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Des Moines, June 7th 2016 Global Pork Production- Emerging Issues & Insight into what’s ahead Miguel Angel Higuera, DVM Director Spanish Pig Farmers Association - ANPROGAPOR

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Des Moines, June 7th 2016

Global Pork Production-

Emerging Issues & Insight into

what’s ahead

Miguel Angel Higuera, DVM

Director

Spanish Pig Farmers Association - ANPROGAPOR

- Global and European Pig Meat Sector

- European Production System

- Competitiveness

- Production / Hiperproduction

Global and

European pig

meat market

World Pig Meat Production. 2015

Total Production 2015: 111.458.000 tons (CWE)

50,58%

-0,59%

20,64%

+2,07%

3,10%

+1,50%

2,36%

+4,78%

10,01%

+7,60%

1,65%

+1,94%

1,20%

+3,49% 2,20%

+1,03%

Production change:

2015/2014=0,81%

Global share (%)Change 2015/14 (%)

51,56%

+0,05%

18,62%

+1,38%

2,60%

+1,44%

2,64%

-3,14%

8,42%

+7,98%

1,92%

+6,73% 2,17%

+0.96%

Consumption change:

2015/2014=0,82%

Total Consumption 2015: 110.944.000 tons(CWE)

World Pig Meat Consumption. 2015

Global share (%)Change 2015/14 (%)

3,50%

-9,75%

32,89%

+8,49%

7,91%

+1,624

%

31,74%

+2,95%

1,82%

+11,11

%

Export change:

2015/2014=3,96%

World Exports 2015: 7.145.000 tons (CWE)

2,59%

+13,50

%

16,93%

-0,66%

World Pig Meat Export. 2015

Global share (%)Change 2015/14 (%)

19,73%

-4,65%

14,29%

+12,47

%

13,13%

+11,04

%

4,66%

-41,75%

9,32%

+25,00

%7,80%

+9,85%

Import Change:

2015/2014=1,26%

World Imports 2015: 6.438.000 tons (CWE)

World Pig Meat Import. 2015

Resumen situación Mundial de Carne de Cerdo. 2015

China; 56.375; 50,6%

EU-28; 23.000; 20,6%

USA; 11.158; 10,0%

Brasil; 3.451; 3,1%

Rusia; 2.630; 2,4%

Vietnam; 2.450; 2,2%

Canadá; 1.840; 1,7%Japón; 1.270; 1,1%

Filipinas; 1.370; 1,2%

Otros; 7.914; 7,1%

PIG MEAT PRODUCTION BY COUNTRIES 2015 (THOUSAND OF TONS)

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

Pig Population in UE. 2015

Spain is the first country in pig

population in Europe and third

in the world after China and

USA.

+ 0,86% + 2,67%

16

,2%

11

,7%

9,6

%

6,4

%

6,1

%

5,2

%

5,1

%

4,3

%

3,8

%

3,4

%

3,2

%

3,2

%

3,2

%

1,6

%

1,3

%

1,3

%

0,4

%

-0,2

%

-0,4

%

-0,5

%

-0,9

%

-1,0

%

-1,4

%

-1,8

%

-2,3

%

-3,7

%

-4,7

%

-12

,5%

3,4%

- 25,0%

- 20,0%

- 15,0%

- 10,0%

- 5,0%

+ 5,0%

+ 10,0%

+ 15,0%

+ 20,0%

+ 25,0%

BG HR HU ES IE PT NL EE UK EU IT PL RO CY DE FI BE FR LV AT DK SE SI LT LU GR CZ MT EU

Change in Pig Slaughter (in heads)Jan-Oct. 2015 compared to Jan-Oct .2014

Source= Eurostat

European

Production

System

European Production System is base on:

EPS

AN

IMA

L W

EL

FA

RE

AN

IMA

L F

EE

D

EN

VIO

RO

ME

NT

T R A Z A B I L I T Y

AN

IMA

L H

EA

LT

H

FO

OD

SA

FE

TY

European

Production

System

Animal Welfare

• Group housing sows

• Manipulated materials

• Tail docking

• Castration

• Loose farrowing

http://ec.europa.eu/COMMFrontOffic

e/PublicOpinion/index.cfm/ResultDoc

/download/DocumentKy/71348

EUROBAROMETER

ATTITUDES OF EUROPEANS

TOWARDS ANIMAL WELFARE

2015

Group Housing Sows

Directive 120 / 2008

http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:32008L0120&rid=1

Costs

Example 1. Investment for a 500 sows farm.Keep same number of sowsIncrease the facilitiesFeeding in individual semibox

Example 1.

Total Euros

New constructions 33.750,00

Adaptation of existing Gestation 16.275,00

New Materials 22.500,00

New feeders (20% replacement) 750,00

Floor (continuous solid floor <15%) 6.200,00

Other facilities 2.500,00

Financial cost (10 years credit) 15.000,00

Cost / sow 163,95 € – 193,95 €

Costs

Example 4. Investment for a 500 sows farm.Keep censusIncrease the facilitiesFree access stalls

Costs

Example 4.

Total Euros

New constructions 56.250,00

Adaptation of existing Gestation 15.000,00

New Materials 36.500,00

New feeders (20% replacement) 750,00

Floor (continuous solid floor <15%) 12.000,00

Other facilities 1.000,00

Free access stalls 25.000,00

Financial cost (10 years credit) 25.000,00

Cost / sow 293,00 € – 343,00 €

Costs

Example 5. Investment for a 500 sows farm.Keep censusNo increase the facilitiesElectronic Sow Feeding System

ESF in Iberian sowsElectronics sows feeders

Costs

Example 5.

Total Euros

Adaptation of existing Gestation 30.000,00

Electronic Feeders + cables + computer/software 50.000,00

Floor (continuous solid floor <15%) 12.000,00

Other costs 1.500,00

Financial cost (10 years credit) 15.000,00

Cost / sow 187,00 € – 217,00 €

Costs

Example Census Feeding Cost (€)

1 No change Indv. Semibox 163,95 – 193,95

2 No change Slow feeding 168,60 – 198,95

3 Reduction Indv. Semibox 72,43 – 109,93

4 No change Free access stalls 293,00 – 343,00

5 No change Electronic Sow Feeding 187,00 – 217,00

Average cost 176,00 € – 211,00 €

Costs

Production loss during the works

• First semester: reduction of 15% of sows (in order to have enough

available space to make the works)

• During 1 year. Reduction of production of 10% due animal stress

(works) and adaptation to new management.

Sip Consultors

Costs

Sip Consultors

1st SEMESTER

Fixed cost (85% sows) 24.067,8 €

Variable cost (-)

1st YEAR

Fixed cost (10% production reduction) 29.683,2 €

Variable cost (10% production reduction) 15.611,9 €

TOTAL = 69.363 €

69.363 € / 500 sows = 138,7 €/sow

Production loss during the works

Costs

Example Feeding Investment Cost (€)

Production loss (€)

Total cost (€)

1 Indv. Semibox 163,95 – 193,95 138,7 302,6 – 332.6

2 Slow feeding 168,60 – 198,95 138,7 307.3 - 337.6

3 Indv. Semibox 72,43 – 109,93 138,7 211,1 – 248,6

4 Free access stalls 293,00 – 343,00 138,7 431,7 – 481,7

5

Electronic Sow

Feeding

187,00 – 217,00 138,7 325,7 – 355,7

* Average of total cost to compliance with Directive 120/2008 ≈ 500 – 550 €/sow

Costs

Results Group Housing Sows in Spain

# farms % Av. census

New farm 19 16% 1.344

Rebuilt farm 208 84% 912

Survey results:

# farms % Av. census New Rebuilt

AEF 39 16% 1.322 21% 15%

Free Access 30 12% 1.074 13% 12%

Semi Box 148 60% 920 54% 61%

Hopper 8 3% 756 3% 3%

Others 22 9% 714 10% 9%

L/S/Y WP/F W/S/Y Feed S/Y Feed WP

AEF 2,4 11,1 26,7 1.157 43,9

Free Access 2,38 10,7 25,5 1.151 45,6

Semi Box 2,35 10,7 25,1 1.120 44,8

Hopper 2,33 10,8 25,1 1.191 47,8

Others 2,25 10,8 24,3 1.126 46,7

Results Group Housing Sows in Spain

L/S/Y WP/F W/S/Y Feed S/Y Feed WP

New 2,39 11,2 26,7 1.125 42,9

Rebuilt 2,35 10,7 25,1 1.136 45,6

Born alive / Farrowing;

Manipulated material / Tail Docking

http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-

content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:32016H0336&rid=2

Manipulated material / Tail Docking

http://ec.europa.eu/foo

d/animals/docs/aw-

pract-farm-pigs-staff-

working-

document_en.pdf

Manipulated material / Tail Docking

Material manipulable

Rooting

Chewing

Sniffing

Castration

http://ec.europa.eu/food/animals/docs/aw_prac_farm_pigs_cast-

alt_declaration_en.pdf

Castration

Directive 120/2008

* < 7 days: without anaesthesia neither analgesia. Qualified worker

* > 7 days: With anaesthesia and prolonged analgesia under veterinarian

control

Voluntary declaration:

* 01-01-2012. No castration without anaesthesia y/or analgesia

* 01-01-2018. End of surgical castration

- options:

- Entire male // Semen sexing // genetic selection

- Inmunocastration

- Exceptions:- High quality traditional products

Percentage non-castrated male pigs in selected EU countries during

in 2006 and in 2014.

Loose farrowing

Loose farrowing

European

Production

System

Animal Feed

• GMO: Genetically modified organism(restrictions)

• PAPs: Processed Animal Proteins(Forbidden)

• GP: Growth Promoters(Forbidden)

• Medicated Feed(More controls)

European

Production

System

Environment

• IPPC. Integrated pollution prevention and control• BAT Best Available Technics

• Nitrates Directive – Ammonia Mitigation

• Water Quality

• Air Quality

http://eippcb.jrc.ec.europa.eu/reference/BREF/IRPP_Final_Draft_082015_bw.pdf

http://www.magrama.gob.es/es/ganaderia/te

mas/ganaderia-y-medio-

ambiente/101unece_tfrn_2014_tcm7-

414157.pdf

European

Production

System

Animal Health

• New Regulation on Animal Heath

• “Prevention is better than cure”

• Antibiotics

European

Production

System

Food Safety

• Official Controls

• AMR. Antimicrobial Resistance

http://ec.europa.eu/health/antimicrobial_resistance/docs/roadmap_amr_en.pdf

http://ec.europa.eu/dgs/health_food-safety/docs/communication_amr_2011_748_en.pdf

36%

48%

8%

7%

35%

34%

22%

8%

38%

34%

20%

8%

Antimicrobial application. Europa. 2011-2013

Premix (%)

Oral Powder (%)

Oral Solution (%)

Injection (%)

IMM (%)

Others (%)

54400

54600

54800

55000

55200

55400

55600

55800

56000

2013 2012 2011

PCU. Population Correct Unit.

ESVAC

7800

7900

8000

8100

8200

8300

8400

8500

8600

2013 2012 2011

Quantity of sales (tons)

2013 2012 2011

Q/PCU 147,9 145,2 151,8

140,0

142,0

144,0

146,0

148,0

150,0

152,0

154,0

Títu

lo d

el e

je

Q/PCU

http://www.ema.europa.eu/docs/en_GB/document_library/Report/2015/10/WC500195687.pdf

New legislation in Europe:

- Regulation on Veterinary Medicines

- Regulation of on the manufacture, placing on the market

and use of medicated feed

- (Cross Contamination)

http://ec.europa.eu/health/antimicrobial_resistance/doc

s/2015_prudent_use_guidelines_en.pdf

http://www.epruma.eu/

Critically Important Antibiotics (CIAs)

- Quinolones / Fluoroquinolones

- Cephalosporin's de third y fourth generation

- Colistine. Mrc-1. E. coli

The 2013 advice recommended maintaining the use of colistin in

veterinary medicine but only for the treatment of infected animals and

those in contact with them, and removing all indications for preventive

(or prophylactic) use, in line with the principles of responsible use.

Reduce

Reduction. The Netherland

Reduction. The Netherland

The yellow card

initiative

Reduction. Denmark

Reduction. Denmark

Competitiveness

Hyperprolific

sows

Correlation between number of piglet born and the average weight of the litter

Smith 2007

Born weight variation and genetic lines

Thank you so much!