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1 Electric Vehicle Initiative (EVI) What it does & where it is going Sarbojit Pal, Manager of Partnerships CEM Secretariat Indian Transport Sector: Marching towards Sustainable Mobility COP-23 Side Event, November 14, 2017 India Pavilion, Bonn, Germany

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Electric Vehicle Initiative (EVI) What it does & where it is going

Sarbojit Pal, Manager of Partnerships

CEM Secretariat

Indian Transport Sector: Marching towards

Sustainable Mobility

COP-23 Side Event, November 14, 2017

India Pavilion, Bonn, Germany

2

CEM: Unique ministerial platform on clean energy…

and not just for two days a year

Year round initiatives and campaigns

3

Accelerating deployment of solar and wind

by sharing best practices

It’s member countries give CEM global significance

75% Global CO2

emissions

90% Clean energy

investments

CEM Countries

Accelerating energy-efficient equipment and

appliances markets - global deployment

Initiatives and campaigns have global

market shaping potential

4

CEM6 - 2015 Mexico

CEM5 - 2014 Korea

CEM4 - 2013 India

CEM3 - 2012 United Kingdom

CEM2 - 2011 United Arab Emirates

CEM7 - 2016 United States

CEM8 - 2017 China

CEM9 - 2018 EU

CEM1 - 2010 United States

CEM10 - 2019 Canada

Yearly Ministerial hosted by different member countries

5

CEM9/MI-3

Energy Integration and Transition Copenhagen/Malmö – the Öresund Region | 23-24 May 2018

Next CEM Ministerial

Co-hosted by the EU and the Nordics

6

CEM Initiatives Campaigns

CEM8 - 2017 China

CEM9 - 2018 EU

YEAR ROUND WORK-STREAMS

The Ministerial is coupled with year-round technical work

7

Increasingly reflecting the fast changing world of energy

8

Government-to-government forum comprising 13 countries

Currently co-chaired by Canada and China, and coordinated by the IEA

Released several analytical publications (Global EV Outlook, City casebook)

Engaged stakeholders in high-level roundtables (CEM8 and Pilot City Forum in Beijing,

June 2017)

Instrumental to mobilize action and commitments (Paris Declaration on Electro-Mobility

and Climate Change at COP21, Government Fleet Declaration at COP22)

Just launched the EV30@30 Campaign (aim for a 30% market share for EVs by 2030)

Electric Vehicle Initiative (EVI)

9

Global EV Outlook 2017

• Annual EVI report drafted at IEA

Data reporting (EV stock, sales, EVSE,

battery costs)

Policy analysis and TCO assessment

CO2 impact and role of EVs in low carbon

scenarios (2030 timeframe)

Insights on grid integration

• (next reports: Nordic EV Outlook, Global

EV Outlook 2018)

10

Breaking records by policy support remains critical

Global electric car fleet

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1 500

2 000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

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Germany

France

United Kingdom

Netherlands

Norway

Japan

USA

China

The global electric car fleet reached 2 million units in circulation last year, but sales

growth went from 70% in 2015 to 40% in 2016, suggesting an increasing risk of

falling off track

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New electric car registrations reach 750K units in 2016

Electric car sales, market share, and BEV and PHEV sales shares

in selected countries in 2010-16

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

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2012

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2014

2015

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2016 market share

2016 BEV sales (%)

2016 PHEV sales (%)

95% of global electric car sales in 2016 took place in 10 countries, and 6 countries

had a market share above 1%: Norway, Netherlands, Sweden, France, United

Kingdom, China

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Electric car sales correlated to changes in EV policies

BEV and PHEV changes in incentives in a selection of countries, 2016

BEV PHEV BEV PHEV BEV PHEV

China 75% 30% 257 000 79 000

United States 22% 70% 86 731 72 885

Norway ~ ↗ 6% 164% 29 520 20 660

United Kingdom 4% 42% 10 509 27 403

France 26% 36% 21 758 7 749

Japan 48% -34% 15 461 9 390

Germany -6% 20% 11 322 13 290

Netherlands ~ ↘ 47% -50% 3 737 20 740

Sweden ~ ↘ 0% 86% 2 951 10 464

Canada 19% 147% 5 220 6 360

Denmark -71% -49% 1 218 182

South Korea 75% -40% 5 099 164~

↘~

~

~

~

2016 salesCountry

2015 vs. 2016 policy

developments

2015 vs. 2016 sales

growth

~

~

~

Changes in electric car incentives, especially for vehicle purchase, can have an

immediate and sizeable impact on electric car sales and steer the market towards

either BEV or PHEV preference.

13

E-mobility is also gaining ground in non-car modes;

China leads the way

Electric 2-wheelers: > 200 million, mainly in China. Other countries: ~200 000 in India, ~30 000 in the Netherlands, ~1 000 in the UK

Electric buses: 350 000 in China. In Europe: deployment stage and ambitious procurement plans

Low-speed electric vehicles: ~4 million in China

14

Goal: at least 30% of new road vehicle* sales across all EVI countries to be electric** by 2030

Implementing actions on:

• Deployment of chargers and fueling infrastructure, public procurement and private sector

deployment of fleets, expanding research (policy focus) to improve the understanding of best

practices on EV policy support, providing resources for capacity building to disseminate these best

practices

• Establish Global EV Pilot City Programme, aiming to achieve 100 EV-Friendly Cities over five years

Commitments open to all interested stakeholders : Governments, businesses, partner

organizations, companies, research institutes, local authorities, association, NGOs, non-profit

organizations

Current supporting NGOs and IGOs:

EVI > EV30@30 Campaign

* Including passenger cars, light commercial vans, buses, and trucks; excluding 2- and 3-wheelers

** Including battery-electric, plug-in hybrid, and fuel cell

15

• Goal: Achieve 100 EV-Friendly Cities over five years

• Support greater dialogue with and provide support to municipal governments

– Topics: urban planning, infrastructure and charging technology, mass transit (including electric buses) and mobility as a service (including car and ride sharing)

• Identify good practices and facilitate their replication and improvement

• Engage in the organization of the Pilot City Forum

Exchange event allowing to facilitate networking and communication across interested stakeholders, to be held alternatively in China in odd years and in another country in even years

• Monitor and report progress : data and information sharing among PCP members

EVI > EV30@30 > Global EV Pilot City Programme (PCP)

Amsterdam

Beijing

London

Los Angeles

Oslo

Shanghai

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India is uniquely placed to benefit from the EVI

• There is a significant domestic and global

momentum on EVs that India could leverage

• EVI could provide the critical link between the

domestic needs and the global transition

• EV30@30 and the Pilot Cities Program (PCP) could

give India the opportunities to learn from global

best practices

• Take the opportunity to also share best-practices

from the country in this era of shared leadership

17

CEM9/MI-3

Energy Integration and Transition Copenhagen/Malmö – the Öresund Region | 23-24 May 2018

CEM: [email protected] EVI: [email protected]

Next CEM Ministerial

Co-hosted by the EU and the Nordics