renault group q3 2015 jérôme stoll dominique thormann
TRANSCRIPT
2
INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q1 2016 PRESENTATION APRIL 21, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
Information contained within this document may contain forward looking statements.
Although the Company considers that such information and statements are based on
reasonable assumptions taken on the date of this report, due to their nature, they can be
risky and uncertain (as described in the Renault documentation registered within the French
financial markets regulation authorities) and can lead to a difference between the exact
figures and those given or deduced from said information and statements.
Renault does not undertake to provide updates or revisions, should any new statements and
information be available, should any new specific events occur or for any other reason.
Renault makes no representation, declaration or warranty as regards the accuracy,
sufficiency, adequacy, effectiveness and genuineness of any statements and information
contained in this report.
Further information on Renault can be found on Renault’s web site (www.group.renault.com),
in the section Finance / Regulated Information.
DISCLAIMER
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q1 2016 PRESENTATION APRIL 21, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
01Q1 2016 COMMERCIAL RESULTS UPDATETHIERRY KOSKASEVP, SALES & MAKETING
02Q1 2016 REVENUES & OUTLOOKDOMINIQUE THORMANNEVP & CFO
03 QUESTIONS & ANSWERS
AGENDA
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q1 2016 PRESENTATION APRIL 21, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
STRONG EUROPEAN MARKET
MIXED SITUATION IN EMERGING MARKETS
SUCCESS OF OUR NEW PRODUCTS
STRONG FOREX HEADWIND
FY GUIDANCE CONFIRMED
KEY TAKE-AWAYS FROM Q1 RESULTS
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q1 2016 PRESENTATION APRIL 21, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
Q1 2016 COMMERCIAL RESULTS UPDATETHIERRY KOSKASEVP, SALES & MARKETING
01
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q1 2016 PRESENTATION APRIL 21, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
* PC+LCV including USA & Canada
TIV EVOLUTION Q1 2016 VS Q1 2015
RUSSIA -16.9%
TURKEY -2.7%
ALGERIA -54.4%
MOROCCO +17.5%
INDIA +3.3%
BRAZIL -28.3%
ARGENTINA +1.6%
COLOMBIA -16.3%
WORLD*
TIV +1.5%
EURASIA
TIV -12.4%
AFRICA-ME-INDIA
TIV -7.8%
AMERICAS
TIV -11.5%
ASIA-PACIFIC
TIV +2.8%
EUROPE
TIV +8.2%
FRANCE +8.4%
GERMANY +4.8%
UK +4.5%
SPAIN +7.1%
ITALY +21.1%
CHINA +5.9%
SOUTH KOREA +5.2%
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q1 2016 PRESENTATION APRIL 21, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
646
399
69 70 8028
692
434
6795
7225
Q1'15 Q1'16 Q1'15 Q1'16 Q1'15 Q1'16 Q1'15 Q1'16 Q1'15 Q1'16 Q1'15 Q1'16
GLOBAL
+7.3%
EUROPE
+8.9%
AMERICAS
-11.1%
ASIA-PACIFIC
-11.5%
AFRICA-ME-INDIA
+36.1%
EURASIA
-2.0%
INTERNATIONAL +4.7%
K units
(PC+LCV)
+1.5% TIV +8.2% -12.4% -7.8% -11.5% +2.8%
GROUP
WORLD MARKET SHARE: 3.1% (+0.2 pts)
RENAULT GROUP UNIT REGISTRATIONS Q1 2016 VS Q1 2015
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q1 2016 PRESENTATION APRIL 21, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
FRANCE01
ITALY02
03
INDIA
UK04
BELGIUM+LUX
05
06
07
08
09
BRAZIL
26.5 %
4.7 %
9.2 %
4.4 %
GERMANY
3.6 %
6.9 %
RUSSIA 7.3 %
11.7 %
TURKEY 17.5 %
Market share
(PC+LCV)
+0.1 pts
-1.5 pts
+0.2 pts
+0.1 pts
vs.
Q1 2015
SPAIN 10.4 %
+0.3 pts
+0.1 pts
+1,5 pts36% 42%48%
55% 52%48%
Q1 2010 Q1 2011 Q1 2012 Q1 2013 Q1 2014 Q1 2015 Q1 2016
31% 37% 49% 44% 38%45%
+0.1 pts
+2,3 pts
-0,6 pts
37%
INTERNATIONALEUROPE
69% 63% 51% 56% 62%55% 63%
REGIONAL SALES BREAKDOWN
EUROPE KEEPS PUSHING SALES MOMENTUM
10
TOP 10 MARKETS BY VOLUME
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q1 2016 PRESENTATION APRIL 21, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
EUROPE REGIONGROUP PC+LCV : BREAKDOWN OF REGISTRATIONS
399434
Q1 2015 TIV PERF Q1 2016
-1
TIV
& MARKET MIX
PERFORMANCE+36
GROUP ORDER BOOK PC + LCV
Q1’15Q1’16
K units
(PC+LCV)
GROUP MARKET SHARE PC+LCV
Europe 9.8%
+0.1 pts
France 26.5%
+0.1 pts
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q1 2016 PRESENTATION APRIL 21, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
69 67
Q1 2015 TIV PERF Q1 2016
EURASIA REGION
RENAULT KADJAR
-4
GROUP PC+LCV : BREAKDOWN OF REGISTRATIONS
+3
GROUP MARKET SHARE PC+LCV
Eurasia 11.9%
+1.3 pts
Turkey 17.5%
+1.5 pts
PERFORMANCETIV
& MARKET MIX
+3-5Q1’15 Q1’16
K units
(PC+LCV)
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q1 2016 PRESENTATION APRIL 21, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
AFRICA-MIDDLE EAST-INDIA REGION
GROUP MARKET SHARE PC+LCV
Africa-ME-India 4.6%
+1.5 pts
India 3.6%
+2.3 pts
GROUP PC+LCV : BREAKDOWN OF REGISTRATIONS
7095
Q1 2015 TIV PERF Q1 2016
+39-14
Q1’15
Q1’16
PERFORMANCETIV
& MARKET MIX
RENAULT KWID
K units
(PC+LCV)
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q1 2016 PRESENTATION APRIL 21, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
AMERICAS REGION
GROUP MARKET SHARE PC+LCV
Americas 5.7%
+0.0 pt
Brazil 6.9%
+0.1 pts
RENAULT OROCH
-17
GROUP PC+LCV : BREAKDOWN OF REGISTRATIONS
=
80 72
Q1 2015 TIV PERF Q1 2016
+5
PERFORMANCETIV
& MARKET MIX
-13Q1’15 Q1’16
K units
(PC+LCV)
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q1 2016 PRESENTATION APRIL 21, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
ASIA-PACIFIC REGION
GROUP MARKET SHARE PC+LCV
Asia-Pacific 0.3%
South Korea 4.0%
-0.3 pts
0.0 pt
RENAULT SAMSUNG SM6
=
3027
Q3’14Q3’15
-5+2
GROUP PC+LCV : BREAKDOWN OF REGISTRATIONS*
28 25
Q1 2015 TIV PERF Q1 2016
TIV
& MARKET MIX PERFORMANCE
+1
-4Q1’15Q1’16
* Restatement on 2015 & 2016 Chinese sales: reported on retail sales basis versus wholesales previously
K units
(PC+LCV)
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q1 2016 PRESENTATION APRIL 21, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
NEW MODELS ON THE RIGHT TRACK
* RV : Residual Value
KADJAR
Registrations Q1: 35,358
KWID
Registrations Q1: 23,288
NEW ESPACE
Registrations Q1: 7,735
RV* France: +18 pts vs
Espace IV
NEW MEGANE
Registrations Q1: 13,587
RV France: +9.3 pts vs
Mégane III
TALISMAN
Registrations Q1: 5,007
RV France: +13.5 pts vs
Laguna
DUSTER OROCH
Registrations Q1: 3,191
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q1 2016 PRESENTATION APRIL 21, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
Q1 2016 REVENUES & OUTLOOKDOMINIQUE THORMANNEVP & CFO
02
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q1 2016 PRESENTATION APRIL 21, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
RENAULT GROUP REVENUES BY DIVISION IN Q1 2016
In million euros Q1 2016 Change (%)Q1 2015
Automotive
Sales Financing
TOTAL
9,942
547
10,489
+12.6%
-2.1%
+11.7%
8,829
559
9,388
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q1 2016 PRESENTATION APRIL 21, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
8,829
9,942
-394
+904
+76 +168+237
+238
-116
AUTOMOTIVE REVENUE VARIANCE ANALYSIS
Currency
Volume
Geographic
mixProduct
mix
Price
Sales to partners
Others
+12.6%
-4.5 pts+10.2 pts +0.9 pts +1.9 pts +2.7 pts +2.7 pts -1.3 pts
In million euros CHANGE Q1 2016 / Q1 2015 : +€1,113m
Q1 2015 Q1 2016
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q1 2016 PRESENTATION APRIL 21, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
488527
495 493
459
515 511 503465
575
100
255
158
254
106
264
178
260
141
298
388
272
337
240
353
251
333
243
324
277
DEC'13 MAR'14 JUN'14 SEP'14 DEC'14 MAR'15 JUN'15 SEP'15 DEC'15 MAR'16
NEW VEHICLE DISTRIBUTION STOCK (IN K UNITS)
GROUP
INDEPENDENTDEALERS
TOTAL
Number of days of sales
(previous period)757663 62 74 57 74 64 53 76
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q1 2016 PRESENTATION APRIL 21, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
RCI BANQUE PERFORMANCE
Q1 2016 Change (%)Q1 2015
Revenues (in € m)
Average Performing Assets*(in € bn)
New contracts (in thousand units)
New financings(in € bn)
559
27.6
320
3.7
* Restated to include operating leases since the beginning of 2016, representing :
€ 0.3 bn in Q1 2015 and € 0.5 bn in Q1 2016
547
31.1
353
4.1
-2.1%
+12.8%
+10.2%
+11.3%
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q1 2016 PRESENTATION APRIL 21, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
OUTLOOK 2016
In 2016, the global market is expected to grow 2% compared to 2015. The
European market is now expected to increase by at least 5% (vs +2%
previously).
Outside Europe, the Brazilian and Russian markets are expected to decline
further, by 15% to 20% (vs -6% previously) and 12% respectively. On the
contrary, China (+4% to +5%) and India (+8%) should pursue their positive
momentum.
THE GROUP* IS AIMING TO:
Increase group revenues (at constant exchange rates)
Improve group operating margin
Generate a positive Automotive operational free cash flow
* at constant scope of consolidation
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q1 2016 PRESENTATION APRIL 21, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
QUESTIONS & ANSWERS03