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Page 1: CPA Infrastructure Reconstruction doc 71 Room/… · N/P DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04 12-19 Feb 20-26 Feb 27 Feb - 4 JVar 5-11 JVar 12-18 JVar 19-25 JVar 26 JVar-1 Apr
Page 2: CPA Infrastructure Reconstruction doc 71 Room/… · N/P DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04 12-19 Feb 20-26 Feb 27 Feb - 4 JVar 5-11 JVar 12-18 JVar 19-25 JVar 26 JVar-1 Apr

UNCLASSIFIED DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04

-. •i ·. :.;;~'"1:;~.;;-.

CPA Priorities: CPA Intermediate Objectives: • Essential Services • Improve Healthcare • Security • Provide Food Security • Governance • Economy

• Support Development of Sustainable Political Parties and Associations

• Strategic Communications

• Build financial market structures • Prepare for 30 Jun transition

Weekly Highlights: ft>.. • Total number of attacks highest recorded since tracking began ,(;· • Interagency Transition Planning Te~m led by AMB Ricciardone and · · L TG{Ret) Kicklighter are developing transition plan ;Jti • Extensive activities continue in support of political transition and the .11' Transitional Administrative Law {TAL) ., , • Transfer of Ministry of Health and Ministry of Public Works responsibilities a, to full Iraqi control authority f 11

• 1 ,064,000 telephone subscribers - 28o/o above pre-war active subscribers ~: • As of 28 Mar, estimated crude oil export revenue reached $3.7 billion for ... ~, 2004 N/P 2 UNCLASSIFIED

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DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04

Goal June 04: 6,000 MW Peak Production Capacity

6000.----------=----=-===-----========================~====~·

5000 ··-

II 4ooo C'CI

I 3ooo 5f ::i5 2000

1000

0 30 Jan- 6-12 Feb 13-19 20-26 27 Feb- 05 Mar- 12 Mar- 19 Mar- 26 Mar- 02 Apr-

5 Feb Feb Feb 4 Mar 11 Mar 18 Mar 25 Mar 01 Apr 08 Apr

- Production {MW) ~Goa1Jun04

-Goal0ct03

• Ambassador Bremer approved a new increase plan on 14 Jan to prevent current project delays from impacting the goal of 6,000 MW peak capacity and 120,000 MWH of production by 01 Jun

• CPA Autumn Maintenance Program began in Oct 03, continued through the Winter, and transitioned into the Spring program in Feb 04. This has resulted in 1 ,907 MW in scheduled maintenance losses over the past week. Unscheduled generator maintenance continues with 410 MW out of service

Data as of 08 Apr 3 UNCLASSIFIED

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MWH

MW 2500

·~

' i i'P

2000

1500

1000

'"~ 500

0

DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 !355 EST Apr 04

Mega Watt Hour Production . 140000

120000

100000

80000

60000 --JuneGoaiMWH

40000 --.,MWHrs Actual

20000 ~-=oMWHrs 7DayAv.

0

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~-~~ ~~~~~~Jn~JJ~-~-~-~-~-~-~

~ ~ ~ ~ ~v ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~

By Region 2330 2300 2350

2100

D Pre-\Nar 1788

1700 ., D Current:

1200 1320

1140 o C>ct: 03 Goal

-f----- - D J un 04 Goal

600 500

-1----1 ·~~

I ~ J 1-----1

North Central South

N/PI Data as of 08 Apr 4 UNCLASSIFIED

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. VD7

. o"Nay.nawa-0, . 360MW 15Hrs

An bar 175MW 15Hrs

DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04

Muthanna 59MW 18 Hrs

5

a 7 Day Period --~"-l , " -- _ ,·~:S 8 Hrs =Red 0

9 to 15 Hrs =Amber 0 ~ . ~wE-- ~;;·L&......._.~ ~ 16 Hrs = Green Q ~'~111fl~~~"'1a Percent Chanae {7 Davl

Baghdad -6.0%

Duhok -0.5%

Naynawa -5.4%

Tamim -4.5%

Salah Ad Din -4.5%

An bar -5.3%

Dyala -7.9%

Babil -5.1%

Karbala -0.8%

Najaf -6.2%

Qadisiyah 0.0%

Was it -3.2%

Muthanna -9.0%

Dhi Qar 3.5%

Misan 1.8%

Basrah 7.6%

UNCLASSIFIED

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N/P

DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04

12-19 Feb 20-26 Feb 27 Feb - 4 JVar 5-11 JVar 12-18 JVar 19-25 JVar 26 JVar- 1 Apr 2-8Apr

I c:::J Production -Target I

Weekly Average of 2.480 MBPD Exceeds Target of 2.5 MBPD • Long Term Target (Dec 04): 2.8-3.0 MBPD (Pre-War Capacity) • Pre-War Peak: 2.5 MBPD in Mar 03 • Post-war Peak: 2.541 MBPD on 28 Feb 04 • Weekly average of crude exports: 1.603 MBPD

6 UNCLASSIFIED

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DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04

25.0

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12-19 Feb 20-26 Feb 27 Feb-4 Mar 5-11 Mar 12-18 Mar 19-251Vlar 26 Mar-1 Apr 2-8Apr

I c::J Production - Import =-Target I

• This week's average production and imports are 11 Oo/o of goal

• Goal changed from 18ML to 19.5 ML N/P 7 UNCLASSIFIED

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DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04

20.0

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2.0 Current Goal:

0.0 12-19 Feb 20-26 Feb 27 Feb -4 Mar 5-11 Mar 12-18 Mar 19-25 Mar 26 Mar -1 Apr 2-8Apr

I r:::::::1 Production - Import -Target I

• This week's average production and imports are 100% of goal

• Goal changed from 18ML to 6ML

8 UNCLASSIFIED

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DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04

25.0

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12-19 Feb 20-26 Feb 27 Feb -4 Mar 5-11 Mar 12-18 Mar 19-25 Mar 26 Mar-1 Apr 2-8Apr

j c::::J Production - Import ~Target j

• This week's average production and imports are 78% of goal

• Goal changed from 18ML to 21ML N/P 9 UNCLASSIFIED

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DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04

7000

Current Goal: 4,800 Tons .,..,-----1

6000

i;' 5000

c ... (I) 4000 a. en c ~ 3000

2000

1000

0~--------~----------~----------~---------.----------.-----------.---------~ 12-19 Feb 20-26 Feb 27 Feb -4 Mar 5-11 Mar 12-18 Mar 19-25 Mar 26 Mar-1 Apr 2-8Apr

/ c=J Production - Import -Target I

• This week's average production and imports are 77% of goal

• Goal changed from 6,000 to 4,800 tons N/P

10 UNCLASSIFIED

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DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04

• The Ministry of Education (MoE) launched its Education Management Information System, which will help rebuild comprehensive school and student data

- Records were destroyed after the fall of the past regime.

- This system will be a critical tool for MoH decision-making

• The Education Minister hosted the Second National Conference on Curriculum Reform 30 - 31 Mar

- Attended by over 250 leaders representing the education, business, civic, religious and political sectors of Iraqi society

- Conference produced a framework and process for curriculum reform that will be implemented over the next two to three years

CPA Education Objective: Improve Quality and Access to Education • Reorganize and staff the Ministry of Education • Rehabilitate school buildings and build new schools • Advance national dialog on curriculum reform • Continue and expand teacher training

11 UNCLASSIFIED

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DRAFT WORKING PAPERS

Current Activities • School Renovation status:

- USAID rehabilitated 2,350 schools

-CPA refurbished 105 schools - 11 ,939 schools require repairs - 4,500 new schools are

necessary

.!! 800 g 700 ~ 600 (I) 0500 ~-·

~ 400 .Q E 300 :s z 200

100 0 .

North

12 1355 EST Apr 04

Baghdad South Central South

- US Supplemental funds will rehabilitate at least 1 ,047 schools - World Bank may commit_ to rehabilitate another 1,000 schools

• Trained 32,000 secondary school teachers and administrative staff

I CPA Education Objective: Improve Quality and Access to Education • Reorganize and staff the Ministry of Education • Rehabilitate school buildings and build new schools • Advance national dialog on curriculum reform • Continue and expand teacher training

N/PIAs of 13 Apr UNCLASSIFIED

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DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04

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• A 28 Mar ceremony transferring authority to the Ministry of Health (MoH), marked a milestone on the path toward Iraqi sovereignty

• Renovated 52 primary healthcare clinics and re-equipping 600 more to provide essential primary healthcare services

- By the end of Apr, 50,000 residents in An Najaf City will have access to a newly rehabilitated primary healthcare clinic that includes an emergency ward and delivery room

• On 28 Mar, the MoH began a pilot for a disease surveillance system in Baghdad

- This is part of a broader effort by CPA and USAID to build the capacity of the MoH to improve Iraq's health care services

CPA Health Care Objective: Improve Quality and Access to Health Care • Develop health care organizations, management, and infrastructure • Train health care professionals • Pharmaceutical logistics support • Secure system • Public health

13 UNCLASSIFIED

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DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04

Current Activities • Ministry of Health (MoH) assumed full Iraq authority on 28 Mar

• USAID continues primary health care training of trainers program which will reach 2,500 primary health care providers throughout Iraq -Program has helped 700 doctors to provide better primary and

preventive care, especially for women and children • Renovated 52 primary healthcare clinics and re-equipping 600 more

to provide essential primary healthcare services • On 28 Mar, the Ministry of Health began a pilot for a disease

surveillance system in Baghdad -Part of a broader effort by CPA and USAID to build the capacity of

the MoH to improve Iraq's healthcare services

CPA Health Objective: Improve Quality and Access to Health Care • Develop health care organizations, management, and infrastructure • Train health care professionals • Pharmaceuticals logistic support • Secure system • Public health

, , As of 13 Apr 14 UNCLASSIFIED

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UNCLASS~F~ED lDRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04

• Ministry of Public Works transferred to full Iraqi control on 05 Apr

• The Kerkh Wastewater Treatment plan, one of three in Baghdad, will begin operating at the end of Apr

- will have a significant effect on health of children downstream

• Civil cleanup work at An Najaf water and wastewater treatment plants is nearly complete, other work to follow ·

- will benefit 563,000 residents when completed in Aug 04

• Work is continuing on Baghdad's three major wastewater treatment plants--Rustimiyah North, Rustimiyah South, and Kerkh wastewater treatment plant

CPA Water Objective: Provide Water Supply, Sewerage & Municipal Services: Improve Water Resource Management ·

Create viable organization to deliver water/sewerage/municipal services (WSMS) • Expand WSMS to meet national needs • Develop full range of municipal services & inclusive delivery mechanism •Improve Ministry processes· in preparation for Iraq's sovereignty • Infrastructure improvements to water resource system • Facilities improvements & capacity building within Ministry

15 UNCLASSIFIED

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DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04

• Chart shows current stocks and scheduled arrivals for goods that Iraqis receive under the Public Distribution System as a o/o of estimated requirements on hand until 01 Jul

• Having 100% of each commodity ensures sufficient stock through 01 Jul, plus a three month buffer

• CPA projects no shortages in the coming months given new procurements and accelerated delivery schedules

PDS Stocks as a Percentage of Total Requirements from APR • JUL 1, 2004 (including 3 month buffer)

160.0% 140.0% 120.0% ..t,Q.::.::.....,-t---+;:;

1 00.0% ~---,----1

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IJ Scheduled Arrivals Under Existing Contracts (OFF)

• New Procurements WFP DOFF Unconfirmed Contracts

CPA Food Security Objective: · Provide· Food Security. for alllragis'i;( l;nhance capacity hf Ministry of Agriculture • Assure suppl~y of inpll:ts ~ Strengtheh research system • Ensure adequate stocks for Public Distribution System (PDS) • Monitor food security • Hand over administration of system in the North • Initiate reform of rations basket • Envi~ronmental· Initiatives ·

16 UNCLASSIFIED

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DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04 · •. ' -········ · ... ,._, '"· C<. . ' ' ·= _ _,_~,.·~•·· ... ··· !f·"·-·- "SJii~>': .. ·'·''" :.$1L1C~~~:?~~i'~'t ·: . U J1T;g&j~ -- _·;'i•k!!if;3.· . . · }~;;)[~!; -_ ·. '?~~'?![';~;_, ' }:r·-····-•.- ''~-~~5·<1

eteeo;lri.iriunieati6n.s--- :-;:fj;i$-;;;'f. ,. - ·_;-~':_~~~-?ftf,';'¢;;::...:,. . . '· .... -.· ' ~. . . . --

-. • Total number of telephone subscribers is now over 1,064,000

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(321,000 cell phone subscribers)-28% above active subscribers pre-war·

• There are 743,000 active landline telephone subscribers in Iraq (833,000 pre-war)--2.8 o/o of population

10•

80%

60%

40%

20%

0% North Baghdad South Central South

I •% Operational (compared to APR 03 subscribers) I

CPA Objectives: Reconstruct Communications & Postal Systems·

Source: CPA Senior Advisor to Minister of Comm. &

Iraqi Telephone & Postal

Company {ITPC)

Build Jraq's first responder network • Establish independent regulatory agency • Upgrade Iraqi Telephone and Postal Company (ITPC) network for interoperability • Build transmission component data network for Iraq, including international gateways • Restructure ITPC and its business · operations • Upgrade and modernize postal systems • Upgrade ITPC outside plant for increased subscriber capacity and use

17

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UNCLASSIFIED DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04

• Reconstruction of three key bridges {AI Mat, Khazir, and Tikrit):

- AI Mat bridge complete and open for traffic between Baghdad and Jordan {3,000 trucks daily) ·

- Last major work to be completed for the Khazir bridge is paving of road surface - critical for flow of fuel and agriculture to the north

- Tikrit bridge reconstruction experiencing delays due to flooding

• Preparing Baghdad International Airport {BIAP) for commercial operations:

- Airport electrical generational capacity increasing to 23 MW

- Representatives of Ministry of Transport met with Air Traffic Cell head to discuss the aviation transition plan during BIAP drawdown

• Iraq I Syria border closed affecting rail transportation

- Weekly passenger train from Aleppo was turned back at the border

- Freight trains, some with diesel fuel, were briefly delayed at Rabiya, Syria, to verify clearance authorization

CPA Objectives: Restore Economically Strategic Transportation Infrastructure Enable Iraqi civil aviation to prepare for international commercial aviation and cargo service • Enable Iraqi Port Authority to administer a port of call with intermodal capabilities and inland container distribution • Enable Iraqi Republic Railways to provide domestic and international passenger and freight capabilities • Reform civil service at Ministry of Transportation

18 UNCLASSIFIED

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Ser.viCE!"<'·· (Ministries,&, M~Cs)

Data as of 09 Apr

75,000

25,727

40,000

40,000

55,000

DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04

56,448 I 13,286 I 2,865 72,599 1,828' 1,417 75,844

9,957 I 9,177 I o 19,134 279 0 19,413

3,930 2,099 6,029

32,451 (OJT Continuous)

326 32,777

73,992 0 73,992

Total on Duty and in Training: 208,055

19 UNCLASSIFIED

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DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04

Assembled lED

RPG rounds, Grenades 881 1,204 I 442 MANPAD rounds 4 412 38 I 1 Mortar, Artillery, Rocket Rounds 9,092 2,909 2,691 I 918 ·Mines

I 47·

I 35

I 63 I 22

Pounds of Explosives 300 0 0 I 0 Anti-Aircraft rounds

RPG Launchers

MANPAD Launchers 1 8 37 4 --~~ Small Arms 313 228 151 173

G ~· Crew Served Weapons 7 8 13 I 17

N/P I Data from CJTF-7 as of 11 Apr ' 20 UNCLASSIFIED

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DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04. - -_- .'eo,· ·--·•/,:•···'

Countries with forces in Iraq

@] Albania Australia Azerbaijan Bulgaria· Czech Rep Denmark DomRep El Salvador Estonia Honduras Hungary Italy Japan Kazakhstan Korea Latvia

Data as of 09 Apr

I· TOTAL -24K I

Lithuania Macedonia Moldova Mongolia Netherlands New Zealand Norway Philippines Poland Portugal Romania Singapore Slovakia Spain Thailand Ukraine UK

21

Countries considering decision to provide forces for Iraq

I 5 I lrorAL reo I

38 Countries Potentially Supporting

Iraqi Stability and Humanitarian Relief

UNCLASSIFIED

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DRAFT WORKING .PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04 -· _,,.._. - _, - ' . ·.; . . . . ' .,,. . .,._... ..... . . . ·- ' '"'· . . . . . - .- . -- .:--~- . .., ... ,,,... . ... '. ... . -· '

Transitional Administrative Law signed .

Annex to TAL released describing selection process

1

__ and~powe£s4t--lntedm.Gov-emment-{approximate-~e~·-·

Establishment of Election Commission (approximate date)

I Selection of Interim Government (approximate date) I

Elections for permanent government completed

I Permanent government assumes office I 22 UNCLASSIFIED

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N

DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04

• Two teams from the United Nations arrived in Iraq on 26 Mar to assist in·the transition to sovereignty.

- By 29 Jun, the electoral team must establish an independent electoral commission, draft election law, political parties law, and a law addressing media treatment of elections

- The second team, led by Ambassador Brahimi, will work to assemble an interim government

• Process to select Baghdad's Mayor continues with list of suitable candidates reduced to 28

• Leader of the Iraqi Democratic Conference, organized a conference for 192 political parties and movements, civil society organizations and unions, 27 - 29 Mar in Baghdad

UNCLASSIFIED 23

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DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04 I sr ··· . ··"- ··

Building Financial Markets

• North Bank, the first new private bank chartered since the liberation, held its grand opening at its new headquarters in Baghdad

• The Trade Bank of Iraq has issued 132 letters of credit, totaling $519 million, covering imports from 24 countries

• CPA has issued more than 1,800 loans totaling $3.5 million to micro and small enterprises throughout Iraq

Other Developments

~ • As of 02 Apr, the DFI balance was $9.3 billion {payments out of the ; __ ~ DFI amounted to $7.6 billion)

i • As of 28 Mar, estimated crude oil export revenue was $3.7 billion )t for 2004 'b t=:'

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• CPA has created nearly 400,000 jobs for Iraqis

N/PI As of 13 Apr 24 UNCLASSIFIED

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DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04

uild ~tructure~

• Twelve of the eligible private banks signed up for the Visa payment system

• North Bank, the first new private bank chartered since the liberation, held its grand opening at its new headquarters in Baghdad. It plans to open four branches in Kirkuk, lrbil, Suli, and Dahouk in the near future

• Planning has begun for a Private Bankers Association to be established by mid April. It will be limited to private banks and act as a compliment to the Iraqi Bankers Association

• The Trade Bank of Iraq has issued 132 letters of credit, totaling $519 ~illion, covering imports from 24 countries

• CPA has issued more than 1,800 loans totaling $3.5 million to micro and small enterprises throughout Iraq

• The New Iraq Dinar (NID) has been stable for the past two months at around 1,425 NID to the US Dollar

~, CPA Economic Objective: Build Financial Market Structures

fi. :~ • Moderniz~ the Ce~tral Bank I~:; • Commercial Bank1ng System

• Re-establish Baghdad Stock Exchange • Restructure National Debt E

25 UNCLASSIFIED

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DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04

• As of 03 Apr, the CPA Administrator had appointed Inspectors General (IG) in 23 of 26 Ministries

• Development Fund for Iraq (DFI) balance was $9.3 billion (payments out of the DFI amounted to $7.6 billion) as of 02 Apr

• Estimated crude oil export revenue reached $3.7 billion for 2004 on 28 Mar

• Combined Joint Task Force 7 (CJTF-7) estimate that the CPA has created nearly 400,000 jobs for Iraqis (46 percent of the CJTF-7 target of 850,000)

• A Nationwide Credit Demand Survey of 2,352 small to medium­sized enterprises was completed

- Survey reveals there is limited experience with formal loans - Results will help microfinance institutions meet potential clients

needs

• Inauguration of the 5% Reconstruction Levy on imported commodities has been deferred until 15 Aor

CPA Economic Objective: Pursue National Strategy for Human . ~:; 11 Resources Development N/P 26 UNCLASSIFIED

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DRAFT WORKING PAPERS

Trans/Comm 1 _1J ~.

Ed/Human t~ · :d "., ... ..__ ,

Security/Justice

Oil I I I I I I -."· =(::i>·.~·~:&~ ·. - :~7J.<.;-,T:-, ~.-~~-x~.:-: ~, ;.:~\~~~: ·-- -:~'; ~·:~;~1

12 1355 EST Apr 04

Construction Tasks Committed by 01 Jul

Electric t . _ ""- ,, _ ''tlAt(' . _ ~· -- -- - ,1

0 500 1000

$ (Millions}

I D Target D Committed I Data as of 8 Apr 27

1500 2000

PMO Web-site Portal: www.rebuilding-iraq.net

UNCLASSIFIED

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t~··

~·;

. . .

' . ' ··. ··· -

)_:

~

~~ IE

DRAFT WORKING PAPERS

Roads/Bridges r Electric

Priv Sector

Water

Trans/Com

Ed/Human

Health

Democracy

Justice

Oil

.. .. .·.· ··· . I Security I ... ~.,.. ~~~ . f · I , . I

0 500 1000 1500 2000

$(Millions)

I D Target D Actual Commitments I Data as of 8 Apr 28

./

12 1355 EST Apr 04

' I I

Non­Construction Procurement by 01 Jul

UNCLASSIFIED

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B .

·=. .

. ,,'

')

'· ~

I

~

' .-

DRAFT WORKING PAPERS

Security and Law Enforcement

Electricity Sector

Oil Infrastructure

Justice, Public Safety, and Civil Society (less Democracy)

Democracy

Education, Refugees, Human Rights, Governance

Roads, Bridges, and Construction

Health Care

Transportation and Telecommunications

Water Resources and Sanitation

Private Sector Development

TOTAL

5,370

458

18,439

29

Apportioned $M

2,483

1,708

1,600

526

458

203

119

330

165

496

70

8,158

3,950

4,280

458

8,158

12 1355 EST Apr 04

Committed $M

1,222

1,412

908

149

341

22

34

31

137

277

15

4,548.

2,383

1,824

341

4,548

Obligated $M

496

1,191

455

37

260

22

8

0

22

41

0

2532 . .t ·

" 1:,490

782

260

2,532

UNCLASSIFIED

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111·'

',

·~ ~ , __ :.~: p

DRAFT WORKING PAPERS 12 1355 EST Apr 04

• Extensive activities continue in support of political transition and the Transitional Administrative Law {TAL), including :

- Distribution of booklets and leaflets on the TAL

- Numerous focus groups, seminars, p·ublic forums, and town hall meetings across Iraq

• Access to USAID project worksites in Fallujah and Salad ad Din Governorate has become limited

- USAID is implementing or has completed almost 250 separate projects in flash point locations of Fallujah, Ramadi, Najaf, Salah ad Din, and the Baghdad neighborhood of Sadr City

- Activites have ranged from rehabilitating water treatment centers and rebuilding schools, to creating centers for women and youth

30 UNCLASSIFIED