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    Conscientiousness May Not Be Enough

    L. A. Witt

    Department of Management

    University of New Orleans

    New Orleans, LA 70148-1560

    (504) 280-6960

    (504) 280-3951 (fax)

    [email protected]

    In J. M. Cortina (Chair), N. M. Dudley (Chair), K. A. Orvis (Chair), & M.

    R. Barrick (Discussant), Spotting the trees: Beyond the Big Five in

    predicting performance. Presented at the meeting of the Society for

    Industrial and Organizational Psychology, Orlando, Saturday, April 12,

    2003 at 10:30am in Jasmine Bay (Royal Plaza).

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    Conscientiousness May Not Be Enough

    Barrick, Mount, and Judge (2001) described two phases of research on relationships

    between personality and job performance in the previous century. The first phase lasted until the

    mid-1980s and was characterized by primary studies examining links between job performance

    and individual scales from a wide variety of personality instruments. Barrick et al. noted that the

    outcome of those 80+ years of research was that personality and performance were not

    meaningfully related across traits and situations. Beginning in the mid-1980s, the second phase

    yielded two key developments. One was the application of the Big Five (Goldberg, 1992)

    model of personality (Fiske, 1949; Tupes & Christal, 1961) to selection research. Saucier and

    Goldberg (2001) observed that the five factors are usually labeled extraversion (Factor I),

    agreeableness (Factor II), conscientiousness (Factor III), emotional stability (Factor IV), and

    intellect (Factor V). Although not without critics (e.g., Block, 1995; Eysenck, 1992), the Big

    Five model has been a relatively well-accepted taxonomy of personality in the field of

    personality psychology (Goldberg, 1992; John & Srivastava, 1999; McCrae & Costa, 1999;

    Wiggins & Trapnell, 1997).

    The other key development of the second phase was the application of meta-analysis to

    summarize the relationships between the five factors and job performance across studies. Barrick

    et al. (2001) cited 15 meta-analytic studies of personality-performance relationships (11 articles

    and 4 conference presentations), the sum of which suggests that conscientiousness is the most

    consistent among the Big Five factors to predict work outcomes across jobs. Indeed, an emerging

    consensus suggests that with the exception of general mental ability, conscientiousness may be

    the best individual differences predictor of job performance (e.g., Behling, 1998; Dunn, Mount,

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    Barrick, Ones, 1995). Based on evidence from the meta-analytic research, Barrick and Mount

    (2000) advocated that applicants be hired on the basis of their conscientiousness scores as well as

    their emotional stability scores.

    Some researchers have argued that the measurement of broad personality factors as

    reflected in the Big Five is preferable to the measurement of narrow facets when applying the

    measurement to the prediction of job performance, itself a broad and complex criterion (Ones &

    Viswesvaran, 1996). Paunonen (Paunonen, 1998; Paunonen & Ashton, 2001) has reported

    evidence supporting the use of more narrow personality facets. Indeed, others have argued that

    the Big Five model of personality may be too broad to predict behavior that is sensitive to

    situational influences, such as work performance (Hough, 1992, Mershon & Gorsuch, 1988;

    Mizes, Morgan, & Buder, 1989; Murtha, Kanfer, & Ackerman, 1996). Arthur, Woehr, and

    Graziano (2001) explicitly suggested that reliance on the Big Five has led to a loss of precision

    in measurement and a corresponding error in prediction. Consistent with Arthur et al.s (2001)

    argument, I highlight recent research that has applied work in the personality literature on the

    Abridged Big Five Dimensional Circumplex (Hofstee, de Raad, & Goldberg, 1992; Johnson &

    Ostendorf, 1993) to selection research. Specifically, I discuss work examining Big Five

    moderators of relationships between conscientiousness and work-related outcomes. The point of

    this discussion is that conscientiousness is not by itself sufficient as a basis for hiring. In some

    cases, hiring applicants high in conscientiousness may be destroying, rather than adding, value.

    Conscientiousness and Work-Related Outcomes

    Traits associated with conscientiousness include thoroughness and dependability versus

    negligence and carelessness (Goldberg, 1993). Other labels for conscientiousness (McCrae &

    Costa, 1985; Goldberg, 1992; Norman, 1963) include prudence (Hogan & Hogan, 1992),

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    conformity (Fiske, 1949), and will to achieve (Digman & Takemoto-Chock, 1981). Individuals

    high in conscientiousness are organized, reliable, and responsible (McCrae & John, 1992).

    Maintaining impulse control, they plan, delay gratification, and follow rules (John & Srivastava,

    1999).

    Application of the Big Five has been subject to criticisms that it lacks a theoretical

    foundation and only provides a descriptive taxonomy (e.g., McAdams, 1992; Revelle, 1995).

    However, researchers have described links between conscientiousness and work-related

    outcomes as reflecting motivation. Motivation consists of three choices: (a) the choice to initiate

    effort on a certain task, (b) the choice of expend a certain amount of effort, and (c) the choice to

    persist in expending effort over a period of time (Campbell, 1976, p. 65). These three choices

    are reflected in personality facets captured by conscientiousness (Mount, Barrick, & Strauss,

    1999). Accordingly, Schmidt and Hunter (1992) have suggested that conscientiousness is the

    most important trait-based motivation variable in the field.

    Other things being equal, highly conscientious workers are generally successful, because

    they are motivated to perform well (Mount & Barrick, 1995a). Conscientiousness predicts

    withdrawal behaviors and core task performance, because high-conscientiousness workers are

    more likely to maintain self-discipline (Colquitt & Simmering, 1998), be more effective at goal-

    setting (Barrick, Mount, & Strauss, 1993; Gellatly, 1996), and persevere longer (Meyer &

    Cuomo, 1962) than low-conscientiousness workers. Conscientiousness predicts interpersonal

    facilitation, because highly conscientious workers respect social protocol, listen for and attend to

    the details important to others, and are thorough in following up on matters of importance to

    others. Conscientiousness predicts job dedication and organizational citizenship behaviors,

    because highly conscientious workers observe rules, pay sufficient attention to detail to be able

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    to recognize what needs to be done, and pursue opportunities to do the right thing.

    Conscientiousness predicts counterproductive behaviors, as highly conscientious workers

    observe impulse control and respect social protocol.

    Surprisingly, meta-analytic researchers have consistently reported very small average

    observed validity coefficients of conscientiousness (e.g., r = .12 in Tett, Jackson, & Rothstein,

    1991; r = .11 in Vinchur, Schippmann, Switzer, & Roth, 1998; r = .12 in Hurtz & Donovan,

    2000). Reporting results of their second-order meta-analysis, Barrick et al. (2001) reported

    variability in the validities of conscientiousness across studies (= .23; 90% credibility values

    range from .10 to .35), suggesting the possible presence of moderator variables.

    Aspects of the Situation as Moderators of Conscientiousness-Work Outcome Relationships

    Before focusing on work that has examined Big Five moderators of relationships between

    conscientiousness and work-related outcomes, it should be noted that an emerging literature has

    identified aspects of the situation that moderate the relationships between conscientiousness and

    work-related outcomes. Identified moderators include: (a) job satisfaction (Mount, Colbert,

    Harter, & Barrick, 2000), (b) autonomy (Barrick & Mount, 1993), (c) performance expectancy,

    performance valence, goal setting (Barrick, Mount, & Strauss, 1993), (d) perceptions of

    organizational politics (Hochwarter, Witt, & Kacmar, 2000), and (e) goal choice (Gellatly,

    1996). To this list, I add two additional situational moderators of relationships between

    conscientiousness and job performance. One is situation strength operationalized in terms of rwg

    of perceptions of organizational politics aggregated at the work unit level (Witt, Burke, &

    Kacmar, 2001), which is presented in Figure 1. As shown there, conscientiousness was more

    strongly related to supervisor ratings of job performance among workers in weak than strong

    situations, consistent with Mischels (1977) arguments and previous findings (Barrick & Mount,

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    1993). The second is emotional exhaustion (Witt, Andrews, & Carlson, in press), which is

    presented in Figure 2. As shown there, conscientiousness was positively related to objectively-

    measured job performance (i.e., call volume of call center employees) among workers

    experiencing low levels of emotional exhaustion but negatively related among those with high

    levels of emotional exhaustion.

    These studies have an interesting implication. When managers do their jobs,

    conscientiousness has less of an impact on performance. For example, when managers enhance

    the job satisfaction of their employees, provide sufficient autonomy, clearly establish goals and

    expectations, take actions to reduce organizational politics, and provide emotional support to

    diminish emotional exhaustion, workers are likely to understand what needs to be done and be

    able to do it. In contrast, when managers are ineffective, then conscientious workers are likely to

    be effective, and low-conscientious workers are likely to be ineffective, other things being equal.

    An important question, however, is how often are other things equal, particularly when the

    other things are individual differences in ability and personality?

    Individual Differences as Moderators of Conscientiousness-Work Outcome Relationships

    Selection researchers have primarily focused on the main effects of predictors rather than

    on interactions (Goldstein, Zedeck, & Goldstein, 2002). Most of the studies in the 1990s

    examined bivariate relationships between one personality dimension and performance (Arthur et

    al., 2001). In studies in which more than one dimension were considered, the implicit assumption

    was that their joint effects are independent and complementary (i.e., additive). However, Hogan,

    Hogan, and Roberts (1996, p. 470) observed that interpreting a single scale in the absence of

    other information is an ill-advised article of faith in traditional personality assessment. They

    argued that the impact of a personality trait on behavior depends on other traits.

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    Work by personality researchers provides a foundation for examining multiplicative

    relationships among the Big Five factors. Goldberg (1993) pointed out that a complete taxonomy

    of personality attributes should include both the hierarchical and horizontal features of their

    meanings. The hierarchical approach is based on a factor analysis approach to personality (i.e.,

    personality items have principal loadings on one or another of the highest-level factors) and

    emphasizes the vertical relations among the variables (e.g., from the most specific to the most

    abstract) to the exclusion of the relationships among the variables at the same level (Goldberg,

    1993, p. 171). It is this approach that yielded the Big Five model. In contrast, the horizontal

    approach focuses on relations among traits in terms of their locations in multidimensional space

    via the interpersonal circumplex (Leary, 1957). The circumplex features personality traits along

    angular positions in either a two- or three-dimensional factor space. The two-dimensional

    circumplex presents traits on the circle around bipolar, orthogonal coordinates of agreeableness

    and extraversion (e.g., Wiggins, 1982). The three-dimensional circumplex is designed around

    agreeableness, conscientiousness, extraversion (Peabody & Goldberg, 1989) or extraversion,

    agreeableness, and emotional stability (Saucier, 1992a). An advantage of the horizontal approach

    is that the interpersonal circumplex provides semantically cohesive clusters of traits that permits

    fine-grained personality descriptions (Becker, 1999; Hofstee et al., 1992). The disadvantage is

    that facet scores contribute no additional variance beyond what is explained by the five factors

    employed in the hierarchical approach (see Hofstee, Ten-Berge, & Hendriks, 1998). As a result,

    the horizontal approach has no usefulness for selection research beyond that offered by the

    hierarchical approach.

    As the previous circumplex models included only two or three of the five factors, Hofstee

    et al. (1992) integrated the hierarchically-derived Big Five and horizontally-derived circumplex

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    models into an Abridged Big Five Dimensional Circumplex (AB5C). The AB5C is comprised of

    ten two-dimensional circumplexes; it features all possible pairs of the five dimensions.

    Specifically, it presents facets in terms of their two highest factor loadings; each trait is

    characterized by its loadings on a subset of two of the five dimensions at a time. Despite

    suggestions that the AB5C provides a guide for grouping facets of the Big Five in order to create

    useful composites of the five factors (Barrick et al., 2001; Hurtz & Donovan, 2000), selection

    researchers surprisingly paid little attention to the AB5C in the 1990s.

    Emerging studies suggest that the other four factors of the Big Five model of personality

    and other individual differences may moderate relationships between conscientiousness and

    work-related outcomes. Review of these studies suggests that one reason that the main effect of

    conscientiousness on work-related outcomes is lower than expected is that conscientiousness

    does not have a positive relationship with work-related outcomes among individuals at average

    and low levels of some of the other individual differences variables. It might also be argued that

    a reason that the main effects of other Big Five traits are low is that the other Big Five traits do

    not have a positive relationship with performance among individuals at average and low levels of

    conscientiousness. Below, I discuss some of the empirical evidence and also apply the AB5C to

    explain why each of the other four factors moderate relationships between conscientiousness and

    work-related outcomes.

    Extraversion

    Alternative labels for extraversion (McCrae & Costa, 1985; Norman, 1963) include

    surgency (Goldberg, 1992), confident self-expression (Fiske, 1949), and sociability (Hogan &

    Hogan, 1992). Reflecting an energetic approach to the social and material world, extraversion

    is associated with such traits as positive emotionality, activity, assertiveness, and sociability

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    (John & Srivastava, 1999, p. 121). Extraverts typically have enterprising vocational interests,

    numerous friendships, and social skills (McCrae & Costa, 1999). Accordingly, researchers have

    expected extraversion to predict performance. However, Barrick et al. (2001) reported average

    observed validity coefficients of .07 for supervisor ratings and .06 for objective job performance

    measures. They concluded that the relationship between extraversion and job performance could

    not be distinguished from zero.

    Recent studies have indicated that extraversion moderates the relationships between

    conscientiousness and supervisor-rated counterproductive behavior (Witt, 2001, June), which is

    presented in Figure 3, and supervisor-rated interpersonal deviance (Andrews, Witt, & Kacmar,

    2003, April), which is presented in Figure 4. As shown in both figures, conscientiousness was

    essentially unrelated to counterproductive and deviant behaviors among introverts but negatively

    related among extroverts. On one hand, it is not surprising that low-conscientious extroverts

    were the most likely to engage in counterproductive behaviors. Empirically-identified adjectives

    describe the facets of the AB5C (Hofstee et al., 1992; Johnson & Ostendorf, 1993). The low-

    conscientious extroverts are described as devil-may-care, exhibitionistic, gregarious, immodest,

    boisterous, demonstrative, impulse-ridden, mischievous, rash, reckless, thoughtless, and unruly.

    On the other hand, one might also not expect low-conscientious introverts to openly make fun of

    others and engage in other public displays of inappropriate behaviors more so than low-

    conscientious introverts, because they are described as inactive, indecisive, inefficient, lazy,

    aimless, apathetic, non-persistent, passive, sluggish, unassured, wishy-washy, and unenergetic.

    Similarly, the high-conscientious introverts are unlikely to manifest such inappropriate

    behaviors, as they have a task orientation and are deliberate, formal, prudish, reserved,

    restrained, serious, cautious, conservative, and thrifty. It is also not surprising that the high-

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    conscientious extroverts, who are described as persistent, purposeful, self-confident, enterprising,

    firm, and vigorous, also did not manifest high levels of counterproductive and deviant behaviors.

    As shown in Figure 5, conscientiousness was unrelated to the probability of being hired

    among introverts but strongly related among extroverts (Witt, 2002). In this study, interview

    performance was the sole criterion of selection (i.e., hire vs. do not hire decision) at the point the

    data were collected. Perhaps conscientious introverts were unable to demonstrate their

    conscientious attributes during the interview.

    As shown in Figure 6, conscientiousness was more strongly related to sales performance

    among extroverts than introverts (Witt, 2001, April). Interestingly, the low-conscientious

    extroverts those who are exhibitionistic, gregarious, immodest, and demonstrative were the

    most effective at sales. Considering that these workers were least likely to follow rules and get

    overly involved in paperwork, it is not surprising that they would excel in sales jobs in which no

    follow-up or customer service functions are required. However, the story was different in non-

    sales jobs. As shown in Figure 7, while conscientiousness was more strongly related to

    supervisor-rated job performance among extroverts than introverts, the persistent, purposeful,

    and enterprising high-conscientious extroverts received the highest performance ratings (Witt,

    2002). In contrast, the low-conscientious extroverts received the lowest performance ratings.

    Agreeableness

    Other labels for agreeableness (McCrae & Costa, 1985; Goldberg, 1992; Norman, 1963),

    include social adaptability, (Fiske, 1949), friendly compliance (Digman & Takemoto-Chock,

    1981), and likability (Hogan & Hogan, 1992). Agreeableness refers to such traits as flexibility,

    generosity, sympathy, selflessness, cooperativeness, helpfulness, tolerance, and courtesy

    (Digman, 1990). Some researchers have argued that this factor is the primary construct in the

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    assessment of individual differences (e.g., Havill, Besevegis, & Mouroussaki, 1998). However,

    evidence suggests that agreeableness is only relevant to job performance in situations where joint

    action and collaboration are needed (Mount, Barrick, & Stewart, 1998). Situations characterized

    by a fairly high level of interpersonal interaction require tolerance, selflessness, and flexibility.

    Individuals high in agreeableness strive for common understanding, maintain social affiliations,

    and deal with conflict collaboratively or cooperatively (Digman, 1990).

    Goleman (1998) suggested that highly conscientious who people lack interpersonal

    competence are likely to contribute to dysfunctional outcomes (Goleman, 1998). Using

    agreeableness as a proxy for interpersonal competence, Witt, Burke, Barrick, and Mount (2002)

    empirically tested that notion. They found that agreeableness moderated the relationship between

    conscientiousness and supervisor-rated job performance in five of seven samples. Figure 8

    presents an example of their findings. As shown there, conscientiousness was more strongly

    related to job performance among workers high than low in agreeablness. The kind, organized,

    sincere, cooperative, and helpful (Hofstee et al., 1992; Johnson & Ostendorf, 1993) workers high

    in both conscientiousness and agreeableness received the highest ratings of job performance.

    More directly testing Golemans argument, Witt and Ferris (in press) investigated the

    moderating effects of social skill and social skill awareness on the relationships between

    conscientiousness and interpersonal facilitation, sales performance, and organizational

    citizenship behaviors. Their findings, an example of which is presented in Figure 9, were

    somewhat similar to those reported by Witt et al. (2002). Conscientiousness was positively

    related to the various aspects of performance among socially skilled workers. However,

    conscientiousness was negatively related to performance among workers low in social skill.

    Social skill reflects ability (Riggio, 1986; Topping, Bremner, & Holmes, 2000) and is learned

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    (Gesten, Weissberg, Amish, & Smith, 1987; Riggio, 1986). Hence, it is possible that other

    acquired individual differences in ability may have interactive effects with conscientiousness on

    work-related outcomes. Focusing only on Big Five moderators may be limiting our potential

    understanding of how, when, and why conscientiousness affects work-related outcomes.

    Intellect/Openness to Experience

    Other labels for intellect (e.g., Fiske, 1949; Goldberg, 1992; Saucier & Goldberg,

    2001) include culture (Norman, 1963; Tupes & Christal, 1961), autonomy (Hendriks,

    Hofstee, & De Raad, 1999), openness to experience (McCrae & Costa, 1985), intellectance

    (Hogan & Hogan, 1992), and imagination (Goldberg, 1993; Saucier, 1992b). As one of the Big

    Five factors, intellect is distinct from GMA, although they are related (Holland, Dollinger,

    Holland, & MacDonald, 1995). Intellect encompasses a broad range of intellectual, creative,

    and artistic inclinations, preferences, and skills found foremost in highly original and creative

    individuals (John & Srivastava, 1999, p. 114) and describes the breadth, depth, originality, and

    complexity of an individuals mental and experiential life (p. 121).

    Workers high in intellect think beyond precedent or tradition (Judge, Higgins, Thoresen,

    & Barrick, 1999), can effectively function autonomously (Judge et al., 1999; Saucier, 2000), and

    understand the reasons for workplace change (Wanberg & Banas, 2000). In contrast to the

    relatively imperceptive individuals low in intellect, inventive workers high in intellect identify

    not-so-obvious solutions and see opportunities for adding value that others may miss. Recent

    primary studies suggest that intellect predicts unique variance in job performance beyond that

    accounted for my cognitive ability and the other Big Five constructs (Bing & Lounsbury, 2000)

    and also predicts university-level academic performance (Lall, Holmes, Brinkmeyer, Johnson, &

    Yatko, 1999; Rothstein, Paunonen, Rush, & King, 1994). However, despite consensus that

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    performance in many jobs requires workers to think outside the box to develop work solutions

    as well as embrace change (Hitt, 2000; Judge, Thoresen, Pucik, & Welbourne, 1999; Lazer &

    Shaw, 2000), the meta-analytic studies have clearly indicated that intellect does not predict job

    performance across jobs and studies (e.g., Hurtz & Donovan, 2000). The average observed

    validity coefficients have been barely above zero. However, intellect does predict training

    proficiency (Salgado, 1997).

    Figure 10 provides an example of how intellect moderated the relationships between

    conscientiousness and performance outcomes. As shown there, conscientiousness was more

    strongly to job performance among workers high than low in intellect. Perhaps not surprisingly,

    high-conscientiousness workers who were cognitively flexible and open to change (i.e., high in

    intellect) those described as learned, intellectual, analytical, clever, curious, organized,

    perceptive, and refined (De Raad, Hendriks, & Hofstee, 1994; Hofstee et al., 1992; Johnson &

    Ostendorf, 1993) were seen as more effective performers than high-conscientiousness workers

    who were fairly rigid and resistant to change (i.e., low in intellect and described as rule-abiding,

    conventional, predictable, and traditional).

    Emotional Stability

    Emotional Stability reflects such traits as nervousness and moodiness versus

    imperturbability and stability (Goldberg, 1993). Other labels for emotional stability (Goldberg,

    1992; Norman, 1963) include adjustment (Hogan & Hogan, 1992), ego strength (Digman &

    Takemoto-Chock, 1981), emotional control (Fiske, 1949), and neuroticism (McCrae & Costa,

    1985). McCrae and John (1992) described this factor on the negative pole using such terms as

    self-pitying, unstable, worrying, anxious, touchy, and tense. They noted that emotionally

    unstable individualsexperience low self-esteem and pessimistic attitudes. Such individuals see

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    themselves as victims, require considerable emotional support from others, doubt their abilities,

    and experience less satisfaction and more stress than emotionally stable people (Judge, Locke,

    Durham, & Kluger, 1998; Hogan & Briggs, 1984). They also tend to see situations in a negative

    light and overreact to situations. Emotionally stable people, however, generally remain on an

    even keel and have little anxiety.

    Not surprisingly, evidence suggests that emotional stability also moderates the

    relationships between conscientiousness and: (a) length of employment (Witt & Jones, 2003),

    which is presented in Figure 11, and (b) interpersonal facilitation (Witt, 2001, November), which

    is presented in Figure 12. As shown in both figures, conscientiousness was positively related to

    these work outcomes among workers high in emotional stability workers but negatively related

    among workers low in emotional stability. The self-disciplined, consistent, persevering, and

    steady workers (Hofstee et al., 1992; Johnson & Ostendorf, 1993) high in both conscientiousness

    and emotional stability remained on the job longer and also managed relationships more

    effectively than other workers. In contrast, the overanxious, fussy, and particular workers high in

    conscientiousness and low in emotional stability not only quit first and but also received the

    lowest ratings of interpersonal facilitation.

    Conclusion

    Golding (1975) argued that caution should be applied when generalizing the results of a

    study finding an interaction, as interactions often do not replicate. The interactions across

    multiple samples presented here may provide some confidence that there is reason to consider

    that the joint effects of conscientiousness with the other Big Five factors may be multiplicative.

    My colleagues and I have taken some steps to take into account for alternative explanations. For

    example, we have used the other Big Five factors, demographic variables, and even GMA as

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    covariates, when available and conceptually appropriate. In one study (Witt, 2002), I even used

    four different personality measures the Hogan Personality Inventory (Hogan & Hogan, 1992),

    the Occupational Personality Questionnaire (OPQ; Saville, Holdsworth, Nyfield, Cramp, &

    Mabey, 1984), Goldbergs (1999, Appendix A) Big Five factor markers in the International

    Personality Item Pool, and the Mount & Barrick (1995b) Personal Characteristics Inventory

    and found essentially the same form of the interaction across four samples.

    Small Effect Sizes

    A criticism that my colleagues and I often encounter from reviewers is that the findings

    are weak; that is, only a very small percentage of variance is explained. To those of you

    interested in pursuing research along the lines of the studies briefly overviewed here, I invite you

    to consider two points. First, the approach most commonly used to test for the presence of

    interactions hierarchical moderated multiple regression analysis (Aiken & West, 1991; Cohen

    & Cohen, 1983), in which one examines the statistical significance of the F-test of the

    incremental change () in R2brought about by adding the cross-product term of the predictor

    and moderator as an additional variable in the equation (after accounting for the linear effects of

    the predictor and moderator) typically yields very small increments in R2. In their reviews of

    the social science literature, both Chaplin (1991) and Champoux and Peters (1987) reported that

    interactions found in non-experimental studies typically accounted for 1-3% of the variance.

    Similarly, Evans (1985, p. 417) reported results of a Monte Carlo simulation:

    ...when a genuine interaction exists, even under the most extreme conditions, we

    find that the interaction usually explains at least 1% of the variance; when there is

    no interaction, the interaction term invariably explains less than 1% of the

    variance.

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    Furthermore, interactions are difficult to detect, because the F-test is sensitive to power.

    At least four factors contribute to a loss of power. First, as interactions typically yield small

    increments in R2, only interactions computed from large-sample data sets will be statistically

    significant. Second, measurement error or non-optimal distributions in the components of the

    cross-product term typically result in downward bias in the parameter estimates of the interaction

    terms in the model (Aiken & West, 1991; Fuller & Hidiriglou, 1978; McClelland & Judd, 1993).

    Third is the multicollinearity between the components of the interaction term and the

    multiplicative composite (Morris, Sherman, & Mansfield, 1986), although this perspective has

    not met with universal acceptance (Aiken & West, 1991; Cohen, 1978; Cronbach, 1987; Dunlap

    & Kemery, 1987; Paunonen & Jackson, 1988). Another is the limited number of response

    options on the criterion variable scale (Russell, Pinto, & Bobko, 1991). Because moderators are

    difficult to detect, researchers typically conclude the non-existence of an interaction. In cases

    where this conclusion is erroneous (i.e., a Type II error), the implications can be far-reaching. As

    pointed out by Aguinis and Stone-Romero (1997), failing to assess interactions can have impact

    on both: (a) theory, when hypotheses involving interaction effects are considered invalid, and (b)

    management practice, when decisions are made to use personnel selection tests. Therefore,

    researchers have made efforts to overcome the power limitations. Suggestions have included: (a)

    increasing the reliability of the measures (Dunlap & Kemery, 1988; Evans, 1985), (b)

    overselecting for extreme observations of the predictor (McClelland & Judd, 1993), (c) applying

    latent variable modeling for estimating maximum-likelihood parameters and testing their

    significance (Jaccard & Wan, 1995), and (d) increasing overall sample size (Aguinis & Stone-

    Romero, 1997).

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    Frankly, we are likely to continue to be subject to the limitations of the R2in moderated

    multiple regression analyses, as well as two derivatives -- the semi-partial correlation of the

    interaction term (Cohen, 1978) and the standardized impact of the moderator on the regression

    slope (Champoux, & Peters, 1987). The chief problem is that these approaches provide

    conservative estimates of the effect size of the interaction term, because they represent the

    average effect of the moderator across the entire range of values of the predictor variable.

    However, in offering my second point, I invite you to consider that the problem of a very

    small percentage of variance being explained plagues much of personality-based selection

    research. Indeed, the main effects of the Big Five personality constructs typically yield very

    small effect sizes. Indeed, meta-analyses suggest that the observed effect size of

    conscientiousness on job performance may only be about .10 (Salgado, 1997), which of course is

    equal to an R-squared of .01. Thus, a substantial literature with at least 16 meta-analytic studies

    is built on constructs that may independently account for only 1-3% of the variance in job

    performance (note that no form of correction is being mentioned here). Moreover, these mean

    observed correlations do not reflect the incremental variance of these personality constructs over-

    and-above the variance of any appropriate control variables or related constructs. Thus, I suggest

    that our typical, albeit small, effect sizes may be similar in size to the main effects of well-

    researched personality constructs, whose practical utility seem to have been accepted as

    promising. Moreover, the practical impact of small effect sizes can be quite large (Abelson,

    1985; Fichman, 1999; Rosenthal, 1990), and our findings have been with the typical range for

    interaction effects in non-experimental studies (Champoux & Peters, 1987; Chaplin, 1991).

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    Implications for Practice

    Researchers have argued that the use of the broad personality factors reflected in the Big

    Five has yielded not only a loss of precision in measurement but also an error in prediction

    (Arthur et al., 2001; Paunonen & Ashton, 2001). A possible solution would be to measure all of

    the relevant facets of the AB5C. With each facet assessed by 10, 20, or more items, such an

    approach would lead to a very long personality measure and thus perhaps be impractical for

    application for selection in many organizations. Moreover, the facets scores may not add

    variance beyond the Big Five dimensions (Hofstee et al., 1998). Further research along the lines

    of the present study may yield justification for scoring protocol that would tap relevant

    interactions among the Big Five dimensions that could be applied using very brief Big Five

    measures. Indeed, examining conceptually appropriate interactions would permit an assessment

    of how the facets of the AB5C are related to work-related outcomes when using conventionally

    scored and commercially available Big Five measures.

    Human resources professionals use validity evidence to make decisions as to which of the

    five factor model scores to use for making selection decisions. When based on traditional

    validity evidence (i.e., examining only main effects) that may indicate only conscientiousness

    and emotional stability are statistically significant predictors of the relevant criteria, such

    decisions may lead to the hiring of less-than-optimal candidates. For example, if human

    resources policy dictates that conscientiousness is the only personality-based selection criterion,

    then among the selected candidates may be persons high in conscientiousness but low in

    agreeableness. Such individuals may be concerned with doing things the right way but

    uncooperative in getting along with others. Accordingly, I invite you to consider that

    conscientiousness is not enough.

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    Directions for Future Research

    A limitation of applying the AB5C is that only two dimensions can be considered

    simultaneously. Work is needed to expand the AB5C. With the development of an expanded Big

    Five-based circumplex, future researchers may be able to consider three, four, or even five

    dimensions simultaneously. Taking into account multiple factors simultaneously would be

    helpful. Considering two factors at a time offers only a glimpse of the tip of the iceberg in terms

    of understanding the complexity of personality as a predictor of work-related outcomes.

    The AB5C provides a helpful descriptive taxonomy, but it is insufficient as a theoretical

    basis for selection research. Recent work suggests that elements of the Big Five other than

    conscientiousness reflect motivation (Judge & Ilies, 2002). Additional work is needed to link

    elements of the AB5C to theoretical explanations of effectiveness at work, such as motivation

    theories.

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    Figure 1: The Impact of the Situation Strength on the Conscientiousness-

    Performance Relationship

    2

    2.2

    2.4

    2.6

    2.8

    3

    3.2

    3.4

    3.6

    3.8

    4

    Conscientiousness

    Job

    Performanc

    Low Agreement

    Avg Agreement

    High Agreement

    -1 SD +1 SD

    Source: Witt, Burke, and Kacmar, Academy of Management meeting, 2001 (1

    sample)

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    Figure 2: The Impact of the Emotional Exhaustion on the Conscientiousness-

    Objective Performance Relationship

    4

    4.5

    5

    5.5

    6

    6.5

    7

    Conscientiousness

    CallV

    olume

    Low Emotional Exhaustion

    Avg Emotional Exhaustion

    High Emotional Exhaustion

    -1 SD +1 SD

    Source: Witt, Andrews, and Carlson,Journal of Management, in press (1sample)

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    Figure 3: The Impact of Extraversion on the Conscientiousness-

    Counterproductive Behavior Relationship

    3

    3.5

    4

    4.5

    5

    5.5

    6

    6.5

    7

    7.5

    8

    Conscientiousness

    CounterproductiveBehavi

    Low Extroversion

    Avg Extroversion

    High Extroversion

    -1 SD +1 SD

    Source: Witt, American Psychological Society meeting, 2002 (1 sample)

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    Figure 4: The Impact of Extraversion on the Conscientiousness-Interpersonal

    Deviance Relationship

    2

    2.1

    2.2

    2.3

    2.4

    2.5

    2.6

    2.7

    2.8

    Conscientiousness

    Interperso

    nalDeviance

    Low Extroversion

    Avg Extroversion

    High Extroversion

    -1 SD +1 SD

    Source: Andrews, Witt, & Kacmar, SIOP meeting, 2003 (1 sample)

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    Figure 5: The Impact of Extraversion on the Conscientiousness-Interview

    Performance (Hire vs. No-Hire) Relationship

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    Extroversion

    ProbabilityofBeingHired

    Low Conscientiousness

    Avg Conscientiousness

    High Conscientiousness

    -1 SD +1 SD

    Source: Witt,Journal of Management, 2002 (1 sample)

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    Figure 6: The Impact of Extraversion on the Conscientiousness-Sales

    Performance Relationship

    1.7

    1.75

    1.8

    1.85

    1.9

    1.95

    2

    Extroversion

    Sales

    Performance

    Low Conscientiousness

    Avg Conscientiousness

    High Conscientiousness

    -1 SD +1 SD

    Source: Witt, SIOP meeting, 2001 (1 sample)

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    Figure 7: The Impact of Extraversion on the Conscientiousness-Supervisor-

    Rated Performance Relationship

    -0.4

    -0.3

    -0.2

    -0.1

    0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    Extroversion

    JobPerformance

    Low Conscientiousness

    Avg Conscientiousness

    High Conscientiousness

    -1 SD +1 SD

    .

    Source: Witt,Journal of Management, 2002 (1 of 3 samples)

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    Figure 8: The Impact of Agreeableness on the Conscientiousness-Supervisor-

    Rated Performance Relationship

    2.9

    3

    3.1

    3.2

    3.3

    3.4

    3.5

    Conscientiousness

    JobPerformance

    Low Agreeableness

    Avg Agreeableness

    High Agreeableness

    -1 SD +1 SD

    Source: Witt, Burke, Barrick, and Mount,JAP, 2002 (1 of 5 samples out of 7)

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    Figure 9: The Impact of Social Skill on the Conscientiousness-Supervisor-

    Rated Performance Relationship

    2.5

    2.6

    2.7

    2.8

    2.9

    3

    3.1

    3.2

    3.3

    3.4

    3.5

    Conscientiousness

    Performance

    Low Social Skill

    Avg Social Skill

    High Social Skill

    -1 SD +1 SD

    Source: Witt and Ferris,JAP, in press (1 of 4 samples)

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    Figure 10: The Impact of Intellect (i.e., Openness to Experience) on the

    Conscientiousness-Supervisor-Rated Performance Relationship

    3

    3.1

    3.2

    3.3

    3.4

    3.5

    3.6

    Conscientiousness

    JobPerformance

    Low Intellect

    Avg Intellect

    High Intellect

    -1 SD +1 SD

    Source: Witt, SIOP meeting, 2002 (1 of 3 samples)

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    Figure 11: The Impact of Emotional Stability on the Conscientiousness-

    Length of Employment Relationship

    70

    90

    110

    130

    150

    170

    190

    210

    230

    Conscientiousness

    LengthofE

    mployment

    Low Emotional Stablity

    Avg Emotional Stablity

    High Emotional Stablity

    -1 SD +1 SD

    Source: Witt and Jones, SIOP meeting, 2003

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    Figure 12: The Impact of Emotional Stability on the Conscientiousness-

    Supervisor-Rated Interpersonal Facilitation Relationship

    2.5

    2.6

    2.7

    2.8

    2.9

    3

    3.1

    3.2

    3.3

    3.4

    3.5

    Conscientiousness

    InterpersonalFacilitation

    Low Emotional Stablity

    Avg Emotional Stablity

    High Emotional Stablity

    -1 SD +1 SD

    Source: Witt, Southern Management Association meeting, 2001