results of the project «system analysis and forecast in the field of science and technology» for...

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Results of the project «System analysis and forecast in the field of science and technology» for «Environment and natural resources» sector» Expert group: Kamberov I.M. Rofman O.V. Koketayev A.I. Ahmetov A.B. Maximova N.A. Dimeyeva L.A. Aituganov K.A. Dabayev A.I. Ust-Kamenogorsk, 2014 JSC “The National center of Science and Technology evaluation”

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Results of the project «System analysis and forecast in the field of science

and technology» for «Environment and natural resources» sector»

Expert group:Kamberov I.M. Rofman O.V.Koketayev A.I.Ahmetov A.B.Maximova N.A.Dimeyeva L.A. Aituganov K.A.Dabayev A.I.

Ust-Kamenogorsk, 2014

JSC “The National center of Science and Technology evaluation”

2

Project goal:

Provide information for the persons making decisions about possible changes in the future in the field of EandNR

Determine strategic directions of R&D to get Kazakhstan to a new level of development with the purpose of raising living standards and Kazakhstan citizens welfare

Assessment of threats, risks and opportunities of EandNR development in Kazakhstan in the future

Time horizon: 2030.

Research results:

Development scenario of “Environment and Natural Resources” sector in Kazakhstan for the period before 2030 – represents the basis for strategic understanding of variants of the future development of EandNR sector by means of determination of key trends, opportunities and risks of the future as well as variables with high uncertainty.

List of products/services, technologies and subjects, perspective for research and developments.

Road maps – represent “route” of activities for development of the priority directions of science and technology development in the field of EandNR in Kazakhstan.

Passports of the subjects of research and developments.

ABOUT THE PROJECT

3

System analysis and forecast

Scanning

Scenario planning

Technological analysis

Road maps

Expert boards, interview, seminars

and round tables

Bibliometry and patent analysis

1. Scanning of trends, opportunities, threats of biotechnologies development in the world and Kazakhstan, SWOT analysis

2. Determination of key factors of development in the future

1. Technology trees2. BM analysis3. Passports of science

subjects

Action plan (goals, tasks, results broken down)1. Of 8 sectors2. Of more than 20 subsectors3. Macro-level (interdisciplinary programs of research)

1. Expert boards on weekly basis including more than 60 experts divided up by 8 sectors

2. Questionnaire of more than 300 Kazakhstan experts

3. Round tables with participation of more than 300 experts

1. Bibliometry and patent analysis of 1000 most cited publications and patents (Scopus)

2. Bibliometry and patent analysis for Kazakhstan (NCSTI base) 1. Optimistic scenario of

Kazakhstan development before 2030

2. 8 sector scenarios of development

RESEARCH DIAGRAM

Ministries and departments

• Development of scientific-technological and innovative policy

• Selection of priorities of science and technology development

• Making investment decisions and science programs budgeting

NCSTE• Trends of scientific-

technological and innovative development

• Science projects assessment criteria focused on future development

• Science projects and programs ranking meeting challenges and needs of Kazakhstan in the future

• Preparation of science projects and programs packages distinguishing priorities for financing

• Formation of world, country and regional research networks

• Determination of priority directions for creation of Centers of excellence

• Support of scientists mobility (including international)

• Facilitating the growth of publications and patents number in directions most significant for long-term development

Society• Priorities providing nation welfare improvement• Raising of living standards for all members of the

society• Improvement of education system and

development of science-intensive business providing population employment growth

Science• R&D directions, new subjects of research• International and in-country mobility, cooperation

with leading international research institutes• Publications and patents quality increase

Industry• Raising awareness level about future markets,

products, technologies (including “green”) and R&D

• Reinforcement of connection between science and business

• Compliance of business strategies with priorities of the country development in the future

MAJOR GROUPS OF CONSUMERS OF PROJECT RESULTS

4

5

Environment

biodiversity preservation

water consumption, desertification and land degradation

domestic and industrial wastes management

sustainable development and “green” technologies

climate change

geoinformational systems etc.

Natural resources

Power natural resources oil, natural gas, coal, uranium, RES (market trends, forecasts) The list of priority R&Ds and technologies for transfer in the field of oil and gas for this scenario is taken from Kazakhstan upstream oil and gas technology and R&D roadmap (may 2013). R&D for uranium and adjacent directions are beyond this project.

Non-power natural resources

geology

mining (minerals recovery and processing)

metallurgy (metals, alloys, nonmetallic feed, MCMF, metal composites)

Complex use of raw materials, energy- and resources-saving

knowledge management and “smart” productions

SCENARIO, RESEARCH AND ROAD MAPS SCOPE

http://goo.gl/6QjpSV

Tren

ds

An

alys

isS

trat

egie

sR

isks

• WORLD CHALLENGES, TRENDS AND FACTORS OF EandNR SECTOR

DEVELOPMENT

• KAZAKHSTAN TRENDS AND FACTORS

• KEY TRENDS AND FACTORS FOR EandNR SECTOR DEVELOPMENT

• FUTURE MARKETS IN THE WORLD AND KAZAKHSTAN

• ANALYSIS OF MUTUAL IMPACT OF FACTORS

• ANALYSIS OF STRATEGIES AND PROGRAMS OF EandNR SECTOR DEVELOPMENT

IN THE WORLD AND IN KAZAKHSTAN

• ANALYSIS OF R&D IN THE WORLD AND KAZAKHSTAN, REVEALING OF LEADER

COUNTRIES

• VISION OF THE FUTURE

• ACTION STRATEGIES FOR SCENARIO REALIZATION

• ANALYSIS OF COMPETENCES IN THE FIELD OF R&D IN KAZAKHSTAN

• LIST OF PRIORITY RESEARCH AND «ROAD MAPS»

• «WILD CARDS»

• RISKS AND THREATS OF SCENARIO REALIZATION

6

SCENARIO STRUCTURE

7

Major world tendencies forming the realm of science, technologies and production:

globalization of innovations and change of international competition conditions significant reduction of the cycle of new technologies development and dissemination in economies access to new digital technologies changed the system of R&D organization science and technologies are considered to be an integral part of economic growth intensification of transfer processes to convergence of science and technologies reinforcement of support for research being conducted in institutes of higher education

WORLD CHALLENGES, TRENDS AND FACTORS OF EandNR DEVELOPMENT

▪ Implementation of sustainable (harmonious) development approaches ▪ Population increase ▪ Conflict number increase ▪ Lack of skilled personnel ▪ Labor resources migration

▪ Replacement of conventional natural resources by new materials ▪ S&T convergence ▪ Implementation of «green» technologies ▪ Production automation ▪ Lack or scarcity of resources

▪ World economic growth ▪ Globalization of production ▪ Market fluctuations for resources and rates of exchange

▪ Climate change and environment condition deterioration ▪ Biodiversity change ▪ Water basins condition deterioration

▪ Geopolitical instability ▪ Extent of state intervention in business ▪ Resources nationalization

Society

Technology

Economy

Environment

Politics

8

City-forming trend of branch enterprises

Social-economic conflicts

Lack of skilled personnel

Inflow of foreign man power

• Wear of production facilities of enterprises and technologies obsolescence

•Poor interest of enterprises in implementation of new

technologies

• Lack of connection of production with branch

science and limited participation of private capital in R&D financing

•Limited access to investment funds

•Slack domestic demand for branch

products

•Need for infrastructure to realize new projects

•Lost productivity

• Issues of industrial and domestic wastes utilization and

processing

• Improvement of regulatory documents

in part of natural resources use , recovery

and processing technologies

• Biodiversity change

•Water basins and other environment objects

condition

• Change of investment climate

• Political stability

• Compliance with subsurface use

legislation

TRENDS AND FACTORS OF EandNR DEVELOPMENT IN KAZAKHSTAN

The future of “Environment and natural resources” sector

Society

Technology

Economy

Environment

Politics

9

Impact-critical factors

Factors with high uncertainty

Impact-critical factors

Factors with high uncertainty

Macro-level

Micro-level

Key factors at macro-level:

- (S2) Population increase. - (E1) Production globalization. - (E2) Market fluctuations for resources and

rates of exchange. - (Eco4) Water basins and other environment

objects condition. - (P2) Political stability.

Key factors at micro-level:

- (S5) Lack of skilled personnel.- (T6) Lack or scarcity of resources. - (E3) Limited access to investment funds. - (Eco6) Water basins and other environment objects condition.

* Diagrams are prepared according to results of poll of expert group members

KEY TRENDS AND FACTORS FOR EandNR SECTOR DEVELOPMENT

Uncertainty

Uncertainty

SocialTechnological

EconomicalEnvironmentalPolitical

Impact

Significance

Significance

Impact

SocialTechnologicalEconomicalEnvironmental

Political

-Mineral raw material base -Availability of industrial mono-cities - Wear of production facilities of enter-

prises and technologies obsolescence

- Limited access of enterprises to investment funds- Water basins and other environ-ment objects condition deteriora-tion - Lack of skilled personnel - Lack or scarcity of resources

- Production automation - Improvement of regulatory documents in part of natural resources use and re-covery and processing technologies

- Slack domestic demand for branch products - Need for infrastructure to realize new projects - Resources nationalization -Inflow of foreign man power - Extent of state intervention in busi-ness - Change of investment climate - Poor interest of enterprises in imple-mentation of new technologies

-Lost productivity - Biodiversity change - Replacement of conventional nat-ural resources by new materials -Implementation of «green» tech-nologies- Social-economic conflicts

Imp

act

Uncertainty

«Critical factors» Predetermined

High uncertainty

TRENDS AND FACTORS OF EandNR DEVELOPMENT IN KAZAKHSTAN

10

11

INTERCONNECTION AND MUTUAL IMPACT OF FACTORS

Population increase

Climate change and environment condition deterioration

Biodiversity change Production globalization

Conflict number increaseWater basins condition

Compliance with subsurface use legislation

Access limitation to investment fundsLabor resources

migrationPolitical stability

Implementation of “green” technologies

Lack of skilled personnel

Market fluctuations for resources and rates of exchange

Lack or scarcity of resources

Replacement of conventional natural resources by new materials

Lost productivity

12

WORLD AND KAZAKHSTAN COMPETENCES IN THE FIELD OF EandNR

The most frequent phrases in publications of Kazakhstan scientists in the field of environment: ▪ Environmental contaminants ▪ Radioactive pollution ▪ Radioactive irradiation ▪ Potable water ▪ Contaminated soil ▪ Waste water treatment ▪ Water resources ▪ Radioactive precipitation ▪ Semipalatinsk test site ▪ Toxicological research ▪ Climate change ▪ Environment impact assessment ▪ Radioactive irradiation around STS ▪ Environment pollution

Distribution of phrases in 1000 most cited world publications about environment

Distribution of phrases in 1000 most cited world patents about environment

Competences in the field of environment: ▪ Climate stabilization and change ▪ Utilization of industrial and domestic wastes ▪ Environmental monitoring ▪ Biodiversity preservation ▪ Radioecology ▪ Control and forecast of seismic events, natural and man-caused disasters ▪ Soil fertility and remediation ▪ Water resources ▪ Geoinformational technologies ▪ Treatment and remediation ▪ Industrial emissions minimization ▪ Radioactive wastes handling ▪ Water treatment technologies ▪ Ozone layer protection ▪ Desertification and salinization control ▪ Research on replacement of toxic chemical pollutants etc.

R

Greenhouse gas emissionsGlobal warming

Environment pollution

Potable water

Air pollution

Agricultural wastes

Organic soil

Ecotoxicological research Nanotoxicological research Global change of Climate

Waste water treatment

Method of plants selectionToxicity Resistance to herbicidesWaste water treatment system

Resistance to diseasesEnvironment impactEnvironment pollutionMethod of plants selection

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WORLD AND KAZKHSTAN COMPETENCES IN THE FILED OF EandNR Power resources

Oil and natural gas: ▪ Construction of geologic reservoir model ▪ Exploration of oil and gas reservoirs and wells ▪ Field equipment ▪ Drilling and injection of oil and gas wells ▪ Fluids dynamics and processing ▪ Wells and deposits management ▪ Oil preparation for processing ▪ Oil products treatment, dewaxing and regeneration ▪ Environmentally sound, rational use of natural resources etc. Coal: ▪ Production technologies of new types of carbonaceous reducing agents (coke, semi-coke etc.) ▪ Coal gasification

Non-power resources

Metals, alloys and composite materials: ▪ Geological explorations ▪ Mining ▪ Ore recovery and fractionation ▪ Mineralogy technologies and description of minerals surface chemistry ▪ Gravity separation, magnetic separation and flotation ▪ Pyrometallurgy ▪ Hydrometallurgy and electrometallurgy ▪ Hydrometallurgy of noble metals ▪ Composite materials ▪ Scattered and rare-earth metals ▪ Powder metallurgy etc.

Water resources: ▪ Global assessment and analysis of available resources of fresh water, spatial and time variability ▪ Forecast and new sources of data for water resources evaluation ▪ Scaling issues ▪ Interconnection between hydrological and biogeochemical cycles and production of food products ▪ Better understanding of structure and dynamics of fresh water systems ▪ Sustainable development of water basins and their exploitation ▪ Water demand management and its fair distribution ▪ Development of planning tools for water resources with landscape environmental planning ▪ Decisions in the field of water economy, processing, treatment, filtering and storage of waste water etc.

Land, pasture, forest and fishery resources: ▪ Major approaches for ecologization of modern ways of land use. ▪ Study of condition and development of protection and reproduction methods of forest and pasture resources ▪ Exploration of biodiversity, productivity and stability of forest ecosystems ▪ Assessment of modern environmental condition of coastal zones and fishery waters ▪ Water areas zoning by degree of vulnerability to economical activity etc.

14

STRATEGIES FOR RESPONSE TO KEY CHALLENGES OF THE FUTURE

Denmark – Strategy 2050 for refuse to use power minerals. creation of «green» and sustainable (harmonious) way of life; become one of three world leading countries with the highest rate of

renewable energy sources use by 2020; Become one of three OECD leading countries in energy efficiency by

2020

China - «Road map» of wind-power engineering development • Reinforcement of priority access to network for

generating capacities using wind• accelerated implementation of flexible resources;

development of advanced methods for forecast of energy output.

• creation of public scientific and technical platform. Development and implementation of economically competitive 5MWt technologies by 2015.

• development of training courses and programs in universities by 2015 for this trend.

EU countries – Low-carbon scenarios of development

Scenario of high efficiency of energy use. Scenario focused on diversification of technologies for power

generation. Scenario connected with high rate of RES use Scenario of postponed implementation of technology for carbon

oxide recovery and storage. Scenario of nuclear power engineering role reduction.

14

At long distance from coast

At short distance from coast

Coastal areas

Xinjiang

Gansu

Hebei

North-East

East Inner Mongolia

West Inner Mongolia

Rate of total electrical power generation

Solid fuel

Solid fuel

Oil OilNuclear fuel

Nuclear fuelGas GasRES RES

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Strategy name Key activities

1. Strategy of technological modernization for production and sustainable development (use and reinforcement of available advantages with the purpose to realize opportunities provided by external environment)

1. Use of methods for technological forecast in the field of environment protection and natural resources use.2. Expansion of range of products being released by means of introduction of capacities with higher conversions. 3. Consolidation of role of enterprises as consumers of branch science research.4. Creation of test laboratories certified at the international level for quality control of production being released and environment objects condition.5. Construction of mini-plants (satellites) focused on release of production with high added value.6. Creation of strategic consortiums between public authorities, enterprises, RI and universities7. Implementation of approaches for harmonious development8. Implementation of environment monitoring systems in real time mode

2. Strategy of sector development under uncertainty (use of advantages existing in the sector with the purpose to reduce impact of external threats)

1. Reduction of production primary cost by means of improvement and optimization of production processes, implementation of resource- and energy-saving technologies.2. Change of society attitude to energy- and resource-saving, “green” technologies and wastes utilization, transfer from environmental declaration to environmental audit.3. Stimulation of domestic demand for mineral natural resources. 4. Development of domestic strategies by large enterprises for efficient capacities utilization and energy-saving5. Creation of uniform storage system for environmental information including environment monitoring data in real time mode using WebGIS technology.

STRATEGIES FOR RESPONSE TO KEY CHALLENGES OF THE FUTURE

16

Strategy name Key activities

3. Strategy for reduction of negative impact of the formed modes (reduction of weak points impact peculiar to the sector by means of opportunities provided by the external environment)

1. Development and implementation of highly efficient geologic-geophysical technologies of exploration of deep-lying deposits. 2. Involvement of RI in cooperation with enterprises for evaluation and cooperative development of technologies for technogenic wastes utilization and minerals recovery.3. Development of encouragement and punishment measures for subsurface users to be in compliance with requirements for complexity, completeness and depth of deposit reserves use.4. Stimulation of in-house demand and expansion of production assortment being released by branch enterprises subject to close cooperation with enterprises-consumers.5. Conducting of external and internal technological and environmental audit of enterprises for the purpose of level assessment and improvement of technologies.6. Development and fostering of “green” technologies. 7. Development of the concept for radioactive wastes handling and long-term storage

4. Strategy of threats leveling and sector restracturization (elimination of weak points of the sector and resistance to arising external threats)

1. Stimulation of development of metal-processing sectors of the branch, machine-building and construction.2. Expansion of production assortment to satisfy growing internal demand on the part of automobile and railway transport manufacturers.3. Development of new industrial directions (production of composite materials, powder metallurgy).4. Take antidumping measures and increase duties against import of similar production.5. Provision of government guarantees for investors in case of strategic projects realization in the branch.6.Fostering of implementation of non-waste technologies.7. Implementation of compromise approaches for transboundary rivers use8. Increase in RES rate in the volume of power being generated.

STRATEGIES FOR RESPONSE TO KEY CHALLENGES OF THE FUTURE

17

IMAGE OF THE FUTURE EandNR

Systems for reduction of greenhouse gas emissions and alternative energy sources

Monitoring of environment objects

and “green”

technologies

Systems of waste water treatment, gas cleaning and dust collection

Information systems and data bases

Systems of biological diversity maintenance

Recovery and use of non-metallic mineral resources

Systems of efficient water use

Systems of exploration, prospecting and development of mineral resources

Production and processing of metals

System for land desertification and degradation prevention

Systems of industrial and domestic wastes processing

Logistic systems for efficient production

management

Systems of concentration, complex recovery,

processing of natural and technogenic crude ore

18

Industrial companies Public authorities, development institutes, RI, universities, project and consulting organizations

PLC «KMG KASHAGAN B.V.» Ministry of Oil and Gas JSC «NAC «Kazatomprom» MEP RK JSC «NC KTZh» JSC «Kazakhstan Institute of industry development»JSC «NC «KazMunaiGAS» Kazakhstan Institute of Strategic Research JSC «Eurasian power corporation» LLP «Regional technology park of Astana»

JSC «ArselorMittalTemirtau» RSE «NNC RK»JSC «Maikainzoloto» Botanic and herbal industry institute JSC «Ulba Metallurgical Plant» Biology and plant biotechnology institute JSC «Sokolovsko-Sorbayskoye Mining and Processing Plant» KazNU n.a. Al-Farabi

JSC «Aktyubrentgen» KazNTU n.a. Satpayev K.M.JSC «Stepnogorsk bearing plant» KBTUJSC «Shardarinskaya HPS» JSC «KazRPIenergoprom Institute»JSC «ZHGRES n.a.Baturov » JSC «CESMOB»LLP «MAEC – Kazatomprom» LLP “IHT"LLP «KazMunaiGas-Service» Institute of Chemical Sciences n.a. A.B.BekturovLLP «Gorno-rudnaya Company» EKSU n.a. S.AmanzholovLLP «Kazzinc» CSUTandE n.a. Sh.YessenovLLP «Aktyubinsk Copper Company» RSE «Institute of combustion issues»

LLP «Casting» Kyzylorda State university n.a. Korkyt AtaLLP «Stepnogorsk Mining and Chemical Complex» Eco Life Kazakhstan

LLP «TenizBurGylau» SPCSEE and MLLP «KARAZHYRA LTD» KazNauLLP «Taraz Metallurgical Plant» KazRI PPandQLLP «Geotechnoservice» Almaty Technology University LLP «Atyrau Oil Refinery» IM n.a. D.A. Kunayev LLP «Kazzincmash» Almaty Humanitarian-technical University LLP «Kazakhstan Petrochemical Industries Inc.» Kazakhstan Maritime Academy

LLP «KazAzot» Kazgiprotsvetmet LLP «YUSTALKON» LLP «Ecology engineering»JSC «Zarechnoye»

LLP «Metallurgical Complex KazSilicon»JSC «Shubarkol komir»KNAUFJSC «Kostanai Minerals»

QUESTIONNAIRE ON SELECTION OF RESEARCH DIRECTIONS

18

19

0

5

10

15

20

25

1

1

1

2

2

2

2

2

2 2

2

22

33

4 4

4

4

4

4

4

4

2

МД

1

2

3

4

RM «Water, land and biological resources management»

RM «Environment objects monitoring and “green” technologies »

RM «Geology»

RM «Complex use of mineral raw materials»

QUESTIONNAIRE RESULTS

«Long» list of science research subjects on EandNR – 56Quantity of priority subjects of research on EandNR – 20

Subjects of interdisciplinary research are proposed for 7 trends

№ Road Map name Product (service) Technologies Priority subjects of research

1

Water, land and biological resources

management

Systems of desertification and lands degradation control

Technologies for soils and natural resources preservation and remediation (forests, landscapes etc.)

(ОСиПР-10-01-01) Research on development of technologies for restoration and reclamation, remediation of the disturbed, desertificated and degraded lands

2

Systems of efficient water use Technologies for integrated and efficient management of internal and transboundary water resources.

(ОСиПР-05-01-01) Research on development of system for integrated and efficient management of internal and transboundary water resources (surface, underground) including wetlands

Systems of biological diversity maintenance

Systems of monitoring, protection, preservation, rational use and restoration of biodiversity.

(ОСиПР-08-01-01) Research on preservation and monitoring of biodiversity of natural and man-made ecosystems, creation of network of key ornithological and botanical areas3

4

Monitoring of environment objects

and “green” technologies

Monitoring of environment objects and “green” technologies

Technologies of environment objects monitoring in real time mode, natural and man-caused emergency forecast and response.

(ОСиПР-13-01-01) Monitoring of environment objects in real time mode

5Development of ecological and economic aspects of “green” economy, determination of economic value of natural resources and ecosystem services.

(ОСиПР-13-02-03) Research on provision of sustainable development of areas in the process of subsoil development and determination of functional significance of ecosystems

6

Systems of greenhouse gas emissions reduction and alternative energy sources application

Climate change impact on bio- and ecosystems. (ОСиПР-09-01-01, 02) Research on impact of greenhouse gas emissions, development of technologies for reduction, storage and use of them.

7

Information systems and data bases Information technologies for infrastructure of spatial data (data bases, WebGIS) for monitoring and efficient management of industry, environment, natural resources and man-made mineral formations.

(ОСиПР-11-01-02) Information technologies for infrastructure of spatial data (data bases, WebGIS) for monitoring and efficient management of environment and natural resources

8Systems of waste water treatment, gas cleaning and dust collection

Technologies for dust-gas emissions utilization and water treatment (waste water) with valuable components recovery.

(ОСиПР-06-01-01, 02) Research on development of technologies for dust-gas emissions utilization and water treatment (waste water) with valuable components recovery

9

Systems of industrial and domestic wastes processing

Technologies of closed-loop cycle for processing and safe handling with industrial, toxic, radioactive and domestic wastes as well as wastes containing persistent organic pollutants.

(ОСиПР-07-01-01, 02, 03) Research on development of technologies of closed-loop cycle for processing and safe handling with domestic, industrial, toxic and radioactive wastes

10Technologies of spill response and oil and oil products gathering followed by its processing to finished product.

(ОСиПР-07-03-01) Research on development of technologies for oil and oil products gathering for their processing.

THE LIST OF PRIORITY SUBJECTS OF RESEARCH

20

21

11

Geology

Systems of exploration, prospecting and development of mineral deposits

Technologies of rational use of natural resources, exploration, prospecting,, recovery of mineral raw material focused on energy efficiency increase and minimization of negative impact on environment.

(ОСиПР-01-01-01) Development of rational and highly efficient complex of exploration, prospecting and development of deep-lying mineral deposits (surface, borehole, remote, unconventional methods).

12

(ОСиПР-01-01-02) Research on rational and highly efficient development of mineral deposits by open-cut, underground and other mining methods

13

Complex use of mineral raw materials

Systems of natural and technogenic crude ore concentration, complex recovery and processing. Recovery and use of non-metallic mineral resources.

Complex technologies for concentration of on spec and off spec ore materials, mineral formations and recovery of collective concentrates.

(ОСиПР-02-01-01) Research on concentration of on spec and off spec ore, man-made mineral formation and recovery of collective concentrates of nonferrous and ferrous metals

14Technologies for processing of mineral formations, raw materials and man-caused wastes of ferrous and nonferrous metallurgy with recovery of finished products.

(ОСиПР-02-02-01) Research on processing of ores, mineral formations, non-metallic minerals and wastes for complex and selective recovery of valuable components and production of finished products.

15

(ОСиПР-02-02-02) Research on development of slag-forming and refining mixtures, refractory production and construction materials.

16 Production and processing of metals, alloys and materials

Technologies for production and processing of metals and alloys in ferrous metallurgy .

(ОСиПР-04-01-01) Research on production of new complex ferroalloys, cast iron and innovative grades of steel

17(ОСиПР-04-01-04) Research on development of technologies for production of new types of carbonaceous reducing agents for metals

18

Technologies for production and processing of nonferrous, noble, scattered and rare-earth metals and their alloys.

(ОСиПР-04-02-01) Research on development of technologies for recovery and processing of nonferrous, noble, scattered and rare-earth metals and their alloys

19 Technologies of powder metallurgy . (ОСиПР-04-03-01) Research on development of technologies of powder metallurgy

20Technologies of composite materials production. (ОСиПР-04-04-01) Research on production and application of composite

materials

THE LIST OF PRIORITY SUBJECTS OF RESEARCH

Технологии по сохранению и

восстановлению поч

2014 2017

Technologies of phytomelioration and forest regeneration

Biological method of protection

Material base

Strategy of innovative development of the Republic of Kazakhstan for the period before 2030 Concept of Partnership Program for realization of Astana initiative «Green Bridge», 2011-2020

Road map – sub-sector «Water, land and biological resources management»

Concept of environmental safety of RK for 2004-2015; Program for desertification control in RK, 2005-2015; Zhasyl Damu, 2010-2014; Environmental Code of RK;

Water Code of RK; Land Code of RK

- Logistics support - - Availability of certified laboratories

- Availability of consumables for research - Lack of finance for R&D

Strategy 2050

2023 2030 +

Systems of biological diversity maintenance

Research on development of system for integrated and efficient management of internal and transboundary water resources (surface, underground) including wetlands

Institute of deserts, Ben-Gurion University, Israel; CTReS- Japan; Institutes of SA KNR; Secretariats of Global Conventions , UNESCO, FAO, UNEP, UNDP, GEF, IUCN, Finnish Water Forum; BirdLife International; PlantLife

International; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis ; SRK Consulting etc .

Development of infrastructure and material and technical base Training of highly qualified personnel

DB of man-caused disturbances: stockpiles, tailing dumps, storage pits, waste landfills , abandoned wells, water and land pollution

Internet-resources of biodiversity, adventitious and invasive speciesRegional inventory and the Red Books

Efficient models of water use, soil fertility restoration, pastures, forests management

Recommendations for remediation, biological reclamation, phytomelioration, forestation, restoration of soils and biological resources

Implementation of resource-saving technologies Standards for pasture, forest, plant resources withdrawal, MPC

Educational programs

Systems of efficient water use

Water-saving technologies: drop, intermittent-flow, subsoil irrigation; technologies of closed-loop cycle;

collection of melt, flood and rain water etc.

Time

Products /Services

Subjects of research

Basic technology

Resources

Strategies/ Programs

Risks

Monitoring

IndicatorsQuantity: publications in foreign magazines ; science grants;

international projects; developed maps; Ph.D candidates, involved in projects

Increase in percentage of forest land in Kazakhstan by 5%

Number of new specially protected

natural areas

Operation plan Long-term vision Strategy plan

Systems for land desertification and degradation control

Research on development of technologies for restoration and reclamation and remediation of the disturbed, desertificated and

degraded lands

Research on preservation and monitoring of biodiversity of natural and man-made ecosystems, creation of network of key ornithological and botanical areas

Technologies of remote sensing and GIS

Area of reclamated land s and green protected zones

Financial provision

Scientific organizations

Foreign RI and universities Russia and CIS: Institute of soil science and agrochemistry, Botanic garden of SB RAS; Ural State University; MBG of RAS; Institute of water issues of RAS; Vavilov Institute of plant genetic resources; Ukrainian RI of

Environmental issues ; Institute of deserts, flora and fauna of Turkmenistan ; Botanic Institute of SA of Armenia etc.

RI: Institute of botany and phytoindustry, Altai, Mangyshlak, Zhezkazgan, Iliysk botanic gardens ; Institute of zoology , Institute of geography ; Institute of soil science and agrochemistry; KazRI of plants protection and quarantine; Institutes of higher education; Institute of hydrogeology and geoecology; KazRIF , SPC of forest management, KazRI of agriculture and crop production; Institute of microbiology and virus science; Institute of biology and biotechnology ;

Institute of radiation safety and ecology ; Institute of experimental biology ; Institute of space exploration etc.

Development and improvement of educational programs of Bachelor school, master school and doctorate school, increase in government grants number . Development of regulatory and procedural and legal documents

Budget of RK, Investors, International funds, WB loans, public-private partnership (before 2017 – 800 mln; 2017-2023 – 1,5 bln; .2023-2030 – 2 bln tenge/year of budget funds)

IFAS, Basin boards of IWRM, Kazgiprovodhoz, JSC KazAgroinnovation, LLP RSC and GIS “Terra”, KAAE, JSC “Eurasian water center" ; CED SPCLC, RSE “Zhasyl Aimak”, JSC «Zhasyl Damu», Ecoproject, CaspiEcology etc.

Creation of information center «Water resources of RK»Creation of National Bank of genetic resources

- Risks of project cost rise - Human resources risks- Conflicts with water users of transboundary rivers - Access limitation to land and water resources use due to interstate conflicts

Lack of close connection between domestic science and production High competition on the part of countries near and far abroad Prevalence of foreign companies in deposits development Man-caused and natural emergency

Technologies of reclamation, remediation, melioration

Technologies of monitoring in real time mode Ecosystem approach

Technologies of biodiversity preservation

in-situ, ex-situ

Concept of development and allocation of specially protected natural areas of RK before 2030

Number of types of plants put in genetics banks

National plan for water resources integrated management and water use efficiency increase of RK for 2009-2025

Bioindication and biotesting

Number of patents

Technologies of crop rotation and pasture

rotation

Area of agricultural lands/number of enterprises using water-saving

technologies

Program «Akbulak», 2011-2020 State Program for Water Resources Management in Kazakhstan, 2014-2040 Strategy 2030

Технологии по сохранению и

восстановлению поч

2014 2017

Physical-chemical technologies for recovery of minerals from wastes Technologies for processes of emissions and

carbon dioxide accumulation

Material base

Strategy of innovative development of the Republic of Kazakhstan for the

period before 2030

Concept of Partnership program for realization of Astana Initiative «Green bridge», 2011-2020

Road map – sub-sector «Monitoring of environment objects and «green» technologies»

Concept of environmental safety of the Republic of Kazakhstan for 2004-2015;Environmental Code of RK

Standard list of activities for environment protection Branch program «Zhasyl Damu» for 2010-2014

Lack of educational programs and personnel training in the field of environment and sustainable devel -opment of RK at all levels

Low level of environmental education and culture of population, lack of initiative and passivity of envi -ronmental organizations including nongovernmental organizations

Lack of vocational schools in the field of environment protection

Guidelines for production environmental monitoring in the process of petroleum operations In Kazakhstan sector

of Caspian Sea

2023 2030+

Information systems and data bases

Monitoring of environment objects in real time mode

RSU n.a. I.Gubkin, «TatRIPIoil», Center of clean production» (Saint-Petersburg), FSUE «Radon» (Russia), ANSTO (Australia, Nirex company (Great Britain), JSC «Energy» etc.

Development of infrastructure and material and technical base Training of highly qualified personnel

Target programs for Kazakhstan RI and specialized organizations Recommended practice for control of wastes processing and utilization quality

Technical documentation for units and plants of wastes processing and utilization Recommendations on selection of the best available technologies for wastes processing and utilization

Educational programs

Monitoring of environment objects and «green» technologies

Technologies of renewable energy sources

Time

Products/Services

Subjects of research

Basic technologies

Resources

Strategies/ Programs

Risks

Monitoring

Indicators

Greenhouse gas emissions reduced by 15% by 2030 in relation to 1992

Rate of public services in electronic format -50% Rate of recycled wastes -40%

Operation plan Long-term vision Strategy plan

Research on development of technologies for oil and oil products collection for processing

Physical-chemical, biological and other technologies for processing of oil sludge, oil contaminated soil, pit oil

Meteorological stations -287Hydrological stations -303

Agrometeorological stations -102Atmosphere air -48

ISD software products

Financial support

Science organizations

Foreign RI and universities

Certified methods for determination of content of oil and products of its conversion in soil, water. Standards for permissible content of oil and oil products in soils of different types including its residual content after reclamation (development of MPC)Regulatory base for transportation and storage of СО2

Including subjects on sustainable development of economy of Kazakhstan, “green” economy and other modern directions of economical development of RK in programs of bachelor school, master school and doctorate school .Creation of material and technical base in educational institutions to teach technological processes of wastes processing and utilization, quality control of environment objects (practical training).

Budget of RK, Investors (IN), International financial institutes (IFI), public-private partnership

RI –Institute «Zhasyl Damu» MEandWR of RK, KAAE, Institute of chemical sciences, Institute of org catalysis and electrochemistry, KazNU n.a. Al-Farabi, KazNTU, RI of environmental issues,

RSE SC «Biotechnologies», LLP »KNMMPA», CPCMA, KBTU, KIOG, Kazgeology, South-Kazakhstan university, Taraz state university, KazIITandM, KazRI of power engineering, KB «CUPP"

Enter the network for litar control of

environment objects of CIS countries and

international organizations

Creation of the center (association) for complex processing of wastes with experimental technical base and scientific-analytical laboratories. Development and pilot testing of domestic units. Put into operation the best samples of foreign developments for processing and utilization of wastes

Income from waste disposal fees and other payments are not reserved for financing of environmental activities

Low level of expenditure for environment protection for GDP level

Lack of interest on the part of business to contribute funds for development of “green” tech -nologies

Lack of economic levers to control “green” technologies scope of activity Lag in development and acceptance of regulatory documents being supporting basis of

Strategies and Laws for environment protection

CCS technologies – collection, transportation, safe storage of СО2

Technologies for creation and maintenance of geoportal

Concept of legislation of RK «About management of production and consumption waste»

State Program «Informational Kazakhstan – 2020»

Systems of waste water treatment, gas cleaning and dust collection

Systems for industrial and domestic wastes processing

Research on sustainable development of the areas in the process of subsoil development and determination of functional significance of

ecosystems

Information technologies for infrastructure of spatial data for environment and natural resources

monitoring and management Research on development of technologies of closed loop cycle for processing and safe handling with domestic, industrial, toxic and

radioactive wastes

Research on development of technologies for powder-gas emissions utilization and water

(waste waters) treatment with valuable components recovery

Information technologies of data bases for observation, monitoring, analysis, modeling of ecosystem condition to forecast natural and anthropogenic

changes and development of approaches for ecosystem functioning management

Research on greenhouse emissions impact, development of technologies for reduction, storage and use of them.

Technologies of environmental

production monitoring

Technologies for utilization of surplus activated sludge

Technologies of aerospace survey

Technologies of equipment-

methodical support

Technologies for infrastructure of spatial data (ISD)

Technologies of maintenance and sustainable management of forests to increase forest

carbon reserves

Program of industrial wastes management.

Program of SMW management system modernization

Absorption, adsorption, catalytic, thermal and condensate technologies for powder-gas

emissions treatment

Physical-chemical, microbiological technologies for wastes processing and utilization

Physical-chemical technologies and biotechnological methods of waste water

treatment

Increase in percentage of forest land in Kazakhstan by 5%

Automated information system of State Land

Cadastre (AIS SLC)

Territorial laboratories with high technical potential for

receipt of reliable facts about environment objects pollution

degree

Preliminary assessments (without IN and IFI finances):before 2017 - 800 mln. tenge (annually); 2017-2023-800 mln. tenge (annually);2023-2030 – 700mln.tenge (annually)

Systems for reduction of greenhouse gas emissions and application of alternative energy sources

Guidelines for realization of project mechanisms in the field of emissions

and greenhouse gas absorptions control

Branch projects for greenhouse gas emissions

reduction

Dynamic model of natural resources

Patents and publications in foreign magazines

Strategy of development of RK for the period before 2050

Action plan for realization of Concept of RK transition to «green» economy for

1013-2020

2014 2017

Remote methods

Unconventional methodsSurface geochemical methods

Risks of project cost increase

- Lack of close connection between domestic science and production - High competition on the part of countries near and far abroadPrevalence of foreign companies in deposits development

Human Resources risks

Financial resources Investors, public-private partnership

Research organizations: Institute of geophysical research , Seismologic experimental and methological expedition of MES of RK, Institute of geological sciences n.a. K.I. Satpayev, Institute of hydrogeology and geoecology n.a. U.M. Ahmedsafin, JSC «Kazgeology», JSC «Tau-Ken Samruk», RSE «NC CPM RK», Mining institue n.a. D.A.Kunayev , VNIITSVETMET, IPKON, Higher education institutions (Nazarbayev University , KBTU, KazNTU n.a. K.I. Satpayev, KarSTU, EKSTU n.a. D.Serikbayev, Zhezkazgan University n.a. O.A. Baikonurov, Rudny Industrial institute etc. )

Development of feasibility study for creation of applied KazRI of exploration geophysics (KRIEG) and experimental shop

SP AIID of the Republic of Kazakhstan for 2014–

2020

Project of Concept of geological branch development before 2030

Road map – sub-sector «Geology»

Strategy of innovative development of the Republic of

Kazakhstan for the period before 2030

Need to transfer technologies at the initial stage, logistic support, availability of certified laboratories, lack of domestic operational and reasonably priced technologies of deep-earth geologic exploration, risk of pur-chase of obsolete foreign analogues, complicated procedure and lack of funds to purchase and transfer high technologies of international standard;

Strategy of the Republic of Kazakhstan

Development before 2050

2020 2025

Borehole geological-geophysical methods

Development of rational and highly efficient complex of exploration, prospecting and development of deep-lying mineral deposits (surface, borehole, remote, unconventional methods).

Research on rational and highly efficient development of mineral deposits by means of open-cut, underground and other methods of mining.

Borehole geochemical methods

2030 +

Leading foreign organizations in the field of geological, geophysical and geochemical research

Russia . CJSC «NPP-VIRG Rudgeophisics », RGRI, RRISAM, «CRGI», RRI of Geophysics «Aerogeophysics», «RRI of geosystems», «RIMR» etc.

Development of infrastructure and ma-terial and technical base

Implementation of complex of geological-geophysical methods of exploration in

production

Geologic-geophysical models of ore facilities Rational geological-geophysical complex of MD exploration

Models or improved samples of geophysical equipment

Development and improvement of educational programs of bachelor school, master school, doctorate school, increase in number of government grants. Development of regulatory and procedural and legal documents.

Systems of exploration, prospecting and development of minerals deposits

Surface geologic-geophysical methods

Foreign scientific organizations for development of MD by means of open-cut, underground and other methods :Russia: Institute of Mining n.a. A.А. Skochinskiy, VNIMI, IPKON RAS, IM SD RAS , IM UD RAS

EU and USA: Rio Tinto Group , Agip, Schlumberger, ExxonMobil, Chevron etc.Japan: JEOMEG etc. South Korea: KORES, Posco .Institute of geology and geophysics o Chinese Academy of Science,

Time

Products/ Services

Subjects of research

Basic technologies

Resources

Strategies/ Programs

Risks

Monitoring

IndicatorsProcedure guidelines and instruction on geologic-geophysical works execution .

Methodology of meteorological calibration

Science reports, patents and publications

Technical documentation for geophysical equipment (technical certificate, operating manual etc.)

Software products for geologic-geophysical models development

Recommendations on selection of rational geologic-geophysical complex

Operation Plan Long-term visionStrategy plan

Project of Program for development of resources potential of mineral complex of the Republic of

Kazakhstan for 2015-2019

Acquisition tests on development of rational complex of GGM of exploration on different types of MD and

their implementation in production.

Research on assessment of opportunity to develop unconventional methods of MD explorationResearch on development and improvement of geologic-geophysical

equipment and meteorological control tools

Research on creation and improvement of rational complex GGM of

explorations, prospecting of deep-lying ore deposits of minerals Research on development of geological-geophysical models of ore MD

Creation of material and technical base of KRIEG Creation of scientific laboratories for GG methods Personnel training, abroad development assignment

Release of geophysical and geochemical equipment Creation of meteorological service

Research on mining opening strength in the process of development of deposits by means of underground and open-cut methods and geomonitoring of development of solid minerals

deposits

Research on creation and improvement of technologies for

open-cut and underground mining of ore deposits

Research on mining and geological and mining conditions and characteristics of solid minerals deposits and

development of georesources opening and access methods.

Process flow diagrams for ore and non-metallic deposits opening and preparation

Technologies of solid minerals deposits development

Technologies and comprehensive mechanization and automation of production processes of open-cut and underground mining of the

minerals deposits

Process regulation for development of MD by UL, HL and combined method

Engineering documentation for mining equipment of new generation, automation

systems

Process regulation for development of MD by underground and open-cut

method

Scientific, technical and protective documentation for technologies of MD development by open-cut, underground and other methods

Implementation of results of the research on MD development by open-cut, underground and other methods in experimental-production quantities

Implementation of results of the research on MD development by open-cut, underground and other methods in production

Concept of mining and metallurgical branch

development in Kazakhstan before 2030 ;

Germany: Institute of Mining Research (Aachen),Poland: Krakow University of Science and Technology ,China: Beijing General Research Institute of Mining and MetallurgySweden: Center of Advanced Mining and MetallurgyFinland : (Outotec);Canada: Center of mining technology and power engineering,

Creation of branch center of advanced technologies for MMC conforming to international quality standards

Packages of application software for on-line and efficient control of production processes and equipment

Research on creation and improvement of metals underground

leaching technology.

Research on creation and improvement of underground

re-mining technology

Development and scientific substantiation of criteria and process requirements

for creation of new mining technique and equipment.

Technologies of underground leaching of uranium, copper Information technologies in mining

Preliminary assessments (without industrial enterprises funds):before 2017: 500 mln. tenge (annually) . 2017– 2020: 500 mln. tenge (annually)

2021 – 2025: 400 mln. tenge (annually). 2026 – 2030: 400 mln. tenge.

2014 2018

- Technologies of processing and recovery of chemical compounds and elements of vast scope of application.

- Technologies of smelting and secondary metallurgy - Technologies of casting and thermal treatment of metals - Technologies of ferroalloys smelting - -Technologies of nonferrous metals recovery - Technologies of continuous casting of ferrous and

nonferrous metals - Technologies of metal treatment under pressure - Technologies of direct reduction of iron

Resources base and requirement for scientific manpower

- State Program of AIID for 2010 - 2014. - Program for mining-metallurgical branch development for 2010 - 2014.- Program for mineral resources sector development in RK for 2010-2014.- Scientific and technical basis for rare-metal sector development in RK for 2011-2014.

Road map–sub-sector «Complex use of mineral resources»

Failure of infrastructure, equipment, manpower potential and financial support amount to meet requirements of works being carried out

- Strategy plan of RK development before 2020.- Concept of coal industry development in RK

before 2020.

2020 2030 +

Recovery and use of non-metallic minerals

Research on concentration of on spec and off spec ore, man-caused mineral formations and recovery

of collective concentrates of nonferrous and ferrous metals

Production and processing of metals, alloys and materials

Development of infrastructure and material and technical base Implementation of scientific developments in production practiceFunctioning of enterprises and RI consortiums

Systems of concentration, complex recovery, processing of natural and technogenic crude ore.

Time

Products /Services

Subjects of research

Basic technologies

Resources

Strategies/ Programs

Risks

Monitoring

Indicators

- Number of commercialized and patented developments (including experimental-industrial samples) for key products (services) directions.

- Quantity of projects realized jointly with enterprises and foreign research centers

- Part of activities financed by public-private partnership

Operation plan Long-term visionStrategy plan

Logistics systems, «smart» production, knowledge management

Research on processing of ore, mineral formations, non-metallic raw material, man-caused and industrial wastes for

complex and selective recovery (hydrometallurgy and pyrometallurgy) of valuable components and production of

finished products. Research on development of slag-forming and refining

mixtures, refractory production and construction materials

Research on production of new complex ferroalloys, cast iron and innovative

grades of steel

Research on development of technologies for production of new types of carbonaceous reducing agents for metals.

Research on development of technologies for recovery and processing of nonferrous, noble, scattered and

rare-earth metals and their alloys.

Research on development of powder metallurgy technologies

Research on production and application of composite materials.

- determination of research customers represented by line ministries and industrial enterprises

- determination of «operators» of programs represented by the republican centers and holdings

- determination of the list of research executors represented by RI, universities and national laboratories.

- Determination of the list of the required process and analytical equipment as well as mechanism of its purchase to realize priority research- Assessment of requirement for scientific and engineering personnel to conduct research

- making list of priority specialties to increase admission to doctorate school PhD to conduct research

- organization of short-term and mid-term training and exchange programs for researchers in the priority fields of research

- priority is given to program-target financing of research developments, customer function is transferred to line ministry and enterprises-partners

- Industry-oriented research is financed with the participation of industrial enterprises, if it is found impossible – using the funds of state budget.

- preparation of the list of foreign RI and universities mostly acceptable for cooperation within research being conducted by the executors

- involvement of foreign research advisers for organization of new directions of research

2016 2024 2028

Infrastructure, R&D Industrial implementation of developments

- Technologies of materials dispersion - Technologies of metal composites recovery on the basis of Fe, Cu,

Al and Ni.- Technologies of fillers recovery for metal composites using SiC,

Al2O3, refractory metals and rare-earth metals. - Technologies of creation of «smart» productions - Dynamic modeling of processes

- Program for development of complex use of mineral resources in RK - Program for development of composite materials production in RK

Financial support Educational programsPublic authorities, science organizations and

enterprises Foreign R&D centers and universities

- Technologies of flotation, gravity and magnetic concentration - Combined technologies with preliminary roasting (oxidizing, sulphatizing, magnetizing etc.) - Technologies of acid leaching - Technologies of elements extraction and sorption - Technologies of electrolysis - Technologies of metallization

- Quantity of grants issued for research - Number of PhDs, involved in research realization - Degree of material and technical base update in involved research

organizations in relation to 2014.- Number of publications in foreign scientific magazines

- Quantity of fulfilled research studies within RM realization - Percent of implementation of RI developments in production cycle of enterprises - Quantity of developments commercialized at the external market

-Lack of strategic consortiums between public authorities, RI, universities and en -terprises when performing research

- Obsolescence of technologies, errors in selection of priorities of research, lack of developments re -sulting from conducted research

- MINT RK. MES RK- Organizations-operators of RM realization - RI, universities and national laboratories

(see description to RM)

- organization of the center and related NGO in the field of powder metallurgy on the basis of the existing RI

- organization of the center and related NGO in the field of study and production of metal composites

- metallurgy, materials science and technologies of new materials, automation and control, mining, chemical technology of non-organic substances, minerals processing

- R&D subdivisions of metallurgical enterprises, national research centers in the field of metals and alloys, center at universities, metallurgical communities (see description to RM)

Preliminary assessments (without expenditure of industrial enterprises):before 2018 : 800 mln. tenge (annually)2018 – 2024 : 500 mln. tenge (annually)2024 – 2030 : 400 mln. tenge (annually)

- Strategy of RK development before 2030.- Strategy of RK development before 2050.

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implementation of new construction materials which surpass existing analogues by its properties and economic performance in mass production;

man-caused emergencies at the largest mining and metallurgical enterprises of the branch;

environmental disasters caused by natural or human impact;

sharp change of climate resulting in disturbance of existing ways of life and production;

crisis of generating capacities and distribution networks;

atmosphere pollution will result in reduction of light quantity falling on the earth;

growth of destruction processes of natural environmental systems on the large territory of the planet;

mutation of plants and animal under impact of changing conditions;

humanitarian and economical disasters;

destruction of ecosystem of the planet;

tendencies of global problems spectrum development: nuclear war threats, world overpopulation, depletion of natural resources of the earth, anthropogenic pollution of the planet.

«WILD CARDS»

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Science and technology risks are presented by:- Remaining of low level of metal complex recovery - Increase in emissions and discharge of pollutants and wastes accumulation - Incompliance with safety and environment standards requirements - Lack of specific decisions in the field of technological development - Lack of financial resources allocated for R&D for EandNR - Initiation of new technologies and materials - Downtrend of science prestige and outflow of skilled personnel from science and production field - Complexity of mineralogical composition and combination of elements unfavorable for metallurgical

conversion in most of deposit ores

Social-economical risks - Low susceptibility of branch economy to innovations- Inflation, world economy and finance crisis - Low expenses of business for science (preferred orientation for adaptation of imported technologies)- Inefficient forms of financing of fundamental and applied science- Risks of regulatory system and infrastructure- Risks related to inefficient management of Scenario realization- Risks of negative attitude to Scenario realization on the part of governing bodies representatives, community, and mass media - Risks of poor quality of the competition for participation in Scenario realization

Political risks- Lack of demand for scientific achievements in economy, patenting abroad- Low efficiency of state support for innovation activity - Progressive innovation policy of developed countries - Imperfection of interaction forms of government, industry (domestic and foreign subsurface users) and scientific centers

RISKS AND THREATS OF SCENARIO REALIZATION

28

Science and technology risks: increase in geological information reliability in the process of mineral deposit exploration. development of efficient technologies and approaches of complex recovery of mineral components. implementation of new technical and technological decisions aimed at reduction of emissions and

disposals. encouragement of enterprises to implement “green technologies”, making environmental information being

supplied more available and transparent. development of forecast and determination of priority scientific and technical trends permanent monitoring of advanced technologies and materials development .

Social-economical risks improvement of science evaluation process for determination of priority trends and projects of grant and

program-target financing. purposeful increase in financing of research. coordination of government and enterprises actions to overcome crisis situation. development of science and production connection, update of experimental material and technical base of

scientific centers. development of more efficient forms of R&D financing.

Political risks application of technological forecast, creation of favorable conditions for domestic inventors and

rationalizers. improvement of existing mechanisms of science projects selection and financing. promote cooperation with developed countries in the field of new technologies use and scientific and

technical information exchange. development of interaction mechanisms for government, industry and scientific centers by means of

creation of scientific and technical boards for sectors.

ACTIVITIES FOCUSED ON REDUCTION OF RISKS NEGATIVE IMPACT

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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

MES RK, MEPWR RK, JSC «NCSTE» for information given

Research institutions, universities, participants of public hearings for valuable recommendations and proposals including those left in commentary on JSC «NCSTE» website

Industrial enterprises (LLP «ENRC Kazakhstan», LLP «Kazakhmys Corporation», JSC «Kazzinc», JSC «Arselor Mittal Temirtau» etc.) for submission of subject plan of research and participation in questionnaire

JSC «Kazakhstan Institute of Industry Development», ALE «Republican association of mining and metallurgical enterprises» for comments and feedbacks given

NAN RK Academician S.M.Kozhahmetov, Dr. Byungsu Kim and others for recommendations given.

THANK YOU FOR ATTENTION!

Ust-KamenogorskMarch 12, 2014

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