ipl’s 2008 summer capacity · 2019. 3. 7. · • herman schkabla—director, markets and risk...

21
IPL’s 2008 Summer Capacity Presentation to IURC June 3, 2008 Ann Murtlow—President and CEO

Upload: others

Post on 02-Nov-2020

3 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: IPL’s 2008 Summer Capacity · 2019. 3. 7. · • Herman Schkabla—Director, Markets and Risk • Jake Allen—Team Leader, Mktg & Pgm Mgmt. Presentation Overview • Customer

IPL’s2008 Summer Capacity

Presentation to IURC

June 3, 2008

Ann Murtlow—President and CEO

Page 2: IPL’s 2008 Summer Capacity · 2019. 3. 7. · • Herman Schkabla—Director, Markets and Risk • Jake Allen—Team Leader, Mktg & Pgm Mgmt. Presentation Overview • Customer

Supporting Staff

• Steve Corwell—SVP, Corporate Affairs• Ron Talbot—SVP, Power Supply• Ken Zagzebski—SVP, Customer Operations• Bill Henley—VP, Rates & Regulations• Ken Flora—Director, Regulatory Affairs• Herman Schkabla—Director, Markets and Risk• Jake Allen—Team Leader, Mktg & Pgm Mgmt

Page 3: IPL’s 2008 Summer Capacity · 2019. 3. 7. · • Herman Schkabla—Director, Markets and Risk • Jake Allen—Team Leader, Mktg & Pgm Mgmt. Presentation Overview • Customer

Presentation Overview

• Customer demand assessment• Supply resources • Generation resources• Reserve margins• Customer Demand Response options• Energy efficiency programs• Future Opportunities and Challenges

Page 4: IPL’s 2008 Summer Capacity · 2019. 3. 7. · • Herman Schkabla—Director, Markets and Risk • Jake Allen—Team Leader, Mktg & Pgm Mgmt. Presentation Overview • Customer

IPL Historical Summer Peaks

2004 2005 2006 2007 MW * 2,915 3,118 3,116 3,139 Date July 22 July 25 July 31 August 8Hour 4:00 PM 4:00 PM 4:00 PM 3:00 PMTemp. 88°F 95°F 93°F 94°F

*Net Demand

Customer Demand Assessment

Page 5: IPL’s 2008 Summer Capacity · 2019. 3. 7. · • Herman Schkabla—Director, Markets and Risk • Jake Allen—Team Leader, Mktg & Pgm Mgmt. Presentation Overview • Customer

IPL 2008 Summer Projected Peaks (MW)

June July August

Total Demand 3,066 3,197 3,156

Demand Response 96 96 96

Net Demand 2,970 3,101 3,060

Customer Demand Assessment

Page 6: IPL’s 2008 Summer Capacity · 2019. 3. 7. · • Herman Schkabla—Director, Markets and Risk • Jake Allen—Team Leader, Mktg & Pgm Mgmt. Presentation Overview • Customer

Supply Resources 2008 (MW)

IPL-Owned Generation 3,353Perry K (CTE) 5Capacity Purchases 200Scrubber Options 27Total Supply Resources 3,585

Supply Resources

Page 7: IPL’s 2008 Summer Capacity · 2019. 3. 7. · • Herman Schkabla—Director, Markets and Risk • Jake Allen—Team Leader, Mktg & Pgm Mgmt. Presentation Overview • Customer

IPL Generation

Unit Type Fuel MW %Steam Turbine Coal 2,651 79.1%Steam Turbine Oil 148 4.4%Combustion Turbine Oil 60 1.8%Combustion Turbine Gas 316 9.4%Combustion Turbine Dual (oil/gas) 164 4.9%Generator Diesel 14 0.4%

3,353

Generation Resources

Page 8: IPL’s 2008 Summer Capacity · 2019. 3. 7. · • Herman Schkabla—Director, Markets and Risk • Jake Allen—Team Leader, Mktg & Pgm Mgmt. Presentation Overview • Customer

Equivalent Forced Outage Rate (EFOR)—Coal-Fired Units

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

2005 2006 2007

Perc

enta

ge (%

) EFO

R

June, July, August Full Year NERC average

EFOR is an industry measure that represents the effect on unit reliability due to unit forced outages and/or unplanned derates.

2007 NERC 5 yr average EFOR of 6.71% is used

Page 9: IPL’s 2008 Summer Capacity · 2019. 3. 7. · • Herman Schkabla—Director, Markets and Risk • Jake Allen—Team Leader, Mktg & Pgm Mgmt. Presentation Overview • Customer

Supply Resources vs. Projected Peak Load

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

June July August

Meg

awat

ts

Res

ourc

es

Res

ourc

es

Res

ourc

es

Load

Load

Load

Reserve Margin (MW) 515 484 475

Reserve Margin (%) 17.3% 15.6% 15.5%

Reserve Margins

Page 10: IPL’s 2008 Summer Capacity · 2019. 3. 7. · • Herman Schkabla—Director, Markets and Risk • Jake Allen—Team Leader, Mktg & Pgm Mgmt. Presentation Overview • Customer

Reserve MarginsSummer 2008

June July August

IPL Reserve Margin % 17.3% 15.6% 15.5%Reliability First % 28.9% 20.1% 24.0%MISO % 31.7% 21.6% 22.8%PJM % 31.7% 21.8% 28.5%

Reserve Margins

Page 11: IPL’s 2008 Summer Capacity · 2019. 3. 7. · • Herman Schkabla—Director, Markets and Risk • Jake Allen—Team Leader, Mktg & Pgm Mgmt. Presentation Overview • Customer

Capacity Margin vs. Forward Market PricesECAR/RFC(2008)

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

18.0%

20.0%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 20080

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

$

ECAR/RFC % Capacity Margin July/Aug 5X16 Forward Market Prices ($)

Reserve Margins

Page 12: IPL’s 2008 Summer Capacity · 2019. 3. 7. · • Herman Schkabla—Director, Markets and Risk • Jake Allen—Team Leader, Mktg & Pgm Mgmt. Presentation Overview • Customer

-

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

$/m

mbt

u

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

$

Jul/Aug Avg Natural Gas $/mmbtuJul/Aug 5X16 Forward Market Prices ($)

Natural Gas vs. Forward Market Prices

Reserve Margins

Page 13: IPL’s 2008 Summer Capacity · 2019. 3. 7. · • Herman Schkabla—Director, Markets and Risk • Jake Allen—Team Leader, Mktg & Pgm Mgmt. Presentation Overview • Customer

Customer Demand Response OptionsSummer Demand Impacts (MW)

P ro je c t e d

2008

Real-time interruptible 13Customer-owned generation 34Other interruptible 27Air Conditioning Load Mgmt 22Total 96

Demand Response Options

Page 14: IPL’s 2008 Summer Capacity · 2019. 3. 7. · • Herman Schkabla—Director, Markets and Risk • Jake Allen—Team Leader, Mktg & Pgm Mgmt. Presentation Overview • Customer

Demand Response-ACLM “CoolCents”

Demand Impact (MW)

05

1015202530

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Meg

awat

ts

Proj

ectio

n

Demand Response Options

Page 15: IPL’s 2008 Summer Capacity · 2019. 3. 7. · • Herman Schkabla—Director, Markets and Risk • Jake Allen—Team Leader, Mktg & Pgm Mgmt. Presentation Overview • Customer

Energy Efficiency Programs• Residential

– Income qualified weatherization– High efficiency heat pump and air conditioner incentives– Energy efficiency education– Renewable energy education

• IPL is conducting a Market Potential Study – IPL is working with Citizens Gas to develop some joint programs– Future energy efficiency programs will likely include more residential

and small C&I customers

• Indiana Housing and Community Development Agency (IHCDA) Income Qualified Projects– Leveraging IPL’s money with IHCDA and Citizens Gas

Energy Efficiency

Page 16: IPL’s 2008 Summer Capacity · 2019. 3. 7. · • Herman Schkabla—Director, Markets and Risk • Jake Allen—Team Leader, Mktg & Pgm Mgmt. Presentation Overview • Customer

Utility Scale Energy Storage Project

• 2-1MW advanced technology batteries housed in 2 portable semi trailers.

• AES project designed to support grid frequency • Designed to deliver 2MW for 15 minutes• Batteries built by Altair Nanotechnologies, Inc. in

Anderson IN• Proof of concept took place earlier this year at IPL’s

Glenns Valley Substation.• Batteries shipped to AES plant on East coast for

participation in PJM ancillary services market.

Battery modules in one of two semi trailers at IPL’s GlennsValley Substation

Future Opportunities

Page 17: IPL’s 2008 Summer Capacity · 2019. 3. 7. · • Herman Schkabla—Director, Markets and Risk • Jake Allen—Team Leader, Mktg & Pgm Mgmt. Presentation Overview • Customer

Net Metering and Renewable Demos

• Net Metering—Continued increase in customer interest with 3 new customers in 2007

• Renewable Energy Demonstration Projects– Wind demonstration projects with KIB

and the Indiana State Fair– 4 schools placed solar projects in-service

in 2007

Future Opportunities

Page 18: IPL’s 2008 Summer Capacity · 2019. 3. 7. · • Herman Schkabla—Director, Markets and Risk • Jake Allen—Team Leader, Mktg & Pgm Mgmt. Presentation Overview • Customer

New Wind Customers

• 50 kW wind turbine• The Time Factory (62nd

and Guion Rd—Indianapolis)

• Placed in-service in late April 2008

• We are working with the City of Carmel on a potential installation

Future Opportunities

Page 19: IPL’s 2008 Summer Capacity · 2019. 3. 7. · • Herman Schkabla—Director, Markets and Risk • Jake Allen—Team Leader, Mktg & Pgm Mgmt. Presentation Overview • Customer

Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEV)

• Conversion of 2 Toyota Prius Hybrids

• IPL responsible for public awareness campaign and grid impact study

• Project funded by grant from Indiana OED

• Cars to be converted and on the road by end of Summer

Future Opportunities

Page 20: IPL’s 2008 Summer Capacity · 2019. 3. 7. · • Herman Schkabla—Director, Markets and Risk • Jake Allen—Team Leader, Mktg & Pgm Mgmt. Presentation Overview • Customer

Helping customers make better energy decisions

• IPL is rolling out a new web-based PowerView software– C&I customers can now access and view their energy use

profiles on line– Roll out includes customer training sessions where

customers:• Learn how to use PowerView software• See and understand the financial effects demand,

power factor and energy consumption have on their bills

– Customers are already making changes to reduce their energy bills using PowerView

Page 21: IPL’s 2008 Summer Capacity · 2019. 3. 7. · • Herman Schkabla—Director, Markets and Risk • Jake Allen—Team Leader, Mktg & Pgm Mgmt. Presentation Overview • Customer

Summary• IPL projects a 0.6% increase in the 2008

summer peak vs. 2007• IPL is well positioned to serve our customers

this summer, particularly due to increases in our generating capacity

• We are also taking steps to be prepared for summers to come