money still matters aei panel march 22, 2013

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Money Still Matters AEI Panel March 22, 2013 David Beckworth, Western Kentucky University

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Money Still Matters AEI Panel March 22, 2013. David Beckworth, Western Kentucky University. Money Lessons Learned. Traditional View of Money too Narrow Retail Money Assets Cash, checking accounts, saving and time deposits, money market accounts Institutional Money Assets - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Money Still Matters AEI Panel March 22, 2013

Money Still MattersAEI Panel

March 22, 2013David Beckworth, Western Kentucky

University

Page 2: Money Still Matters AEI Panel March 22, 2013

Money Lessons Learned

• Traditional View of Money too NarrowoRetail Money Assets• Cash, checking accounts, saving and time deposits, money market accounts

o Institutional Money Assets• Treasury bills, MBS, commercial paper, repos

Page 3: Money Still Matters AEI Panel March 22, 2013

Money Supply

Page 4: Money Still Matters AEI Panel March 22, 2013

Money Supply

Page 5: Money Still Matters AEI Panel March 22, 2013

Money Supply

Page 6: Money Still Matters AEI Panel March 22, 2013

Money Supply

Page 7: Money Still Matters AEI Panel March 22, 2013

Money Demand

Page 8: Money Still Matters AEI Panel March 22, 2013

Money Demand

Page 9: Money Still Matters AEI Panel March 22, 2013

Long-Term Interest Rates

Page 10: Money Still Matters AEI Panel March 22, 2013

Recap• Supply of Safe Assets Decreased• Demand for Safe Assets

Increased• Safe Asset Shortage • Transaction Asset or Money

Shortage• Shortfall of Total Dollar Spending

Page 11: Money Still Matters AEI Panel March 22, 2013
Page 12: Money Still Matters AEI Panel March 22, 2013

Role for Fed Policy• Return Total Dollar Spending to

Pre-crisis Growth PathoDemand for financial intermediation

will increaseoPrivate safe asset production will

increase• Don’t Target Money Supply

oEven though money still matters…oStable NGDP growth implies stable

monetary conditions

Page 13: Money Still Matters AEI Panel March 22, 2013

Role for Fed Policy

Page 14: Money Still Matters AEI Panel March 22, 2013

Vector Autoregression1968:Q4-2012:Q4

Quarters After Positive Shock to Expected NGDP Growth Rate