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Practices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad Manschadi

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Page 1: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Practices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to

mitigate climate change impacts

John Lamers and Ahmad Manschadi

Page 2: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Outline

The ZEF/UNESCO project in Khorezm

Contributions of selected agricultural practices to C sequestration and options for reducing greenhouse gas emissions

Some points for discussion

Page 3: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Scope of the ZEZ/UNESCO Project

Resource Use Resource Use TechnologiesTechnologies Social and Economic Social and Economic

ContextContext

Agricultural and Agricultural and Environmental PoliciesEnvironmental Policies

An interdisciplinary research and education project to conceptualize innovative options for

water and land use

Page 4: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

ZEF/UNESCO Project

• Overall goal: restructuring concept

Page 5: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Human capacity building

• PhDs: 50, completed 22 (12 from Uzbekistan)

• MSc. Program: 76 M.Sc.

• 74 Bachelors at UrDU trained

• 12 Post-Docs (6 at ZEF, 1 DLR, 5 in Urgench)

• 3 INTAS Post-Docs in Urgench

• 2 Uzbek Professorships concluded

• 1 junior professorship of the Bosch foundation (5 Ph.D students

• KRASS/NGO

Page 6: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Agriculture and land use: 31% of global greenhouse gas emissions

GHG emissions by sector in 2004, Source: IPCC

Source: Scherr 2009

Page 7: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

agriculture handles 40% of land:

• agriculture is contributing to CC• agriculture is directly affected by

CC • agriculture can mitigate and

adapt to CC

agriculture handles 40% of land:

• agriculture is contributing to CC• agriculture is directly affected by

CC • agriculture can mitigate and

adapt to CC

Agriculture and Climate Change

Reicosky, 2008Reicosky, 2008

Page 8: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Contribution of agriculture to CC

N-Fertilizer Management and global warming

Page 9: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Current N management practice

o Nitrogen is the most yield limiting factor (N-fertiliser → 50% of yield)

o Current N management is based on experimental results

o Farmers follow blue print recommendations

o Nitrogen use efficiency (NUE) ~20-40%

N2O N2O

9

Cotton production zones in Uzbekistan

Page 10: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

CO2 N2OCH4

?

Greenhouse gas emissions from fertilisation in irrigated agriculture

Page 11: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

11

A M J J A S A M J J A S

10

20

30

0

25

50

75

100

100

50

00

25

50

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

Soi

l Tem

pera

ture

[C]

WFP

S [%

]

20062005

Irrigation

irri

gatio

n [m

m d

-1]

N2O

-Flu

x [µ

g N

m-2h-1

]

• 80-95% of the total flux after concomitant irrigation and fertilization

Nitrous oxide emissions from cotton

AN75

AN87.5

AN87.5

AS42

AS42

U115

• 0.9 – 6.5 kg-N2O /ha/season

• 0.5 - 2.6% of the total fertilizer applied

Source: Scheer 2008

Page 12: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

• The emissions can be attributed to

the management practice:

– high fertilizer amounts +

irrigation + high soil

temperature + microbial

activity

=> enhanced denitrification

12

When N emissions do occur?

12

NO3→ NO2 → NO → N2O → N2

Page 13: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Estimated N losses from cotton

13

ATG 2005 ATG 2006 Urdu LI Urdu HI ATC 2005012345678

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180 N

2O (observed)

NO (estimated) N

2 (estimated)

N-f

lux k

g/h

a/s

ea

so

n

• Highest losses: N2

• 40% of the total N-fertilizer applied

Page 14: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

14

2-years (2005/2006)

Different fertilizer/irrigation

5 different land-use systems

Annual cropping systems:•Cotton•Winter wheat •Rice

Perennial land-use systems:•Poplar plantation•Tugai riparian forest

Field measurements (CH4, N2O)

Source: Scheer 2008

Closed chamber system (manually sampled)

Page 15: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

CH4 and N2O emissions in different land-use

15

Rice Winter Cotton Poplar Tugai 0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Wheat

Flu

x C

O 2 E

q. [k

g/h

a/d

ay]

CH4

N2O

15

Page 16: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

CO2

CO2

N losses (gaseous + leached) are

substantial (~20-60% of the amounts

of N applied). This represents an

economic loss of about 36 million

USD for Uzbekistan, annually and a

burden for the environment

Accumulated interpretation

16

Page 17: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Options for effective nitrogen management in cotton, wheat & maize

17

Leaf Color Chart (LCC)- Simple tool - None destructive plant testing - Real-time nitrogen management - Easy to use- Lower accuracy- Inexpensive (1 US$/piece )

SPAD 502 / Chlorophyl meter (€400)- Quick and easy measurements- Sensor-based N management - High accuracy- None destructive plant testing - Real-time nitrogen management- Help to predict the yield potential

Greenseeker (€2,500)

The tools help farmers to determine the right time & rate of N application

Page 18: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Practice

•Slow releasing fertilizers •Coated fertilizers•NH4-based fertilizers•Mulching•Deeper incorporation of fertilisers•Alternative irrigation modes (drip irrigation, fertigation)•Alternative crops (increasing bio-diversity & C4 plants) and rotation and intercropping

Take home messagesTake home messagesScience

Page 19: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Options to mitigate CC Impacts:

Conservation agriculture in irrigated drylands

Page 20: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Worldwide Adoption of CA 2004Worldwide Adoption of CA 2004

Australia 9.0

Rest of the World 4.4

Brazil 23.6

Paraguay 1.7

Argentina 18.3

Total 95.5 millon ha

((millionsmillions ha)ha)

Canada 12.5

USA 25.3

Source: Friedrich 2006

Page 21: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

What about such options in irrigated agriculture?

In collaboration with TIIM, ICARDA/Cimmyt, Cotton Research institute, FAO

Page 22: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Soil conservation agriculture in irrigated agriculture

Pictures by A. Pulatov

Page 23: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Soil conservation agriculture in irrigated agriculture

Pictures by M. Devkota

Cotton on permanent bed after cover crop

Maize on permanent beds after wheat

Wheat on permanent beds after cotton

Page 24: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Benefits of CA

Ergamberdiev, Tursunov

• SOM : significant increase due to mulching and no-till

• Yields not lower than conventional practices but increased due to mulching. Water savings up to 20-30%.

• Reduction machinery use and costs substantial.

• Salinity: significant decrease in the rise of soil salinity

• Seeder can be reproduced in Uzbekistan at low costs: ca. 6.5 million Soum

• Conservation agriculture is an option for the irrigated agriculture to improve soils, provides ecological sustainble agriculture basis, reduce salinity increase, improve farmers income.

Page 25: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

CA and climate change:• adaptation through better drought

tolerance• adaptation through better water

infiltration (less flooding) • mitigation through emission

reductions (fuel, N2O, CH4)

• mitigation through carbon sequestration up to 0.2 t.ha-1.y-1 C

CA and climate change:• adaptation through better drought

tolerance• adaptation through better water

infiltration (less flooding) • mitigation through emission

reductions (fuel, N2O, CH4)

• mitigation through carbon sequestration up to 0.2 t.ha-1.y-1 C

Take home messagesTake home messagesPractice

Science

Page 26: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Options to mitigate CC Impacts:

Trees in irrigated drylands?

Page 27: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Agroforestry Grazingmanagement

Forestmanagement

Croplandmanagement

Po

ten

tial

Car

bo

n S

equ

estr

atio

n b

y 20

40

(Mt

C y

-1)

Carbon sequestration potential of four land use systems

(Source: IPCC, 2000)

Page 28: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

28

AFFORESTATION AS AN ADAPTIVE AND MITIGATING LAND USE STRATEGY

Conversion of the degraded cropland to tree

plantations

Resources saved can be used on productive agricultural land

Environmental services:

Improving soil Nitrogen Carbon sequestration Provision of useful products Amenity and aesthetics

Ecosystem rehabilitation

Page 29: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Bio-amelioration:How our 2 ha field looked in 2004

Soil EC (0-0.4 m) – 5-27 dS m-1

Total N – 0.04-0.06 %Soil organic carbon – 0.72-0.81%

Page 30: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Biodrainage

TimberLeaf fodder

Wood and non-wood benefits

Fruits

Dec

om

po

siti

on

Aesthetic valueRenewable

Energy

Nitrogen fixation

Carbon sequestration

Soil salinity

Soil carbon sequestration

Root development

Page 31: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Including farm forestry and agro forestry Including farm forestry and agro forestry

in Khorezmin Khorezm

C-total-, C-org-, C-ox-content (%) of different land-use systemsC-total-, C-org-, C-ox-content (%) of different land-use systems0-10 cm depth (n=3, Experimental tree plantation: n=12).0-10 cm depth (n=3, Experimental tree plantation: n=12). Bars with same letter are not significantly Bars with same letter are not significantly different according to ANOVA, Tukey test at p<0.05different according to ANOVA, Tukey test at p<0.05/ /

Page 32: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

CARBON SEQUESTRATION IN SOIL AND BIOMASS (5th year of afforestation; 2,300 stems per ha)

32

20% increase in soil organic C, 2-7 t ha-1

10-20 t ha-1 of C sequestered in trees in 5 years

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

E. angustifolia P. euphratica U. pumila

Car

bo

n s

equ

stra

tio

n,

t h

a-1

woody biomass

soil (0-20cm)

140-300 USD ha-1 of potential earnings under CDM

Page 33: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Increased productive capacity of land establishment with

little irrigation

improved soil fertility

financially profitability

AFFORESTATION AS AN ADAPTIVE AND MITIGATING LAND USE STRATEGY

Land use rights for longer periods

Lack of incentives Poor market for

tree products Insufficient

awareness

Page 34: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Mitigation options in the forestry sectorMitigation options in the forestry sector

Mitigation of GHG emissions in the forestry sector Mitigation of GHG emissions in the forestry sector can be achieved through numerous measures, can be achieved through numerous measures,

such as:such as:• Afforestation (enhancing sinks);Afforestation (enhancing sinks);• Reforestation (enhancing sinks);Reforestation (enhancing sinks);• Forest management (enhancing sinks, reducing emissions);Forest management (enhancing sinks, reducing emissions);• Reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation Reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation

(REDD) (reducing emissions);(REDD) (reducing emissions);• Harvested wood product management; Harvested wood product management; • Agroforestry (enhancing sinks); Agroforestry (enhancing sinks); • Use of forestry products for bioenergy to replace fossil fuel use Use of forestry products for bioenergy to replace fossil fuel use

(avoiding or displacing emissions); and(avoiding or displacing emissions); and• Tree species improvement to increase biomass productivity and Tree species improvement to increase biomass productivity and

carbon sequestration (enhancing sinks). carbon sequestration (enhancing sinks).

Page 35: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Bio-amelioration:How our 2 ha field looked in 2004

Soil EC (0-0.4 m) – 5-27 dS m-1

Total N – 0.04-0.06 %Soil organic carbon – 0.72-0.81%

Page 36: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

May 2006

Page 37: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

September 2008

Page 38: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Take home messagesTake home messages

Perennials in farming system Increased C sequestration in soil &

and wood Restoring degraded lands &

watersheds Protecting natural forests &

grasslands Promote carbon markets

PracticeScience

Page 39: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Agriculture directly affected by CC

A Modelling analysis for crop production

Page 40: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Modeling single crop growth

Page 41: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

500

1500

2500

3500

4500

5500

0 50 100 150 200 250

Yie

ld (k

g h

a-1

)

N rate (kg ha-1)

DAP-U-U ® U-U-U DAP-U-U (F) DAP-S-S observed mean

41

Modeling for decision making

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

21.08.06 10.10.06 29.11.06 18.01.07 09.03.07 28.04.07 17.06.07 06.08.07

Био

мас

са, т

/га

Моделлаштирилган

Тажрибада олинган

Page 42: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Fast Graph Output

Page 43: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Implications of changes in climate for agricultural systems

Page 44: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Implications of changes in climate for agricultural systems

Adapting Cropping Systems Management

to Climate Change –

- Modelling Analysis for Wheat production

- Research for elaborating synthetic

wheat (ICARDA/PFU)

Page 45: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Modelling - Translating Climate Change Scenarios onto Crop Productivity Impacts

Crop Model

Inputs:

-Weather data

-CO2 (ppm)

-Management

-Crop species

/ cultivar

Outputs:

-Crop phenology

-Crop yield

-Soil condition

(C, nutrients,

salinity etc.)

Page 46: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Transfer of Technology

Page 47: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Effective transfer of technology requires good understanding of the problemEffective transfer of technology requires good, tested technologies

Developed based on science Cross-checked and practice-tested

Effective transfer of technology requires looking beyond

Transdisciplinary implicationsAccompanying measuresEnabling ‚environment‘

Dissemination of Innovations

Page 48: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

• KRASS (Khorezm Rural Advisory Support Service) is a self-governing, independent, non-governmental organisation.

KRASS for improving rural livelihood

The NGO KRASS was registered finally in November 2008, in the Khorezm region of Uzbekistan but mandated to work throughout the country.

Urgench State University/ZEF UNESCO Khorezm Project Khamid Olimjan street 14, 220100 Urgench, Khorezm Tel: +998 62 224 34 13, Fax: +998 62 224 33 47e-mail: [email protected]: www.KRASS.uz

Page 49: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

More information: www.uni-bonn.de/khorezm

Page 50: P ractices in irrigated agriculture in Uzbekistan that contribute to climate change, and options to mitigate climate change impacts John Lamers and Ahmad

Further take home messages

Thanks you for your attention, but …..

We are not at the table,

But we are on the menu