new capital accord basel ii challenges for the asia-pacific region stephen y.l. cheung department of...

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New Capital Accord Basel II Challenges for the Asia- Pacific Region Stephen Y.L. Cheung Department of Economics and Finance City University of Hong Kong Hong Kong

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Page 1: New Capital Accord Basel II Challenges for the Asia-Pacific Region Stephen Y.L. Cheung Department of Economics and Finance City University of Hong Kong

New Capital Accord Basel IIChallenges for the Asia-Pacific Region

Stephen Y.L. CheungDepartment of Economics and FinanceCity University of Hong KongHong Kong

Page 2: New Capital Accord Basel II Challenges for the Asia-Pacific Region Stephen Y.L. Cheung Department of Economics and Finance City University of Hong Kong

New Capital Accord Basel II

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The New Accord

Three Basic Pillars

Minimum Capital Requirements

Supervisory Review Process

Market Disciple

Weighted Risks Definition of Capital

Credit Risk Operational Risk Market Risk

Standardized Approach (SA)

Internal Ratings Based Approach (IRB)

Foundation Approach

Advanced Approach

Page 3: New Capital Accord Basel II Challenges for the Asia-Pacific Region Stephen Y.L. Cheung Department of Economics and Finance City University of Hong Kong

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Three approaches on credit risk SA – relies on external credit assessments IRB – Internal risk management systems

- Lack of historical data on losses- Absence of benchmark risk weight assessments- IT system- Investment in human resources- Training

How many banks in Asia are ready yet?

Page 4: New Capital Accord Basel II Challenges for the Asia-Pacific Region Stephen Y.L. Cheung Department of Economics and Finance City University of Hong Kong

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Role of external credit rating agencies Few external credit rating agencies in developing

countries

The number of rated firms in G-10 countries is 24 times greater than in low-income countries

International credit rating agencies have to play a greater role

Page 5: New Capital Accord Basel II Challenges for the Asia-Pacific Region Stephen Y.L. Cheung Department of Economics and Finance City University of Hong Kong

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Role of external credit rating agencies Investors overreact to the rapidly revised credit information

Mass withdrawal of capital

Little information on Asian corporations- Poor corporate governance- Lack of transparency- High cost

Creditability of national credit rating agencies

Page 6: New Capital Accord Basel II Challenges for the Asia-Pacific Region Stephen Y.L. Cheung Department of Economics and Finance City University of Hong Kong

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Role of external credit rating agencies Reduction in the flow of capital to developing countries

that tend to be lower-rated

Indonesia, sovereign rating for foreign currency loans below B- faces a loan risk weight of 150%

Singapore are assigned a 0% sovereign risk weight and a low 20% corporate and inter-bank loan risk weight.

Page 7: New Capital Accord Basel II Challenges for the Asia-Pacific Region Stephen Y.L. Cheung Department of Economics and Finance City University of Hong Kong

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Role of external credit rating agencies

Greater transparency and disclosure on the criteria

used in assigning ratings

Consistent with best practice

Page 8: New Capital Accord Basel II Challenges for the Asia-Pacific Region Stephen Y.L. Cheung Department of Economics and Finance City University of Hong Kong

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Challenges for banking sector in the region

Loans secured by non-residential land assets, 100%

capital change

Common practice in many Asian banks

Further inflate capital requirements and may be

detrimental to economic growth.

Lending to SMEs

Page 9: New Capital Accord Basel II Challenges for the Asia-Pacific Region Stephen Y.L. Cheung Department of Economics and Finance City University of Hong Kong

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Challenges for regulators

More emphasis on the supervisory review process

- Human resources

- Training

- Funding

Cross border coordination

Page 10: New Capital Accord Basel II Challenges for the Asia-Pacific Region Stephen Y.L. Cheung Department of Economics and Finance City University of Hong Kong

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Remarks In wake of Enron, WorldCom & co.

- Will this really work?

Regulatory arbitrage

Could we keep it simple

Allow for more room- Capital adequacy ratio when economy needs to slow down

- Capital adequacy ratio when economy needs to expanse

Design a new risk assessment system for S&M banks

Page 11: New Capital Accord Basel II Challenges for the Asia-Pacific Region Stephen Y.L. Cheung Department of Economics and Finance City University of Hong Kong

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Thank you