destiny and start an update · destiny and start . an update . ed performance in the spotlight...

16
Michael M Dinh Royal Prince Alfred Hospital March 2017 DESTINY and START An update

Upload: others

Post on 29-Jul-2020

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: DESTINY and START An update · DESTINY and START . An update . ED Performance in the spotlight Daily Telegraph ... past 30 days, Arrival by Ambulance Final prediction model AUC 0.82

Michael M Dinh

Royal Prince Alfred Hospital March 2017

DESTINY and START An update

ED Performance in the spotlight

Daily Telegraph November 2015

DESTINY ndash Demand for Emergency Services Trend in Years 2010-14

Funded by ACI

State-wide ED data 2010-2014

118 million lines of linked data from EDDC

DESTINY

Characterising and mapping ED demand

Data modelling

Prediction modelling

Studies to date

Dinh MM Berendsen Russell S Bein KJ et al Understanding drivers of Demand for Emergency Service Trends in Years 2010-2014 in New South Wales An initial overview of the DESTINY project Emerg Med Australas 2016

Dinh MM Berendsen Russell S Bein KJ et al Trends and characteristics of short-term and frequent representations to emergency departments A population-based study from New South Wales Australia Emerg Med Australas 2016 Jun28(3)307-12

Studies to date

Dinh MM Muecke S Berendsen Russell SDemand for Emergency Services Trends in New South Wales Years 2010-2014 (DESTINY) Age and Clinical Factors Associated with Ambulance Transportation to Emergency Departments Prehosp Emerg Care 2016 May 231-7

Dinh MM1 Berendsen Russell S2 Bein KJ3 Statewide retrospective study of low acuity emergency presentations in New South Wales Australia who what where and why BMJ Open 2016 May 106(5)

Dinh MM Bein K Ivers R et al Age and injury severity related trends in emergency department presentations Implications for injury surveillance and models of care Injury 2016

Bein KJ Dinh MM et al Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking HEAT maps Emergency Medicine Australasia Accepted October 2016 awaiting publication

Feeling the HEAT (Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking) Emerg Med Aust 2017

Parramatta Road Syndrome

Studies to date

Berendsen Russell S Bell N Dinh MM Triage damned triagedand statistics Accepted Emergency Nursing Journal September 2016 awaiting publication

Dinh MM et al The Sydney Triage to Admission Risk Tool Derivation and Internal validation study BMC Emergency Medicine Feb 2017

Learnings from DESTINY

Diagnostic coding in EDDC problematic

5000 presenting problems

Older patients with higher acuity driving demand for ED and representation rates ndash Models of care

Low acuity not increasing

Disposition

Critical decision in clinical care in ED

Generally 1-2 hours for a workup and clinical reviews in ED

1-2 hours for an in-patient team to ldquoacceptrdquo a patient

How do we streamline standardise and make this a data driven process

START

Sick older patients with comorbidities ndash can we improve the process for them

17 million ED presentations from Level 5 and 6 EDs 2013-14

Age Triage Category presenting problem admission within past 30 days Arrival by Ambulance

Final prediction model AUC 082

Prospective validation underway ndash interim analysis (n=600) AUC 081

Evaluation study

Trial of START within SLHD

START calculated at triage and communicated to senior ED clinicians to expedite decision making

Does use of START reduce length of stay and ED performance

TRGS grant application $755000 over two years

Supported by ECI

Firstnet screenshot

High probability admission call inpatient team arrange bed

  • Slide Number 1
  • ED Performance in the spotlight
  • DESTINY ndash Demand for Emergency Services Trend in Years 2010-14
  • DESTINY
  • Studies to date
  • Studies to date
  • Feeling the HEAT (Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking) Emerg Med Aust 2017
  • Parramatta Road Syndrome
  • Studies to date
  • Learnings from DESTINY
  • Slide Number 11
  • Disposition
  • START
  • Slide Number 14
  • Evaluation study
  • Firstnet screenshot
Page 2: DESTINY and START An update · DESTINY and START . An update . ED Performance in the spotlight Daily Telegraph ... past 30 days, Arrival by Ambulance Final prediction model AUC 0.82

ED Performance in the spotlight

Daily Telegraph November 2015

DESTINY ndash Demand for Emergency Services Trend in Years 2010-14

Funded by ACI

State-wide ED data 2010-2014

118 million lines of linked data from EDDC

DESTINY

Characterising and mapping ED demand

Data modelling

Prediction modelling

Studies to date

Dinh MM Berendsen Russell S Bein KJ et al Understanding drivers of Demand for Emergency Service Trends in Years 2010-2014 in New South Wales An initial overview of the DESTINY project Emerg Med Australas 2016

Dinh MM Berendsen Russell S Bein KJ et al Trends and characteristics of short-term and frequent representations to emergency departments A population-based study from New South Wales Australia Emerg Med Australas 2016 Jun28(3)307-12

Studies to date

Dinh MM Muecke S Berendsen Russell SDemand for Emergency Services Trends in New South Wales Years 2010-2014 (DESTINY) Age and Clinical Factors Associated with Ambulance Transportation to Emergency Departments Prehosp Emerg Care 2016 May 231-7

Dinh MM1 Berendsen Russell S2 Bein KJ3 Statewide retrospective study of low acuity emergency presentations in New South Wales Australia who what where and why BMJ Open 2016 May 106(5)

Dinh MM Bein K Ivers R et al Age and injury severity related trends in emergency department presentations Implications for injury surveillance and models of care Injury 2016

Bein KJ Dinh MM et al Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking HEAT maps Emergency Medicine Australasia Accepted October 2016 awaiting publication

Feeling the HEAT (Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking) Emerg Med Aust 2017

Parramatta Road Syndrome

Studies to date

Berendsen Russell S Bell N Dinh MM Triage damned triagedand statistics Accepted Emergency Nursing Journal September 2016 awaiting publication

Dinh MM et al The Sydney Triage to Admission Risk Tool Derivation and Internal validation study BMC Emergency Medicine Feb 2017

Learnings from DESTINY

Diagnostic coding in EDDC problematic

5000 presenting problems

Older patients with higher acuity driving demand for ED and representation rates ndash Models of care

Low acuity not increasing

Disposition

Critical decision in clinical care in ED

Generally 1-2 hours for a workup and clinical reviews in ED

1-2 hours for an in-patient team to ldquoacceptrdquo a patient

How do we streamline standardise and make this a data driven process

START

Sick older patients with comorbidities ndash can we improve the process for them

17 million ED presentations from Level 5 and 6 EDs 2013-14

Age Triage Category presenting problem admission within past 30 days Arrival by Ambulance

Final prediction model AUC 082

Prospective validation underway ndash interim analysis (n=600) AUC 081

Evaluation study

Trial of START within SLHD

START calculated at triage and communicated to senior ED clinicians to expedite decision making

Does use of START reduce length of stay and ED performance

TRGS grant application $755000 over two years

Supported by ECI

Firstnet screenshot

High probability admission call inpatient team arrange bed

  • Slide Number 1
  • ED Performance in the spotlight
  • DESTINY ndash Demand for Emergency Services Trend in Years 2010-14
  • DESTINY
  • Studies to date
  • Studies to date
  • Feeling the HEAT (Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking) Emerg Med Aust 2017
  • Parramatta Road Syndrome
  • Studies to date
  • Learnings from DESTINY
  • Slide Number 11
  • Disposition
  • START
  • Slide Number 14
  • Evaluation study
  • Firstnet screenshot
Page 3: DESTINY and START An update · DESTINY and START . An update . ED Performance in the spotlight Daily Telegraph ... past 30 days, Arrival by Ambulance Final prediction model AUC 0.82

DESTINY ndash Demand for Emergency Services Trend in Years 2010-14

Funded by ACI

State-wide ED data 2010-2014

118 million lines of linked data from EDDC

DESTINY

Characterising and mapping ED demand

Data modelling

Prediction modelling

Studies to date

Dinh MM Berendsen Russell S Bein KJ et al Understanding drivers of Demand for Emergency Service Trends in Years 2010-2014 in New South Wales An initial overview of the DESTINY project Emerg Med Australas 2016

Dinh MM Berendsen Russell S Bein KJ et al Trends and characteristics of short-term and frequent representations to emergency departments A population-based study from New South Wales Australia Emerg Med Australas 2016 Jun28(3)307-12

Studies to date

Dinh MM Muecke S Berendsen Russell SDemand for Emergency Services Trends in New South Wales Years 2010-2014 (DESTINY) Age and Clinical Factors Associated with Ambulance Transportation to Emergency Departments Prehosp Emerg Care 2016 May 231-7

Dinh MM1 Berendsen Russell S2 Bein KJ3 Statewide retrospective study of low acuity emergency presentations in New South Wales Australia who what where and why BMJ Open 2016 May 106(5)

Dinh MM Bein K Ivers R et al Age and injury severity related trends in emergency department presentations Implications for injury surveillance and models of care Injury 2016

Bein KJ Dinh MM et al Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking HEAT maps Emergency Medicine Australasia Accepted October 2016 awaiting publication

Feeling the HEAT (Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking) Emerg Med Aust 2017

Parramatta Road Syndrome

Studies to date

Berendsen Russell S Bell N Dinh MM Triage damned triagedand statistics Accepted Emergency Nursing Journal September 2016 awaiting publication

Dinh MM et al The Sydney Triage to Admission Risk Tool Derivation and Internal validation study BMC Emergency Medicine Feb 2017

Learnings from DESTINY

Diagnostic coding in EDDC problematic

5000 presenting problems

Older patients with higher acuity driving demand for ED and representation rates ndash Models of care

Low acuity not increasing

Disposition

Critical decision in clinical care in ED

Generally 1-2 hours for a workup and clinical reviews in ED

1-2 hours for an in-patient team to ldquoacceptrdquo a patient

How do we streamline standardise and make this a data driven process

START

Sick older patients with comorbidities ndash can we improve the process for them

17 million ED presentations from Level 5 and 6 EDs 2013-14

Age Triage Category presenting problem admission within past 30 days Arrival by Ambulance

Final prediction model AUC 082

Prospective validation underway ndash interim analysis (n=600) AUC 081

Evaluation study

Trial of START within SLHD

START calculated at triage and communicated to senior ED clinicians to expedite decision making

Does use of START reduce length of stay and ED performance

TRGS grant application $755000 over two years

Supported by ECI

Firstnet screenshot

High probability admission call inpatient team arrange bed

  • Slide Number 1
  • ED Performance in the spotlight
  • DESTINY ndash Demand for Emergency Services Trend in Years 2010-14
  • DESTINY
  • Studies to date
  • Studies to date
  • Feeling the HEAT (Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking) Emerg Med Aust 2017
  • Parramatta Road Syndrome
  • Studies to date
  • Learnings from DESTINY
  • Slide Number 11
  • Disposition
  • START
  • Slide Number 14
  • Evaluation study
  • Firstnet screenshot
Page 4: DESTINY and START An update · DESTINY and START . An update . ED Performance in the spotlight Daily Telegraph ... past 30 days, Arrival by Ambulance Final prediction model AUC 0.82

DESTINY

Characterising and mapping ED demand

Data modelling

Prediction modelling

Studies to date

Dinh MM Berendsen Russell S Bein KJ et al Understanding drivers of Demand for Emergency Service Trends in Years 2010-2014 in New South Wales An initial overview of the DESTINY project Emerg Med Australas 2016

Dinh MM Berendsen Russell S Bein KJ et al Trends and characteristics of short-term and frequent representations to emergency departments A population-based study from New South Wales Australia Emerg Med Australas 2016 Jun28(3)307-12

Studies to date

Dinh MM Muecke S Berendsen Russell SDemand for Emergency Services Trends in New South Wales Years 2010-2014 (DESTINY) Age and Clinical Factors Associated with Ambulance Transportation to Emergency Departments Prehosp Emerg Care 2016 May 231-7

Dinh MM1 Berendsen Russell S2 Bein KJ3 Statewide retrospective study of low acuity emergency presentations in New South Wales Australia who what where and why BMJ Open 2016 May 106(5)

Dinh MM Bein K Ivers R et al Age and injury severity related trends in emergency department presentations Implications for injury surveillance and models of care Injury 2016

Bein KJ Dinh MM et al Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking HEAT maps Emergency Medicine Australasia Accepted October 2016 awaiting publication

Feeling the HEAT (Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking) Emerg Med Aust 2017

Parramatta Road Syndrome

Studies to date

Berendsen Russell S Bell N Dinh MM Triage damned triagedand statistics Accepted Emergency Nursing Journal September 2016 awaiting publication

Dinh MM et al The Sydney Triage to Admission Risk Tool Derivation and Internal validation study BMC Emergency Medicine Feb 2017

Learnings from DESTINY

Diagnostic coding in EDDC problematic

5000 presenting problems

Older patients with higher acuity driving demand for ED and representation rates ndash Models of care

Low acuity not increasing

Disposition

Critical decision in clinical care in ED

Generally 1-2 hours for a workup and clinical reviews in ED

1-2 hours for an in-patient team to ldquoacceptrdquo a patient

How do we streamline standardise and make this a data driven process

START

Sick older patients with comorbidities ndash can we improve the process for them

17 million ED presentations from Level 5 and 6 EDs 2013-14

Age Triage Category presenting problem admission within past 30 days Arrival by Ambulance

Final prediction model AUC 082

Prospective validation underway ndash interim analysis (n=600) AUC 081

Evaluation study

Trial of START within SLHD

START calculated at triage and communicated to senior ED clinicians to expedite decision making

Does use of START reduce length of stay and ED performance

TRGS grant application $755000 over two years

Supported by ECI

Firstnet screenshot

High probability admission call inpatient team arrange bed

  • Slide Number 1
  • ED Performance in the spotlight
  • DESTINY ndash Demand for Emergency Services Trend in Years 2010-14
  • DESTINY
  • Studies to date
  • Studies to date
  • Feeling the HEAT (Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking) Emerg Med Aust 2017
  • Parramatta Road Syndrome
  • Studies to date
  • Learnings from DESTINY
  • Slide Number 11
  • Disposition
  • START
  • Slide Number 14
  • Evaluation study
  • Firstnet screenshot
Page 5: DESTINY and START An update · DESTINY and START . An update . ED Performance in the spotlight Daily Telegraph ... past 30 days, Arrival by Ambulance Final prediction model AUC 0.82

Studies to date

Dinh MM Berendsen Russell S Bein KJ et al Understanding drivers of Demand for Emergency Service Trends in Years 2010-2014 in New South Wales An initial overview of the DESTINY project Emerg Med Australas 2016

Dinh MM Berendsen Russell S Bein KJ et al Trends and characteristics of short-term and frequent representations to emergency departments A population-based study from New South Wales Australia Emerg Med Australas 2016 Jun28(3)307-12

Studies to date

Dinh MM Muecke S Berendsen Russell SDemand for Emergency Services Trends in New South Wales Years 2010-2014 (DESTINY) Age and Clinical Factors Associated with Ambulance Transportation to Emergency Departments Prehosp Emerg Care 2016 May 231-7

Dinh MM1 Berendsen Russell S2 Bein KJ3 Statewide retrospective study of low acuity emergency presentations in New South Wales Australia who what where and why BMJ Open 2016 May 106(5)

Dinh MM Bein K Ivers R et al Age and injury severity related trends in emergency department presentations Implications for injury surveillance and models of care Injury 2016

Bein KJ Dinh MM et al Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking HEAT maps Emergency Medicine Australasia Accepted October 2016 awaiting publication

Feeling the HEAT (Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking) Emerg Med Aust 2017

Parramatta Road Syndrome

Studies to date

Berendsen Russell S Bell N Dinh MM Triage damned triagedand statistics Accepted Emergency Nursing Journal September 2016 awaiting publication

Dinh MM et al The Sydney Triage to Admission Risk Tool Derivation and Internal validation study BMC Emergency Medicine Feb 2017

Learnings from DESTINY

Diagnostic coding in EDDC problematic

5000 presenting problems

Older patients with higher acuity driving demand for ED and representation rates ndash Models of care

Low acuity not increasing

Disposition

Critical decision in clinical care in ED

Generally 1-2 hours for a workup and clinical reviews in ED

1-2 hours for an in-patient team to ldquoacceptrdquo a patient

How do we streamline standardise and make this a data driven process

START

Sick older patients with comorbidities ndash can we improve the process for them

17 million ED presentations from Level 5 and 6 EDs 2013-14

Age Triage Category presenting problem admission within past 30 days Arrival by Ambulance

Final prediction model AUC 082

Prospective validation underway ndash interim analysis (n=600) AUC 081

Evaluation study

Trial of START within SLHD

START calculated at triage and communicated to senior ED clinicians to expedite decision making

Does use of START reduce length of stay and ED performance

TRGS grant application $755000 over two years

Supported by ECI

Firstnet screenshot

High probability admission call inpatient team arrange bed

  • Slide Number 1
  • ED Performance in the spotlight
  • DESTINY ndash Demand for Emergency Services Trend in Years 2010-14
  • DESTINY
  • Studies to date
  • Studies to date
  • Feeling the HEAT (Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking) Emerg Med Aust 2017
  • Parramatta Road Syndrome
  • Studies to date
  • Learnings from DESTINY
  • Slide Number 11
  • Disposition
  • START
  • Slide Number 14
  • Evaluation study
  • Firstnet screenshot
Page 6: DESTINY and START An update · DESTINY and START . An update . ED Performance in the spotlight Daily Telegraph ... past 30 days, Arrival by Ambulance Final prediction model AUC 0.82

Studies to date

Dinh MM Muecke S Berendsen Russell SDemand for Emergency Services Trends in New South Wales Years 2010-2014 (DESTINY) Age and Clinical Factors Associated with Ambulance Transportation to Emergency Departments Prehosp Emerg Care 2016 May 231-7

Dinh MM1 Berendsen Russell S2 Bein KJ3 Statewide retrospective study of low acuity emergency presentations in New South Wales Australia who what where and why BMJ Open 2016 May 106(5)

Dinh MM Bein K Ivers R et al Age and injury severity related trends in emergency department presentations Implications for injury surveillance and models of care Injury 2016

Bein KJ Dinh MM et al Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking HEAT maps Emergency Medicine Australasia Accepted October 2016 awaiting publication

Feeling the HEAT (Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking) Emerg Med Aust 2017

Parramatta Road Syndrome

Studies to date

Berendsen Russell S Bell N Dinh MM Triage damned triagedand statistics Accepted Emergency Nursing Journal September 2016 awaiting publication

Dinh MM et al The Sydney Triage to Admission Risk Tool Derivation and Internal validation study BMC Emergency Medicine Feb 2017

Learnings from DESTINY

Diagnostic coding in EDDC problematic

5000 presenting problems

Older patients with higher acuity driving demand for ED and representation rates ndash Models of care

Low acuity not increasing

Disposition

Critical decision in clinical care in ED

Generally 1-2 hours for a workup and clinical reviews in ED

1-2 hours for an in-patient team to ldquoacceptrdquo a patient

How do we streamline standardise and make this a data driven process

START

Sick older patients with comorbidities ndash can we improve the process for them

17 million ED presentations from Level 5 and 6 EDs 2013-14

Age Triage Category presenting problem admission within past 30 days Arrival by Ambulance

Final prediction model AUC 082

Prospective validation underway ndash interim analysis (n=600) AUC 081

Evaluation study

Trial of START within SLHD

START calculated at triage and communicated to senior ED clinicians to expedite decision making

Does use of START reduce length of stay and ED performance

TRGS grant application $755000 over two years

Supported by ECI

Firstnet screenshot

High probability admission call inpatient team arrange bed

  • Slide Number 1
  • ED Performance in the spotlight
  • DESTINY ndash Demand for Emergency Services Trend in Years 2010-14
  • DESTINY
  • Studies to date
  • Studies to date
  • Feeling the HEAT (Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking) Emerg Med Aust 2017
  • Parramatta Road Syndrome
  • Studies to date
  • Learnings from DESTINY
  • Slide Number 11
  • Disposition
  • START
  • Slide Number 14
  • Evaluation study
  • Firstnet screenshot
Page 7: DESTINY and START An update · DESTINY and START . An update . ED Performance in the spotlight Daily Telegraph ... past 30 days, Arrival by Ambulance Final prediction model AUC 0.82

Feeling the HEAT (Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking) Emerg Med Aust 2017

Parramatta Road Syndrome

Studies to date

Berendsen Russell S Bell N Dinh MM Triage damned triagedand statistics Accepted Emergency Nursing Journal September 2016 awaiting publication

Dinh MM et al The Sydney Triage to Admission Risk Tool Derivation and Internal validation study BMC Emergency Medicine Feb 2017

Learnings from DESTINY

Diagnostic coding in EDDC problematic

5000 presenting problems

Older patients with higher acuity driving demand for ED and representation rates ndash Models of care

Low acuity not increasing

Disposition

Critical decision in clinical care in ED

Generally 1-2 hours for a workup and clinical reviews in ED

1-2 hours for an in-patient team to ldquoacceptrdquo a patient

How do we streamline standardise and make this a data driven process

START

Sick older patients with comorbidities ndash can we improve the process for them

17 million ED presentations from Level 5 and 6 EDs 2013-14

Age Triage Category presenting problem admission within past 30 days Arrival by Ambulance

Final prediction model AUC 082

Prospective validation underway ndash interim analysis (n=600) AUC 081

Evaluation study

Trial of START within SLHD

START calculated at triage and communicated to senior ED clinicians to expedite decision making

Does use of START reduce length of stay and ED performance

TRGS grant application $755000 over two years

Supported by ECI

Firstnet screenshot

High probability admission call inpatient team arrange bed

  • Slide Number 1
  • ED Performance in the spotlight
  • DESTINY ndash Demand for Emergency Services Trend in Years 2010-14
  • DESTINY
  • Studies to date
  • Studies to date
  • Feeling the HEAT (Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking) Emerg Med Aust 2017
  • Parramatta Road Syndrome
  • Studies to date
  • Learnings from DESTINY
  • Slide Number 11
  • Disposition
  • START
  • Slide Number 14
  • Evaluation study
  • Firstnet screenshot
Page 8: DESTINY and START An update · DESTINY and START . An update . ED Performance in the spotlight Daily Telegraph ... past 30 days, Arrival by Ambulance Final prediction model AUC 0.82

Parramatta Road Syndrome

Studies to date

Berendsen Russell S Bell N Dinh MM Triage damned triagedand statistics Accepted Emergency Nursing Journal September 2016 awaiting publication

Dinh MM et al The Sydney Triage to Admission Risk Tool Derivation and Internal validation study BMC Emergency Medicine Feb 2017

Learnings from DESTINY

Diagnostic coding in EDDC problematic

5000 presenting problems

Older patients with higher acuity driving demand for ED and representation rates ndash Models of care

Low acuity not increasing

Disposition

Critical decision in clinical care in ED

Generally 1-2 hours for a workup and clinical reviews in ED

1-2 hours for an in-patient team to ldquoacceptrdquo a patient

How do we streamline standardise and make this a data driven process

START

Sick older patients with comorbidities ndash can we improve the process for them

17 million ED presentations from Level 5 and 6 EDs 2013-14

Age Triage Category presenting problem admission within past 30 days Arrival by Ambulance

Final prediction model AUC 082

Prospective validation underway ndash interim analysis (n=600) AUC 081

Evaluation study

Trial of START within SLHD

START calculated at triage and communicated to senior ED clinicians to expedite decision making

Does use of START reduce length of stay and ED performance

TRGS grant application $755000 over two years

Supported by ECI

Firstnet screenshot

High probability admission call inpatient team arrange bed

  • Slide Number 1
  • ED Performance in the spotlight
  • DESTINY ndash Demand for Emergency Services Trend in Years 2010-14
  • DESTINY
  • Studies to date
  • Studies to date
  • Feeling the HEAT (Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking) Emerg Med Aust 2017
  • Parramatta Road Syndrome
  • Studies to date
  • Learnings from DESTINY
  • Slide Number 11
  • Disposition
  • START
  • Slide Number 14
  • Evaluation study
  • Firstnet screenshot
Page 9: DESTINY and START An update · DESTINY and START . An update . ED Performance in the spotlight Daily Telegraph ... past 30 days, Arrival by Ambulance Final prediction model AUC 0.82

Studies to date

Berendsen Russell S Bell N Dinh MM Triage damned triagedand statistics Accepted Emergency Nursing Journal September 2016 awaiting publication

Dinh MM et al The Sydney Triage to Admission Risk Tool Derivation and Internal validation study BMC Emergency Medicine Feb 2017

Learnings from DESTINY

Diagnostic coding in EDDC problematic

5000 presenting problems

Older patients with higher acuity driving demand for ED and representation rates ndash Models of care

Low acuity not increasing

Disposition

Critical decision in clinical care in ED

Generally 1-2 hours for a workup and clinical reviews in ED

1-2 hours for an in-patient team to ldquoacceptrdquo a patient

How do we streamline standardise and make this a data driven process

START

Sick older patients with comorbidities ndash can we improve the process for them

17 million ED presentations from Level 5 and 6 EDs 2013-14

Age Triage Category presenting problem admission within past 30 days Arrival by Ambulance

Final prediction model AUC 082

Prospective validation underway ndash interim analysis (n=600) AUC 081

Evaluation study

Trial of START within SLHD

START calculated at triage and communicated to senior ED clinicians to expedite decision making

Does use of START reduce length of stay and ED performance

TRGS grant application $755000 over two years

Supported by ECI

Firstnet screenshot

High probability admission call inpatient team arrange bed

  • Slide Number 1
  • ED Performance in the spotlight
  • DESTINY ndash Demand for Emergency Services Trend in Years 2010-14
  • DESTINY
  • Studies to date
  • Studies to date
  • Feeling the HEAT (Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking) Emerg Med Aust 2017
  • Parramatta Road Syndrome
  • Studies to date
  • Learnings from DESTINY
  • Slide Number 11
  • Disposition
  • START
  • Slide Number 14
  • Evaluation study
  • Firstnet screenshot
Page 10: DESTINY and START An update · DESTINY and START . An update . ED Performance in the spotlight Daily Telegraph ... past 30 days, Arrival by Ambulance Final prediction model AUC 0.82

Learnings from DESTINY

Diagnostic coding in EDDC problematic

5000 presenting problems

Older patients with higher acuity driving demand for ED and representation rates ndash Models of care

Low acuity not increasing

Disposition

Critical decision in clinical care in ED

Generally 1-2 hours for a workup and clinical reviews in ED

1-2 hours for an in-patient team to ldquoacceptrdquo a patient

How do we streamline standardise and make this a data driven process

START

Sick older patients with comorbidities ndash can we improve the process for them

17 million ED presentations from Level 5 and 6 EDs 2013-14

Age Triage Category presenting problem admission within past 30 days Arrival by Ambulance

Final prediction model AUC 082

Prospective validation underway ndash interim analysis (n=600) AUC 081

Evaluation study

Trial of START within SLHD

START calculated at triage and communicated to senior ED clinicians to expedite decision making

Does use of START reduce length of stay and ED performance

TRGS grant application $755000 over two years

Supported by ECI

Firstnet screenshot

High probability admission call inpatient team arrange bed

  • Slide Number 1
  • ED Performance in the spotlight
  • DESTINY ndash Demand for Emergency Services Trend in Years 2010-14
  • DESTINY
  • Studies to date
  • Studies to date
  • Feeling the HEAT (Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking) Emerg Med Aust 2017
  • Parramatta Road Syndrome
  • Studies to date
  • Learnings from DESTINY
  • Slide Number 11
  • Disposition
  • START
  • Slide Number 14
  • Evaluation study
  • Firstnet screenshot
Page 11: DESTINY and START An update · DESTINY and START . An update . ED Performance in the spotlight Daily Telegraph ... past 30 days, Arrival by Ambulance Final prediction model AUC 0.82

Disposition

Critical decision in clinical care in ED

Generally 1-2 hours for a workup and clinical reviews in ED

1-2 hours for an in-patient team to ldquoacceptrdquo a patient

How do we streamline standardise and make this a data driven process

START

Sick older patients with comorbidities ndash can we improve the process for them

17 million ED presentations from Level 5 and 6 EDs 2013-14

Age Triage Category presenting problem admission within past 30 days Arrival by Ambulance

Final prediction model AUC 082

Prospective validation underway ndash interim analysis (n=600) AUC 081

Evaluation study

Trial of START within SLHD

START calculated at triage and communicated to senior ED clinicians to expedite decision making

Does use of START reduce length of stay and ED performance

TRGS grant application $755000 over two years

Supported by ECI

Firstnet screenshot

High probability admission call inpatient team arrange bed

  • Slide Number 1
  • ED Performance in the spotlight
  • DESTINY ndash Demand for Emergency Services Trend in Years 2010-14
  • DESTINY
  • Studies to date
  • Studies to date
  • Feeling the HEAT (Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking) Emerg Med Aust 2017
  • Parramatta Road Syndrome
  • Studies to date
  • Learnings from DESTINY
  • Slide Number 11
  • Disposition
  • START
  • Slide Number 14
  • Evaluation study
  • Firstnet screenshot
Page 12: DESTINY and START An update · DESTINY and START . An update . ED Performance in the spotlight Daily Telegraph ... past 30 days, Arrival by Ambulance Final prediction model AUC 0.82

START

Sick older patients with comorbidities ndash can we improve the process for them

17 million ED presentations from Level 5 and 6 EDs 2013-14

Age Triage Category presenting problem admission within past 30 days Arrival by Ambulance

Final prediction model AUC 082

Prospective validation underway ndash interim analysis (n=600) AUC 081

Evaluation study

Trial of START within SLHD

START calculated at triage and communicated to senior ED clinicians to expedite decision making

Does use of START reduce length of stay and ED performance

TRGS grant application $755000 over two years

Supported by ECI

Firstnet screenshot

High probability admission call inpatient team arrange bed

  • Slide Number 1
  • ED Performance in the spotlight
  • DESTINY ndash Demand for Emergency Services Trend in Years 2010-14
  • DESTINY
  • Studies to date
  • Studies to date
  • Feeling the HEAT (Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking) Emerg Med Aust 2017
  • Parramatta Road Syndrome
  • Studies to date
  • Learnings from DESTINY
  • Slide Number 11
  • Disposition
  • START
  • Slide Number 14
  • Evaluation study
  • Firstnet screenshot
Page 13: DESTINY and START An update · DESTINY and START . An update . ED Performance in the spotlight Daily Telegraph ... past 30 days, Arrival by Ambulance Final prediction model AUC 0.82

Evaluation study

Trial of START within SLHD

START calculated at triage and communicated to senior ED clinicians to expedite decision making

Does use of START reduce length of stay and ED performance

TRGS grant application $755000 over two years

Supported by ECI

Firstnet screenshot

High probability admission call inpatient team arrange bed

  • Slide Number 1
  • ED Performance in the spotlight
  • DESTINY ndash Demand for Emergency Services Trend in Years 2010-14
  • DESTINY
  • Studies to date
  • Studies to date
  • Feeling the HEAT (Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking) Emerg Med Aust 2017
  • Parramatta Road Syndrome
  • Studies to date
  • Learnings from DESTINY
  • Slide Number 11
  • Disposition
  • START
  • Slide Number 14
  • Evaluation study
  • Firstnet screenshot
Page 14: DESTINY and START An update · DESTINY and START . An update . ED Performance in the spotlight Daily Telegraph ... past 30 days, Arrival by Ambulance Final prediction model AUC 0.82

Firstnet screenshot

High probability admission call inpatient team arrange bed

  • Slide Number 1
  • ED Performance in the spotlight
  • DESTINY ndash Demand for Emergency Services Trend in Years 2010-14
  • DESTINY
  • Studies to date
  • Studies to date
  • Feeling the HEAT (Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking) Emerg Med Aust 2017
  • Parramatta Road Syndrome
  • Studies to date
  • Learnings from DESTINY
  • Slide Number 11
  • Disposition
  • START
  • Slide Number 14
  • Evaluation study
  • Firstnet screenshot