maintenance optimization with duration-dependent costs · pdf filewhat is an industrial gas...
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Maintenance
Optimization with
Duration-dependent
Costs
A Case Study in Gas Turbine
Maintenance Optimization
Markus Bohlin1
Mathias Wärja2
1 Swedish Institute of Computer Science AB2 Siemens Industrial Turbomachinery AB
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Outline
• Industrial gas turbines
• Problem definition
• Model
• Evaluation
• Multi-unit maintenance
• Evaluation
• Conclusions
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What is an Industrial Gas Turbine?
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Siemens SGT-800, 47 MW. Siemens Press Image
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Siemens SGT5-8000H, 340 MW. Siemens Press ImageGeneral Electric J85 Jet Engine. Image by Sanjay Acharya,
licensed under Creative Commons Attribution ShareAlike 3.0
Diagram of a typical gas turbine jet engine. Image by Jeff Dahl, licensed under Creative Commons Attribution ShareAlike 3.0
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US Natural Gas Compressor Stations
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• An US compressor station pumps on average approximately 20 million
m3 of natural gas per day.
• Approximately $4 USD per m3
• Natural gas for $80 M USD per day!
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What is Special About Industrial GTs?
Siemens SGT-600 gas
turbine used for
mechanical drive in a
natural gas compressor
station in the Edjeleh
gas field in southwest
Algeria.
If the unit is down, the
pumping capacity of the
compressor station is
lost or is severely
reduced.
This is true for many
gas turbine
applications!
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Siemens Press Image
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Background
• Maintenance planning software for single turbine
– Customer: Siemens Industrial Turbomachinery AB
• Deployed early 2008, used mainly for planning after a
deviation
• Uses search and heuristics to find solutions
• Global CBM project is in deployment phase
– PMOpt used in 2 projects
– Ongoing validation of extended lifetime
• Predicted use is 4-5 operators within 10–15 different
operational contracts
• Room for improvement in optimization model
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Application Interface
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Application Interface
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• Downtime is expensive– The production value can be several million USD per day!
– Manpower is relatively cheap, the main cost driver is the duration of the stops
• The production value varies with time– Price of oil and gas
• There can be opportunities for low-impact
maintenance– Other equipment at site must also be maintained
– Upgrades, etc.
• The predicted lifetime of components change– Condition-based Maintenance
Problem Specifics
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Activity Model
• Maintenance items (i) are divided into phases (p ∈1..P) of activities (with phase duration pi) – Phase examples: dismantling, maintenance, testing, refitting,
warmup and startup.
• Work in each phase is performed in parallel
• Total work duration:
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Activity Model
ShutdownCooling anddismantling Repair Testing Startup
Total work duration:
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Activity Model
R1.1
R2.1
R3.1
R4.1
R5.1
ShutdownCooling anddismantling Repair Testing Startup
R1.3 R1.5
R2.2 R2.5
R3.2 R3.3 R3.4 R3.5
R4.2 R4.3 R4.4 R4.5
R5.2 R5.3 R5.5
R2.4
Total work duration:
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Activity Model
R1.1
R2.1
R3.1
R4.1
R5.1
ShutdownCooling anddismantling Repair Testing Startup
R1.3 R1.5
R2.2 R2.5
R3.2 R3.3 R3.4 R3.5
R4.2 R4.3 R4.4 R4.5
R5.2 R5.3 R5.5
R2.4
Total work duration:
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Activity Model
R1.1
R2.1
R3.1
R4.1
R5.1
ShutdownCooling anddismantling Repair Testing Startup
R1.3 R1.5
R2.2 R2.5
R3.2 R3.3 R3.4 R3.5
R4.2 R4.3 R4.4 R4.5
R5.2 R5.3 R5.5
R2.4
Total work duration:
R2.1 R1.3 R1.5R3.4R4.2
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Downtime Model
• Each maintenance stop can take days or even
weeks
• We must include resting time:
– Each day, a shift works A hours (usually 10 hours)
– Sunday’s are off
• Total downtime (wt is working time at t):
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Downtime Model
R1.1
R2.1
R3.1
R4.1
R5.1
ShutdownCooling anddismantling Repair Testing Startup
R1.3 R1.5
R2.2 R2.5
R3.2 R3.3 R3.4 R3.5
R4.2 R4.3 R4.4 R4.5
R5.2 R5.3 R5.5
R2.4
Total work duration:
Night Night Night Night Night Rest Night Night
Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday Monday Tuesday
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Downtime Model
R1.1
R2.1
R3.1
R4.1
R5.1
ShutdownCooling anddismantling Repair Testing Startup
R1.3 R1.5
R2.2 R2.5
R3.2 R3.3 R3.4 R3.5
R4.2 R4.3 R4.4 R4.5
R5.2 R5.3 R5.5
R2.4
Total work duration:
R2.1 R1.3 R1.5R3.4R4.2Night Night Night Night Night Rest Night Night
Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday Monday Tuesday
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Objective
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Model (1)
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Model (2)
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Experimental Setup 15-year contract, week level
Standard and extended-life schedules
Movement of up to 12 weeks from deadline possible
Mean result of 10 runs
Fix: Downtime fixed at 100 per hour
Var: Downtime cost from N(100,50) per hour
Opp: 10% zero-cost opportunities
Sync: Equal wear for all components
Rnd: Random wear from uniform distribution
Block: Perform maintenance at deadline
Opt: Optimized maintenance
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Total Cost, Standard Life Total Cost, Extended Life
Maintenance Cost, Standard Life Maintenance Cost, Extended Life
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Lost Production, Standard Life Lost Production, Extended Life
Availability, Standard Life Availability, Extended Life
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0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 52
To
tal C
ost
Allowed Movement (weeks)
Sync-Opt
Rnd-Opt
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Varying Allowed Activity Mvmt.
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Standard Life
Varying Prod. Value
10% Opportunities
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0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
50000
2 1,9 1,8 1,7 1,6 1,5 1,4 1,3 1,2 1,1 1
To
tal C
ost
Capacity = Factor of maximum item duration
Sync-Opt
Rnd-Opt
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Varying Duration Limit
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Standard Life
Varying Prod. Value
10% Opportunities
Max 12w. mvmt.
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Activity Inclusion
• Common that activities include each other:
– A major overhaul includes all work in a minor overhaul
– A minor overhaul includes an oil change
– An oil change includes a visual inspection
– A visual inspection includes nothing
• What effect does this have?
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0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
Sync-Ext Rnd-Ext Sync-Std Rnd-Std
To
tal C
ost
Nodeps
Deps
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Effect of Dependencies
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Varying Prod. Value
10% Opportunities
Infinite Mvmt.
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• The system consists of n turbines
• Out of these, k turbines have to work
– Otherwise some production capacity is lost
– Common in oil and gas applications
• High availability due to redundancy
• Redundant turbines in cold standby
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Redundant Gas Turbines
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Multi-Unit Model, k-out-of-n
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31 M. Bohlin
Multi-Unit Model (2)
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• 2-out-of-3 system
• Maintenance of 1 turbine doesn’t cause
downtime
• Plan for 3.25 years
• Max 12 week movement of items
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Experimental Setup
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0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
var var-opp fix fix-opp
Sync-Block
Sync-Opt
Rnd-Block
Rnd-Opt
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Maintenance Cost, Std. life
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0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
var var-opp fix fix-opp
Sync-Block
Sync-Opt
Rnd-Block
Rnd-Opt
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Maintenance Cost, Ext. life
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Effects of Single Failure
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• Maintenance scheduling with downtime-dependent costs
– NP-complete, MIP model based on the Chalmers model
• Single gas turbine
– Actual availability increase 0.5-1.0%
– Cost savings in the order of million dollars per year
– Capacity limits had little impact, inclusion depencies larger impact
• Multiple gas turbines
– Significant effects on maintenance costs
– Small effects on downtime due to redundancy
– Significant effects at disturbances (breakdowns)
• Future work:
– Corrective maintenance and risk levels
– Multi-unit Train Maintenance
Summary
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Thank you for your attention!
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