commsday melbourne congress 2016: vodafone
TRANSCRIPT
Competition
in Regional
Australia
Dan Lloyd
Director , Strategy &
Corporate Affairs
Vodafone Hutchison
Australia
Numerous regional voices wanting a serious debate
around national roaming
• Peak Farmers’ Organisations
• House of Reps Agriculture Committee
• Infrastructure Australia
• Regional Members of Parliament
• Regional Telecommunications Review Committee
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Vodafone driving innovative roaming/infrastructure sharing
agreements across the globe
3
Country Roaming/sharing agreement
UK 2G/3G/4G: Whole of UK split into 2 zones with reciprocal active sharing with 02
(Telefonica)
Spain 3G reciprocal active sharing on 4,000 regional/remote sites (Orange)
Italy 2G/3G/4G: Consolidation to common grid in areas <35k inhabitants (TIM)
India 2G/3G: Three way JV for world’s largest towerco “Indus” + reciprocal 3G national
roaming on full footprint (Airtel and Idea), & JV for joint Wifi deployment (Airtel)
Ireland 2G/3G/4G: Passive network and transmission sharing (3)
Greece 2G/3G active sharing (Wind)
Romania 4G Active sharing in rural and regional, plus common grid planning in urban
(Orange)
New
Zealand
Commercial agreement on full footprint national roaming (2 Degrees)
South
Africa
Commercial agreement on full footprint national roaming (Cell C)
National roaming often regulated, especially in larger countries
with low population density…
4
Country Roaming regulation
USA National Roaming (for voice) mandated in 1981, reconsidered &
extended to voice and data in 2011.
New Zealand Mandated national introduced in Telco Act in 2001.
Canada Regulated roaming introduced 2008.
France Mandatory roaming introduced 2010. Regulator considers will
have achieved objectives and requirement could be phased out
after 12 years in 2022.
Norway Regulator’s draft decision in May 2016 recommends
introduction of mandatory roaming.
Indicators of structural competition issues…
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$4
$234
Vodafone Group Telstra Corporation
2015-16 FINANCIAL YEAR - FREE CASH FLOW/CUSTOMER
Source: Annual Reports, Vodafone Analysis
Causes of structural competition issues in Australia
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• Telstra inherited extensive tax-payer funded core, transmission, fixed/mobile
networks
• Substantial direct subsidies into mobile network
• Effective subsidies from competitors – ACCC reduced price of regional
transmission by 78%... Competitors were paying 5x fair price, further subsidising
Telstra’s regional network
• Ongoing subsidies through $300m/year opaque USO scheme, over-
compensating Telstra and subsidising regional transmission & exchanges,
allowing mobile network deployment at far lower cost than competitors
• NPV $11bn subsidies from NBN payments
Impact on incentives for investment
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“…argues that mandatory roaming will weaken host providers’ incentives
to invest because it impedes their ability to monetize their enormous
investment in broadband networks” by “depriving them of the ability to
compete on the basis of the scope and quality of their network coverage.”
Impact on incentives for investment
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“In this Order, we promote consumer access to nationwide mobile
broadband service by adopting a rule that requires facilities-based
providers of commercial mobile data services to offer data roaming
arrangements to other such providers on commercially reasonable terms
and conditions...
The rule we adopt today also serves the public interest by promoting
investment in and deployment of mobile broadband networks, consistent
with the recommendations of the National Broadband Plan”
FCC, Data Roaming Order, April 2011
UK
• Australia 32x the size
• UK population density 84x Australia
• UK has already driven world-leading infrastructure sharing – 4 operators,
only 2 underlying mobile networks
• UK proposal fundamentally different – all operators not only to offer
national roaming, but all operators required to take national roaming
from each other
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Summary
• Australia’s geography and population density are extreme.
• Mandated national roaming very common in western economies with large land
areas and low population density: The USA, NZ, Canada, France, (Norway).
• No evidence that mandated national roaming has undermined investment.
• Vodafone has argued national roaming not necessary in smaller markets (UK & NZ):
– Neither of them have both a) large land area, & b) low population density.
– The proposed form of national roaming in the UK was fundamentally different (required to
offer and required to take).
• Telstra inherited, received, and continues to receive substantial subsidies.
• National roaming would give the roaming provider a reasonable rate of return.
• National roaming payments share the costs of network deployment, effectively
subsidising further network expansion.
• National roaming has the potential to substantially increase competition, finally
giving regional Australia a choice.
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