, Morgan Stanley Investment Strategies

Page 10: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

9For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Number of Hedge Funds Holding ETFs

Source: Edhec European ET Survey; Morgan Stanley, Exchange Traded Funds – Q3 2007Global Industry Review (November 2007)

Current trends:

- 36% increase in the number of hedge funds using ETFs over the past year

- 66% increase of average daily global ETF shares traded (2007 YTD)

- 131% increase of average daily global ETF value traded (2007 Q1-Q3)

III. Hedge Funds Have Only Started to Use ETFs

Page 11: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

10For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

IV. ETF Primary and Secondary Markets

Secondary MarketPrimary Market

BGI

iSha

res

ETF

Securities

Exchange

Cash (OTC)ETFMarket

Makers/Broker

Cash

Investor/Client

iShares ETFiShares ETF

Page 12: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

11For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

IV. Delta 1 Products Comparison

Single dealerExchange / Multiple dealersExchange / Multiple dealersLiquidity provided

DerivativeDerivativeFundLegal structure

NoNoYesAvailable to lend

FixedQuarterlyNoExpiry

Variable on exposure1 contract1 shareMinimum trade size

NoNoYesTracking error

Financing Roll Total Expense RatioHolding cost

None if held to expiry; break fee on notional

CommissionCommissionRound trip execution costs

ETFs Futures Swaps

Page 13: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

12For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

Client

Lending ETF units

iShares lent out

iShares put in Securities Lending

programme

Lending revenue received

Borrower pays lending fee

Similar to individual securities, demand for borrowing iShares units is subject to market forces. Some iShares units are more attractive to borrow*The net revenue that is paid into the funds depends on the fee split arrangement in place. All iShares investors benefit from Securities Lending returnsinside iShares funds where lending is possible

Lending iShares unitsiShares investors may lend out their

iShares units to generate extra revenue

Lending inside ETF fund

Borrower

Lending agent/custodian

Individual securities lent out

ClientUnderlying shares

deposited with custodian

Lending fee is rebated into iShares Funds*

Borrower pays lending fee

Lending the underlying assetsAll iShares investors benefit from Securities Lending

returns inside iShares funds where possible

Borrower

BGI/iShares custodian

IV. The Double Benefit From Securities Lending

Page 14: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

13For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

-35

32

27

24

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

TER Sec Lending Revenue Excess Return

Lending Units

Lending Inside

iShares DJ EURO STOXX 50

-40

68

28

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

TER Sec Lending Revenue Excess Return

Lending Units

Lending Inside

Lending the assets inside the fund and the iShares units can help offset the TERLending the assets inside the fund and the iShares units can help offset the TER

iShares FTSE 250

IV. Case Study: Double Benefit of Sec Lending

Source (Returns inside the fund): BGI, most recent audited financials (US audited 31/08/07, DJ Euro Stoxx 50 30/09/2006, all other Dublin iShares as of28/02/07). (Units returns): BGI and Performance Explorer, information on www.performanceexplorer.com (10/2007). Figures represent the gross lending yieldpre-split and any applicable fees. The terms of the lending arrangement between the iShares units holder and the lending agent/custodian is at theirdiscretion. The rates represent current market levels and are subject to market forces. Past and current performance is not an indication of the future.

Page 15: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

14For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

IV. Lending of iShares Units

High lending yield generated for assets in difficult to borrow markets (e.g. MSCI Emerging Markets, MSCI Brazil)

Lending liquidity is higher in the US market (on loan balances)

There is an active lending market for iShares as demonstrated by the high market on-loan balances

iShares units are increasingly becoming a popular shorting alternative

* Source: BGI and Performance Explorer, information on www.performanceexplorer.com, as of 10/2007. ** Total on-loan value of the asset in the market***Lending yield refers the gross returns BGI currently sees in the market expressed in basis points (BPs). AUM data – source:BGI, as of 31/10/2007

0.75%0.21%$45MSCI Emerging Markets

0.35%0.32%$141DJ EURO STOXX 50

0.15%0.17%$254DAX (DE)

0.40%0.27%$247FTSE 100

0.40%0.67%$313FTSE 250

TERCurrent Lending Yield***

Market on-loan balance (US$M)**

European iShares * AUM (US$M)

$1,753.79

$6,101.29

$5,047.01

$3,706.58

$605.19

Page 16: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

15For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

IV. European ETF Trading Volumes Example

28M

32M

61M

63M

69M

73M

149M

152M

200M

iShares DJ Euro Stoxx 50

iShares DAX (DE)

Lyxor ETF DJ Euro Stoxx 50

Lyxor ETF DAX

iShares FTSE 100

Lyxor ETF CAC 40

iShares DJ Euro Stoxx 50 DE

Lyxor Gold Bullion Securitie

XACT Bear

27MITRIX DJ Euro Stoxx 50

Top 10 Traded ETFs by Volume European ETFs do not break into the top 10 traded equities by volume egtop 3 equities

− ENI SpA (c. 2.1B)− Banco Santander (c. 2.0B)− Telefonica (c 1.9B)

However, top European ETF funds are as tradable as major stocks within the top 100 ranks such as:

− Unilever (206M)− Sainsbury (193M)− Cadbury (192M)

The secondary market volumes are small but increasing

Trading Volume LiquidityAll numbers are in US$Source: Bloomberg, All data as of as of 31 October 2007, average daily trading volume

=

Page 17: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

16For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

IV. And a Note on Primary Market Liquidity...

None of this flow is traded directly with BGI – majority is traded OTC with sell side dealers

US$61.5BUS$8.1BUS$58.2BiShares PrimaryMarket Activity

Gross Activity 2007

Net Activity2007

Current AUM (Equity + Fixed Income)

Page 18: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

Investment Strategies using ETFs

Page 19: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

18For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

1. Lipper Fitzrovia (December 2006)

Portfolio Construction

Strategic Asset Allocations

Portfolio Management

Cash Equitization

Manage inflows, outflows, transitionsObtain a wider exposures than offered by other Delta 1 products

Fill allocations required by investment strategy Improve diversificationGain exposure to size, style, yield, sector, geography

Active risk budgeting Combine ETFs in managing total portfolio volatility or duration adjustments in fixed income portfolios

Establish core holdingsEstablish single country or sector satellites

Implement short-, long- term and/or neutral market views − Hard to access asset classes, themes, sector, country− Tactical Asset Allocations

Exposure Exposures to markets or asset classes where one has no expertise or operational capabilities

Risk Control

ETFs Offer Solutions for a Range of Portfolio Strategies

Page 20: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

19For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

Investment Strategies Using ETFs

I. Core/Satellite

II. Sector Strategies

III. ETF Overlay on pure Alpha portfolios

IV. Shorting ETFs

V. Distilling Alpha in L/S portfolios

Page 21: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

20For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

I. Core-Satellite : Optimal Way to Combine Passive and Active Management

The essential part of the portfolio passively replicates benchmark

Meanwhile, high active management fees are paid out on the whole portfolio

Due to restrictive constraints, managers might only allowed to deviate slightly from their benchmark

As a result, only a limited part of portfolio is actively managed

Global Portfolio Return

Passively Managed

Typically made up of pure index product

Less efficient

Actively Managed

Typically invested in lest efficient markets

Requires specialized expertise

ω* Satellite (1- ω)*Coreßα

+

Page 22: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

21For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

Active Strategy

2

Active Strategy

3

Active Strategy

1

ETF(s)

ETF Satellite

ETF Satellite

ETFSatellite

Portfolio

I. Core-Satellite: ETFs Can be Used in the Core Portfolio, As Well As In the Satellite

ETF(s) in the Core : - A broad market index

(DJ Euro Stoxx 50, MSCI World,iBoxx Government Bond)

- Exposure to diversified baskets - of securities- Optimized Core: sector, style or

country indices

ETF in the Satellite :- Concentrated, focused ETFs:- Sector and style - Individual countries and regions - Alternative asset class

Page 23: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

22For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

Risk

Return

Core + Satellite Active satellites

I. Core-Satellite: ETFs Can Enhance Risk Adjusted Portfolio Returns

Original Core Portfolio

Optimized Core

SatellitesActive investment decisions (alphas): aim at shifting the efficient frontier Objective: outperform the reference benchmark for a given level of risk

COREOptimal strategic asset allocation decisions (betas): allow investors to achieve optimal trade-off Objective: generate lowest possible risk for given expected return

Page 24: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

23For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

I. Core-Satellite Portfolio Construction

Core Portfolio

Optimized Core Portfolio

Optimized Core + Satellite Portfolio

Volatility = 10.17Annualized Return = 13.52%

Volatility = 9.89Annualized Return = 13.18%

Volatility = 10.67Annualized Return = 18.19%

North America

North America

Europe ex-UK

UK

Japan

Pac ex Japan

EU ex UK

Oil & Gas

EM

MidCap

Pac ex Japan

UKJapan

Top-Down/Bottom UpPortfolio composition

Page 25: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

24For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

I. Core-Satellite: ETFs Can Enhance Risk Adjusted Portfolio Returns

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Return

Risk

8.5 9 9.5 10 10.5 11 11.5 12

Mid Cap Satellite

12.5

Oil & Gas Satellite

13

Emerging Markets Satellite

Original PortfolioOptimised Core Portfolio

Optimised Core + Satellite Portfolio

13.5 14

Source: BGI

Page 26: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

25For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

II. Sector Investing With ETFs

Active portfolio managers tend to have a top down/bottom up approach to the equity market valuations for stock selection

Sectors follow cyclical patterns and managers:- Focus research efforts on favourable sectors from top down valuations to pick stocks- Gain exposure and manage risk vs less favourable sectors by purchasing stocks with

the larger market weights in the sector

Stock picking strategy is not risk free: individual stock portfolio could under or over perform the intended exposure

Page 27: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

26For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

85

90

95

100

105

110

26/0

5/20

06

16/0

6/20

06

07/0

7/20

06

28/0

7/20

06

18/0

8/20

06

08/0

9/20

06

29/0

9/20

06

20/1

0/20

06

10/1

1/20

06

01/1

2/20

06

22/1

2/20

06

12/0

1/20

07

02/0

2/20

07

23/0

2/20

07

16/0

3/20

07

06/0

4/20

07

27/0

4/20

07

18/0

5/20

07

Single Stocks Oil & Gas. Port.

DJ Stoxx 600 Oil & Gas

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

26/0

5/20

06

16/0

6/20

06

07/0

7/20

06

28/0

7/20

06

18/0

8/20

06

08/0

9/20

06

29/0

9/20

06

20/1

0/20

06

10/1

1/20

06

01/1

2/20

06

22/1

2/20

06

12/0

1/20

07

02/0

2/20

07

23/0

2/20

07

16/0

3/20

07

06/0

4/20

07

27/0

4/20

07

18/0

5/20

07

Single Stocks Banking Port.

DJ Stoxx 600 Banks

Single Stocks Banking Port. Port. Wght. Index Wght.HSBC HOLDINGS PLC 48,3% 11,7%UBS AG-REG 26,9% 6,5%ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND GROUP 24,8% 6,0%

100,0% 24,2%

ReturnVolatility (ann.)

Single Stocks Banking Port.

4,9%13,1%

DJ Stoxx 600 Banks

18,7%15,1%

Single Stocks Oil & Gas Port. Port. Wght. Index Wght.BP PLC 46,2% 32,2%TOTAL SA 29,1% 20,3%ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC-A SHS 24,6% 17,1%

100,0% 69,6%

ReturnVolatility (ann.)

-0,5%

Single Stocks Oil & Gas Port.

DJ Stoxx 600 Oil & Gas4,3%

16,0% 16,0%

II. Sector Strategies: ETFs or Single Securities?

Source: Banca IMI (banca del gruppos Intesa Sanpaolo, May 2007)

Page 28: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

27For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

130

26/0

5/20

06

16/0

6/20

06

07/0

7/20

06

28/0

7/20

06

18/0

8/20

06

08/0

9/20

06

29/0

9/20

06

20/1

0/20

06

10/1

1/20

06

01/1

2/20

06

22/1

2/20

06

12/0

1/20

07

02/0

2/20

07

23/0

2/20

07

16/0

3/20

07

06/0

4/20

07

27/0

4/20

07

18/0

5/20

07

Single Stocks Telecom Port.

DJ Stoxx 600 Telecom

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

130

26/0

5/20

06

16/0

6/20

06

07/0

7/20

06

28/0

7/20

06

18/0

8/20

06

08/0

9/20

06

29/0

9/20

06

20/1

0/20

06

10/1

1/20

06

01/1

2/20

06

22/1

2/20

06

12/0

1/20

07

02/0

2/20

07

23/0

2/20

07

16/0

3/20

07

06/0

4/20

07

27/0

4/20

07

18/0

5/20

07

Single Stocks Food & Bev. Port.

DJ Stoxx 600 Food&Bev.

Port. Wght. Index Wght.VODAFONE GROUP PLC 54,5% 29,2%TELEFONICA SA 28,4% 15,2%DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG-REG 17,2% 9,2%

100,0% 53,6%

ReturnVolatility (ann.)

Single Stocks Tel. Port. DJ Stoxx 600 Telecom

Single Stocks Tel. Port.

22,7%18,9% 16,1%20,6%

Single Stocks Food & Bev. Port. Port. Wght. Index Wght.NESTLE SA-REG 51,6% 27,3%UNILEVER PLC 28,2% 14,9%DIAGEO PLC 20,3% 10,7%

100,0% 53,0%

ReturnVolatility (ann.)

Single Stocks Food & Bev. Port.

DJ Stoxx 600 Food & Bev.

23,5% 24,8%10,1% 9,4%

Source: Banca IMI (banca del gruppos Intesa Sanpaolo, May 2007)

II. Sector Strategies: ETFs or Single Securities?

Page 29: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

28For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

II. Sector ETFs: Enhance Risk/Return Profile, Remove Probability of Tracking Error

Single Stocks Banking Portfolio

DJ Stoxx 600 Banks ETF

Single Stocks Oil & Gas Portfolio

DJ Stoxx 600 Oil & Gas ETF

Single Stocks Telecom PortfolioDJ Stoxx 600 Telecom ETFSingle Stocks Food & Bev. Portfolio

DJ Stoxx 600 Food & Bev. ETF

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 24%

Annualized Volatility

Return

Source: Banca IMI (banca del gruppos Intesa Sanpaolo, May 2007)

Exposure to a Whole Sector in a Single TradeExposure to a Whole Sector in a Single Trade

Page 30: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

29For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

III. ETF Overlay on Pure Alpha Portfolios

Active Portfolio Managers are constantly required to prove theiralpha generating skills with a risk adjusted framework

Emergence of more “unconstrained” mandates with a varying range of wide tracking errors

Some managers have adopted a “pure alpha” investment process

Risk is managed via an overlay fund of ETFs and other Delta1 instruments

Page 31: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

30For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

Exposures (%) Initial Portfolio

-10.00

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

Country Size Sector-20.00 Style

Overweight

Underweight

Overweight

Underweight

III. ETF Overlay on Pure Alpha Portfolio

Exposures (%)

-10.00

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

Country Size Sector-20.00 Style

ETF Overlay

Overweight

Underweight

Overweight

Underweight

Pure Alpha Pure Beta

-10.00

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

Country Size Sector-20.00 Style

Final PortfolioExposures (%)

For illustration purposes only

Page 32: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

31For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

IV. ETFs in Long/Short Portfolios (130/30):

Finding Alpha is ChallengingLong only portfolios: typically less than 50% are Alpha bets Short only portfolio: 100% Alpha bets but with potentially unlimited stock specific risk- Adding 30% short position to a long portfolio with 50% Alpha bets increases risk

by 60%

+-30

0

100

50

%

=50% Stock

Specific Long Alpha

30% Stock Specific Short Alpha

80% Portfolio Risk

50% Stock Specific Alpha

50% Stock Beta Return

Page 33: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

32For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

IV. Long/Short Strategy: Historically Cross-Section Returns Show Persistent “Fat Tails”

MS Research Summary:

There is a higher probability of extreme returns than expected

Outlier returns have a significant impact on excess return

Management and identification of outliers is an integral part of investment process

Active Extension may resemble a core-satellite approach: overweight high conviction stocks, underweight systematic instruments (e.g. sector exposure) via ETF

Morgan Stanley (Summer 2007), Alpha Edge, Beta Hedge – The Long and Short Managing Active Extension Portfolios

Distribution of Monthly Stock Returns (1996 – 2007)

Page 34: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

33For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

IV. Long/Short Strategy: Limit Risk by Going Short Exposure via ETF

Shorting experience has led to more disciplined portfolio management

Manager differentiation comes from optimal combination of risk management and Alpha generation: - ETFs can provide greater

diversification and risk control on the short side

- ETFs can be used to hedge many portfolio characteristics (e.g. style, size, sector)

-100

0.00

100

Exposure

Long Stock Selection

Alpha

Long Beta

Short Stock Selection

Alpha

Short Beta

Short ETF Basket

Long Stock Selection

Alpha

Long Beta

Page 35: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

34For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

Global Macro

Market Neutral

Long/Short Equity

Gain directional exposure to implement macro views

Match the long portfolio characteristics (market, sector, etc.) by shorting ETFs in a Market Neutral strategies

Balance Beta/Common Factor exposures without effecting stock selection views

Dynamically adjust portfolio biases

Obtain desired exposure to hard to access markets/asset classes (EM, regions, commodities, etc.)

Where Else Can ETFs Be Incorporated?

Page 36: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

35For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

Total Hedge Fund Return

Hedge Funds Return Decomposition

Excess ReturnExcess Return

Common Factor Return(Betas)

Common Factor Return(Betas)

Residual Specific Return(Alpha)

Residual Specific Return(Alpha)

Sector Risk(biotech, energy, etc)

Sector Risk(biotech, energy, etc)

Macro Factor Risk(oil, interest rate, etc)Macro Factor Risk

(oil, interest rate, etc)

Micro Factor Risk(size, style, P/E, etc)Micro Factor Risk

(size, style, P/E, etc)

Common Factor Risk represents forces that are not linked to the market risk,but still have a common influence on subgroups of stocks

Common Factor Risk represents forces that are not linked to the market risk,but still have a common influence on subgroups of stocks

Cash ReturnCash Return

Page 37: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

36For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

V. Case Study: Short ETF Implementation in European Long / Short portfolio

PortfolioContribution

(to Active Risk)

Initial Portfolio Characteristics

For illustrative purposes only

$ 96,727,247Net Portfolio

$ (93,369,906)Short Portfolio

$ 190,097,153 Long Portfolio

17.87%7.42Asset Selection

18.65%N/ACovariance * 2

82.13%15.91Common Factor Risk

100%17.56Total Active Risk

Risk (% Std Dev)

Benchmark Cash

Page 38: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

37For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

For illustrative purposes only

5.03

-17.44

8.30

68.30

-5.23

0.04 2.21

10.08 8.39

20.31

-20.00

-10.00

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

60.00

80.00

Con

sum

er

Dis

cret

iona

ry

Con

sum

er

Stap

les

Ener

gy

Fina

ncia

ls

Hea

lth C

are

Indu

stria

ls

Info

rmat

ion

Tech

nolo

gy

Mat

eria

ls

Tele

com

mun

icat

ion

Serv

ices

Util

ities

Exposures (%)

70.00

Main exposure to insurance sector

V. Portfolio Industry Risk Exposures

GICS Sector Exposures

Page 39: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

38For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

Risk Index ExposuresHighest common factor risks:Look for hedging possibilities

-0.13-0.04

-0.37

0.64

-0.21

0.61

1.45

-0.13

1.04

-1.00

0.00

1.00

2.00

Fore

ign

Expo

sure

Gro

wth

Leve

rage

Mar

ket

Sens

itivi

ty

Mom

entu

m

Size

Valu

e

Varia

bilit

y

Yiel

d R

isk

Inde

x

Exposure

For illustrative purposes only

V. Portfolio Risk Index Exposures

Page 40: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

39For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

For illustrative purposes only

74.718.229.51-80%

68.818.039.68-70%

58.707.8310.22-60%

48.447.6711.02-50%

39.227.5412.04-40%

31.707.4613.25-30%

25.727.4014.59-20%

21.237.3916.04-10%

17.857.4217.560%

Amount in ETF(as % of Net Portfolio)

ActiveRisk %

Asset SelectionRisk %

Asset Selection Risk(% of Total Risk)

Red

uces

Com

mon

Fac

tor R

isk

Incr

ease

s A

sset

Sel

ectio

n R

isk

V. Hedging with iShares DJ Euro Stoxx 600 Insurance

Page 41: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

40For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

For illustrative purposes only

79.347.097.96-110%

76.217.088.11-100%

60.847.099.09-80%

43.757.1310.78-60%

31.607.1912.79-40%

20.347.3616.32-20%

17.857.4217.560%

Asset Selection Risk(% of Total Risk)

Red

uces

Com

mon

Fac

tor R

isk

Incr

ease

s A

sset

Sel

ectio

n R

isk

Amount in ETF(as % of Net Portfolio)

Active Risk %

Asset Selection Risk %

V. Hedging with iShares DJ Euro StoxxValue

Page 42: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

41For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Initial Portfolio Final Portfolio

100

Common Factor

82.13

Asset Selection

17.87

Common Factor 16.07

Asset Selection

83.93

Tracking Error 17.56

Tracking Error 7.83

For illustrative purposes only

V. Impact of ETFs Hedging On Active Risk

Page 43: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

42For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

Questions?

Page 44: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

43For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

Conclusion

ETFs are a major global product category and are expected to continue to grow to $2T AUM by 2011*

ETFs provide transparent & liquid exposure to a range of market segments

ETFs can be used for both strategic and tactical purposes

ETFs remain a relatively ‘young’ product category – so their full potential is yet to be developed….

*Source:Morgan Stanley, Exchange Traded Funds – Industry Snapshot – End of November 2007, 17 December 2007

Page 45: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

44For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

Regulatory InformationBarclays Global Investors Limited ('BGIL'), which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority ('FSA'), has issued this document for access by Professional Clients in Ireland and the UK only and no other person should rely upon the information contained within it. iShares plc and iShares II plc (formerly European Exchange-Traded Fund Company ('EETF Co. plc'))(together 'the Companies') are open-ended investment companies with variable capital having segregated liability between their funds organised under the laws of Ireland and authorised by the Financial Regulator.

For investors in IrelandCertain of these funds are not registered for public offer in Ireland. In respect of these funds, this document is intended for information purposes only and does not constitute a prospectus within the meaning of the Irish Companies Acts 1963 to 2005, investment advice, or an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the funds described within and no steps may be taken which would constitute or result in a public offering of the funds in Ireland. This document is strictly confidential and may not be distributed without authorisation from BGIL. With respect to those funds that are registered for public offer in Ireland, important information on the Companies is contained in the relevant Prospectus and other documents, copies of which can be obtained by calling 0845 357 7000, from your broker or financial adviser, by writing to Barclays Global Investors Limited, iShares Business Development, Murray House, 1 Royal Mint Court, London EC3N 4HH or by writing to the Manager of the Companies: Barclays Global Investors Ireland Limited, New Century House, International Financial Services Center, Mayor Street Lower, Dublin 1, Ireland.

For investors in the UKThis document is directed at 'Professional Clients' only within the meaning of the rules of the FSA. Certain of the funds mentioned in this document are not registered for public distribution in the UK. In respect of these funds, this document is intended for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the funds described within and no steps may be taken which would constitute or result in a public offering of the funds in the UK. This document is strictly confidential and may not be distributed without authorisation from BGIL. With respect to the funds that are registered for public distribution in the UK, most of the protections provided by the UK regulatory system do not apply to the operation of the Companies, and compensation will not be available under the UK Financial Services Compensation Scheme on its default. The Companies are recognised schemes for the purposes of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000. Important information is contained in the relevant prospectus, the simplified prospectus and other documents, copies of which can be obtained by calling 0845 357 7000, from your broker or financial adviser, by writing to Barclays Global Investors Limited, iShares Business Development, Murray House, 1 Royal Mint Court, London EC3N 4HH or by writing to the Manager of the Companies: Barclays Global Investors Ireland Limited, New Century House, International Financial Services Centre, Mayor Street Lower, Dublin 1, Ireland.

Regulatory Information

Page 46: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

45For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

Regulatory Information

Restricted InvestorsThis document is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed as, an advertisement, or any other step in furtherance of a public offering of shares in the United States or Canada. This document is not aimed at persons who are resident in the United States, Canada or any province or territory thereof, where the Companies are not authorised or registered for distribution and where no prospectus for the Companies has been filed with any securities commission or regulatory authority. The Companies may not be acquired or owned by, or acquired with the assets of, an ERISA Plan.

Risk WarningsShares in the Companies may or may not be suitable for all investors. Barclays Global Investors Limited does not guarantee the performance of the shares or funds. The price of the investments (which may trade in limited markets) may go up or down and the investor may not get back the amount invested. Your income is not fixed and may fluctuate. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. The value of the investment involving exposure to foreign currencies can be affected by exchange rate movements. We remind you that the levels and bases of, and reliefs from, taxation can change. Affiliated companies of Barclays Global Investors Limited may make markets in the securities mentioned in this document. Further, Barclays Global Investors Limited and/or its affiliated companies and/or their employees from time to time may hold shares or holdings in the underlying shares of, or options on, any security included in this document and may as principal or agent buy or sell securities.

Index Disclaimerseb.rexx® is a registered trademark of Deutsche Börse AG.'Dow Jones', 'STOXX', 'Dow Jones EURO STOXX Large Cap Value Index' are proprietary and copyrighted material and trade marks and/or service marks of Dow Jones & Company, Inc. and/or STOXX Limited and have been licensed for use for certain purposes by Barclays Global Investors Limited. iShares DJ Euro STOXX Value is not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by Dow Jones or STOXX, and neither Dow Jones nor STOXX makes any representation regarding the advisability of investing in such a fund.'Dow Jones', 'STOXX', 'Dow Jones EURO STOXX 50 Index' are proprietary and copyrighted material and trade marks and/or service marks of Dow Jones & Company, Inc. and/or STOXX Limited and have been licensed for use for certain purposes by Barclays Global Investors Limited and iShares II plc. iShares DJ Euro STOXX 50 is not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by Dow Jones or STOXX, and neither Dow Jones nor STOXX makes any representation regarding the advisability of investing in such a fund.'Dow Jones' and 'STOXX' are trademarks and/or service marks of Dow Jones & Company, Inc. and/or STOXX Limited and have been licensed for use for certain purposes by Barclays Global Investors (Deutschland) AG. Barclays Global Investors (Deutschland) AG's iShares DJ EURO STOXX 50 (DE) and iShares DJ STOXX 600 Insurance (DE) based on the Dow Jones EURO STOXX 50 and Dow Jones STOXX 600 Insurance are not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by Dow Jones or STOXX, and neither Dow Jones nor STOXX makes any representations regarding the advisability of trading in such products.

Page 47: Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) - CFA Institute · Global ETF Market Growth (AUM & No. of Funds) US CAGR (2000-2007) = 36% Europe CAGR (2000- 2007) = 113% Global CAGR (2000-2007) = 37%

46For Professional Investors Only - Not for Public Distribution

Regulatory Information

'FTSE®' is a trade mark jointly owned by the London Stock Exchange plc and the Financial Times Limited (the 'FT') and is used by FTSE International Limited ('FTSE') under licence. The FTSE 100 Index and FTSE 250 Index are calculated by or on behalf of FTSE International Limited ('FTSE'). None of the Exchange, the FT nor FTSE sponsors, endorses or promotes iShares FTSE 100 and iShares FTSE 250 nor is in any way connected to the funds or accepts any liability in relation to their issue, operation and trading. All copyright and database rights within the index values and constituent list vest in FTSE. Barclays Global Investors has obtained full licence from FTSE to use such copyright and database rights in the creation of these products.

iShares funds are not sponsored, endorsed, or promoted by MSCI, and MSCI bears no liability with respect to any such funds or any index on which such funds are based. The Prospectus contains a more detailed description of the limited relationship that MSCI has with Barclays Global Investors and any related funds. 'iShares' is a registered trademark of Barclays Global Investors, N.A. All other trademarks, servicemarks or registered trademarks are the property of their respective owners. © 2008 Barclays Global Investors Limited. Registered Company No. 00796793. All rights reserved.