cost of motoring and th living cost and food survey€¦ · aa/rac servicing and repairs garaging,...

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1 Cost of Motoring and the Living Cost and Food Survey David Leibling Independent Researcher

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Page 1: Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and Food Survey€¦ · AA/RAC Servicing and repairs Garaging, parking, ... 12 Transport components ... Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and

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Cost of Motoring and the Living Cost and Food Survey

David LeiblingIndependent Researcher

Page 2: Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and Food Survey€¦ · AA/RAC Servicing and repairs Garaging, parking, ... 12 Transport components ... Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and

2

Royal Automobile Club

RAC Motoring Services

Independent motoring research

Page 3: Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and Food Survey€¦ · AA/RAC Servicing and repairs Garaging, parking, ... 12 Transport components ... Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and

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Page 4: Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and Food Survey€¦ · AA/RAC Servicing and repairs Garaging, parking, ... 12 Transport components ... Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and

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Petrol and diesel

Transport Components of LCFS

New and used car purchase

Spares and accessories

Also covers motorcycles, bicycles, caravans

Servicing and repairsAA/RACGaraging, parking, driving lessons, antifreeze

Car hire and leasingBus fares, train fares,

season tickets, combined ticketsInsurance, fines and taxation

Page 5: Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and Food Survey€¦ · AA/RAC Servicing and repairs Garaging, parking, ... 12 Transport components ... Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and

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Transport Cost Indices

0

50

100

150

200

250

19961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012

Total motoringFuelRail faresBus faresCPIRPI

Page 6: Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and Food Survey€¦ · AA/RAC Servicing and repairs Garaging, parking, ... 12 Transport components ... Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and

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Motoring Cost Indices

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

19961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012

Total motoringNew carsUsed carsFuelMaintenanceInsurance

Page 7: Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and Food Survey€¦ · AA/RAC Servicing and repairs Garaging, parking, ... 12 Transport components ... Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and

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Motoring Cost Indices

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

19961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012

2012 Q1

2012Q22012Q32012Q4

Total motoringNew carsUsed carsFuelMaintenanceInsurance

Page 8: Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and Food Survey€¦ · AA/RAC Servicing and repairs Garaging, parking, ... 12 Transport components ... Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and

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Transport costs related to total spending

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Other

Fares and othertravel costsMotoring

£ per week 2011 prices

Page 9: Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and Food Survey€¦ · AA/RAC Servicing and repairs Garaging, parking, ... 12 Transport components ... Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and

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Transport costs related to total spending

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

Other

Fares and othertravel costsMotoring

Motoring %

£ per week 2011 prices

Page 10: Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and Food Survey€¦ · AA/RAC Servicing and repairs Garaging, parking, ... 12 Transport components ... Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and

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Car ownership per household

0

10

20

30

40

50

6019

80

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

%

One car

No car

2 or more cars

Page 11: Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and Food Survey€¦ · AA/RAC Servicing and repairs Garaging, parking, ... 12 Transport components ... Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and

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Transport components of LCFS% of reporting households

0%10%20%

30%40%50%60%70%

80%90%

100%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Transport

Car operations

Bus fares

Train fares

Page 12: Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and Food Survey€¦ · AA/RAC Servicing and repairs Garaging, parking, ... 12 Transport components ... Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and

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Transport components of LCFS% of reporting households

0%10%20%

30%40%50%60%70%

80%90%

100%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Car operations

Used cars

New cars

Page 13: Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and Food Survey€¦ · AA/RAC Servicing and repairs Garaging, parking, ... 12 Transport components ... Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and

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Transport components of LCFS% of car owning households

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Insurance/tax

Repairs

Spares

Fuel

Parking

AA/RAC

Page 14: Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and Food Survey€¦ · AA/RAC Servicing and repairs Garaging, parking, ... 12 Transport components ... Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and

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Extrapolation by month/quarter

• LCFS only published annually, 11 months in arrears• Adjust using monthly CPI components• Does not allow for change in consumption

Vehicle costs for 2011 from 2011 LCFS (published in November 2012): £3,117

Vehicle price index for 2011: 103.8Vehicle price index for 2012: 103.1

Ratio: 0.993

Updated vehicle costs for 2012: £3031*0.993 = £3096

Page 15: Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and Food Survey€¦ · AA/RAC Servicing and repairs Garaging, parking, ... 12 Transport components ... Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and

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Cost of Motoring

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012

2012 Q1

2012 Q2

2012 Q3

2012 Q4

Tax

Insurance

Other

Serv ic ing and repairs

Fuel

Purchase of vehic les

︵householdspurchas ing ︶

£ per car per year

Page 16: Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and Food Survey€¦ · AA/RAC Servicing and repairs Garaging, parking, ... 12 Transport components ... Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and

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Changes in the cost and price of motoring

2001£ per car

2012 £ per car

% change in £/car

% change in CPI

Depreciation 2960 3100 5% 1%

Fuel 1000 1570 56% 81%

Servicing 480 580 20% 58%

Insurance 460 590 27% 102%

Tax 160 190 16% 37%

% change in use

+4%

-14%

-16%

-31%

-15%

Change in fuel consumption = 156/181 = 0.86; reduction =14%

Page 17: Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and Food Survey€¦ · AA/RAC Servicing and repairs Garaging, parking, ... 12 Transport components ... Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and

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Insurance Cost Indices

0

50

100

150

200

250

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Confused.comCPI AA/BIPILCFS expenditure

Page 18: Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and Food Survey€¦ · AA/RAC Servicing and repairs Garaging, parking, ... 12 Transport components ... Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and

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Comparison with AA/RAC cost indices

AA/RAC LCFS

Assumed mileage Actual mileage

Assumed fuel consumption Actual fuel usage

Assumed depreciation Actual re-purchase costs

Assumed service according to manufacturer

Actual service patterns

Page 19: Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and Food Survey€¦ · AA/RAC Servicing and repairs Garaging, parking, ... 12 Transport components ... Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and

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Comparison with AA/RAC cost indices 2012

£ per vehicle per year

LCFS RAC AA

Depreciation 3100 2820 2550

Fuel 1570 1240 1190

Servicing 580 410 630

Other 150 150 210

Insurance 580 490 1040

Tax 190 190 190

Total 6170 5300 5810

Page 20: Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and Food Survey€¦ · AA/RAC Servicing and repairs Garaging, parking, ... 12 Transport components ... Cost of Motoring and th Living Cost and

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Motorists’ views on cost of motoringRAC Report on Motoring

• Confidence in accuracy of estimate– Insurance 62%– Fuel 46%– Servicing 34%– Depreciation 14%