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    SummaryHuman DevelopmentReport 2013

    The Rise of the South:

    Human Progress in a Diverse World

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    Copyright 2013

    by the United Nations Development Programme1 UN Plaza, New York, NY 10017, USA

    All rights reserved. No part o this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted, in any orm or by any

    means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without prior permission.

    Printed in Canada by Lowe-Martin Group on Forest Stewardship Council certifed and elemental chlorine-ree papers. Printed using

    vegetable-based inks and produced by means o environmentally compatible technologies.

    Editing and production: Communications Development Incorporated, Washington DC

    Design: Melanie Doherty Design, San Francisco, CA

    For a list o any errors or omissions ound subsequent to printing, please visit our website at http://hdr.undp.org

    Human Development Report 2013 team

    Director and lead authorKhalid Malik

    Research and statisticsMaurice Kugler (Head o Research), Milorad Kovacevic (Chie Statistician), Subhra Bhattacharjee, Astra Bonini, Cecilia

    Caldern, Alan Fuchs, Amie Gaye, Iana Konova, Arthur Minsat, Shivani Nayyar, Jos Pineda and Swarnim Wagl

    Communications and publishingWilliam Orme (Chie o Communications), Botagoz Abdreyeva, Carlotta Aiello, Eleonore Fournier-Tombs, Jean-Yves

    Hamel, Scott Lewis and Samantha Wauchope

    National Human Development ReportsEva Jespersen (Deputy Director), Christina Hackmann, Jonathan Hall, Mary Ann Mwangi and Paola Pagliani

    Operations and administrationSarantuya Mend (Operations Manager), Ekaterina Berman, Diane Bouopda, Mamaye Gebretsadik and Fe Juarez-Shanahan

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    Summary

    Hmn Dvpmn Rpr 2013

    Th Ris th Sth:

    Hmn Prgrss in Divrs Wrd

    Empowered lives.

    Resilient nations.

    Published or the

    United Nations

    Development

    Programme

    (UNDP)

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    Frwrd

    Te 2013 Human Development Report, Te

    Rise of the South: Human Progress in a DiverseWorld, looks at the evolving geopolitics o ourtimes, examining emerging issues and trendsand also the new actors which are shaping thedevelopment landscape.

    Te Report argues that the striking trans-ormation o a large number o developingcountries into dynamic major economies withgrowing political inuence is having a signi-cant impact on human development progress.

    Te Report notes that, over the last decade,all countries accelerated their achievements in

    the education, health, and income dimensionsas measured in the Human Development Index(HDI)to the extent that no country orwhich data was available had a lower HDI val-ue in 2012 than in 2000. As aster progress wasrecorded in lower HDI countries during thisperiod, there was notable convergence in HDIvalues globally, although progress was unevenwithin and between regions.

    Looking specically at countries which liedtheir HDI value substantially between 1990and 2012 on both the income and non-income

    dimensions o human development, the Reportexamines the strategies which enabled them toperorm well. In this respect, the 2013 Reportmakes a signicant contribution to develop-ment thinking by describing specic drivers odevelopment transormation and by suggestinguture policy priorities that could help sustainsuch momentum.

    By 2020, according to projections devel-oped or this Report, the combined economicoutput o three leading developing countriesaloneBrazil, China and Indiawill surpass

    the aggregate production o Canada, France,Germany, Italy, the United Kingdom and theUnited States. Much o this expansion is beingdriven by new trade and technology partner-ships within the South itsel, as this Report alsoshows.

    A key message contained in this and previousHuman Development Reports, however, is thateconomic growth alone does not automaticallytranslate into human development progress.Pro-poor policies and signicant investments

    in peoples capabilitiesthrough a ocus on ed-

    ucation, nutrition and health, and employmentskillscan expand access to decent work andprovide or sustained progress.

    he 2013 Report identiies our speciicareas o ocus or sustaining developmentmomentum: enhancing equity, including onthe gender dimension; enabling greater voiceand participation o citizens, including youth;conronting environmental pressures; and man-aging demographic change.

    Te Report also suggests that as global de-velopment challenges become more complex

    and transboundary in nature, coordinatedaction on the most pressing challenges o ourera, whether they be poverty eradication, cli-mate change, or peace and security, is essential.As countries are increasingly interconnectedthrough trade, migration, and inormationand communications technologies, it is nosurprise that policy decisions in one placehave substantial impacts elsewhere. Te criseso recent yearsood, inancial, climatewhich have blighted the lives o so many pointto this, and to the importance o working to

    reduce peoples vulnerability to shocks anddisasters.

    o harness the wealth o knowledge, ex-pertise, and development thinking in theSouth, the Report calls or new institutionswhich can acilitate regional integration andSouthSouth cooperation. Emerging powersin the developing world are already sources oinnovative social and economic policies andare major trade, investment, and increasinglydevelopment cooperation partners or otherdeveloping countries.

    Many other countries across the South haveseen rapid development, and their experiencesand SouthSouth cooperation are equally aninspiration to development policy. UNDP isable to play a useul role as a knowledge broker,and as a convener o partnersgovernments,civil society and multinational companiestoshare experiences. We have a key role too inacilitating learning and capacity building. TisReport oers very useul insights or our utureengagement in SouthSouth cooperation.

    ii | Human Development RepoRt 2013

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    Finally, the Report also calls or a critical look

    at global governance institutions to promote aairer, more equal world. It points to outdatedstructures, which do not reect the new eco-nomic and geopolitical reality described, andconsiders options or a new era o partnership.It also calls or greater transparency and ac-countability, and highlights the role o globalcivil society in advocating or this and orgreater decision-making power or those mostdirectly aected by global challenges, who areoen the poorest and most vulnerable peoplein our world.

    As discussion continues on the global devel-opment agenda beyond 2015, I hope many will

    take the time to read this Report and reect

    on its lessons or our ast-changing world.he Report rereshes our understanding othe current state o global development, anddemonstrates how much can be learned romthe experiences o ast development progress inso many countries in the South.

    Hn Crk

    AdministratorUnited Nations Development Programme

    SummaRy | i

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    Contents of the 2013 Human Development Report

    Foreword

    Acknowledgements

    Overview

    Introduction

    CHAPTER 1

    The state of human development

    Progress of nations

    Social integration

    Human security

    CHAPTER 2

    A more global South

    Rebalancing: a more global world, a more global South

    Impetus from human development

    Innovation and entrepreneurship in the South

    New forms of cooperation

    Sustaining progress in uncertain times

    CHAPTER 3

    Drivers of development transformation

    Driver 1: a proactive developmental state

    Driver 2: tapping of global markets

    Driver 3: determined social policy innovation

    CHAPTER 4

    Sustaining momentum

    Policy priorities for developing countries

    Modelling demography and education

    Impact of the rate of population ageing

    The need for ambitious policies

    Seizing the moment

    CHAPTER 5

    Governance and partnerships for a new eraA new global view of public goods

    Better representation for the South

    Global civil society

    Towards coherent pluralism

    Responsible sovereignty

    New institutions, new mechanisms

    Conclusions: partners in a new era

    Notes

    References

    STATISTICAL ANNEX

    Readers guide

    Key to HDI countries and ranks, 2012

    Statistical tables

    1 Human Development Index and its components

    2 Human Development Index trends, 19802012

    3 Inequality-adjusted Human Development Index

    4 Gender Inequality Index

    5 Multidimensional Poverty Index

    6 Command over resources

    7 Health

    8 Education

    9 Social integration

    10 International trade fows o goods and services

    11 International capital fows and migration

    12 Innovation and technology

    13 Environment

    14 Population trends

    Regions

    Statistical references

    Technical appendix: explanatory note for projections exercise

    iv | HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2013

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    Smmary

    Wh dd cis sd grwig drig h 20082009 fci crisis b dig cis k

    grwig, h wrd k ic. th ris h Sh, s wihi h dig wrd s rd gb rbcighs b ch cd sic. this discssi hs ic csd rrw GDp d rd grwh i wrg cris. y hr r brdr dics , iig r cris d dr rds, wih ir-rchig iicis r s is, r sci qi d r dcric grc h c d gb s. ashis Rr shws, h ris h Sh is bh h rs ci h d iss d chisd ri r si grr h rgrss r h wrd s wh. mkig h rgrss ri wi rqirird d ighd gb d i ickig, drwig h ic sss sd i his Rr.

    Th ris th Sth

    Te rise o the South is unprecedented in its

    speed and scale. It must be understood in broadhuman development terms as the story o a dra-matic expansion o individual capabilities andsustained human development progress in thecountries that are home to the vast majority othe worlds people. When dozens o countriesand billions o people move up the develop-ment ladder, as they are doing today, it has adirect impact on wealth creation and broaderhuman progress in all countries and regionso the world. Tere are new opportunities orcatch-up or less developed countries and or

    creative policy initiatives that could benet themost advanced economies as well.

    Although most developing countries havedone well, a large number o countries havedone particularly wellwhat can be calledthe rise o the South. Some o the largestcountries have made rapid advances, notablyBrazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, SouthArica and urkey. But there has also been sub-stantial progress in smaller economies, such asBangladesh, Chile, Ghana, Mauritius, Rwandaand unisia (gure 1).

    While ocusing on the rise o the South andits implications or human development, the2013Human Development Reportis also aboutthis changing world, driven in large measure bythe rise o the South. It examines the progressbeing made, the challenges arising (some as aresult o that very success) and the opportu-nities emerging or representative global andregional governance.

    For the irst time in 150 years, the com-bined output o the developing worlds three

    leading economiesBrazil, China andIndiais about equal to the combined GDPo the longstanding industrial powers o the

    NorthCanada, France, Germany, Italy,United Kingdom and the United States. Tisrepresents a dramatic rebalancing o global

    FIGuRe 1

    Mr than 40 cntris th Sth xprincd signifcanty gratr HDI gains

    sinc 1990 than wd hav bn prdictd basd n thir prvis HDI prrmanc

    HDI, 2012

    HDI, 1990

    OthersBig improversHighlighted 18

    Brazil

    Bangladesh

    China

    Chile

    Ghana

    Indonesia

    IndiaLao PDR

    Korea, Rep.

    MalaysiaMexico

    Rwanda

    ThailandTunisia

    Turkey

    Viet Nam

    Uganda

    HDI199

    0=HDI20

    12

    Mauritius

    0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9

    0.1

    0.3

    0.5

    0.7

    0.9

    N: Cris b h 45 dgr i hd highr HDI i 2012 h i 1990. B d gr rkrs idic cris wihsigifc rgr h rdicd icrss i HDI bw 1990 d 2012 gi hir HDI i 1990. ths cris wridifd bsd rsids bid r rgrssi h chg i g HDI bw 2012 d 1990 h g HDI i 1990.Cris h r bd r scd gr rid HDI irrs h r discssd i grr di i chr 3 h RrSrc: HDRo ccis.

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    th Sh is mrging

    ngsid h Nrh s

    brding grnd rchnic innvin nd

    criv nrprnrship

    economic power: In 1950, Brazil, China andIndia together represented only 10% o theworld economy, while the six traditionaleconomic leaders o the North accounted ormore than hal. According to projections in the

    Report, by 2050, Brazil, China and India willtogether account or 40% o global output (g-ure 2), ar surpassing the projected combinedproduction o todays Group o Seven bloc.

    Te middle class in the South is growing rap-idly in size, income and expectations (gure 3).Te sheer number o people in the Souththebillions o consumers and citizensmultipliesthe global human development consequenceso actions by governments, companies andinternational institutions in the South. TeSouth is now emerging alongside the North as

    a breeding ground or technical innovation andcreative entrepreneurship. In NorthSouthtrade, the newly industrializing economieshave built capabilities to efciently manuac-ture complex products or developed countrymarkets. But SouthSouth interactions have

    enabled companies in the South to adapt andinnovate with products and processes that arebetter suited to local needs.

    Th stat hman dvpmnthe Human Development Index (HDI) in2012 reveals much progress. Over the pastdecades, countries across the world have beenconverging towards higher levels o human de-velopment. Te pace o HDI progress has beenastest in countries in the low and mediumhuman development categories. Tis is goodnews. Yet progress requires more than averageimprovement in the HDI. It will be neither de-sirable nor sustainable i increases in the HDI

    are accompanied by rising inequalities in in-come, unsustainable patterns o consumption,high military spending and low social cohesion(box 1).

    An essential part o human developmentis equity. Every person has the right to live

    FIGuRe 2

    Brazi, China and India cmbind ar prjctd t accnt r 40% gba tpt by 2050, p rm 10% in1950

    Canada, France, Germany, Italy, the United Kingdom and the United StatesBrazil, China and India

    Share of gl obal output (%)

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    2050201019801940190018601820

    PROJECTION

    N: o is srd i 1990 rchsig wr ri drs.Src: HDRo iri hisric d r mddis (2010) d rjcis bsd prd Cr r Iri Frs (2013).

    2 | Human Development RepoRt 2013

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    a dvping

    cnris r n y

    priciping y in

    h ris h Sh

    a ullling lie according to his or her ownvalues and aspirations. No one should bedoomed to a short lie or a miserable onebecause he or she happens to be rom thewrong class or country, the wrong ethnic

    group or race or the wrong sex. Inequalityreduces the pace o human development andin some cases may even prevent it entirely.Globally, there have been much greater reduc-tions in inequality in health and education inthe last two decades than in income (gure4). Virtually all studies agree that global in-come inequality is high, though there is noconsensus on recent trends.

    A mr gba Sth

    Global production is rebalancing in ways notseen or 150 years. Growth in the cross-bordermovement o goods, services, people and ideashas been remarkable. By 2011, trade accountedor nearly 60% o global output. Developingcountries have played a big part in this (box 2):between 1980 and 2010, they increased theirshare o world merchandise trade rom 25% to47% and their share o world output rom 33%to 45%. Developing regions have also beenstrengthening links with each other: between

    1980 and 2011, SouthSouth trade as a shareo world merchandise trade rose rom 8.1% to26.7% (gure 5).

    All developing countries are not yet partici-pating ully in the rise o the South. Te pace ochange is slower, or instance, in most o the 49least developed countries, especially those thatare landlocked or distant rom world markets.Nevertheless, many o these countries havealso begun to benet rom SouthSouth trade,investment, nance and technology transer.Tere have, or example, been positive growth

    spillovers rom China to other developingcountries, particularly close trading partners.Tese benets have to some extent oset slack-ening demand rom the developed countries.Growth in low-income countries would havebeen an estimated 0.31.1 percentage pointslower in 20072010 had growth allen at thesame rate in China and India as in developedeconomies.

    Many countries have also beneited romspillovers into sectors that contribute to human

    development, especially health. Indian rms,or example, are supplying aordable medi-cines, medical equipment, and inormationand communications technology products and

    services to countries in Arica. Brazilian andSouth Arican companies are doing the same intheir regional markets.

    Nevertheless, exports rom larger countriescan also have disadvantages. Large countriesgenerate competitive pressures in smallercountries that can stie economic diversica-tion and industrialization. But there are alsoinstances where competitive jolts have beenollowed by industrial revival. A competitiverole today may easily turn into a complemen-tary role tomorrow. Moving rom competition

    to cooperation seems to depend on policies ordealing with new challenges.

    Drivrs dvpmnttransrmatin

    Many countries have made substantial progressover the past two decades: the rise o the Southhas been airly broad-based. Nevertheless,several high achievers have not only boosted

    FIGuRe 3

    Th midd cass in th Sth is prjctd t cntin t grw

    Mid dle cla ss popu lat ion (bi lli ons )

    2020 20302009

    World:1.845 billion

    World:3.249 billion

    World:4.884 billion

    AsiaPacicEurope

    Central and South America

    North America

    Sub-Saharan AfricaMiddle East and North Africa

    .664 .703.680

    3.228

    .322

    .313

    .234

    .107

    .525

    1.740

    .338 .333

    .181 .251

    .165

    .057

    .105

    .032

    N: th idd css icds rig r sdig $10$100 d (i 2005 rchsig wr ri rs).Src: Brkigs Isii 2012.

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    national income, but have also had better thanaverage perormance on social indicators suchas health and education (gure 6).

    How have so many countries in the Southtransormed their human development pros-pects ? Across most o these countries, therehave been three notable drivers o develop-ment: a proactive developmental state, tappingo global markets and determined social policyand innovation. Tese drivers are not derived

    rom abstract conceptions o how developmentshould work; rather, they are demonstratedby the transormational development experi-ences o many countries in the South. Indeed,they challenge preconceived and prescriptiveapproaches: on the one hand, they set asidea number o collectivist, centrally managedprecepts; on the other hand, they diverge romthe unettered liberalization espoused by theWashington Consensus.

    Box 1 Amartya Sen, Nobel Laureate in Economics

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    Drivr 1: prcivdvpmn s

    A strong, proactive and responsible statedevelops policies or both public and privatesectorsbased on a long-term vision andleadership, shared norms and values, and rules

    and institutions that build trust and cohesion.Achieving enduring transormation requirescountries to chart a consistent and balancedapproach to development. Countries thathave succeeded in igniting sustained growthin income and human development have not,however, ollowed one simple recipe. Facedwith dierent challenges, they have adoptedvarying on market regulation, export promo-tion, industrial development and technologicaladaptation and progress. Priorities need to

    be people-centred, promoting opportunitieswhile protecting people against downsiderisks. Governments can nurture industriesthat would not otherwise emerge due to in-complete markets. Although this poses somepolitical risks o rent seeking and cronyism, ithas enabled several countries o the South to

    turn industries previously derided as inefcientinto early drivers o export success once theireconomies became more open.

    In large and complex societies, the outcomeo any particular policy is inevitably uncertain.Developmental states need to be pragmaticand test a range o dierent approaches. Someeatures stand out: or instance, people-riendlydevelopmental states have expanded basic so-cial services. Investing in peoples capabilitiesthrough health, education and other public

    FIGuRe 4

    Mst rgins shw dcining inqaity in hath and dcatin and rising inqaity in incm

    Loss due to inequality (%) Loss due to inequality (%) Loss due to inequality (%)

    IncomeEducationHealth

    60

    50

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    60

    50

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    20102005200019951990 20102005200019951990 2005200019951990

    60

    50

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    Sub-Saharan AfricaSouth Asia Developedcountries

    Europe andCentral Asia

    Latin America andthe Caribbean

    Arab States East Asia andthe Pacic

    N: Bsd i-wighd bcd 182 cris r ss d hh iqi, 144 cris r ss d dci iqi d 66 cris r ss d ic iqi. D ic iqi r miic (2010) r ib hrgh 2005.Src: HDRo ccis sig hh d r uid nis Dr ecic d Sci airs i bs, dci d r Brr d l (2010) d ic iqi d r miic (2010).

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    Box 2

    Th Sths intgratin with th wrd cnmy and hman dvpmnt

    I s 107 dig cris r 19902010, b 87% c

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    ri, h sbsi rdig rrshis1 d ii high

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    di grwh i h br srs xcdig 30% bw

    2000 d 2010.

    Whi gb igrd dig cris h d rid

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    dig cris h d h s ir i HDI r-

    i hir rs bw 1990 d 2012 ( s 45 i h s hr)

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    h r csidrd gb rs i wrd rks, xrig r i-

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    Hmn prgrss nd rd pnsin in h Sh

    Relative improvement in HDI value, 19902012

    Change in trade to output ratio, 19902010

    0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2

    China

    IndiaTurkey

    Mexico

    Brazil

    Ghana

    Bangladesh

    0.4

    0.3

    0.2

    0.1

    0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    Others

    Modest HDI improvers, globally integrated

    High HDI improvers, globally integrated

    1. Bir rd xcdig $2 ii i 20102011.2. Bsd rss r crss-cr rgr ssi rd GDp ri ic r ci h crs r i d dckdss.3. S Rdrik (2001).4. Ri HDI ir is srd b rsids r rgrssi h chg i h g HDI bw 1990 d 2012 h g iii HDI i 1990. Fi cris wih bck ds i h r qdr d sbsi ir i HDI b rdcd hir rd ri bw 1990 d 2010, hgh h ihr iid rg br sbsi rdig is gb r rddr h rdicd r c ris crb s ic r ci. Cris wih circs i h r righ d wr righ qdrs hd ds r i ir i HDI bw 1990 d2012 b icrsd hir rd ri r iid rg br sbsi rdig is.Src: HDRo ccis; rd ris r Wrd B k (2012).

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    voice their concerns, and governments do notalways evaluate whether services intended toreach everyone actually do. Social policy has topromote inclusionensuring nondiscrimina-tion and equal treatment is critical or political

    and social stabilityand provide basic socialservices, which can underpin long-term eco-nomic growth by supporting the emergence oa healthy, educated labour orce. Not all suchservices need be provided publically. But thestate should ensure that all citizens have secureaccess to the basic requirements o human de-velopment (box 3).

    An agenda or development transormationthat promotes human development is thusmultiaceted. It expands peoples assets by uni-versalizing access to basic services. It improves

    the unctioning o state and social institutionsto promote equitable growth where the ben-ets are widespread. It reduces bureaucraticand social constraints on economic actionand social mobility. And it holds leadershipaccountable.

    Sstaining mmntm

    Many countries o the South have demonstrat-ed much success. But even in higher achieving

    countries, uture success is not guaranteed. Howcan countries in the South continue their paceo progress in human development, and howcan the progress be extended to other countries?Te Report suggests our important areas toacilitate this: enhancing equity, enabling voiceand participation, conronting environmentalpressures and managing demographic change.Te Report points to the high cost o policyinaction and argues or greater policy ambition.

    enhncing qiy

    Greater equity, including between men andwomen and across groups, is not only valuablein itsel, but also essential or promoting hu-man development. One o the most powerulinstruments or this purpose is education,which boosts peoples sel-conidence andmakes it easier or them to nd better jobs,engage in public debate and make demands ongovernment or health care, social security andother entitlements.

    FIGuRe 7

    Crrnt HDI vas and prvis pbic xpnditrs ar psitivy crratd . . .

    HDI, 2012

    Log of public expenditure on health and education per capita, 20006 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    0.8

    0.9

    1.0

    Src: HDRo ccis d Wrd Bk (2012).

    FIGuRe 8

    . . . as ar crrnt chid srviva and prvis pbic xpnditr n hath

    2 4 6 8 10 12 14

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    Log of public expenditure on health per capita, 2000

    Log of under-five mortality rate, 20102011

    Src: HDRo ccis bsd Wrd Bk (2012).

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    th Rpr mks

    srng cs r

    picy mbiin

    Education also has striking benets or healthand mortality (box 4). Research or the reportnd that mothers education is more importantto child survival than household income orwealth is and that policy interventions have agreater impact where education outcomes areinitially weaker. Tis has proound policy im-plications, potentially shiing emphasis romeorts to boost household income to measuresto improve girls education.

    Te Report makes a strong case or policyambition. An accelerated progress scenario

    suggests that low HDI countries can convergetowards the levels o human developmentachieved by high and very high HDI coun-tries. By 2050, aggregate HDI could rise 52%in Sub-Saharan Arica (rom 0.402 to 0.612)and 36% in South Asia (rom 0.527 to 0.714).Policy interventions under this scenario willalso have a positive impact on the ght againstpoverty. By contrast, the costs o inaction willbe increasingly higher, especially in low HDIcountries, which are more vulnerable. For

    instance, ailing to implement ambitious uni-versal education policies will adversely aectmany essential pillars o human developmentor uture generations.

    enbing vic nd pricipin

    Unless people can participate meaningullyin the events and processes that shape theirlives, national human development paths willbe neither desirable nor sustainable. Peopleshould be able to inuence policymaking and

    results, and young people in particular shouldbe able to look orward to greater economicopportunities and political participation andaccountability.

    Dissatisaction is on the rise in the Northand the South as people call or more oppor-tunities to voice their concerns and inuencepolicy, especia lly on basic social protection.Among the most active protesters are youth,in part a response to job shortages and limit-ed employment opportunities or educated

    Box 3 Michael Bloomberg, Mayor, New York City

    Why Nw Yrk City kd Sth r antipvrty picy advic

    I nw yrk Ci, w r wrkig br h is r rsids i

    ws. W ci ir h qi dci i r schs. W

    h ird nw yrkrs hh b rdcig skig d bsi. adw h hcd h cis dsc b ddig bik s d ig

    hdrds hsds rs.

    W h s sgh rdc r b fdig w d br ws

    bid s-sfcic d rr r g r brigh rs. t

    d his r, w sbishd h Cr r ecic ori. Is

    issi is idi srgis h brk h cc r hrgh

    ii dci, hh d iiiis.

    or h s six rs, h cr hs chd r h 50 i

    rgrs i rrshi wih ci gcis d hdrds ci-

    bsd rgizis. I hs dd csizd i srg r

    ch hs is, irig hir rrc, crig cs d

    driig which srgis r s sccss rdcig r d

    xdig ri. Sccss rgrs r ssid wih w b-ic d ri ds. usccss rgrs r discid, d r-

    srcs risd i w srgis. th crs fdigs r h shrd

    crss gr gcis, wih ickrs, wih rf rrs d

    ri drs, d wih cgs crss h cr d rd h wrd

    wh r s skig w ws brk h cc r.

    nw yrk is r h s h wrds brighs ids wrk-

    ig i r bsisss d irsiis, b w rcgiz hr is ch r

    r rgrs dd swhr. th is wh h cr bg is wrk

    b cdcig iri sr risig ir srgis.

    I 2007, h cr chd ori nyC: Fi Rwrds, h frs

    cdii csh rsr rgr i h uid Ss. Bsd siir

    rgrs rig i r h 20 hr cris, Fi Rwrds r-dcs r b ridig hshds wih icis r ri hh

    cr, dci d jb riig. I dsigig Fi Rwrds, w drw

    sss r Brzi, mxic d dzs hr cris. B h d

    r hr-r i, w hd rd which rgr s wrkd i

    nw yrk Ci d which did ; iri h is w h w

    gri rgrs wrdwid.

    Br w chd ori nyC: Fi Rwrds, I isid tc,

    mxic, r frshd k mxics sccss dr cdii csh

    rsr rgr, oridds. W s ricid i nrh

    Sh rig xchg hsd b h uid nis. W wrkd wih

    h Rckr Fdi, h Wrd Bk, h orgizi aric

    Ss d hr isiis d iri ickrs xchg x-

    rics cdii csh rsr rgrs i li aric, s ws i Idsi, Sh aric d trk.

    or iri rig xchgs r iid hs csh

    rsr iiiis; h s icd ii rchs rb rs-

    ri, w dci iiiis d hr rgrs.

    n hs gd ids, which is wh nw yrk wi

    ci r r h bs rcics hr ciis d cris. ad

    s w d d w rgrs i r w ci, w ri c-

    id rrig h r d kig sig dirc i ci-

    is rd h wrd.

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    young people. History is replete with popularrebellions against unresponsive governments.Tis can derail human development as unrestimpedes investment and growth and autocraticgovernments divert resources to maintaininglaw and order.

    It is hard to predict when societies will reacha tipping point. Mass protests, especially by

    educated people, tend to erupt when bleakprospects or economic opportunities lowerthe opportunity cost o engaging in politicalactivity. Tese eort-intensive orms o polit-ical participation are then easily coordinatedthrough new orms o mass communication.

    Cnrning nvirnmn chngs

    While environmental threats such as climatechange, deorestation, air and water pollution,

    and natural disasters aect everyone, they hurtpoor countries and poor communities most.Climate change is already exacerbating chronicenvironmental threats, and ecosystem losses areconstraining livelihood opportunities, especial-ly or poor people.

    Although low HDI countries contribute theleast to global climate change, they are likely to

    experience the greatest loss in annual rainalland the sharpest increases in its variability, withdire implications or agricultural productionand livelihoods. Te magnitude o such losseshighlights the urgency o adopting copingmeasures to increase peoples resilience to cli-mate change.

    Te cost o inaction will likely be high. Telonger action is delayed, the higher the costwill be. o ensure sustainable economies andsocieties, new policies and structural changes

    FIGuRe 9

    HDI

    0.55

    0.60

    0.65

    0.70

    0.75

    0.80

    0.85

    0.90

    0.95

    1.00

    205020452040203520302025202020152010

    GDP per capita (2000 PPP $ thousands)

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    205020452040203520302025202020152010

    Base scenario:very high HDI countries

    Accelerated progress scenario:very high HDI countries

    Accelerated progress scenario:low, medium and high HDI countries

    Base scenario:low, medium and high HDI countries

    I rs h d, h cs ici is highr r cris wih wr HDI s. I rs GDp r ci ss, h cs ici is

    rri h s r cris irrsci hir HDI .

    Src: HDRo ccis bsd prd Cr r Iri Frs (2013).

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    are needed that align human development andclimate change goals in low-emission, climate-resilient strategies and innovative public-private nancing mechanisms.

    Mnging dmgrphic chng

    Between 1970 and 2011, world populationswelled rom 3.6 billion to 7 billion. As thatpopulation becomes more educated, its growthrate will decrease. Development prospects areinuenced by the age structure o the popula-tion, as well as its size. An increasingly criticalconcern is the dependency ratiothat is, thenumber o younger and older people dividedby the working-age population ages 1564.

    Some poorer countries will benet rom ademographic dividend as the share o thepopulation in the workorce rises, but only ithere is strong policy action. Girls education,or instance, is a critical vehicle o a possible de-

    mographic dividend. Educated women tend tohave ewer, healthier and better educated chil-dren; in many countries educated women alsoenjoy higher salaries than uneducated workers.

    Te richer regions o the South, by contrast,will conront a very dierent problem, as theirpopulation age, reducing the share o the work-ing-age population. he rate o populationageing matters because developing countrieswill struggle to meet the needs o an older pop-ulation i they are still poor. Many developing

    Box 4

    Why ppatin prspcts wi iky di r in th Rpbic Kra and India

    edci i hs ris rid i h Rbic Kr. I h

    1950s rg rri sch-g chidr rcid r dc-

    i. td, g Kr w r g h bs dcd w ih wrd: r h h h cd cg. as csqc, dr-

    Krs h r wi b ch br dcd h dr Krs

    d (s fgr), d bcs h sii crri bw dc-

    i d hh, h r s ik b hhir.

    assig h r rs (which r high) ri cs, h

    rri h i gr h g 14 wi dr r 16% i 2010

    13% i 2050. thr wi s b rkd shi i h is dc-

    i csii, wih h rri hig rir dci rjcd

    ris r 26% 47%.

    Fr Idi, h icr ks r dir. Br 2000, r h h h

    d i hd r dci. Dsi h rc xsi i b-

    sic schig d irssi grwh i h br br dcd Idis(dbd k cr i Idis rc cic grwh), h rri

    h d i wih dci wi dci sw. pr b-

    cs his wr dci, ricr g w, Idis

    i is rjcd grw rid, wih Idi srssig Chi s h

    s s cr. e dr iisic s rck scri, which

    sss dci xsi siir Krs, Idis dci disrib-

    i i 2050 wi si b high q, wih sizb gr dcd

    (s dr) ds. th rid xsi i rir dci dr his

    scri, hwr, wi bid r w dcd g d br rc.

    Cmpriv ppin nd dcin rs in h Rpbic Kr nd Indi

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    TERTIARY

    SECONDARY

    PRIMARY

    NO EDUCATION

    2 04 0 20 5020 20 2 03 020102000199019801970

    TERTIARY

    SECONDARY

    PRIMARY

    2 04 0 2 05 020 20 2 03 020102000199019801970

    TERTIARY

    SECONDARY

    PRIMARY

    NO EDUCATION

    Population (millions) Population (millions)

    Republic of Korea, constant enrolment ratios India, fast track scenario

    Src: lz d KC 2013.

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    Sm inrgvrnmn

    prcsss wd

    b invigrd by

    grr pricipin

    rm h Sh

    countries now have only a short window oopportunity to reap the ull benets o the de-mographic dividend.

    Demographic trends are not deterministic,however. Tey can be altered, at least indirect-

    ly, by education policies. Te Report presentstwo scenarios or 20102050: the base casescenario, in which enrolment ratios remainconstant at each level o education, and a asttrack scenario, in which the countries withthe lowest initial education levels embraceambitious education targets. Te decline in thedependency ratio or low HDI countries underthe ast track scenario is more than twice thatunder the base case scenario. Ambitious edu-cation policies can enable medium and highHDI countries to curb projected increases in

    their dependency ratios, in order to make theirdemographic transition towards an ageing pop-ulation less difcult.

    Addressing these demographic challengeswill require raising educational attainmentlevels while expanding productive employmentopportunitiesby reducing unemployment,promoting labour productivity and increasinglabour orce participation, particularly amongwomen and older workers.

    Gvrnanc and partnrshipsr a nw ra

    Te new arrangements promoted by the Southand the resulting pluralism are challengingexisting institutions and processes in the tra-ditional domains o multilateralismnance,trade, investment and healthsometimes di-rectly and sometimes indirectly through alter-native regional and subregional systems. Globaland regional governance is becoming a multi-aceted combination o new arrangements and

    old structures that need collective nurturing inmultiple ways. Reorms in global institutionsmust be complemented by stronger coopera-tion with regional institutionsand in somecases broader mandates or those regional in-stitutions. Te accountability o organizationsmust be extended to a wider group o countries,as well as to a wider group o stakeholders.

    Many o the current institutions and prin-ciples or international governance were de-signed or a world order that does not match

    contemporary reality. One consequence isthat these institutions greatly underrepresentthe South. I they are to survive, internationalinstitutions need to be more representative,transparent and accountable. Indeed, some

    intergovernmental processes would be invig-orated by greater participation rom the South,which can bring substantial nancial, techno-logical and human resources.

    In all o this, governments are understand-ably concerned with preserving nationalsovereignty. Overly strict adherence to theprimacy o national sovereignty can encouragezero-sum thinking. A better strategy is respon-sible sovereignty, whereby countries engage inair, rule-based and accountable internationalcooperation, joining in collective endeavours

    that enhance global welare. Responsible sov-ereignty also requires that states ensure the hu-man rights security and saety o their citizens.According to this view, sovereignty is seen notjust as a right but as a responsibility.

    Tis changing world has proound implica-tions or the provision o public goods. Areaso global international concern meriting ur-gent attention and cooperation include trade,migration and climate change. In some cases,public goods can be del ivered by regionalinstitutions, which can avoid the polarization

    that slows progress in larger, multilateral o-rums. Increasing regional cooperation may,however, have disadvantagesadding to acomplex, multilevel and ragmented tapestryo institutions. Te challenge thereore is toensure coherent pluralismso that institu-tions at all levels work in a broadly coordinat-ed ashion.

    International governance institutions can beheld to account not just by member states, butalso by global civil society. Civil society organ-izations have already inuenced global trans-

    parency and rule setting on aid, debt, humanrights, health and climate change. Civil societynetworks can now take advantage o new me-dia and new communications technologies. Yetcivil society organizations also ace questionsabout their legitimacy and accountability andmay take undesirable orms. Nevertheless, theuture legitimacy o international governancewill depend on the capabilities o institu-tions to engage with citizen networks andcommunities.

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    th nprcdnd

    ccmin fnnci

    rsrvs prvids n

    pprniy ccr

    brd-bsd prgrss

    Cncsins: partnrsin a nw ra

    Many countries o the South have alreadydemonstrated what can be done to ensure

    that human development proceeds in waysthat are both productive and sustainable, butthey have gone only part o the way. For theyears ahead, the Report suggests ve broadconclusions.

    Rising cnmic srngh in hSh ms b mchd by cmmimn hmn dvpmn

    Investments in human development are jus-tiied not only on moral grounds, but also

    because improvements in health, educationand social welare are key to success in a morecompetitive and dynamic world economy. Inparticular, these investments should target thepoorconnecting them to markets and in-creasing their livelihood opportunities. Povertyis an injustice that can and should be remediedby determined action.

    Good policymaking also requires greaterocus on enhancing social capacities, not justindividual capabilities. Individuals unctionwithin social institutions that can limit or

    enhance their development potential. Policiesthat change social norms that limit human po-tential, such as strictures against early marriagesor dowry requirements, can open up additionalopportunities or individuals to reach their ullpotential.

    lss dvpd cnris cn rnnd bnf rm h sccss mrging cnmis in h Sh

    Te unprecedented accumulation o nancial

    reserves and sovereign wealth unds in theSouth as well as the North provides an op-portunity to accelerate broad-based progress.Even a small portion o these unds dedicatedto human development and poverty eradi-cation could have a large eect. At the sametime SouthSouth trade and investment owscan leverage oreign markets in new ways thatenhance development opportunities, such asby participating in regional and global valuechains.

    Burgeoning SouthSouth trade and invest-ment in particular can lay the basis or shiingmanuacturing capacity to other less developedregions and countries. Recent Chinese andIndian joint ventures and startup manuac-

    turing investments in Arica serve as a preludeto a much expanded orce. International pro-duction networks provide opportunities tospeed up the development process by allowingcountries to leap-rog to more sophisticatedproduction modes.

    Nw insiins nd nw prnrshipscn cii rgin ingrinnd ShSh rinships

    New institutions and partnerships can help

    countries share knowledge, experiences andtechnology. Tis can be accompanied by newand stronger institutions to promote trade andinvestment and accelerate experience sharingacross the South. One step would be to estab-lish a new South Commission to bring a reshvision o how the diversity o the South can bea orce or solidarity.

    Grr rprsnin r h Shnd civi sciy cn ccrprgrss n mjr gb chngs

    Te rise o the South is leading to a greaterdiversity o voice on the world stage. hisrepresents an opportunity to build governanceinstitutions that ully represent all constituen-cies that would make productive use o this di-versity in nding solutions to world problems.

    New guiding principles or international or-ganizations are needed which incorporate theexperience o the South. Te emergence o theGroup o 20 is an important step in this direc-tion, but the countries o the South also need

    more equitable representation in the BrettonWoods institutions, the United Nations andother international bodies.

    Active civil society and social movements,both national and transnational, are usingthe media to ampliy their calls or just andair governance. he spread o movementsand increasing platorms or vocalizing keymessages and demands challenge governanceinstitutions to adapt more-democratic andmore-inclusive principles. More generally, a

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    th ris h

    Sh prsns nwpprniis r prviding

    gb pbic gds

    mr civy nd r

    ncking dys mny

    smd gb isss

    airer and less unequal world requires spaceor a multiplicity o voices and a system opublic discourse.

    th ris h Sh prsnsnw pprniis r gnring grr sppy pbic gds

    A sustainable world requires a greater supplyo global public goods. Global issues todayare increasing in number and urgency, rommitigation o climate change and internationaleconomic and nancial instability to the ghtagainst terrorism and nuclear prolieration.Tey require a global response. Yet in many ar-eas, international cooperation continues to beslowand at times dangerously hesitant. Te

    rise o the South presents new opportunitiesor providing global public goods more eec-tively and or unlocking todays many stalemat-ed global issues.

    Publicness and privateness are in mostcases not innate properties o a public goodbut social constructs. As such, they represent apolicy choice. National governments can stepin when there is underprovision at the nationallevel, but when global challenges arise, interna-tional cooperation is necessary and can happenonly by voluntary action o many governments.

    Given the many pressing challenges, progress indetermining what is public and what is private

    will require strong, committed personal andinstitutional leadership.

    * * *

    Te 2013Human Development Reportpresentsthe contemporary global context and charts apath or policymakers and citizens to navigatethe increasing interconnectedness o the worldand to ace the growing global challenges. It de-scribes how the dynamics o power, voice andwealth in the world are changingand identi-es the new policies and institutions necessaryto address these 21st century realities and pro-mote human development with greater equity,sustainability and social integration. Progressin human development requires action and in-

    stitutions at both the global and national levels.At the global level, institutional reorms andinnovation are required to protect and provideglobal public goods. At the national level, statecommitment to social justice is important, asis the reality that one-size-ts-all technocraticpolicies are neither realistic nor eective giventhe diversity o national contexts, cultures andinstitutional conditions. Nevertheless, overar-ching principles such as social cohesion, statecommitment to education, health and socialprotection, and openness to trade integration

    emerge as means o navigating towards sustain-able and equitable human development.

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    aghis 175

    abi 70 1

    agri 93 1

    adrr 33 1

    ag 148

    aig d Brbd 67 1

    argi 45 1

    ari 87 1

    asri 2

    asri 18

    azrbij 82 1

    Bhs 49

    Bhri 48

    Bgdsh 146 1

    Brbds 38

    Brs 50 1

    Bgi 17

    Biz 96

    Bi 166

    Bh 140 1

    Bii, prii S 108

    Bsi d Hrzgi 81 1

    Bsw 119 1

    Brzi 85Bri Drss 30

    Bgri 57

    Brki Fs 183

    Brdi 178 1

    Cbdi 138

    Cr 150

    Cd 11 1

    C vrd 132 1

    Cr aric Rbic 180 1

    Chd 184

    Chi 40

    Chi 101

    Cbi 91

    Crs 169 1

    Cg 142

    Cg, Dcric Rbic h 186

    Cs Ric 62

    C d'Iir 168 1

    Cri 47 1

    Cb 59

    Crs 31

    Czch Rbic 28

    Drk 15

    Djibi 164

    Diic 72

    Diic Rbic 96 2

    ecdr 89

    eg 112

    e Sdr 107 1

    eqri Gi 136

    erir 181 1

    esi 33 1

    ehii 173 1

    Fiji 96 2

    Fid 21

    Frc 20

    Gb 106

    Gbi 165

    Grgi 72 3

    Gr 5

    Gh 135

    Grc 29

    Grd 63 1

    G 133

    Gi 178 1

    Gi-Biss 176

    G 118 1

    Hii 161 1

    Hdrs 120

    Hg Kg, Chi (SaR) 13 1

    Hgr 37

    Icd 13

    Idi 136

    Idsi 121 3

    Ir, Isic Rbic 76 2

    Irq 131 1

    Ird 7

    Isr 16

    I 25

    Jic 85 2

    J 10

    Jrd 100

    Kzkhs 69 1

    K 145

    Kiribi 121

    Kr, Rbic 12

    Kwi 54 1

    Krgzs 125

    l p's Dcric Rbic 138

    li 44 1

    lb 72

    lsh 158 1

    libri 174

    lib 64 23

    lichsi 24

    lihi 41 2 lxbrg 26

    mdgscr 151

    mwi 170 1

    msi 64 1

    mdis 104 1

    mi 182 1

    m 32 1

    mrii 155

    mriis 80 1

    mxic 61

    micrsi, Fdrd Ss 117

    md, Rbic 113

    mgi 108 2

    mgr 52 2

    mrcc 130

    mzbiq 185

    mr 149

    nibi 128

    n 157

    nhrds 4

    nw Zd 6

    nicrg 129

    nigr 186 1

    nigri 153 1

    nrw 1

    o 84 1

    pkis 146

    p 52 2

    psi, S 110 1

    p 59 1

    p nw Gi 156

    prg 111 2

    pr 77 1

    phiiis 114

    pd 39

    prg 43 3

    Qr 36

    Ri 56 1

    Rssi Fdri 55

    Rwd 167

    Si Kis d nis 72 1

    Si lci 88

    Si vic d h Grdis 83 2

    S 96

    S t d prici 144

    Sdi arbi 57

    Sg 154 2

    Srbi 64

    Schs 46

    Sirr l 177 2

    Sigr 18

    Ski 35

    Si 21

    S Isds 143

    Sh aric 121 1

    Si 23

    Sri lk 92

    Sd 171 1

    Sri 105

    Swzid 141 1

    Swd 7

    Swizrd 9Sri arb Rbic 116

    tjikis 125 1

    tzi, uid Rbic 152 1

    thid 103 1

    th rr ygs Rbic mcdi 78 2

    tir-ls 134

    tg 159 1

    tg 95

    triidd d tbg 67 1

    tisi 94

    trk 90

    trkis 102

    ugd 161

    ukri 78uid arb eirs 41 1

    uid Kigd 26

    uid Ss 3 1

    urg 51

    uzbkis 114 1

    v 124 2

    vz, Biri Rbic 71 1

    vi n 127

    y 160 2

    Zbi 163

    Zibbw 172 1

    2012 HDI ranks and changs in rank rm 2011 t 2012

    Nt: Psitiv r ngativ vas and arrws indicat th nmbr psitins pward r dwnward a c ntrys rank changd rm 20 11 t 2012 sing cnsistnt data and mthdgy; a bankindicats n chang.

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    Hmn dvpmn indics

    HDI rank

    Hman DvpmntIndx

    Inqaity-adjstdHDI

    Gndr InqaityIndx

    Mtidimnsina PvrtyIndx

    v v Rk v Rk v yr

    VeRY HIGH HuMAN DeVeloPMeNT

    1 nrw 0.955 0.894 1 0.065 5 ..

    2 asri 0.938 0.864 2 0.115 17 ..

    3 uid Ss 0.937 0.821 16 0.256 42 ..

    4 nhrds 0.921 0.857 4 0.045 1 ..5 Gr 0.920 0.856 5 0.075 6 ..

    6 nw Zd 0.919 .. .. 0.164 31 ..

    7 Ird 0.916 0.850 6 0.121 19 ..

    7 Swd 0.916 0.859 3 0.055 2 ..

    9 Swizrd 0.913 0.849 7 0.057 3 ..

    10 J 0.912 .. .. 0.131 21 ..

    11 Cd 0.911 0.832 13 0.119 18 ..

    12 Kr, Rbic 0.909 0.758 28 0.153 27 ..

    13 Hg Kg, Chi (SaR) 0.906 .. .. .. .. ..

    13 Icd 0.906 0.848 8 0.089 10 ..

    15 Drk 0.901 0.845 9 0.057 3 ..

    16 Isr 0.900 0.790 21 0.144 25 ..

    17 Bgi 0.897 0.825 15 0.098 12 ..

    18 asri 0.895 0.837 12 0.102 14 ..

    18 Sigr 0.895 .. .. 0.101 13 ..20 Frc 0.893 0.812 18 0.083 9 ..

    21 Fid 0.892 0.839 11 0.075 6 ..

    21 Si 0.892 0.840 10 0.080 8 0.000 2003

    23 Si 0.885 0.796 20 0.103 15 ..

    24 lichsi 0.883 .. .. .. .. ..

    25 I 0.881 0.776 24 0.094 11 ..

    26 lxbrg 0.875 0.813 17 0.149 26 ..

    26 uid Kigd 0.875 0.802 19 0.205 34 ..

    28 Czch Rbic 0.873 0.826 14 0.122 20 0.010 2002/2003

    29 Grc 0.860 0.760 27 0.136 23 ..

    30 Bri Drss 0.855 .. .. .. .. ..

    31 Crs 0.848 0.751 29 0.134 22 ..

    32 m 0.847 0.778 23 0.236 39 ..

    33 adrr 0.846 .. .. .. .. ..

    33 esi 0.846 0.770 25 0.158 29 0.026 200335 Ski 0.840 0.788 22 0.171 32 0.000 2003

    36 Qr 0.834 .. .. 0.546 117 ..

    37 Hgr 0.831 0.769 26 0.256 42 0.016 2003

    38 Brbds 0.825 .. .. 0.343 61 ..

    39 pd 0.821 0.740 30 0.140 24 ..

    40 Chi 0.819 0.664 41 0.360 66 ..

    41 lihi 0.818 0.727 33 0.157 28 ..

    41 uid arb eirs 0.818 .. .. 0.241 40 0.002 2003

    43 prg 0.816 0.729 32 0.114 16 ..

    44 li 0.814 0.726 35 0.216 36 0.006 2003

    45 argi 0.811 0.653 43 0.380 71 0.011 2005

    46 Schs 0.806 .. .. .. .. ..

    47 Cri 0.805 0.683 39 0.179 33 0.016 2003

    HIGH HuMAN DeVeloPMeNT

    48 Bhri 0.796 .. .. 0.258 45 ..

    49 Bhs 0.794 .. .. 0.316 53 ..

    50 Brs 0.793 0.727 33 .. .. 0.000 2005

    51 urg 0.792 0.662 42 0.367 69 0.006 2002/2003

    52 mgr 0.791 0.733 31 .. .. 0.006 2005/2006

    52 p 0.791 .. .. .. .. ..

    54 Kwi 0.790 .. .. 0.274 47 ..

    55 Rssi Fdri 0.788 .. .. 0.312 51 0.005 2003

    56 Ri 0.786 0.687 38 0.327 55 ..

    57 Bgri 0.782 0.704 36 0.219 38 ..

    57 Sdi arbi 0.782 .. .. 0.682 145 ..

    59 Cb 0.780 .. .. 0.356 63 ..

    59 p 0.780 0.588 57 0.503 108 ..

    61 mxic 0.775 0.593 55 0.382 72 0.015 2006

    16 | Human Development RepoRt 2013

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    HDI rank

    Hman DvpmntIndx

    Inqaity-adjstdHDI

    Gndr InqaityIndx

    Mtidimnsina PvrtyIndx

    v v Rk v Rk v yr

    124 v 0.626 .. .. .. .. 0.129 2007

    125 Krgzs 0.622 0.516 75 0.357 64 0.019 2005/2006

    125 tjikis 0.622 0.507 81 0.338 57 0.068 2005

    127 vi n 0.617 0.531 70 0.299 48 0.017 2010/2011

    128 nibi 0.608 0.344 101 0.455 86 0.187 2006/2007

    129 nicrg 0.599 0.434 86 0.461 89 0.128 2006/2007

    130 mrcc 0.591 0.415 88 0.444 84 0.048 2007131 Irq 0.590 .. .. 0.557 120 0.059 2006

    132 C vrd 0.586 .. .. .. .. ..

    133 G 0.581 0.389 92 0.539 114 0.127 2003

    134 tir-ls 0.576 0.386 93 .. .. 0.360 2009/2010

    135 Gh 0.558 0.379 94 0.565 121 0.144 2008

    136 eqri Gi 0.554 .. .. .. .. ..

    136 Idi 0.554 0.392 91 0.610 132 0.283 2005/2006

    138 Cbdi 0.543 0.402 90 0.473 96 0.212 2010

    138 l ps Dcric Rbic 0.543 0.409 89 0.483 100 0.267 2006

    140 Bh 0.538 0.430 87 0.464 92 0.119 2010

    141 Swzid 0.536 0.346 99 0.525 112 0.086 2010

    loW HuMAN DeVeloPMeNT

    142 Cg 0.534 0.368 96 0.610 132 0.208 2009

    143 S Isds 0.530 .. .. .. .. ..

    144 S t d prici 0.525 0.358 97 .. .. 0.154 2008/2009145 K 0.519 0.344 101 0.608 130 0.229 2008/2009

    146 Bgdsh 0.515 0.374 95 0.518 111 0.292 2007

    146 pkis 0.515 0.356 98 0.567 123 0.264 2006/2007

    148 ag 0.508 0.285 114 .. .. ..

    149 mr 0.498 .. .. 0.437 80 ..

    150 Cr 0.495 0.330 104 0.628 137 0.287 2004

    151 mdgscr 0.483 0.335 103 .. .. 0.357 2008/2009

    152 tzi, uid Rbic 0.476 0.346 99 0.556 119 0.332 2010

    153 nigri 0.471 0.276 119 .. .. 0.310 2008

    154 Sg 0.470 0.315 105 0.540 115 0.439 2010/2011

    155 mrii 0.467 0.306 107 0.643 139 0.352 2007

    156 p nw Gi 0.466 .. .. 0.617 134 ..

    157 n 0.463 0.304 109 0.485 102 0.217 2011

    158 lsh 0.461 0.296 111 0.534 113 0.156 2009

    159 tg 0.459 0.305 108 0.566 122 0.284 2006160 y 0.458 0.310 106 0.747 148 0.283 2006

    161 Hii 0.456 0.273 120 0.592 127 0.299 2005/2006

    161 ugd 0.456 0.303 110 0.517 110 0.367 2011

    163 Zbi 0.448 0.283 117 0.623 136 0.328 2007

    164 Djibi 0.445 0.285 114 .. .. 0.139 2006

    165 Gbi 0.439 .. .. 0.594 128 0.324 2005/2006

    166 Bi 0.436 0.280 118 0.618 135 0.412 2006

    167 Rwd 0.434 0.287 112 0.414 76 0.350 2010

    168 C dIir 0.432 0.265 122 0.632 138 0.353 2005

    169 Crs 0.429 .. .. .. .. ..

    170 mwi 0.418 0.287 112 0.573 124 0.334 2010

    171 Sd 0.414 .. .. 0.604 129 ..

    172 Zibbw 0.397 0.284 116 0.544 116 0.172 2010/2011

    173 ehii 0.396 0.269 121 .. .. 0.564 2011

    174 libri 0.388 0.251 123 0.658 143 0.485 2007

    175 aghis 0.374 .. .. 0.712 147 ..

    176 Gi-Biss 0.364 0.213 127 .. .. ..

    177 Sirr l 0.359 0.210 128 0.643 139 0.439 2008

    178 Brdi 0.355 .. .. 0.476 98 0.530 2005

    178 Gi 0.355 0.217 126 .. .. 0.506 2005

    180 Cr aric Rbic 0.352 0.209 129 0.654 142 ..

    181 erir 0.351 .. .. .. .. ..

    182 mi 0.344 .. .. 0.649 141 0.558 2006

    183 Brki Fs 0.343 0.226 124 0.609 131 0.535 2010

    184 Chd 0.340 0.203 130 .. .. 0.344 2003

    185 mzbiq 0.327 0.220 125 0.582 125 0.512 2009

    186 Cg, Dcric Rbic h 0.304 0.183 132 0.681 144 0.392 2010

    186 nigr 0.304 0.200 131 0.707 146 0.642 2006

    18 | Human Development RepoRt 2013

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    HDI rank

    Hman DvpmntIndx

    Inqaity-adjstdHDI

    Gndr InqaityIndx

    Mtidimnsina PvrtyIndx

    v v Rk v Rk v yr

    oTHeR CouNTRIeS oR TeRRIToRIeS

    Kr, Dcric ps R. .. .. .. .. .. ..

    mrsh Isds .. .. .. .. .. ..

    mc .. .. .. .. .. ..

    nr .. .. .. .. .. ..

    S mri .. .. .. .. .. ..

    Si .. .. .. .. .. 0.514 2006Sh Sd .. .. .. .. .. ..

    t .. .. .. .. .. ..

    Hman Dvpmnt Indx grps

    vr high h d 0.905 0.807 0.193

    High h d 0.758 0.602 0.376

    mdi h d 0.640 0.485 0.457

    lw h d 0.466 0.310 0.578

    Rgins

    arb Ss 0.652 0.486 0.555

    es asi d h pcifc 0.683 0.537 0.333

    er d Cr asi 0.771 0.672 0.280

    li aric d h Cribb 0.741 0.550 0.419

    Sh asi 0.558 0.395 0.568

    Sb-Shr aric 0.475 0.309 0.577

    last dvpd cntris 0.449 0.303 0.566 Sma isand dvping stats 0.648 0.459 0.481

    Wrd 0.694 0.532 0.463

    NoTe

    th idics s d r dir rss h Statistical annex h Rr (ib h://hdr.d.rg) r dis d r c s d srcs h d. Cr cssifcis r bsd HDIqris: cr is i h r high gr i is HDI is i h qri, i h high gr i is HDI is i rcis 5175, i h di gr i is HDI is i rcis 2650 d i h w gr i is HDI is i hb qri. pris Rrs sd bs rhr h ri hrshds.

    Human Development InDICeS | 1

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    Global Human Development Reports: Te 2013 Human Development Report is the latest in the series o global HumanDevelopment Reports published by UNDP since 1990 as independent, empirically grounded analyses o major developmentissues, trends, and policies.

    Additional resources related to the 2013 Human Development Report can be ound on line at hdr.undp.org, including completeeditions or summaries o the Report in more than 20 languages; a collection o Human Development Research Papers com-missioned or the 2013 Report; interactive maps and databases o national human development indicators; ull explanations o

    the sources and methodologies employed in the Reports human development indices; country profles; and other backgroundmaterials. Previous global, regional and national Human Development Reports (HDRs) are also available at hdr.undp.org.

    Regional Human Development Reports: Over the past two decades, regionally ocused HDRs have also been produced in allmajor areas o the developing world, with support rom UNDPs regional bureaus. With provocative analyses and clear policyrecommendations, these regional HDRs have examined such critical issues as political empowerment in the Arab states, oodsecurity in Arica, climate change in Asia, the treatment o ethnic minorities in Central Europe, and the challenges o inequalityand citizens security in Latin America and the Caribbean.

    National Human Development Reports: Since the release o the frst National HDR in 1992, National HDRs have been pro-duced in 140 countries by local editorial teams with UNDP support. Tese reportssome 700 to datebring a human development perspective to national policy concerns through local consultations and research. National HDRs have covered many keydevelopment issues, rom climate change to youth employment to inequalities driven by gender or ethnicity.

    Human Development Reports 19902013

    1990 Concept and Measurement o Human Development1991 Financing Human Development1992 Global Dimensions o Human Development1993 Peoples Participation1994 New Dimensions o Human Security1995 Gender and Human Development1996 Economic Growth and Human Development

    1997 Human Development to Eradicate Poverty1998 Consumption or Human Development1999 Globalization with a Human Face2000 Human Rights and Human Development2001 Making New echnologies Work or Human Development2002 Deepening Democracy in a Fragmented World2003 Millennium Development Goals: A Compact among Nations to End Human Poverty2004 Cultural Liberty in odays Diverse World2005 International Cooperation at a Crossroads: Aid, rade and Security in an Unequal World2006 Beyond Scarcity: Power, Poverty and the Global Water Crisis

    2007/2008 Fighting Climate Change: Human Solidarity in a Divided World2009 Overcoming Barriers: Human Mobility and Development

    2010 Te Real Wealth o Nations: Pathways to Human Development2011 Sustainability and Equity: A Better Future or All2013 Te Rise o the South: Human Progress in a Diverse World

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    United Nations Development ProgrammeOne United Nations Plaza

    New York, NY 10017

    www.undp.org

    The 21st century is witnessing a proound shit in global

    dynamics, driven by the ast-rising new powers o the

    developing world. China has overtaken Japan as the

    worlds second biggest economy, liting hundreds o

    millions o people out o poverty in the process. India is

    reshaping its uture with new entrepreneurial creativity

    and social policy innovation. Brazil is raising its livingstandards by expanding international relationships and

    antipoverty programmes that are emulated worldwide.

    But the Rise o the South is a much larger phe-

    nomenon. Indonesia, Mexico, South Arica, Thailand,

    Turkey and other developing countries are becoming

    leading actors on the world stage. The 2013 Human

    Development Reportidentifes more than 4 0 developing

    countries that have done better than expected in human

    development in recent decades, with their progress

    accelerating markedly over the past 10 years.

    Each o these countries has its own unique history

    and has chosen its own distinct development pathway.

    Yet they share important characteristics and ace

    many o the same challenges. They are also becoming

    more interconnected and interdependent. And people

    throughou t the developing world are increasingl y

    demanding to be heard, as they share ideas through new

    communications channels and seek greater accountability

    rom governments and international institutions.The 2013 Human Development Report analyses the

    causes and consequences o the continuing Rise o

    the South and identi ies policies rooted in this new

    reality that could promote greater progress throughout

    the world or decades to come. The Report calls or ar

    better representation o the South in global governance

    systems and points to potential new sources o

    fnancing within the South or essential public goods.

    With resh analyt ical insights and clear proposals or

    policy reorms, the Report charts a course or people

    in all regions to ace shared human development

    challenges together, airly and eectively.

    The Report rereshes our understanding o the current state o global development, and demonstrates how much can be

    learned rom the experiences o ast development progress in so many countries in the South.

    UNDP Administrator Helen Clark, rom the Foreword

    The human development approach is a major advance in the dicult exercise o understanding the successes and

    deprivations o human lives, and in appreciating the importance o refection and dialogue, and through that advancingairness and justice in the world. Nobel Laureate Amartya Sen, rom chapter 1

    No one has a monopoly on good ideas, which is why New York will continue to learn rom the best practices o other cities

    and countries. New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, rom chapter 3

    A close look at the diverse pathways that successul developing countries have pursued enriches the menu o policy

    options or all countries and regions. Report lead author Khalid Malik, rom the Introduction