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INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT 1 Economic Valuation of Environmental of Impacts Session 5 Nathalie Olsen

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INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT1

Economic Valuation of

Environmental of Impacts

Session 5

Nathalie Olsen

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT2

Where are we?Purpose / category

Tools

Environmental assessment Trend analysis Problem analysis Dose-response relations Cause-effect chains Environmental impact matrix Life cycle analysis Risk assessment Identification of key sustainability issues Environmental problem analysis and root causes

Social assessment Poverty assessment Socio-economic analysis Poverty analysis and root causes Stakeholder analysis and mapping Gender analysis

Economic assessment Cost -benefit analysis Regression analysis Scenario development Input-output table Gross margin analysis Partial equilibrium model Contingent valuation

Integrative assessment Comparative trend analysis Partial equilibrium model Inter-sectoral cause-effect chains Environmental valuation methods Options appraisal Multi-criteria analysis Comparative risk assessment Vision development Scenario development

Sustainability assessment Sustainability indicators Sustainability standards Sustainability frameworks

. Participatory process Participatory Rural Appraisal – PRA Stakeholder workshop Steering committee or technical committee Focus group discussions Key informant interviews Collective expert judgement Involving key stakeholder groups

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT3

Aim of the Session

• To introduce economic valuation and to place it into context in the IAP process

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT4

• What is economic valuation? • Why is economic valuation important?• Techniques for economic valuation

– Market-based techniques– Travel Cost Method– Hedonic Methods– Contingent Valuation– Benefit transfer

• Limitations of economic valuation

Overview of topics for this session

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT5

What is economic valuation?

• Attempts to quantify and express in monetary terms the full value of environmental resources

• For private goods, prices reflect relative scarcity and people’s willingness to pay

• Prices for environmental goods do not exist or do not reflect full value of resource

• Nature of environmental goods and services– Not well-defined (ecological functions)– Unclear property rights (fish stocks, groundwater)– Public goods (clean air)

• Economic values need to be derived

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT6

Why is monetary valuation important?

• Planning process is influenced by economic analysis (CBA)

• Goods and services which have quantities and prices can be taken into account in decision-making process

• Economic valuation helps to bring the environment into decision-making process

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT7

Total Economic Value

• Use values– Direct use (timber, other forest products)– Indirect use (ecological functions)– Option value (WTP to conserve for future use)

• Non-use values– Existence value (WTP to know an asset exists)– Bequest value (WTP to pass on asset to next

generation)

• TEV = Direct Use Value + Indirect Use Value + Option Value + Existence Value

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT8

Some basic concepts for cost-benefit analysis

• Economic versus financial analysis– Shadow pricing (including externalities)– Discounting– Time horizon

• With and without project/policy scenarios

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT9

Steps to link environmental impacts with their valuation

• Based on an environmental assessment - physical indicators

• List all environmental issues to be examined in the planning process

• Set priorities based on which issues are most important for most stakeholders

• Quantify in physical terms the impact/damage

• Identify which impacts/damages could be valued in monetary terms

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT10

Techniques to place monetary values on environmental impacts

• Market based methods– Production function approach– Cost of illness approach– Cost-based approaches

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT11

Production function approach

• The environment is an input into the production of a marketed good

• Based on damage function which relates cause (soil erosion) to effect/damage (reduced soil fertility)

• Applicability: deforestation, wetland and reef destruction, water pollution in agricultural and fisheries

• Measures ‘use’ value of resources

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT12

Costs and Benefits of Rainforest Conservation in Cameroon

Cost of conservation project Present values, million CFA (1989

prices)

  

  Resource costs -4,475

Foregone forest benefits – Timber 

-353

Foregone forest benefits – forest products 

-223

Total costs   -5,051

Benefits of conservation project

Direct use Use of forest products +354

  Tourism +680

Indirect use Protection of fisheries +1,770

  Flood control +265

Soil productivity +130

Total benefits +3,199

Net benefits to Cameroon at 8% discount rate

-1,852

Economic rate of return 6.2%

Net benefits to Cameroon at 6% discount rate

+319

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT13

Cost of Illness Approach (1)

• Costs of air/water pollution estimated by looking at costs of human health impact

• Dose-response function identifies relationship between level of pollutant and degree of health effect (water quality and diarrhoea)

• Value health effect based on cost of illness, including– cost of medicine, doctors visits, hospital stays,

other incidental expenses– Loss of earnings due to illness

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT14

Cost of Illness Approach (2)

• Applicability:– Value health costs of water and air pollution

• Limitations– Dose-response functions not available locally– Does not measure WTP to avoid illness

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT15

Cost-based approaches

• Opportunity cost approach

• Cost effectiveness analysis

• Replacement cost approach

• Defensive expenditure approach

• Limitations:– Costs significantly underestimates benefits– Use when not possible to quantify benefits

• Applicability– When benefits are very difficult to value

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT16

Opportunity Cost Approach

• Uses CBA and market prices to estimate benefits of alternative use of resource

• Cost of conservation = foregone income from alternative use of land

• Application: resources for which difficult to quantify benefits such as – Tropical forests, wildlife sanctuaries,

cultural/historical sites

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT17

Replacement Cost Approach

• Estimates the costs required to replace damaged resource or to restore damaged resource to original state

• Applicability:– When remedial action must be taken to meet a

standard (air or water quality)– When environmental effect requires expenditure to

replace natural asset (roads, dams, soil, water)

• Limitations:– Assumes complete replacement or restoration is

possible

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT18

Cost-effectiveness analysis

• Choose the most cost-effective means of reaching a pre-set target

• Applicability: – Social programmes (health and population)

• Examples:– maximum level of exposure to a waterborne disease agent

– emission standard for industrial facilities

• Limitations:– Compares alternative means of reaching target, but can not

identify whether alternative are all too costly

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT19

Defensive/Preventative Expenditure

• People act to pre-empt damage • Expenditures provide estimate of minimum valuation of

potential damage to health or environment• Applicability:

– Assess demand for public services (water supply, electricity, rubbish collection)

• Example: – to assess demand for urban water supply project, look at how much

people pay for water from other sources to avoid exposure to water-borne pathogens

• Provides lower-bound estimate of social benefits of public services

• Limitations:– There must be no secondary benefits to expenditure

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT20

Travel Cost Method

• Uses expenditures (transport costs and time) to reach a site to estimate willingness to pay

• Application:– recreational areas, national parks, historic/cultural

sites– time spent collecting fuel wood and water

• Limitations:– Requires survey, skills– Measures only use value

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT21

Travel cost method – Viewing Value of Elephants, Kenya

• Survey of tourists and expenditures at national park

• Results:– tourists were willing to pay an extra $20-24

million per year to ensure that they saw elephants – Information used to set park admission prices– Revenue from parks could be far greater than

revenues from ivory trade and other uses of land

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT22

Hedonic Methods Approach

• Uses market price of a good to estimate the value of an environmental attribute which is embedded in the price of the marketed good

• Example: house (size, construction, location, environmental and aesthetic attributes, e.g. clean air)

• Application– property prices and air pollution/aesthetic traits and access to

water supply and rubbish collection– Job markets and risks to life

• Limitations: – requires survey, lots of data, economic theory/econometrics– Relies on existence of properly functioning land/property

and labour market

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT23

Contingent valuation

• Ask individuals what they are WTP for a change in environmental attribute

• Based on hypothetical market• Requires that respondents understand well the good

they are being offered and that they answer truthfully• Application:

– Changes in the provision of public services – Only method to measure existence value

• Limitations– Requires rigorous survey, economic skills– Due to hypothetical nature, subject to many biases

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT24

Benefit transfer

• A valuation estimate for the same/similar environmental good from another location is used as a rough approximation locally

• Application:– Value of recreational and protected areas– Dose-response functions for impact of air and

water pollution on health– Damage functions for agriculture (soil erosion)

• Limitations: studies must exist, differences must be adjusted for

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT25

Limitations of valuation

• Income distribution

• Intergenerational equity

• Risk and uncertainty (unknown thresholds)

• Irreversibility (unknown future uses)

• Large margin of error

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT AND PLANNING FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT26

Choosing Valuation Techniques