population dynamics of the smith's red-backed vole in highlands of shikoku
TRANSCRIPT
Res. Popul. Ecol. (1964) VI, 54--66
POPULATION DYNAMICS OF THE SMITH'S RED-BACKED
VOLE IN HIGHLANDS OF SHIKOKU
Ryo TANAKA
Zoological Laboratory, Kochi Women's University, Kochi
INTRODUCTION
The Smith's red-backed vole, Eothenornys smithi(TtIoMAs, 1905)% is very commonly
distributed in highlands of Shikoku among other districts of Japan except Hokkaido,
and the only vole in Shikoku is dominant in small-mammal communities over the
range. Thus upland afforestation is all the times subjected to damage by the pest,
and it is very important to elucidate its population dynamics from the view-point
of forest protection as well as population ecology.
A population fluctuation of the vole during the last decade beginning in the
outbreak year 1955 (TANAKA, 1956) has been disclosed on the basis of my data taken
from the same two plots set consecutively over the term on Mt. Turugi located in
the east of the highlands. On the other hand, since the fall of 1958, an abundance
of samples and data has been accumulated by Mr. ITo to devise a program of pest
control for forest protection. His samples and data, serving enough to know a
general population trend, either yearly or seasonal, throughout Shikoku, could be
partly made available to reinforce proofs for the present study through his courtesy;
a portion of his materials was utilized in the previous paper (TANAKA, 1962).
I am deeply grateful to Mr. Takeo ITO, Shikoku Branch of Government Forest
Experiment Station, and also to Mr. R. WATANABE, chief of the Station Branch, who
afforded every facility for my recent field surveys at Mt. Turugi.
ENVIRONMENTS AND METHODS
The environment on the Turugi plots in 1955 was already explained (TANAKA,
1956). Here we need to make a further note. The plots are located in the almost
natural-wooded area, 1500~1600m high, being a transition from the deciduous
latifoliate (temperate) to the coniferous (subalpine) forest zone. Soon after the drastic
destruction of habitat due to the widespread decay of dense cover of Sasa on one
The view of genus of the vole is still keenly opposed to between Japanese taxonomists; one insists on Eothenomys while another on Anteliomys, but Hoor~l~ & HART (1962) claim that both genera may well rank as subgenera of Clethrionomys. I am inclined to adopt the last until its world-wide, comprehensive research is completed, and yet for the present Eothenomys is used conventionally.
55
plot (A) in the outbreak year, the descendant plants generated, growing larger year
after year, and got back to the previous level of thriving in 1964 or so, while the
cover on another (B) kept invariable through the period.
ITo's specimens, however, were all taken from afforested areas, 700 to 1300m
high, equivalent to the lower half of the temperate forest zone.
On Turugi, the trapping was made for 4-6 days once a year in mid-summer(mid-
July to early August), but in 1957 and 1961 it was discontinued ; the trap-effective
area (the area covered by traps plus that of boundary strip computed from the
average size of home range, 0. 14 acres, of the vole) was 1-1.5 acres in the earlier
two years and about 2 acres at the other times. At each of the stations arranged
mostly in a 10 m or less grid on the plots, a single-catch live-trap was set f rom
1955 to 1960 (mark-and-release method), whereas three snap traps were laid out from
1962 to 1964 (removal method), for I became aware of intricate effect of multiple
collisions incidental to the former method (TANAKA, 1963). ITO'S samples were taken
only by the removal method from a lot of plots slightly smaller than 1 acre in trap-
effective area.
These plot sizes are as small as likely to cause overestimation, due to ingress
of animals from surroundings, in censusing, but it was in practice difficult to use
large enough plots in our study areas of complicated topography. To avoid the wrong
rating, therefore, special precaution was taken in analysis of data for the estimation
of population, in which the formula C~,~= (N-S~, 1) P was as a rule applied to trapping
records, so far as those were suitable to it (TANnKn, 1963). In most cases, aside
from Turugi data, it was applied to a set of pooled daily catches from more than
one plots of the same date in the same locality, and the population density per ha
is shown as an average of those obtained from various number of different localities
at the same season.
ITo's specimens were all re-examined in respect to female breeding features and
his measurements of body weight were revised into true values after the same
criterion as described in the preceding paper (TANAKA, 1962). Adrenal weights of
his specimens were measured in our laboratory.
The level of population fertility was discussed by the use of adult females alone,
for as a whole males ran parallel with females in breeding activity. The female
activity was measured by pregnancy rate (PrR), active reproductivity rate (ARR),
litter size and incidence of pregnancy (I1). ARR is ratio of adult females in any
stage of operating oestrous cycle; to say concretely, the active adults consist of
those having placental scars (parous) or swelled uteri ready to contract (post partum),
or in visible pregnancy, or holding well developed ovaries and uteri indicating near
oestrus (nulli-parous).
The level of adrenal weight in populations was expressed by an average of
relative adrenal weight (RAW) of subadult and adult males, i.e., paired adrenal weight
in mg per unit of the gross body weight in g (BW). Further, it was corrected to be
56
ad jus t ed to m e a n B W of each s amp le by the s ame r eg re s s ion coefficient as g iven in
1962.
T h e convenien t , bu t bas i ca l ly just i f iable , d e t e r m i n a t i o n of subadu l t s and adu l t s
fo l lowed the r a n g e s of B W ( s u b a d u l t 16 g o r more , a d u l t 19 g o r m o r e ) c o m m o n to
bo th sexes in l ikewise w i th before .
ANNUAL CHANGES IN TURUGI
T h e s m a l l - m a m m a l c o m m u n i t y in the s t u d y a r e a is c o m p o s e d of the vole, two
species of Apodemus (argenteus, speciosus) and three species of insec t ivores (Urotrichus talpoides, Dymecodon pilirostris, Sorex shinto). The long- t a i l ed mice (A. argenteus) r a n k s nex t to the vole in abundance , the o the r m e m b e r s be ing f a r less. CALIaOUN
(1959) is a p p r e h e n s i v e of an i n h i b i t o r y effect which d o m i n a n t species m a y in some
w a y exh ib i t upon some second and thus s u b o r d i n a t e species fo r e a r l i e r d a y s wi th in
a s n a p - t r a p p i n g per iod. T h e influence was t hough t den iab le in our field works , some
p roof s be ing shown in T a b l e 1. T h e z2- tes t p roves tha t the d e p a r t u r e of expec ted
f r o m o b s e r v e d n u m b e r s is qui te ins igni f icant . W e m a y say , thus, t ha t the r e l a t ive
a b u n d a n c e of these c o m p o n e n t s in the c o m m u n i t y was well ref lected in the r e l a t ive
ca tches t h r o u g h the t r a p p i n g pe r iod ( 4 ~ 5 d a y s ) .
Table 1. Es:Eothenomys smithi, Aa : Apodemus argenteus Daily catches in Turugi, the very rare mouse, A. speciosus, being omitted.
I 1964 CA) 1962 (Plots A, B) 1963 (A, B)
Days I, II III IV V Total I II III IV ! Total i I II III IV I Total i
24 13 7 3 7 3
E s
As Insectivores
16 7 6 10 39 13 5 1 2 21 6 4 4 1 15
Total 35 16 11 13 75 38
0.10~P~0.20
9 6 52 20 5 2 4 31 3 1 14 4 2 3 2 ~ 11 3 4 17 3 1 2 2 8
. . . . . . . . . I . . . . .
19 15 11 83 ~27 8 7 8 50
0.50~P~0.80 0.50~P~0.80
In the s t u d y area , a p a t t e r n of s ea sona l popu la t i on change of the vole has no t
been exp lored . I t is, however , supposed t ha t the peak wil l u s u a l l y come in la te
s u m m e r o r e a r l y fall , because no d rop of b r e e d i n g r a t e was rea l ized in m i d - s u m m e r
as seen f r o m the A R R - v a l u e s (0 .50~0 . 60, T a b l e 2) in the y e a r s 1959~64, w he re a s
ITo 's s a m p l e s r evea led v e r y low va lues a t the c o r r e s p o n d i n g season. T h e p r o b l e m
wil l be d i scussed a g a i n l a t e r on.
Here is a d d e d a n o t h e r proof . In e a r l y O c tobe r when the census was execu ted
in 1955, the p o p u l a t i o n s were dec l in ing a f t e r the supposed peak in mid- o r la te s u m m e r
(TANAKA, 1956), and the i r b r e e d i n g had u t t e r l y ceased by then (ARR, 0 or 0.02).
T h e p h e n o m e n a m a y in p a r t be t r a c e d back to the s ea sona l t r e n d of a b u n d a n c e in
t4sual yea r s , bu t the p recoc ious peak in the m i d - s t l m m e r and the dep re s sed b reed ing
Table 2. Populat ion densi ty per ha (PD) on the two plots (A, B) in Turugi for two species (Es, Aa), and p regnancy ra te (PrR) , act ive reproduct iv i ty ra te (ARR) and relat ive adrenal weight (RAW) for the vole. n = n u m b e r of specimens examined, B = b e g i n n i n g , M=midd le , E = e n d
57
1955 Oct. B
A Es 170 0 - - 15 33 43 - - 28
plot Aa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . PD _ 1 5 30 - 3 1 1 - ,5
175 10 - - 25 98 88 - - 28
plot l Aa 5 5 - - 15 13 23 - - 20 I
f n 41 PrR
n ARR
I
n RAW
3 or 0. 02
41
D.02 ~ .08
'56 '57 '58 '59 '60 '62 '63 '64 July M Aug. B July E July E '61 July E July E July E
50 48
18 30
38
8
- - 1 19 18 - - 17 21 15
- - - - 0.05• 0.28i.10 - - 0.12A=.10 0.19• 0.13=~.11
- - 1 19 18 - - 17 21 15
- - - - 0.47:~.11 0.61~.12 - - 0.59• 0.52=k_.11 0.60=~.13
- - - - 17 27 - - 14 26 13
- - - - 0 . 4 7 0 . 2 8 - - 0 . 3 5 0 . 2 3 0 . 28
Fig. 1.
200
150
I00
50
X ARR •
xo
�9 .
�9 ~ A W ,
1 I I I 1 I I I I
1955 '56 '57 '58 '59 '60 '61 '62 '63 '64
0.60
0.40
0. 20
0
Yearly changes in densi ty of the Turug i populations, a t tended by shifts in b reed ing aci t ivi ty and adrenal weight of the vole; re fer to Tables 1 and 2 about abbrevia t ions . (plot A : Q, plot B : /~, Es: - - , Aa - - ) .
i n t h e e a r l y f a l l m a y l a r g e l y be r e d u c e d to r a p i d p r o p a g a t i o n a n d i n t e n s i f i e d s o c i a l
s t r e s s l i k e l y to o c c u r a t o u t b r e a k (CHRISTIAN, 1957). T o m y r e g r e t , a t t h a t t i m e
a n y a d r e n a l a n a l y s i s w a s n o t c a r r i e d o u t of t h e m . N e x t y e a r t h e r e t o o k p l a c e a
s t r i k i n g d e c r e a s e of n u m b e r s (F ig . 1) e n o u g h to s u g g e s t ' p o p u l a t i o n c r a s h ' , w e l l
e x p l i c a b l e b y CHmSTIAN'S t h e o r y (TANAKA, 1960).
T h u s t h e m i d - s u m m e r d e n s i t y i n n o n - o u t b r e a k i n g y e a r s m a y we l l b e s u p p o s e d
as t h e m e d i u m o r n e a r t h e m a x i m u m in t h e s e a s o n a l t r e n d .
T h e p o p u l a t i o n f l u c t u a t i o n s of t h e vo l e a n d t h e l o n g - t a i l e d m o u s e a r e d r a w n i n
F ig . 1. T h e r e a r e t w o m i s s i n g l i n k s in 1957 a n d 1961 f o r t he c h a i n of d a t a , b u t
t h e y a r e u n i m p o r t a n t b e c a u s e t h e f o r m e r w a s p e r h a p s a c o n t i n u a t i o n of t h e s c a r c e t y
p h a s e ( C m T T y & CmTTY, 1961) d u e to t h e c r a s h a n d t he l a t t e r is s u p p o s e d to h a v e
58
been the same low density as in 1962 judging from ITo's data.
The second and third milder peaks of the vole in numbers appeared in 1959~60
and 1963~64, the cyclic interval 3-4 years being that widely known about microtine
rodents. The population trends on both plots ran almost in phase, and furthermore
ITo's samples evidenced that the overall density level throughout Shikoku uplands
showed roughly the same trend as this since 1959 onwards at least. The 1955-outbreak
also seems to have been so much widespread, but little was known about its precise
range.
We can see, therefore, that the vole populations in every locality of Shikoku
tend to have a cyclic trend keeping pace with one another. It seems to make a sharp
contrast to the adjacent vole populations at Lake Vyrnwy which ran mostly out of
phase or in opposite phase (CHITTY & CHITTY, 1962).
Nevertheless, two or three times as many voles were found on one plot (B) as
on another (A) at the second peak time when the Sasa-thicket had been poorly
recovered on A. Thus the difference in density should mainly be assigned to that
in habitat, for the A density was not inferior to the B's in 1963 when both cover
conditions were almost alike.
In contrast with the vole, the subordinate mouse on both plots expressed far
minor fluctuation in numbers, with indistinct cyclic phases generally indifferent to
the vole's or opposite to each other.
Although a second outbreak has not come into being, the violent change in
abundance of the vole will assure that it has a great population potential based on
its prolific feature. During the study period, no appreciable environmental changes,
other than the plentiful supply of Sasa.seeds and the attendant events in partial
areas about 1955 and the unusually low temperature in January of 1963, have been
encountered throughout the district. Already I argued that the food supply was not
the ultimate motive of the outbreak in 1955 (TANAKA, 1957). In view of the observed
values of ARR and PD in the winter of the year III (Table 3, Figs. 2 and 3), it is
unlikely that the severe weather had some influence on the vole populations. The
heavy haunting of predators in 1955 (TANAKA, 1956) was only a temporary event
incidental to the overpopulation. Hence we are led to postulate that the depressed
number of the vole in 1956~58 as well as in 1961~62 hardly derived from either
predator pressure or adverse weather. Thus, this kind of cyclic population-trend is
readily accounted for by the theory (TANAKA, 1960) that a cyclic oscillation in
numbers at regular intervals of 3 or 4 years, apt to be started in a collapse at
outbreak, is attributable to the intrinsic mechanism of a vole-population provided
with some prolific potential. The theory is never of imaginary but of practical content.
SEASONAL CHANGES
Seasonal changes in population and breeding could be in some degree brought
59
to l i gh t w i t h ITo ' s v o l e - p o p u l a t i o n s . T h e t h r e e - y e a r d a t a w e r e e x a m i n e d by a r r a n g i n g
t h e m by the b i o l o g i c a l yea r , t he d u r a t i o n f r o m A p r i l to the n e x t M a r c h ; t he y e a r s
1959~60, 1961~62 a n d 1962~63 a r e he re f o r s i m p l i c i t y d e s i g n a t e d as I, I I and I I I
r e s p e c t i v e l y ( T a b l e 3, F igs . 2 a n d 3).
Table 3. Seasonal mean values of the vole in the lower temperate zone for density (PD), breeding (PrR, ARR, I~), body weight ( B W ) a n d adrenal weight (RAW) in three years. I~=incidence of pregnancy. Refer to the foregoing
-- ~ - - -
Years ~ Months
1959 i Apr.} !May i 19
July ] !1 11 Aug. I
I Oct . ) i Nov. J 41
Dec. 79
19601 Jan. 10
Average
1961 i June
A u g .
O c t .
[Nov.
19621 Feb.
tables about other abbreviations.
PrR ARR
n : n
0. 58-k. 10
0• 13
!0. 22• 07
O. 19• 05
0• 13
O. 219• 033
32 O. 09• 07
9 ! o•
50 ~0. 20• 02 i [ 49 0 . 5 3 •
19 i0.26• 10
3 0. 33• 24
19 0.68 !:. 11
11 0.09~. 15
38 0.74•
79 0.52L.06
10 0.40 •
O. 554• 039
32 O. 38• 09 53
9 0 L . 1 4 25
50 0.62• 02 51
49 O. 88• 02 57
19 0.84• 28
3 0.67• 28J Mar.
Average 0. 278• 033 0. 642=0. 039 - - - T . . . . . . . T . . . . . . . . .
1962 May ~ 47
June 20
Aug, 4
Sept. I
i Oct. 15 i Nov. 41 i
!Dec. ! 36
19631 Feb. 18
Average
0. 43• 06 47 0.68•
0~ .09 20 0.25!:.11
0 ~.21 4 0 L.25
10. 33• 15 0.87:= 13/ 0.24• 41 0.51-{:.08
0.08L.07 36 0.64~:.08
0 .11• 18 0.44 !:.12
0.220• 0.565 J:0.037 i
BW (g) R A w PD I [ n n
8 19.9 8 0.52 174
19 25.5 19 0.26 55
28 29.3 28 O. 27 87 8.5
67 25. 8 67 O. 24 78
15 23.9 15 0.25 39
25.6 !:0.39 0 .27t0 .012
23.9 53 0.43 30
23.7 25 0.23 11
26.1 51 0.20 - - 9.3 29.4 57 0.18 28
24 24.1 28 0.24
25. 9 0. 26
44 26.0 44 0.43 27
22 26.4 22 0.50 21
12 25.2 12 0.21 7
21 28.0 21 0.20 8.4 46
48 29.0 48 0.18 16
41 29.0 41 0.20 40
21 27.9 21 0.15 39
27.6 0.27
B e f o r e g o i n g f u r t h e r , the i n c i d e n c e of p r e g n a n c y is e x p l a i n e d . I t w a s w o r k e d
o u t a f t e r t h e f o r m u l a , Ii=pT/t.,r, of fe red f o r t he b r o w n r a t by CALrlOUN (1962),
w h e r e p w a s e x p r e s s e d by a n n u a l m e a n s of P rR , bu t t hose of A R R w e r e s u b s t i t u t e d
f o r r b e i n g def ined by h i m as r a t i o of adu l t f e m a l e s v i s i b l y pa rous , f o r I t h o u g h t
i t r a t h e r s u i t a b l e to do so. T h e d u r a t i o n of v i s ib l e p r e g n a n c y t~ w a s e s t i m a t e d a t
15 o r 16 d a y s f o r o t h e r vo les (KALELA, 1957; HOFFMA.NN, 1958), but , i n s t ead , t.~=17
a n d T = 3 6 5 w e r e u s e d as w a s done w i t h the ra t , s ince the g e s t a t i o n p e r i o d of vo l e s
a n d r a t s is c o n s i d e r e d a l ike .
60
As seen f rom Fig. 2, in consonance wi th the year ly t r ends in Tu r ug i , the vole
popula t ion is twice or more as high in the year I as in II and III f rom May to
December. The very high densi ty in May of I was a s ingle value, except ional ly
ob ta ined f rom only a plot, ins tead of an average f rom mul t ip le plots in others.
Thus , it would fail to represen t an average dens i ty level in the month. Accord ing
to the genera l knowledge of seasorial t r ends for vole popula t ions in t empera te
cl imates, a much lower density, possibly 50 or so, should have been given.
200
150
100
56
A Fig. 2.
I
RAW 3o
-0.10
M J J A S O N D J F M Seasonal trends in population (PD) and adrenal weight (RAW) of the vole in the lower temperate zone in three years. (--@-- : 1959~'60, ... x... : '61~ '62, - - ~ - - : '62~'63
If we view, keeping in mind this assumpt ion , the three-year seasonal f luctuat ions
in dens i ty f rom a low in spr ing to a high in fall, they are reducible to the n o r t h e r n
pa t t e rn (STmKEL & WARBACH, 1960). The peak was reached in October and near ly
m a i n t a i n e d to December.
The breeding t rends (Fig. 3) are co inc ident wi th those of Peromyscus s tudied
Fig. 3.
o.=o -----?1
0. 207 ~ ~//~/~/~/~/~/~/~/~Y~' "~Y-'~l_
80 r
O. 50 . . . . . " - - ~ t ~ - -
A M J J A S O N D J F M Seasonal breeding trends of the vole in the lower temperate zone in three years, each ratio being attended by upper and lower ranges of its standard error.
61
by Bm~T (194-0) in that the breeding level reached the first peak in late spring and
then declined sharply in July-August but dissimilar in that a second peak appeared
in October-November rather than in September-October. Then the peak-like populaton
must have been kept as lares as Decemper with our voles. Another dispari ty is that
the fecundity was kept relatively high, instead of the complete fall in Peromyscus, through winter, the winter level being rather higher than that of mid-summer.
But, to our general knowledge, the observed values for fecundity in mid-summer
seem to have been too small for the temperate vole. Be that as it may, these values
obtained in July-August f rom Turugi samples were compared with those f rom ITo's
samples, just discussed, as follows:
ITo's Turug i Diff . /SE P
PrR 0/24-=0 14/91 =0.154 1.60 )>0.05
ARR 1/24=0. 042 51/91-0. 560 4. 58 < 0 . 0 i
Although a significant difference can be found only in ARR, both values in Turugi
are large enough to teli that the breedgin may begin in spring and continue in mid-
summer. Thence we may infer, as referred to foregoingly, that the peak comes in
late summer or ear ly fall in ordinary years. Supposing it is true, the seasonal cycle
in Turugi may be at tr ibuted to the typical northern pat tern such as found with
Peromyscus in New Brunswick (MorRis, 1955). A more northern type having a
breeding peak in June has been discovered with the same vole on the subalpine
forest zone, 1900~2400 m high, in Honshu (MIYAO et al., 1964).
I shall speak of visible pregnancy rate (PrR) commonly available as a measure
of reproductivity. In the above comparison, the difference in PrR failed to reach a
significant level. The fact can be a proof that PrR is not pert inent to the measure.
Considerable discrepancy and non-parallelism between the trends of PrR and ARR
is expressed also in Fig. 3. A presumable reason is that PrR is liable to decline by
dint of a density-controlling factor, copulation pressure; it is demonstrated with
exper imental populations that the factor may be operative even in those of high
fecundity in terms of the rate of ovum production (SouT~WTCK, 1955).
PROBLEM OF SOCIAL STRESS
According to the theory of CHRISTIAN', adrenal increase is a reflection of stress
induced by increasing density and some environmental fac tors mediated through
the single pa thway of social interaction. Nevertheless, with our materials sampled
f rom usual-year populations, adrenal analysis failed to afford any affirmative evidence
for the theory.
In the study (1962), I have clarified that relative adrenal weights may augment
in females while decrease in males with rise of fecundity as well as with progress
of age, the rate of change being much greater in voles than in rats. Thus it has
62
turned out nearly meaningless if one comments on the theory from a result of his
work, done in utter disregard or ignorance of these sources of error, about voles
at least. My method seems to have been enough appropriate in this respect.
As for Turugi data (Fig. 1), the overall levels of ARR and RAW are kept almost
constant inspire of the apparent change of PD over the period 1960~64, nevertheless
in one (1959) of peak years ARW lies above but ARR below the respective levels.
Only what happened to RAW in 1959 looks to accord with the theory, but it might
have derived from the fact that RAW in males changes inversely with fecundity
independently of social stress.
As for I ro ' s data (Table 3, Fig. 2), no difference in average of RAW through
the seasons concerned was found between the year I of high density and the years
II and III of low. The slight tendency for the peak-year values in fall and winter
to surpass the corresponding ones in II and III is likely to be due to the general
decline of fecundity in I.
It is worth noting that RAW in May and June was decidedly larger than in other
months through the three years. A maximum in seasonal trend of adrenal weight
was found in June also for the vole at Lake Vyrnwy (CHITTY, 1961). As is the case
with this, the above discussion of our vole naturally leads to consider that the adrenal
peak in May and June should be unrelated to breeding and, needless to say, to PD.
Then would it be related to stress due to some social derangement peculiar to the
months? Altogether the discrepancy between ARR and PrR was much smaller in
spring than in fall and winter. If we presume the discrepancy to be induced mainly
by copulation pressure which is in turn likely to derive from social derangement,
the social stress should have been decreased to a minimum, whereas in practice the
adrenal level was highest, in spring. The greatest discrepancy ratio (PrR/ARR)
was shown in October-November, when the seasonal trend of PD was at peak, in
the year I of high density, but no corresponding peak value of RAW was manifested.
Therefore, apart from what is expressed in terms of stress, the presumption of
intensified copulation pressure will be valid for the months.
REPRODUCTIVITY REGULATED BY POPULATION DENSITY
For the vole populations in the three years, above treated, it has proved that
some breeding items are on the overall average inversely related to the density level
of the year. Meanwhile no extrinsic agents are considered to have been effectively
at work, so the phenomenon can be regarded as the self-regulation of fecundity by
density within a population. Up to date, not a few examples for this have been
known of natural populations in small mammals. But the kinds of breeding items
concerned in the phenomenon seem to be fairly divergent from case to case even
with microtine rodents. For instance, HOFFMANN (1958) recognized, in two species
of Microtus, a generally inverse relation to density about ovulation rate, litter size
63
and p r e g n a n c y r a t e bu t denied i t abou t age of m a t u r i t y and inc idence of p o s t - p a r t u m
p r e g n a n c y , and bes ides he d isc losed t ha t the l e n g t h of b r e e d i n g season was i nva r i a b l e
f r o m y e a r to y e a r fo r one vole (montanus) at least . T h e n he c l a imed that, s ince
the obse rved v a r i a t i o n in n a t a l i t y was r e l a t i ve ly minor , the i m m e d i a t e cause of
popu l a t i on cycles in these spec ies m u s t lie wi th in o ther half of the n a t a l i t y - m o r t a l i t y
equa t ion . In con t r a s t , the inverse dens i t y -de pe nde nc e wi th a vole of Clethrionomys (KALELA, 1957) was revea led c l ea r ly in ra te of m a t u r a t i o n of f i r s t -yea r y o u n g s and
length of b r eed ing season, hence inc idence of p r e g n a n c y , bu t s ca rce ly in p r e g n a n c y
r a t e and l i t t e r size.
In the p r e s e n t work , as to the overa l l m e a n s of P rR and A R R t h r o u g h the y e a r
( T a b l e 3), no s ign i f ican t difference was obse rved be tween the y e a r I of h igh de ns i t y
and the y e a r s II and III of low, bu t m a x i m u m s were seen in II. A n d ye t the mean
of A R R of II coun ted f r o m the fa l l and w i n t e r d a t a was l a r g e r enough to be s ign i f ican t
t han the c o r r e s p o n d i n g one of I. A c c o r d i n g l y the inc idence of p r e g n a n c y (I1),
d e p e n d e n t on these values , w o r k e d out to be g r e a t e r in II t han in I. T h e r e was on ly
l i t t le difference be tween I and III abou t these values .
Table 4. Frequency of viable litter size, counted from ITO'S samples combined with Turugi samples, in three years.
Litter size . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 2 3 4 5 : Total Mean (5?~fiducial limits)
Years ._ ! : i J i
I (1959~'60) i 6 16 12 1 0 35 2. 23-:. 13 (1.97~2. 49) 1[ (1961~'62) ] 3 19 15 6 1 44 2. 61:5.13 (2. 35~2. 87)
(1962~'63) 1 14 21 3 2 41 2. 78:1=. 13 (2. 52--3.04)
Fig . 3 sugges t s t ha t the b r e e d i n g season in the lower t e m p e r a t e zone m a y las t
a l m o s t al l the year , f o r A R R kep t i ts h igh va lue 0 .62-0 .88 f r o m Oc tobe r to M a r c h
in the y e a r II. F r o m these da ta , we would be unable to pos tu l a t e tha t the b reed ing
season was l onge r in the low-dens i ty y e a r s t han in the p e a k year , because the va lue
of A R R w a s st i l l as much as 0.40 in J a n u a r y , none of those in the subsequen t m o n t h s
be ing ava i l ab le to us.
A more m a r k e d v a r i a t i o n of dens i t y - r egu la t i on , however , a p p e a r e d in l i t t e r size
( T a b l e 4). T h e annua l mean of the v iab le l i t t e r size, n e a r l y iden t i ca l w i th the g r o s s
size inc lud ing n u m b e r of qui te few r e s o r b i n g e m b r y o s , was a p p r e c i a b l y sma l l e r in
the peak y e a r than in the low-dens i ty years , but a s ign i f ican t difference was obse rved
on ly abou t the y e a r III.
PROBLEM OF PROLIFIC POTENTIAL
I r r e spec t ive of the pro l i f ic po t en t i a l in the vole popu l a t i on supposed f r o m the
v io len t annua l t rend, the mean l i t t e r size as smal l as 2 .23-2 .78 in the g r o s s and 2. 00
a t t e r m was obse rved c o n t r a r y to our expec ta t ion . MIYAO et al. a lso ob ta ined 2. 3
64
from the same vole. Those known from many microtine rodents appear to be in
the order of 5-6. To make full compensation for the few embryos, a high rate of
litter production and survival in pre- and post-natal development can be expected.
In this paper, however, I could not touch upon any of what was related to the
postnatal survival or mortali ty rate.
The incidence of pregnancy counted by means of CALHOUN'S formula was 8. 4-9.3
on the assumption of the breeding season lasting a year. The corresponding values
by HOFFMANN were 9. 3-11.2 for californicus and 6. 7-7.4 for montanus, but his count
was based on the equation of EMLEN ~ DAVIS (1948) which is slightly different from
CALHOUN'S in lack of r so as to cause some underestimate. Despite the fact, the
value of californicws was larger, but that of montanus smaller, than our vole's.
From the breeding data of his vole presented by KALELA, I could calculate times
of litter production per year at about 4 5; the value was smaller than those, above
given, probably on account of a shorter breeding season in the subarctic vole, but
it is not comparable precisely to the L-value.
The intra-uterine mortali ty was estimated by the same means as in KALELA, i.e., the developmental stage of embryos during visible pregnancy was discriminated
by length of uterine swellings and the sample was grouped into three categories of
earlier, middle and later stages. The mean litter size for each stage was as follows:
earlier 2. 5020. 09, middle 2.66~0.13, later (at term) 2. 0020.18
There was a significant difference between the second and the third, then the intra-
uterine mortali ty during visible pregnancy working out at 0. 25 (0.66 loss per litter).
KALI~LA thought nothing of the role of this mortali ty in population dynanmics from
his result of his vole showing so small a difference in mean litter size among those.
HOFFMANN assessed the overall prenatal mortality of montanus at 0. 02-0.25 and the
post-implantation prenatal mortality of caIifornicus at 0-0. 11.
Consequently, I have been able to detect no affirmative evidence that our vole
is ahead of other voles either in incidence of pregnancy or in prenatal survival rate.
Further researches on the postnatal mortality of our vole are required to solve this
problem.
SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION
Population dynamics of the SMITH'S red-backed vole predominantly common
through uplands of Shikoku have been in some degree disclosed by the use of my
own and Government Forest Station's samples collected since 1955 onward.
It has proved that the upper-range population reaches its density peak possibly
in late summer or early fall, but the lower-range one does probably in October-
November, as the seasonal trend in usual years. The upper one produced a peak
three times at 3-4 year intervals, the first peak being an outbreak followed by a
crash, during the last decade. It seems likely that all the populations through the
65
range have, in the gross, f luctuated in phase af ter 1959 at least. The cyclic f luctuat ion
m a y readi ly be expla ined by the theory of in t r ins ic mechanism, because no ex te rna l
fac tors are considered to have exer ted a conclusive effect.
Except what was concerned in the outbreak, the role of the social s tress could
be set a t naught .
The regu la t ion of fecundiy by densi ty was expressed more marked ly in l i t ter
size and less in active reproduc t iv i ty rate and incidence of p regnancy .
The mean l i t ter size at te rm as small as 2.00 is c o n t r a r y to our expecta t ion in
view of the supposed prolific potent ia l , never the less the observed f requency of l i t ter
poduct ion and in t r a -u te r ine surv iva l ra te has proved not to be so high as to make
up for the small l i t ter size. The p rob lem in the pos tna ta l mor ta l i t y has r ema ined to
be solved.
LITERATURE
BVRT, W.H. (1940)Territorial behavior and populations of some small mammals in southern
Michigan. Mis. Pub. Mus. Zool. Univ. Mich., 40: 1~58.
CALHOUn, J.B. (1959) Revised sampling procedure for the North American census of small mammals,
Popul. Dynam. Vert., EeL 10: 1~12.
CALI~OIIN, J.B. (1962) The ecology and sociology of the Norway rat. Bethesda.
Cmrrr, D. & H. CUlTT~: (1962) Population trends among the voles at Lake Vyrnwy, 1932~60.
Symposium theriologicum, Brno, 1960: 67~76.
CmTwr, H. (i961)Variations in the weight of the adrenal glands of the field vole, Microtus
agrestis. J. Endocrin., 22: 387~393.
C~glSrIAN, J.J. (1957) A review of the endocrine responses in rats and mice to population size
including delayed effects on offspring. Nay. Med. Res. Inst., Lect. & Rev., SeT. 57-2 : 443~
462.
EZCLEN, J.T. & D.E. DAVIS (1948) Determination of reproductive rates in rat populations by
examining of carcasses. Physiol. ZooL, 21: 59~65.
HOFFMANN, R.S. (1958) The role of reproduction and mortality in population fluctuations of voles
(Microtus). Ecol. Monogr., 28: 79~109.
HooPEl~, E.T. & B.S. HART (1962) A synopsis of recent North American microtine rodents.
Mis. Pub. lY[us. ZooL Univ. Mic[z., 120: I~68.
KALEZA, O. (1957) Regulation of reproduction rate in subarctic populations of the vole Clethrionomys
rufocanus. Ann. Acad. Sci. Fennicae, A, 4: 1~60.
Mi~AO, T., T. Mo~oztr_~i & H. HA~A~WRA (1964)Small mammals on Mt. Yatsugatake in Honshu
IIL Smith's red-backed vole in the subalpine forest zone. Zool. Mag. Japan. 73: 189~195.
MORRIS, R.F. (1955)Population studies on some small forest mammals in eastern Canada.
J. Mature., 36 : 21-35. SOVT~W~eK, C.H. (1955) The population dynamics of confined house mice supplied with unlimited
food. Ecology, 36: 212~225. STICKE~, L.F. & O. WAa~.BACI~ (1960) Small-mammal populations of a Maryland woodlot, 1949~54.
Ecology, 41: 269~286. TANAKa, R. (1956) Fluctuations in vole-populations following the wide spread synchronous flowering
66
of bamboo-grasses on Mt. Turugi. Bull. Kochi Worn. Coll., 4 : 61~68.
TaNAKa, R. (1957) An ecological review of small-mammal outbreaks with special reference to
their association with the flowering of bamboo-grasses. Bull. Kochi Worn. Univ, Ser. Nat.
Sci., 5 : 20~30.
TaNAICA, R. (1980) Some ~eatures in population dynamics of simultaneous vole-outbreaks over
the wide range of Japan in 1959. Bull. Kochi Wom. Univ., Ser. Nat. Sci., 8 : 11~17.
TANAKA, R. (1962) Adrenal analysis for critique of the social s tress theory in natural populations
of a montane vole. Res. Popul. Ecol., 4 : 8~16.
TANAKA, R. (1963) Examination of the routine census equation by considering multiple collisions
with a single-catch t rap in small mammals. Jap. J. Ecol., la : 16~2t.
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