interstellar flight: discovering the limits of the possible

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Interstellar Flight: Discovering the Limits of the Possible Kelvin F. Long [email protected] Executive Director Institute for Interstellar Studies Chief Editor, Journal of the British Interplanetary Society Presented at UKSEDS, University of Bristol, England, February 2013

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Kelvin Long / Initiative for Interstellar Studies / Interstellar Flight: Discovering the Limits of the Possible

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Page 1: Interstellar Flight: Discovering the Limits of the Possible

Interstellar Flight: Discovering the Limits of the Possible

Kelvin F. Long [email protected]

Executive Director Institute for Interstellar Studies

Chief Editor, Journal of the British Interplanetary Society

Presented at UKSEDS, University of Bristol, England, February 2013

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Contents

• The British Interplanetary Society

• Interstellar Studies

• The Institute for Interstellar Studies

2

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The British Interplanetary Society

3

www.bis-space.com

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The British Interplanetary Society

4

www.bis-space.com

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BIS (from imagination to reality)

5

THE IMAGINATION WALL THE REALITY WALL

BRITISH

INTERPLANETARY

SOCIETY

(DOMAIN) Ideas

Conjecture

Creativity

Concepts

Stories

Solutions

philosophy

Industry

Academia

Government

Inventions

Technologies

Spin-offs

careers

SPIN-IN SPIN-OUT

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BIS Projects (Imagination to Reality)

6

BIS Project Megaroc (1946) NASA Project Mercury-Redstone (1960-61)

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BIS Projects (Imagination to Reality)

7

Ross, H, “Lunar Space Suit”, Jbis, 9, 1, January 1950.

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BIS Project KickSat

9

Project KickSat is an initiative of Zac Manchester, Cornell

University, USA and the BIS are launching a fleet of ChipSats or

Sprites into Earth orbit. RECRUITS NEEDED!!

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BIS Project 2033 (NEW Launch)

10

What is the state of space exploration in the year 2033?

Are you the next visionary?

Send us your submission RECRUITS NEEDED!!

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Alpha Centauri Prize (New)

11

RECRUITS NEEDED!!

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BIS Project STARDROP (New Launch)

12

A project to design a 10 GW Solar Collector station in space capable of

delivering energy to a space habitat at the L5 point.

RECRUITS NEEDED!!

Solar Thermal Amplified Radiation

Dynamic Relay of Orbiting Power

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Standard Aerospace Engineering

Credit: NASA

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Extreme Aerospace Engineering

Credit: Adrian Mann

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Credit: David A Hardy

“Imagining” Starships

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Motivations

Arthur C Clarke

“I can never look now at the Milky Way without wondering from

which of those banked clouds of stars the emissaries are

coming…I do not think we will have to wait for long”.

Sir Arthur C. Clarke

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The Size of Space and Beyond

• Barred spiral galaxy

• 100-400 billion stars

• Oldest 13.2 billion years

• 1×1012Msun

• 200 million years to rotate

• 27kLY to the centre from the Sun

• 1MLY Diameter

• 1kLY thick

• Even if we could travel at the speed of light, would take 27,000 years to reach Galactic centre and would take 1 millions years for any starship to cross entire galaxy, or 1,000 years to penetrate galactic thickness.

• Implications for Fermi Paradox: A statement on the apparent contradiction between our theoretical expectations for intelligent life in the Universe and our observations.

17

The Milky Way galaxy

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Voyager 1

• Launched 1977

• Currently at around 120 AU distance

• 1AU = 1.496×1011 m, so Voyager at 1.795×1013m. Light travels at 3×108 m/s, so Voyager at 59,840 s, 997 minutes or 16.62 light hours away.

• Travelling at 17.4 km/s or 3.67 AU/year, which is 0.0058%c.

• So would take 74,138 years to reach Alpha Centauri if it was pointing that way.

• Conclusion: We need to go faster and further.

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Interstellar Studies (1952)

20

Shepherd, L, “Interstellar Flight”, JBIS, 11, 1952.

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Interstellar Books

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Fundamental Requirements

• Energy: 1018 – 1020 J

• Power: 10s - 100s GW

• Cost $billions - $trillions

• Mission Time: 50 – 100s years

• Cruise Velocity: 2,000 – 3,000 AU/year

• Exhaust Velocity: 8,000 – 10,000 km/s

• Acceleration: 0.01 < g < 1

• Distance: 4 < LY < 20

• Unmanned Robotic Flyby Probe

• Unmanned Robotic Flyby Return Probe

• Unmanned Robotic Orbital Probe

• Crewed Minimum Return Ship

• Crewed Small Colony Ship

• Crewed Large World Ship

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Advanced Space Propulsion

• Electric

• Nuclear Electric

• Laser Thermal

• Solar Thermal

• Nuclear Thermal

• Plasma Drives

• EM Mass Drivers

• Particle Beamers

• Solar Sails

• Laser Sails

• Microwave Beam Sails

• Fission

• Fission/Fusion

• Fusion

• External Nuclear Pulse

• Antimatter Catalysed Fusion

• Interstellar Ramjets

• Negative Energy

• Space Drives

• Warp Drives

• Worm Holes

• Time Machines

23

Physics Engineering Economics

√ √ √

The technology readiness maturity distinguishes

between ‘imagination’ and ‘reality’, conjecture and

application.

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Energy Sources for Starships

24

• Chemical: 0.000001 unit, ~13 MJ/kg

• Nuclear Fission: ×1unit, ~82 million MJ/kg

• Nuclear Fusion: ×10 units, ~347 million MJ/kg

• Nuclear Fission/Fusion

• Antimatter Catalysed Fusion

• Antimatter: ×1,000 unit, 90 billion MJ/kg

• Propellantless Solutions • Solar Sails

• Laser Sails

• Interstellar Ramjets

• Space Drives & Metric Drives • Vacuum Energy

• Dark Energy

• Negative Energy

• Warp Drives

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The Physics of Nuclear Fusion

25

• Sun confines fusion plasma by gravitational field. • Tokamak uses magnetic field to confine plasma. • ICF uses inertial mass of material to confine plasma. • Balance of compression & ignition to deliver fusion energy

to engine. • Ideal reactions: D(T,He4)n (radioactive) D(He3,He4)p

(charged particle, minimal shielding required).

• D + T He4(3.52MeV) + n(14.06MeV)

• D + D T(1.01MeV) + p(3.03MeV)

• D + D He3(0.82MeV) +n(2.45MeV)

• D + He3 He4(3.67MeV) + p(14.67MeV)

• Li6 + n T + He4 + 4.8MeV

• Li7 + n T + He4 + n - 2.5MeV

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Fusion Triple Product (Lawson Criteria)

26

sKeVmTn 32110 For ~10keV plasma

smn 32010 Confinement n

Inertial ~1023cm-3 <1ns

Magnetic 10-6cm-3 ~few sec

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National Ignition Facility (US)

27

• Neodymium glass laser

• Started operation 2009.

• 192 beams

• Deliver 1.8MJ to target.

• Potential output power 20MJ for ns but could be high as 45MJ.

• Achievable gains >10.

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Project Daedalus (BIS, 1973-1978)

28

Credit: Adrian Mann

Bond, A et al., “Project Daedalus”, Final

Study Report, JBIS Special Supplement,

1978.

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Project Daedalus (BIS, 1973-1978)

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31 Credit: Adrian Mann

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32 Credit: Adrian Mann

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Project Longshot (1988)

Beals, K.A et al., Projecty Longshot, An Unmanned Probe to Alpha Centauri, N89-16904, 1988.

Credit: Christian Darkin

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Project Orion (1950s-1060s)

34

Dyson, F, Interstellar Transport,

Physics Today, 21, 10, October 1968.

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35 Credit: David Hardy

Enzmann Colony Starship (1960s)

Crowl, A, “The Enzmann Starship: History &

Engineering Appraisal”, JBIS, 65, 6, June

2012.

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World Ships

36

Martin, A.R, World Ships – Concept, Cause, Cost, Construction and Colonisation, JBIS, 37, pp.243-253, pp.243-253, June 1984.

Bond, A & A.R.Martin, World Ships – An Assessment of the Engineering Feasibility, JBIS, 37, pp.254-266, pp.254-266, June 1984.

Credit: Adrian Mann

World Ships (1980s)

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Space Infrastructure (Skylon)

Credit: Adrian Mann and Reaction Engines Ltd

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STARWISP (1984)

Credit: Mark A.Garlick

1984: Starwisp: An Ultra-Light Interstellar Probe, J.Spacecraft & Rockets, 21, May-June, pp.345-350, Robert L. Forward.

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Interstellar Ramjet (1960)

39 Credit: Adrian Mann

Bussard, R.W, “Galactic Matter & Interstellar

Flight”, Astronautica Acta, 6, Fasc.4,1960.

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1963: Carl Sagan & Relativistic Flight

22 /1 cv

mm o

rel

2

1

21cosh

2

c

Sa

a

ct n

n

Sagan, C, “Direct Contact Among Galactic Civilizations by Relativistic Interstellar Spaceflight”, Planet.Space Sci, Vol, 11, 1963.

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41

Breakthrough Propulsion Physics (1994)

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Warp Drive Physics

42

22222 ]))(()([ dzdydttrftvdxdtds ss

Alcubierre, M, The Warp Drive: Hyper-Fast Travel within General Relativity, Class.Quantum Grav, 11-5, L73-L77, 1994.

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NASA Breakthrough Propulsion Physics Project

43

1996 - 2002 Three visionary breakthroughs were identified:

(1) Mass: propulsion that requires no propellant

(2) Speed: propulsion that circumvents existing speed limits (3) Energy: breakthrough methods of energy production to power such devices.

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Project Icarus Pathfinder (1,000 AU) and Starfinder (10,000 AU) Concepts

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Building an Interstellar Society

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• Political

• Economic

• Business

• Socio/cultural

• Philosophical

• (e.g. religious)

• Psychological

• Legal

• Scientific

• Technological

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The Emergence of “Interstellar Studies”

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• Ideas

• Imagination

• Conjecture

• Science Fiction

• Feasibility

• Problem Scoping

• Constraints

• Requirements

• Concepts

• Designs

• Inventions

• Mission Architectures

• Propulsion Specific

• Sub-systems

Requirements

• Books

• Documentaries

• Films

• Articles

• Papers

• Projects

• BIS

• TZF

• Icarus Interstellar

• 100YSS

• I4IS

• Organisation

• Co-ordination

• Co-operation

• Friendly Competition

• Programmatics

• Strategic Roadmaps

• Technology Roadmaps

• Mission Demonstrations

• Infrastructure

• Funding

“To the Stars…”

“…but with a Plan”

1950s

1980s

1990s

1960s

1970s

2000s

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The seeds of an Idea

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I4IS Logo

52

“Scientia ad sidera”

Knowledge to the Stars

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Mission & Vision

53

• Mission Statement:

"The mission of the Institute for Interstellar Studies is to foster and promote education, knowledge and technical capabilities which lead to designs, technologies or enterprise that will enable the construction and launch of interstellar spacecraft."

• Vision Statement:

"We aspire towards an optimistic future for humans on Earth and in space. Our bold vision is to be an organisation which is central to catalysing the conditions in society over the next century to enable robotic and human exploration of the frontier beyond our Solar System and to other stars, as part of a long-term enduring strategy and towards a sustainable space-based economy.

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Web Sites

54

www.I4IS.org www.interstellarindex.com

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I4IS Newsletter: Principium

55

Editor: Keith Cooper

Production: Adrian Mann

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Business Model

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Educational Academy

• Purpose: To build the knowledge and people capability

• 3 internal students

• 4 ISU Msc students: • James Harpur, “design of 100 kg interstellar probe”

• Piotr Murzionak, design of an 550-1000 AU interstellar precursor mission”

• Wei Wang, Review of deceleration options for an interstellar probe”

• Eric Franks, “Agricultural methods for microgravity environments”.

57

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Research & Development

58

• CATSTAR

• OAKTREE

• Bussard

• SENTINEL

• Quantum Light

• Unruh

• BAIR

• Casimir

• GeV

• Purpose: To conduct the fundamental research, solve the problems, derive solutions, insights and designs.

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Enterprise

59

• Purpose: To develop and spin-out the technology developments as innovations, business or enterprise.

• Similar to the Stanford University model of the 1940s and 1950s when dean of engineering Frederick Terman encouraged faculty and graduates to start their own companies, e.g. Hewlett-Packard, Varian Associates…Silicon Valley

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Project OAKTREE

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Project Bussard

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Project SENTINEL

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Project Quantum Light

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Project Unruh

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Project BAIR

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Project Casimir

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Project GeV

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CATSTAR PROGRAM

1. Physics

Principles

Understood

(~$100s)

2. Physics

Principles

Validated

(~$1000s)

3. Engineering

Ground

Demonstration

(~$10,000s)

4. Orbital

System

Demonstrator

(~$100,000s)

5. Mission

Appication

(~$1000,000s)

CubeSat Architecture Tests for Space Technology And Readiness

Goal: To design

concepts and build

missions cheaply which

can demonstrate

interstellar related

technologies using

CubeSat and smaller

devices, related

architectures.

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www.i4is.org

“Travel to the stars will be difficult and expensive. It will take decades of time, GW of power, kg of mass-energy and trillions of dollars…interstellar travel will always be difficult and expensive, but it can no longer be considered impossible”. Dr Robert Forward, 1996.